Rating 6.73 (75th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (11% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 0.58 ppg with (26) · 0.42 without (12)
Premier League · Matchweek 28
Momentum
– WOLAston Villa –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.5 #6 |
| 9.7 #19 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.7 #10 |
| 3.2 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.5 #8 |
| 3.4 #20 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.2 #8 |
| 13.0 #1 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.0 #19 |
| 1.4 #15 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.1 #20 |
| 19.1 #2 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.4 #15 |
| 84.2 #20 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 84.5 #19 |
| 38.6 #20 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 49.1 #9 |
| 363.5 #20 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 450.8 #8 |
| 2.0 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #19 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 0.5 #20 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #20 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #19 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #17 |
| 1.0 #19 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| -0.2 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| 0.7 #20 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 #7 |
| 1.8 #2 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.2 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.9 #7 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 6.4 #20 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #16 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | – |
| 6.7 #19 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #12 |
| 2.4 #20 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 6.2 #19 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| 4.2 #16 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 3.5 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.7 #5 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Wolverhampton Wanderers · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.8 (83th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (15% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 0.95 ppg with (19) · 0.11 without (19)
Rating 6.73 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 0.47 ppg with (30) · 0.75 without (8)
Aston Villa · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (28) · 1.1 without (10)
Rating 6.87 (62th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (21) · 1.65 without (17)
Absences
Aston Villa
- injury Boubacar Kamara #5 key player midfielder · Knee Injury · 33 missed · until 2026-10-24
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 28
Venue
- Stadium
- Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
- Capacity
- 32,050
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,197
Teams
- Coaches
- Rob Edwards · Unai Emery
- Position
- 20 · 3
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Craig Pawson
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 6.8° (feels 3.5°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 97%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Wolverhampton Wanderers
LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.95–10.27 · xPts 4.14
- L
A
Crystal Palace
0–1
xG 1.68–1.48
UK PL
- D
H
Arsenal
2–2
xG 0.37–1.53
UK PL
- W
A
Grimsby Town
1–0
xG 1.24–1.16
UK FA Cup - D
A
Nottingham Forest
0–0
xG 0.48–3.23
UK PL
- L
H
Chelsea
1–3
xG 1.18–2.88
UK PL
DWDLLLDWDL 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 12 · xG 11.16–16.05 · xPts 10.63
- L
A
Crystal Palace
0–1
xG 1.68–1.48
UK PL
- D
H
Arsenal
2–2
xG 0.37–1.53
UK PL
- W
A
Grimsby Town
1–0
xG 1.24–1.16
UK FA Cup
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
0–0
xG 0.48–3.23
UK PL
- L
H
Chelsea
1–3
xG 1.18–2.88
UK PL
- L
H
AFC Bournemouth
0–2
xG 1.35–1.09
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester City
0–2
xG 0.6–1.16
UK PL
- D
H
Newcastle United
0–0
xG 0.41–1.16
UK PL
- W
H
Shrewsbury Town
6–1
xG 3.18–0.96
UK FA Cup - D
A
Everton
1–1
xG 0.67–1.41
UK PL
Aston Villa
LDWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 7.23–4.87 · xPts 8.21
- D
H
Leeds United
1–1
xG 1.79–0.9
UK PL
- L
H
Newcastle United
1–3
xG 1.08–1.13
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
xG 0.93–0.57
UK PL
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 0.65–1.84
UK PL
- L
H
Brentford
0–1
xG 2.78–0.42
UK PL
WLWWWLDWLD 5W 2D 3L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 12 GA 10 · xG 14.43–10.32 · xPts 16.39
- D
H
Leeds United
1–1
xG 1.79–0.9
UK PL
- L
H
Newcastle United
1–3
xG 1.08–1.13
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
xG 0.93–0.57
UK PL
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 0.65–1.84
UK PL
- L
H
Brentford
0–1
xG 2.78–0.42
UK PL
- W
H
Salzburg
3–2
xG 1.87–1.75
UEFA EL - W
A
Newcastle United
2–0
xG 1.16–1.57
UK PL
- W
A
Fenerbahçe
1–0
xG 1.38–0.65
UEFA EL - L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 1.35–0.64
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 1.44–0.84
UK FA Cup
All meetings · 26 matches since 2003
Goals 30–33 · 2.42 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 38%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- W Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 1–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
- W Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 3–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
- D Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
- W Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 2–3 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Wolverhampton Wanderers all · 38 | Wolverhampton Wanderers at home · 19 | Aston Villa all · 38 | Aston Villa away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 0.53 | 0.74 | 1.71 | 1.42 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 11 / 24 | 3 / 5 / 11 | 19 / 8 / 11 | 7 / 6 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 1.26 |
| Goals against / match | 1.79 | 1.79 | 1.29 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 16% | 24% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 37% | 26% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 53% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.96 | 1.08 | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.49 | 1.36 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.42 | 0.01 | -0.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.25 | -0.08 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.15 | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.47 | -0.42 | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 21% | 32% | 42% | 21% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.63 | 1.83 | 2.44 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.18 | 0.17 | 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 15% | 45% | 54% |
| Leads held | 38% | 50% | 79% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 13% | 24% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 51% | 52% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 42% | 35% | 25% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 40 | 43 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 42 | 35 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 47% | 62% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 53% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 44% | 54% | 54% |
| Shots | 9.7 | 10.2 | 12.7 | 11.7 |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 10% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 64% | 63% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 39% | 27% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 11% | 18% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 7.5 | 8.8 | 14.1 | 13.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 33.5 | 38.9 | 51.3 | 46.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.0 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 9.9 |
| Cards | 2.18 | 1.63 | 1.58 | 1.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–15'39
16–30'310
31–45'715
46–60'45
61–75'314
76–90'715
Aston Villa
0–15'49
16–30'65
31–45'119
46–60'1110
61–75'107
76–90'149
