Rating 7.33 (98th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Premier League · Matchweek 37
Momentum
– ArsenalBurnley –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Arsenal | at home | Stat | league | away | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.2 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 42.3 #20 |
| 14.6 #4 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 9.3 #20 |
| 4.9 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.1 #20 |
| 5.7 #5 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| 10.3 #14 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.4 #13 |
| 1.6 #7 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #13 |
| 15.8 #13 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.8 #12 |
| 101.2 #3 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 85.4 #16 |
| 60.0 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 39.3 #19 |
| 470.9 #6 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 384.9 #16 |
| 1.4 #20 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #13 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| 1.4 #2 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.7 #15 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #19 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #11 |
| 1.9 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.9 #20 |
| -0.0 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| – #20 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| 1.9 #2 | 2.2 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 #19 |
| 0.7 #20 | 0.6 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 #1 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #16 |
| 7.3 #18 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 9.4 #3 |
| – #20 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #1 |
| 0.1 #8 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #16 |
| 6.9 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #20 |
| 4.3 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 3.1 #16 |
| 10.7 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 5.7 #20 |
| 5.4 #4 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 3.3 #20 |
| 3.9 #12 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 3.7 #13 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Arsenal · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.22 (93th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 2.44 ppg with (25) · 1.85 without (13)
Rating 7.18 (99th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.2 ppg with (30) · 2.38 without (8)
Burnley · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.7 (50th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (13% of team goals) · 36% of minutes
Team 0.73 ppg with (15) · 0.48 without (23)
Rating 6.55 (8th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.76 (83th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 46% of minutes
Team 0.59 ppg with (17) · 0.57 without (21)
Absences
Arsenal
- injury Ben White #17 key player defender · Knee Injury · 3 missed · until 2026-07-20
Burnley
- injury Josh Cullen midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 28 missed · until 2026-10-01
- injury Mike Tresor midfielder · Unknown Injury · 99 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 37
Venue
- Stadium
- Emirates Stadium, London
- Capacity
- 60,704
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 60,274
Teams
- Coaches
- Mikel Arteta · Michael James Jackson
- Position
- 1 · 19
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Paul Tierney
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 12.4° (feels 11.3°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 64%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Arsenal
WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 1 · xG 8.29–5.27 · xPts 8.62
- W
A
West Ham United
1–0
xG 1.47–0.92
UK PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
1–0
xG 1.32–0.95
UEFA CL - W
H
Fulham
3–0
xG 2.9–0.48
UK PL
- D
A
Atlético de Madrid
1–1
xG 1.75–2.1
UEFA CL
- W
H
Newcastle United
1–0
xG 0.83–0.82
UK PL
LWLDLWDWWW 5W 2D 3L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 16.65–10.6 · xPts 17.52
- W
A
West Ham United
1–0
xG 1.47–0.92
UK PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
1–0
xG 1.32–0.95
UEFA CL
- W
H
Fulham
3–0
xG 2.9–0.48
UK PL
- D
A
Atlético de Madrid
1–1
xG 1.75–2.1
UEFA CL
- W
H
Newcastle United
1–0
xG 0.83–0.82
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester City
1–2
xG 1.38–1.76
UK PL
- D
H
Sporting CP
0–0
xG 1.26–0.36
UEFA CL - L
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
xG 2.72–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Sporting CP
1–0
xG 1.17–1.06
UEFA CL
- L
A
Southampton
1–2
xG 1.82–0.81
UK FA Cup
Burnley
LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 4.12–10.37 · xPts 3.31
- D
H
Aston Villa
2–2
xG 1.57–1.45
UK PL
- L
A
Leeds United
1–3
xG 0.51–1.93
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–1
xG 0.89–3.06
UK PL
- L
A
Nottingham Forest
1–4
xG 0.5–1.41
UK PL
- L
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–2
xG 0.65–2.51
UK PL
DLLDLLLLLD 0W 3D 7L · 3 pts (0.3 ppg) · GF 9 GA 22 · xG 10.13–21.49 · xPts 7.29
- D
H
Aston Villa
2–2
xG 1.57–1.45
UK PL
- L
A
Leeds United
1–3
xG 0.51–1.93
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–1
xG 0.89–3.06
UK PL
- L
A
Nottingham Forest
1–4
xG 0.5–1.41
UK PL
- L
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–2
xG 0.65–2.51
UK PL
- L
A
Fulham
1–3
xG 1.56–3.08
UK PL
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
0–0
xG 1.73–2.1
UK PL
- L
A
Everton
0–2
xG 0.51–1.14
UK PL
- L
H
Brentford
3–4
xG 1.13–2.61
UK PL
- D
A
Chelsea
1–1
xG 1.07–2.19
UK PL
All meetings · 23 matches since 2008
Goals 45–10 · 2.39 per match · BTTS 39% · over 2.5 48%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–4 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 11–1 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Arsenal 1–0 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–2 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–5 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 3–1 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- D Arsenal 0–0 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- D Burnley 1–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- L Arsenal 0–1 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- D Burnley 0–0 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 2–1 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Arsenal all · 38 | Arsenal at home · 19 | Burnley all · 38 | Burnley away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.24 | 2.47 | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| W / D / L | 26 / 7 / 5 | 15 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 10 / 24 | 2 / 3 / 14 |
