Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (31) · 1.71 without (7)
Premier League · Matchweek 37
Momentum
– BOUMCI –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| AFC Bournemouth | at home | Stat | league | away | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.2 #11 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 60.5 #1 |
| 13.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 15.6 #2 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.4 #2 |
| 5.6 #6 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| 12.0 #3 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 9.7 #20 |
| 1.9 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.2 #19 |
| 16.9 #11 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 14.4 #19 |
| 93.7 #8 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 113.0 #1 |
| 49.8 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 64.7 #1 |
| 413.9 #10 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 588.0 #1 |
| 2.4 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #11 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | – |
| 1.0 #7 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.5 #1 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #14 |
| 1.7 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #1 |
| -0.1 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.5 #5 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 #1 |
| 1.4 #7 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 #19 |
| 0.3 #14 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 9.8 #2 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.1 #15 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #19 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 4.1 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.5 #2 |
| 8.2 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 11.3 #1 |
| 5.3 #5 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 5.6 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AFC Bournemouth · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.99 (77th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (61th pct) · G+A 1 + 6 (12% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 27 + 8 (45% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 2.07 without (15)
Rating 7.28 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (21% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (19) · 1.95 without (19)
Absences
AFC Bournemouth
- injury Matai Akinmboni defender · Muscle Injury · 32 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 37
Venue
- Stadium
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
- Capacity
- 11,700
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 11,218
Teams
- Coaches
- Andoni Iraola · Pep Guardiola
- Position
- 6 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Referee
Anthony Taylor
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 13.6° (feels 13.2°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 83%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
AFC Bournemouth
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 9.61–8.53 · xPts 7.54
- W
A
Fulham
1–0
xG 0.89–1.52
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 2.16–1.08
UK PL
- D
H
Leeds United
2–2
xG 1.96–1.3
UK PL
- W
A
Newcastle United
2–1
xG 3.25–1.91
UK PL
- W
A
Arsenal
2–1
xG 1.34–2.72
UK PL
DDDDDWWDWW 4W 6D 0L · 18 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 7 · xG 18.01–18.12 · xPts 14.67
- W
A
Fulham
1–0
xG 0.89–1.52
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 2.16–1.08
UK PL
- D
H
Leeds United
2–2
xG 1.96–1.3
UK PL
- W
A
Newcastle United
2–1
xG 3.25–1.91
UK PL
- W
A
Arsenal
2–1
xG 1.34–2.72
UK PL
- D
H
Manchester United
2–2
xG 1.96–2.14
UK PL
- D
A
Burnley
0–0
xG 2.1–1.73
UK PL
- D
H
Brentford
0–0
xG 1.45–0.55
UK PL
- D
H
Sunderland
1–1
xG 2.22–1.14
UK PL
- D
A
West Ham United
0–0
xG 0.68–4.03
UK PL
Manchester City
WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 9.89–4.39 · xPts 10.12
- W
A
Chelsea
1–0
xG 1.19–0.79
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 1.52–0.92
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
3–0
xG 3.3–0.35
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
3–3
xG 1.86–2.1
UK PL
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 2.03–0.23
UK FA Cup
LWWWWWDWWW 8W 1D 1L · 25 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 23 GA 7 · xG 21.07–12.18 · xPts 19.02
- W
A
Chelsea
1–0
xG 1.19–0.79
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 1.52–0.92
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
3–0
xG 3.3–0.35
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
3–3
xG 1.86–2.1
UK PL
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 2.03–0.23
UK FA Cup
- W
A
Burnley
1–0
xG 3.06–0.89
UK PL
- W
H
Arsenal
2–1
xG 1.76–1.38
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
3–0
xG 2.03–1.12
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
4–0
xG 1.86–1.65
UK FA Cup
- L
H
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.47–2.76
UEFA CL
All meetings · 20 matches since 2015
Goals 14–57 · 3.55 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 80%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–27 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Manchester City 2–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- D AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 3–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 3–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City UK FA Cup · Quarter-finals
- W AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 6–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 1–4 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 4–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 38 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 19 | Manchester City all · 38 | Manchester City away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.63 | 2.05 | 1.74 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 18 / 7 | 7 / 10 / 2 | 23 / 9 / 6 | 9 / 6 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.53 | 1.53 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.42 | 1.05 | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 32% | 42% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 10% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 63% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 47% | 63% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.92 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | 0.98 | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| xG difference | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.68 | 0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.16 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 47% | 82% | 68% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.35 | 2.15 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.07 | 1.43 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 61% | 75% | 33% | 43% |
| Leads held | 56% | 64% | 72% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 28% | 47% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 58% | 45% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 14% | 8% | 12% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 41 | 32 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 48 | 50 | 56 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 59% | 47% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 65% | 71% | 81% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.32 | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 60% | 61% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 14.5 | 15.6 | 14.9 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 58% | 72% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 35% | 23% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 10% | 12% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 12.5 | 15.9 | 22.4 | 18.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.0 | 56.6 | 66.5 | 63.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 88% | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.5 | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 2.37 | 2.16 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'87
