Rating 6.92 (80th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (13% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.58 ppg with (26) · 1.0 without (12)
Premier League · Matchweek 34
Momentum
– BHAChelsea –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Brighton & Hove Albion | at home | Stat | league | away | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.1 #5 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 57.7 #3 |
| 13.0 #7 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 13.4 #6 |
| 4.6 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.4 #9 |
| 4.9 #12 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 6.0 #4 |
| 11.9 #4 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 11.1 #6 |
| 1.7 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #10 |
| 17.8 #6 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.6 #14 |
| 96.6 #7 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 100.9 #4 |
| 53.8 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 54.0 #5 |
| 477.1 #4 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 540.4 #2 |
| 2.3 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.5 #2 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 0.9 #12 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.0 #6 |
| – #10 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #11 |
| 1.5 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| -0.1 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.3 #18 |
| – #12 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #14 |
| 1.4 #10 | 1.6 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 #5 |
| 1.2 #18 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 #9 |
| 0.5 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.7 #10 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 10.0 #1 |
| – #11 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #10 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.8 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #5 |
| 3.5 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.4 #3 |
| 8.7 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.9 #5 |
| 5.1 #8 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.7 #9 |
| 4.4 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.5 #7 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Brighton & Hove Albion · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.93 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (31) · 1.57 without (7)
Rating 6.86 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (12% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 1.5 ppg with (20) · 1.28 without (18)
Chelsea · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.14 (95th pct) · G+A 15 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (31) · 1.14 without (7)
Rating 7.05 (88th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (32) · 1.83 without (6)
Rating 6.96 (71th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (19% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.43 ppg with (30) · 1.12 without (8)
Absences
Brighton & Hove Albion
- injury Stefanos Tzimas #16 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 29 missed · until 2026-09-01
Chelsea
- injury Caleb Wiley defender · Adductor Injury · 50 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 34
Venue
- Stadium
- The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer
- Capacity
- 31,876
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 31,220
Teams
- Coaches
- Fabian Hürzeler · Liam Rosenior
- Position
- 9 · 6
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Referee
Craig Pawson
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 8.0° (feels 4.1°)
- Wind
- 8.1
- Humidity
- 85%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Brighton & Hove Albion
LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 8.16–4.15 · xPts 9.37
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 0.86–1.16
UK PL
- W
A
Burnley
2–0
xG 2.51–0.65
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
2–1
xG 2.28–0.87
UK PL
- W
A
Sunderland
1–0
xG 1.52–1.01
UK PL
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.98–0.45
UK PL
LLLWWLWWWD 5W 1D 4L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 13.49–11.05 · xPts 15.1
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 0.86–1.16
UK PL
- W
A
Burnley
2–0
xG 2.51–0.65
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
2–1
xG 2.28–0.87
UK PL
- W
A
Sunderland
1–0
xG 1.52–1.01
UK PL
- L
H
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.98–0.45
UK PL
- W
H
Nottingham Forest
2–1
xG 1.16–0.85
UK PL
- W
A
Brentford
2–0
xG 1.22–1.78
UK PL
- L
A
Liverpool
0–3
xG 1.63–2.31
UK FA Cup
- L
A
Aston Villa
0–1
xG 0.57–0.93
UK PL
- L
H
Crystal Palace
0–1
xG 0.76–1.04
UK PL
Chelsea
LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 9.61–4.83 · xPts 8.92
- L
H
Manchester United
0–1
xG 1.71–0.32
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–3
xG 1.12–2.03
UK PL
- W
H
Port Vale
7–0
xG 4.3–0.12
UK FA Cup - L
A
Everton
0–3
xG 0.77–1.26
UK PL
- L
H
Paris Saint Germain
0–3
xG 1.7–1.1
UEFA CL
LWWLLLLWLL 3W 0D 7L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 18 GA 21 · xG 18.88–11.19 · xPts 17.47
- L
H
Manchester United
0–1
xG 1.71–0.32
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–3
xG 1.12–2.03
UK PL
- W
H
Port Vale
7–0
xG 4.3–0.12
UK FA Cup
- L
A
Everton
0–3
xG 0.77–1.26
UK PL
- L
H
Paris Saint Germain
0–3
xG 1.7–1.1
UEFA CL
- L
H
Newcastle United
0–1
xG 1.94–0.85
UK PL
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
2–5
xG 1.06–0.93
UEFA CL
- W
A
Wrexham
4–2 aet
xG 2.09–1.84
UK FA Cup - W
A
Aston Villa
4–1
xG 3.03–1.05
UK PL
- L
A
Arsenal
1–2
xG 1.15–1.69
UK PL
All meetings · 20 matches since 2017
Goals 30–36 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 70%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 25–17 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 14–6 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Chelsea 4–3 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- W Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- W Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Chelsea UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- L Chelsea 4–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- L Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- L Chelsea 3–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion UK PL · Regular Season
- W Brighton & Hove Albion 4–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 38 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 19 | Chelsea all · 38 | Chelsea away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.39 | 1.74 | 1.37 | 1.37 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 13 | 9 / 6 / 4 | 14 / 10 / 14 | 7 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.37 | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.21 | 1.05 | 1.37 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 26% | 24% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 21% | 18% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 58% | 63% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 58% | 66% | 74% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.52 | 1.55 | 1.80 | 1.63 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.22 | 1.37 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.15 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | 0.03 | -0.28 | 0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.09 | 0.13 | -0.24 | -0.11 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 58% | 45% | 26% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 2.18 | 2.12 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | 1.14 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| Came back from behind | 41% | 50% | 36% | 46% |
| Leads held | 74% | 69% | 64% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 38% | 29% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 41% | 43% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 20% | 28% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 38 | 40 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 46 | 36 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 57% | 55% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 45% | 54% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 55% | 58% | 56% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 11.6 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 64% | 66% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 28% | 29% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 10% | 20% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 13.6 | 14.5 | 17.2 | 15.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.8 | 54.5 | 57.3 | 52.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.3 | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 2.26 | 1.79 | 2.89 | 3.26 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–15'96
16–30'48
31–45'711
46–60'75
61–75'95
76–90'1611
Chelsea
0–15'611
16–30'76
31–45'137
46–60'148
61–75'99
76–90'911
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brighton & Hove Albion · 6 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.95
