Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (31) · 1.71 without (7)
Premier League · Matchweek 29
Momentum
– BOUBrentford –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| AFC Bournemouth | at home | Stat | league | away | Brentford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.2 #11 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.6 #12 |
| 13.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 10.7 #16 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.9 #12 |
| 5.6 #6 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 4.8 #13 |
| 12.0 #3 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.3 #16 |
| 1.9 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #10 |
| 16.9 #11 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 14.6 #17 |
| 93.7 #8 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 89.3 #13 |
| 49.8 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 45.8 #14 |
| 413.9 #10 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 395.4 #14 |
| 2.4 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.9 #10 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 1.0 #7 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.9 #11 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #11 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #7 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #5 |
| 1.7 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| -0.1 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.1 #11 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #6 |
| 1.5 #5 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 #8 |
| 1.4 #7 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 #9 |
| 0.3 #14 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.4 #3 |
| 9.8 #2 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.9 #6 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #11 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 4.1 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 2.7 #19 |
| 8.2 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.1 #12 |
| 5.3 #5 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.3 #15 |
| 5.6 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 2.6 #20 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AFC Bournemouth · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.99 (77th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (62th pct) · G+A 1 + 6 (12% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Brentford · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.07 (93th pct) · G+A 22 + 1 (42% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.8 (39th pct) · G+A 8 + 3 (20% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 1.47 ppg with (32) · 1.0 without (6)
Rating 6.87 (75th pct) · G+A 7 + 3 (18% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.52 ppg with (25) · 1.15 without (13)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 29
Venue
- Stadium
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
- Capacity
- 11,700
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 11,108
Teams
- Coaches
- Andoni Iraola · Keith Andrews
- Position
- 10 · 7
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Craig Pawson
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 8.4° (feels 5.7°)
- Wind
- 4.7
- Humidity
- 88%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
AFC Bournemouth
WDWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.12–10.07 · xPts 6.14
- D
H
Sunderland
1–1
xG 2.22–1.14
UK PL
- D
A
West Ham United
0–0
xG 0.68–4.03
UK PL
- W
A
Everton
2–1
xG 1.29–2.9
UK PL
- D
H
Aston Villa
1–1
xG 1.84–0.65
UK PL
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–0
xG 1.09–1.35
UK PL
LWDDWWDWDD 4W 5D 1L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 18 GA 14 · xG 15.43–18.46 · xPts 13.24
- D
H
Sunderland
1–1
xG 2.22–1.14
UK PL
- D
A
West Ham United
0–0
xG 0.68–4.03
UK PL
- W
A
Everton
2–1
xG 1.29–2.9
UK PL
- D
H
Aston Villa
1–1
xG 1.84–0.65
UK PL
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–0
xG 1.09–1.35
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
3–2
xG 2.24–1.14
UK PL
- D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 1.4–1.22
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
3–3 lost on pens None–None
xG 2.34–3.74
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–2
xG 1.31–1.2
UK PL
- L
H
Arsenal
2–3
xG 1.02–1.08
UK PL
Brentford
WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 9.79–6.87 · xPts 8.93
- W
A
Burnley
4–3
xG 2.61–1.13
UK PL
- L
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–2
xG 1.78–1.22
UK PL
- W
A
Macclesfield
1–0
xG 1.92–0.7
UK FA Cup - D
H
Arsenal
1–1
xG 1.61–0.92
UK PL
- W
A
Newcastle United
3–2
xG 1.87–2.91
UK PL
WWLLWWDWLW 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 15 GA 12 · xG 20.25–14.07 · xPts 17.35
- W
A
Burnley
4–3
xG 2.61–1.13
UK PL
- L
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–2
xG 1.78–1.22
UK PL
- W
A
Macclesfield
1–0
xG 1.92–0.7
UK FA Cup
- D
H
Arsenal
1–1
xG 1.61–0.92
UK PL
- W
A
Newcastle United
3–2
xG 1.87–2.91
UK PL
- W
A
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 0.42–2.78
UK PL
- L
H
Nottingham Forest
0–2
xG 1.53–0.91
UK PL
- L
A
Chelsea
0–2
xG 1.46–1.58
UK PL
- W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
xG 3.92–0.39
UK FA Cup - W
H
Sunderland
3–0
xG 3.12–1.53
UK PL
All meetings · 15 matches since 2014
Goals 14–26 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–20 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- D AFC Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- D AFC Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brentford 4–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brentford 3–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- D Brentford 2–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brentford 2–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- D AFC Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brentford 3–1 AFC Bournemouth UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 2/2