| Goals for / match | 1.87 | 2.16 | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 0.71 | 0.58 | 1.97 | 2.42 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 58% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 8% | 5% | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 42% | 58% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 58% | 50% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.87 | 2.09 | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| xG against / match | 0.88 | 0.72 | 2.14 | 2.29 |
| xG difference | 0.99 | 1.36 | -1.25 | -1.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.98 | 2.19 | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.29 | -0.12 | -0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 84% | 21% | 21% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.74 | 2.81 | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 33% | 27% | 22% |
| Leads held | 87% | 94% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 42% | 47% | 9% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 44% | 47% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 8% | 9% | 44% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 38 | 48 | 61 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 49 | 51 | 31 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 56% | 58% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 64% | 49% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.58 | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 42% | 41% |
| Shots | 14.6 | 16.1 | 9.3 | 7.8 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 70% | 61% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 41% | 35% | 36% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 22% | 16% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 22.2 | 26.7 | 6.0 | 4.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.9 | 73.3 | 29.9 | 27.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 78% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.34 | 0.89 | 1.84 | 2.21 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arsenal
0–15'82
16–30'62
31–45'166
46–60'153
61–75'105
76–90'169
Burnley
0–15'314
16–30'56
31–45'818
46–60'710
61–75'510
76–90'1017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Arsenal · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: v top-tier opponents +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.565
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Game state
When ahead+0.275
When level+0.625
10 min after scoring+0.555
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+0.543
3 days rest or fewer+0.632
4+ days rest+0.513
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.683
v mid-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.565
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.355
Conceded when ahead-0.355
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +1.76
Burnley · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.067
Early press (0-15, level)-0.227
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224
Game state
When ahead+0.123
When level-0.117
When behind-0.066
10 min after conceding-0.167
10 min after scoring+0.197
Situations
At home-0.213
Away+0.064
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.075
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.045
Evenly matched-0.173
As underdog+0.103
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.533
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 24 63% | 2.17 | 1.67 | 0.63 | 1.83 | 0.88 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 37% | 2.36 | 2.21 | 0.86 | 1.94 | 0.89 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 34% | 0.92 | 1.31 | 1.85 | 1.07 | 2.31 |
| 5-4-1 | 9 24% | 0.11 | 0.44 | 2.22 | 0.61 | 2.16 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 21% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 1.19 |
| Metric | Arsenal all · 10 | Arsenal at home · 10 | Burnley all · 10 | Burnley away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.80 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 1 / 0 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 0 / 2 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 0.30 | 0.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 80% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.84 | 1.88 | 1.25 | 0.96 |
| xG against / match | 0.85 | 0.67 | 1.62 | 1.87 |
| xG difference | 0.98 | 1.21 | -0.37 | -0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.34 | -0.28 | -0.15 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.98 | 2.15 | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.82 | 0.35 | -0.60 | -0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 70% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.78 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 50% | 44% | 11% |
| Leads held | 90% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 44% | 48% | 11% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 46% | 43% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 2% | 6% | 46% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 33 | 41 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 52 | 10 | 29 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 31% | 64% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 33% | 45% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 54% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 16.7 | 13.7 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 60% | 54% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 40% | 20% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 12% | 0% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 17.2 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 64.7 | 42.2 | 41.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 9.4 | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 0.80 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arsenal
0–15'21
16–30'20
31–45'30
46–60'50
61–75'11
76–90'21
Burnley
0–15'25
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'53
61–75'04
76–90'22
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 1.56 | 0.33 | 1.89 | 0.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.39 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.44 | 1.11 | 2.11 | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