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.596
Early press (0-15, level)+0.676
Late push (76+, level)+0.942
Game state
When ahead-0.093
When level+0.956
When behind+0.432
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.515
Situations
At home+0.463
Away+0.673
3 days rest or fewer+0.232
4+ days rest+0.744
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.232
As favourite+0.744
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.226
Conceded when ahead-0.073
Conceded late (76+)-0.403
Congested vs rested -0.51 · Ahead vs level -1.04 · Behind vs level -0.52
Chelsea · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214
Game state
When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274
Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 87% | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.21 | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.99 | 3.32 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 84% | 1.44 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.82 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 |
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 10 | Chelsea all · 10 | Chelsea away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 70% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.14 | 1.85 | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 1.28 | 0.84 | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | 0.85 | 1.01 | -0.11 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| xPts / match | 1.89 | 1.98 | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | -0.08 | 0.16 | -0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 60% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.88 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 25% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 67% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 51% | 38% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 37% | 24% | 32% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 25% | 30% | 47% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 18 | 26 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | 27 | 32 | 17 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 32% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 25% | 47% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 69% | 62% | 50% | 53% |
| Shots | 18.3 | 15.2 | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| On target | 5.8 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 68% | 61% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 21% | 31% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 28% | 7% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 17.8 | 11.8 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 69.4 | 66.0 | 47.5 | 46.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 83% | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–15'34
16–30'31
31–45'53
46–60'11
61–75'41
76–90'52
Chelsea
0–15'53
16–30'24
31–45'32
46–60'24
61–75'33
76–90'11
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.33 | 2.09 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.58 | 0.38 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion all · 42 | Brighton & Hove Albion at home · 20 | Chelsea all · 53 | Chelsea away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 42 | 20 | 53 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 13 | 10 / 6 / 4 | 24 / 10 / 19 | 11 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | 0.95 | 1.45 | 1.62 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 35% | 24% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 62% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 60% | 72% | 81% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.15 | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.23 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.71 | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | 0.09 | -0.08 | 0.00 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 45% | 60% | 58% | 46% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.47 | 2.42 | 2.19 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.86 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| Came back from behind | 41% | 50% | 34% | 41% |
| Leads held | 81% | 77% | 69% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 43% | 34% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 37% | 40% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 21% | 26% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 42 | 36 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 44% | 52% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 42% | 52% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 59% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 15.1 | 13.9 | 12.8 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 64% | 66% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 22% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 14% | 15% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 15.5 | 17.3 | 18.3 | 15.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.8 | 60.3 | 57.6 | 52.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 1.70 | 2.64 | 2.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–15'119
16–30'76
31–45'1212
46–60'65
61–75'126
76–90'1911
Chelsea
0–15'1113
16–30'1611
31–45'1913
46–60'2012
61–75'1513
76–90'1515
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brighton & Hove Albion · 42 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1742
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4042
Late push (76+, level)+0.4418
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0616
Game state
When ahead+0.0621
When level+0.3242
When behind+0.0422
10 min after conceding-0.0928
10 min after scoring+0.4332
Situations
Against ten men-0.334
At home+0.1820
Away+0.1722
3 days rest or fewer+0.258
4+ days rest+0.1634
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1224
v mid-tier opponents+0.029
v bottom-tier opponents+0.742
As favourite+0.2921
Evenly matched+0.1811
As underdog-0.0810
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0042
Conceded when ahead-0.1021
Conceded late (76+)-0.1336
Congested vs rested +0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.28
Chelsea · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3253
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1653
Late push (76+, level)+0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0219
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4153
When behind+0.1229
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.5445
Situations
With ten men-0.077
Against ten men+0.503
At home+0.3027
Away+0.3426
3 days rest or fewer+0.3921
4+ days rest+0.2732
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1732
v mid-tier opponents+0.3010
v bottom-tier opponents+1.433
As favourite+0.4835
Evenly matched+0.1411
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0653
Conceded when ahead-0.1434
Conceded late (76+)-0.3045
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.29
Brighton & Hove Albion
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 35 83% | 1.6 | 1.66 | 1.14 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 14% | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.52 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.99 | 3.32 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 41 77% | 1.56 | 1.73 | 1.29 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 1.37 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.25Home 42% P 42%3.6Draw 26% P 28%3.0Away 32% P 30%
Double Chance
1.36Brighton or Draw 34%1.3Brighton or Chelsea 36%1.53Draw or Chelsea 30%
Draw No Bet
1.721 54%2.02 46%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 50%2.0Under 47% P 50%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42% | 41% | 42% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 27% | -2.4 |
| Away | 30% | 29% | 31% | +1.9 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Craig Pawson
- Career
- 441 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.82 (3.68 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 105 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.14 | 4.26 | -0.15 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 22.4 | 21.6 | +0.68 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.1 | +0.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.25 | +0.17 | 62 |
| Time added | 8.8 | 8.4 | +0.52 | 77 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 9% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.37
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 40' | 15 |
| 2026-03-03 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 60' | 9 |
| 2026-02-27 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 41' | 16 |
| 2026-02-08 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 42' | 9 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 64' | 9 |
| 2026-01-10 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 57' | 9 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 71' | 9 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 22' | 18 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 67' | 7 |