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 38 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 19 | Brentford all · 38 | Brentford away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.63 | 1.39 | 1.11 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 18 / 7 | 7 / 10 / 2 | 14 / 11 / 13 | 6 / 3 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| Goals against / match | 1.42 | 1.05 | 1.37 | 1.63 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 32% | 26% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 32% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 63% | 53% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.55 | 1.24 |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | 0.98 | 1.55 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.16 | -0.10 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.01 | -0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 47% | 50% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.11 | 1.88 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.07 | 1.43 | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 61% | 75% | 32% | 17% |
| Leads held | 56% | 64% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 28% | 28% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 58% | 46% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 14% | 25% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 41 | 39 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 48 | 41 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 59% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 65% | 54% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 48% | 48% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 14.5 | 10.7 | 9.3 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 14% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 58% | 75% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 35% | 48% | 47% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 10% | 22% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 12.5 | 15.9 | 12.0 | 9.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.0 | 56.6 | 43.3 | 39.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 79% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.5 | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 2.37 | 2.16 | 1.84 | 2.21 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'87
31–45'1011
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'1615
Brentford
0–15'86
16–30'68
31–45'1010
46–60'67
61–75'66
76–90'1915
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.005
Early press (0-15, level)+0.215
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.025
When level+0.015
When behind-0.682
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.225
Situations
At home+0.042
Away-0.033
4+ days rest-0.005
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.143
As favourite+0.112
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.145
Conceded late (76+)-0.205
Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69
Brentford · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.405
Late push (76+, level)-0.493
Game state
When ahead+0.065
When level+0.045
10 min after conceding-0.293
10 min after scoring+0.285
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.142
4+ days rest+0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.112
As favourite-0.112
Evenly matched+0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.095
Conceded when ahead-0.125
Conceded late (76+)+0.264
Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level +1.06
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 95% | 1.5 | 1.53 | 1.39 | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.42 |
Brentford
Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 76% | 1.59 | 1.66 | 1.34 | 1.75 | 1.57 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 13% | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.71 | 1.27 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.35 | 3.3 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.19 | 1.63 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 10 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 10 | Brentford all · 10 | Brentford away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 6 / 1 | 2 / 8 / 0 | 3 / 5 / 2 | 2 / 6 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.06 | 1.68 | 1.77 |
| xG against / match | 1.31 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 2.14 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.93 | -0.04 | -0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | -0.46 | 0.02 | -0.57 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.98 | 1.37 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | -0.58 | 0.03 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.63 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 100% | 60% | 60% |
| Leads held | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 50% | 28% | 28% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 61% | 51% | 69% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 11% | 21% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 44 | 46 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 62 | 54 | 48 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 56% | 65% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | 67% | 67% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 52% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 16.2 | 13.6 | 11.7 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 72% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 37% | 48% | 58% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 12% | 29% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 12.9 | 14.3 | 12.3 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 56.9 | 49.6 | 50.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 9.8 | 11.9 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'30
16–30'20
31–45'53
46–60'42
61–75'01
76–90'26
Brentford
0–15'22
16–30'00
31–45'42
46–60'44
61–75'21
76–90'53
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.58 | 1.31 |
Brentford
Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.56 | 1.89 | 1.0 | 1.82 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.35 | 3.3 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 40 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 19 | Brentford all · 42 | Brentford away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 42 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 22 / 7 | 5 / 12 / 2 | 17 / 14 / 11 | 8 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.27 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.16 | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 26% | 31% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 29% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 68% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% | 50% | 41% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.68 | 1.76 | 1.81 | 1.62 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.02 | 1.62 | 1.77 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | 0.74 | 0.19 | -0.15 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.10 | -0.23 | -0.26 | -0.34 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.85 | 1.47 | 1.28 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.43 | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 42% | 55% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.65 | 1.63 | 2.22 | 2.09 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.13 | 1.38 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 65% | 78% | 39% | 33% |
| Leads held | 42% | 46% | 68% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 23% | 29% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 63% | 49% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 14% | 22% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 45 | 38 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 50 | 42 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 59% | 57% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 59% | 64% | 53% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.48 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 49% | 50% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 75% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 50% | 50% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 10% | 22% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 12.8 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 13.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | 56.6 | 49.3 | 47.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 79% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.1 | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 2.48 | 2.26 | 1.79 | 2.05 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'97
31–45'1312
46–60'78
61–75'109
76–90'1518
Brentford
0–15'85
16–30'89
31–45'1210
46–60'98
61–75'95
76–90'1914
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0840
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1140
Late push (76+, level)-0.1625
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4412
Game state
When ahead-0.0526
When level+0.0940
When behind+0.3020
10 min after conceding-0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.4133
Situations
With ten men-0.382
Against ten men-0.432
At home+0.1919
Away-0.0221
3 days rest or fewer+0.035
4+ days rest+0.0935
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0225
v mid-tier opponents+0.047
v bottom-tier opponents+0.562
As favourite+0.4112
Evenly matched-0.0215
As underdog-0.1113
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.2026
Conceded late (76+)+0.0539
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.21
Brentford · 42 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1542
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2142
Late push (76+, level)-0.0319
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0413
Game state
When ahead+0.1725
When level+0.1742
When behind+0.0818
10 min after conceding-0.2829
10 min after scoring+0.3430
Situations
At home+0.1120
Away+0.1822
3 days rest or fewer+0.565
4+ days rest+0.1037
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0424
v mid-tier opponents+0.169
v bottom-tier opponents+0.332
As favourite+0.4616
Evenly matched+0.0713
As underdog-0.1313
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0842
Conceded when ahead+0.0325
Conceded late (76+)+0.0640
Congested vs rested +0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.00 · Behind vs level -0.08
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 40 100% | 1.37 | 1.58 | 1.5 | 1.68 | 1.64 |
Brentford
Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 81% | 1.74 | 1.76 | 1.18 | 2.04 | 1.65 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 10% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.5 | 0.51 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.35 | 3.3 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.19 | 1.63 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.5Home 38% P 38%3.6Draw 27% P 26%2.7Away 35% P 35%
Double Chance
1.44Bournemouth or Draw 20% P 32%1.4Bournemouth or Tie 21% P 37%1.61Tie or Brentford 18% P 37%1.28Bournemouth or Brentford 22% P 37%1.5Draw or Brentford 19% P 31%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 38% | 38% | 42% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 20% | -5.4 |
| Away | 35% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%
Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | 64% | 64% | +0.4 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Craig Pawson
- Career
- 441 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.82 (3.68 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 104 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.16 | 4.26 | -0.12 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 22.5 | 21.6 | +0.70 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.1 | +0.46 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.25 | +0.20 | 62 |
| Time added | 8.8 | 8.4 | +0.51 | 73 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 9% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.37
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 41' | 16 |
| 2026-02-08 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 42' | 9 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 64' | 9 |
| 2026-01-10 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 57' | 9 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 71' | 9 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 22' | 18 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 67' | 7 |
| 2025-12-13 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2025-12-02 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 90' | 11 |