| Metric | Arsenal all · 57 | Arsenal at home · 27 | Burnley all · 43 | Burnley away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 57 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
| Points per game | 2.35 | 2.56 | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| W / D / L | 41 / 11 / 5 | 22 / 3 / 2 | 4 / 13 / 26 | 2 / 4 / 15 |
| Goals for / match | 1.93 | 2.11 | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 0.67 | 0.56 | 2.02 | 2.43 |
| Clean sheets | 51% | 59% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 5% | 7% | 28% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 41% | 70% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 56% | 56% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.96 | 2.09 | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| xG against / match | 0.93 | 0.72 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | 1.03 | 1.37 | -0.86 | -1.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | 2.21 | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.30 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 82% | 28% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.74 | 2.86 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 62% | 50% | 30% | 21% |
| Leads held | 87% | 96% | 29% | 29% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 50% | 11% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 43% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 8% | 7% | 45% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 34 | 45 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 41 | 32 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 49% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 53% | 49% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 45% | 44% |
| Shots | 15.1 | 16.5 | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| On target | 5.4 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 70% | 62% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 33% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 22% | 18% | 13% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 22.8 | 26.7 | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.2 | 71.0 | 35.2 | 32.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.42 | 1.07 | 1.95 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arsenal
0–15'155
16–30'143
31–45'208
46–60'216
61–75'206
76–90'2010
Burnley
0–15'517
16–30'88
31–45'1019
46–60'811
61–75'513
76–90'1219
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Arsenal · 57 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.86
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4557
Late push (76+, level)+0.1419
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.867
Game state
When ahead+0.6047
When level+0.5557
When behind+0.7713
10 min after conceding+0.4327
10 min after scoring+0.8354
Situations
Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.7027
Away+0.4930
3 days rest or fewer+0.7224
4+ days rest+0.5033
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4833
v mid-tier opponents+0.7812
v bottom-tier opponents+0.263
As favourite+0.6351
Evenly matched+0.355
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2557
Conceded when ahead-0.3047
Conceded late (76+)-0.4048
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.23
Burnley · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2943
Late push (76+, level)-0.4719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3227
Game state
When ahead-0.2414
When level-0.2943
When behind-0.2037
10 min after conceding-0.2839
10 min after scoring+0.0731
Situations
With ten men-0.362
At home-0.2322
Away-0.2721
3 days rest or fewer-0.218
4+ days rest-0.2635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3425
v mid-tier opponents-0.0712
As favourite-0.023
Evenly matched-0.075
As underdog-0.2935
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4443
Conceded when ahead+0.8114
Conceded late (76+)+0.3940
Congested vs rested +0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.09
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 51% | 2.34 | 1.9 | 0.66 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 47% | 2.33 | 1.96 | 0.67 | 1.9 | 0.82 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.22 | 2.32 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 44% | 0.74 | 1.37 | 2.05 | 1.38 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 19% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 5-4-1 | 7 16% | 0.14 | 0.57 | 2.29 | 0.61 | 1.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 1.19 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.09Home 87% P 87%10.0Draw 9% P 9%26.0Away 4% P 4%
Double Chance
1.01Arsenal or Draw 48%1.06Arsenal or Burnley 46%8.0Draw or Burnley 6%
Draw No Bet
1.021 94%17.02 6%
Both Teams To Score
2.5Yes 38%1.5No 62%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 69%3.0Under 32% P 31%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.0Over 14 15%
Number of Cards
2.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 85–87.5% · away 2.5–5% · 296 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 87% | 86% | 88% | +1.6 |
| Draw | 9% | 10% | 9% | -0.8 |
| Away | 4% | 4% | 3% | -0.8 |
In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 72%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Paul Tierney
- Career
- 356 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 89 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.03 | 4.26 | -0.36 | 27 |
| Fouls / match | 21.4 | 21.6 | +0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.4 | 5.1 | +0.24 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.21 | 0.25 | -0.60 | 31 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 8.4 | -0.08 | 23 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 49% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.1
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 49' | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 24' | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 6' | 8 |
| 2026-04-13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 18' | 9 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-03-14 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 23' | 13 |
| 2026-02-18 · Arsenal | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 45' | 14 |
| 2026-02-15 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 30' | 7 |
| 2026-02-11 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2026-02-02 · Burnley | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 45' | 8 |