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wolverhampton Wanderers · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.173
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.262
Game state
When ahead+0.205
When level+0.206
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.165
10 min after scoring+0.446
Situations
At home-0.062
Away+0.244
4+ days rest+0.135
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.033
As favourite+0.214
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.176
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.00 · Behind vs level -0.26
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 12 32% | 0.58 | 0.92 | 1.92 | 1.17 | 1.7 |
| 3-5-2 | 9 24% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.22 | 0.92 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 13% | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.47 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.67 | 0.57 | 2.13 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 90% | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
| Metric | Wolverhampton Wanderers all · 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.16 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | 1.55 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | 0.40 | -0.39 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.03 | 0.44 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.16 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | 0.14 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 57% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 43% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 15% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 52% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 34% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 51 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 36 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 75% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | 47% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 42% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 11.1 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.1 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 62% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 45% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 6% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | 9.1 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.7 | 42.3 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.2 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 1.10 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–15'33
16–30'43
31–45'24
46–60'23
61–75'21
76–90'42
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 2.17 | 1.5 | 1.63 | 1.3 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.71 | 1.36 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.79 | 0.79 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Wolverhampton Wanderers all · 43 | Wolverhampton Wanderers at home · 21 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 21 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 0.86 | 1.00 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 13 / 22 | 5 / 6 / 10 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.09 | 1.43 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.62 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 37% | 29% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 62% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 52% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.14 | 1.25 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | -0.40 | -0.13 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | 1.32 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.31 | -0.32 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | 38% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.93 | 1.88 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.30 | 0.42 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 29% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 53% | 56% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 20% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 49% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 30% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 39 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 41 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 50% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 45% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 10.9 | 11.2 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 63% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 38% | 38% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 7% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 9.6 | 11.2 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 42.4 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 12.1 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–15'78
16–30'512
31–45'1015
46–60'78
61–75'515
76–90'1315
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wolverhampton Wanderers · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1743
Late push (76+, level)-0.3519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2721
Game state
When ahead+0.1615
When level-0.2043
When behind-0.2229
10 min after conceding-0.3437
10 min after scoring+0.2827
Situations
With ten men-0.223
Against ten men-0.062
At home-0.2021
Away-0.1122
3 days rest or fewer-0.096
4+ days rest-0.1637
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2825
v mid-tier opponents-0.048
v bottom-tier opponents+0.025
As favourite+0.287
Evenly matched-0.077
As underdog-0.2729
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4043
Conceded when ahead-0.0215
Conceded late (76+)+0.2138
Congested vs rested +0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.35 · Behind vs level -0.02
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 12 28% | 0.58 | 0.92 | 1.92 | 1.17 | 1.7 |
| 3-5-2 | 10 23% | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 16% | 1.57 | 2.0 | 1.71 | 1.56 | 1.52 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 12% | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 3 7% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.67 | 0.46 | 2.32 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 196.8h before kick-off · stale. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.75Home 16% P 20%3.7Draw 20% P 25%1.75Away 43% P 55%3.5Tie 21%
Double Chance
1.95Wolverhampton or Draw 15% P 22%1.22Tie or Aston Villa 23% P 38%1.25Wolverhampton or Aston Villa 23% P 38%1.9Wolverhampton or Tie 15% P 38%1.2Draw or Aston Villa 24% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 27% P 52%2.0No 23% P 48%2.05Não 23%1.7Sim 27%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 26% P 50%2.0Under 24% P 50%1.8Mais de 26%2.0Menos de 24%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20% | 19% | 20% | +0.6 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 22% | -3.1 |
| Away | 55% | 56% | 59% | +2.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Craig Pawson
- Career
- 441 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.82 (3.68 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 105 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.14 | 4.26 | -0.15 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 22.4 | 21.6 | +0.68 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.1 | +0.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.25 | +0.17 | 62 |
| Time added | 8.8 | 8.4 | +0.52 | 77 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 9% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.37
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 41' | 16 |
| 2026-02-08 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 42' | 9 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 64' | 9 |
| 2026-01-10 · Aston Villa | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 57' | 9 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 71' | 9 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 22' | 18 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 67' | 7 |
| 2025-12-13 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2025-12-02 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 90' | 11 |
| 2025-11-29 | – | – | 10 | – | – | 7 |