31–45'1011
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'1615
Manchester City
0–15'90
16–30'104
31–45'226
46–60'97
61–75'1411
76–90'137
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.005
Early press (0-15, level)+0.215
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.025
When level+0.015
When behind-0.682
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.225
Situations
At home+0.042
Away-0.033
4+ days rest-0.005
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.143
As favourite+0.112
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.145
Conceded late (76+)-0.205
Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69
Manchester City · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025
Game state
When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605
Situations
At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525
Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 95% | 1.5 | 1.53 | 1.39 | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.42 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 12 32% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 8 21% | 2.38 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 7 18% | 2.14 | 1.86 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.26 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 13% | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 2.25 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.23 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 10 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 10 | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 | 2.50 | 2.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 6 / 1 | 2 / 8 / 0 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 6 / 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 60% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.06 | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.31 | 1.14 | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.93 | 0.89 | 0.76 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | -0.46 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.98 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | -0.58 | 0.59 | 0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 50% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.63 | 1.80 | 2.63 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| Leads held | 33% | 33% | 89% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 50% | 28% | 38% | 35% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 61% | 47% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 11% | 15% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 44 | 51 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 62 | 54 | 42 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 56% | 74% | 76% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | 67% | 60% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 52% | 62% | 63% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 16.2 | 15.1 | 16.6 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 37% | 18% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 12.9 | 14.3 | 18.4 | 18.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 56.9 | 65.9 | 66.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'30
16–30'20
31–45'53
46–60'42
61–75'01
76–90'26
Manchester City
0–15'00
16–30'31
31–45'21
46–60'52
61–75'21
76–90'70
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 3.0 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.57 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 2.03 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 40 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 19 | Manchester City all · 55 | Manchester City away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 55 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.42 | 2.20 | 1.93 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 22 / 7 | 5 / 12 / 2 | 37 / 10 / 8 | 15 / 7 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.58 | 1.53 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.16 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 26% | 42% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 9% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 68% | 51% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% | 60% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.68 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.78 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.02 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.10 | -0.23 | 0.21 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.85 | 1.86 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.43 | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 42% | 74% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.65 | 1.63 | 2.54 | 2.41 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.13 | 1.38 | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Came back from behind | 65% | 78% | 47% | 50% |
| Leads held | 42% | 46% | 80% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 23% | 46% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 63% | 43% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 14% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 45 | 35 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 50 | 46 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 59% | 50% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 59% | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.48 | 0.37 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 61% | 61% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 14.6 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 72% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 23% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 10% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 12.8 | 16.1 | 23.2 | 18.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | 56.6 | 66.6 | 62.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.1 | 10.1 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 2.48 | 2.26 | 1.76 | 2.22 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'97
31–45'1312
46–60'78
61–75'109
76–90'1518
Manchester City
0–15'130
16–30'1614
31–45'295
46–60'2010
61–75'1611
76–90'2310
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0840
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1140
Late push (76+, level)-0.1625
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4412
Game state
When ahead-0.0526
When level+0.0940
When behind+0.3020
10 min after conceding-0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.4133
Situations
With ten men-0.382
Against ten men-0.432
At home+0.1919
Away-0.0221
3 days rest or fewer+0.035
4+ days rest+0.0935
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0325
v mid-tier opponents+0.047
v bottom-tier opponents+0.562
As favourite+0.4112
Evenly matched-0.0215
As underdog-0.1113
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.2026
Conceded late (76+)+0.0539
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.21
Manchester City · 55 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6155
Late push (76+, level)+0.7616
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2512
Game state
When ahead+0.6946
When level+0.6455
When behind+0.3415
10 min after conceding+0.1131
10 min after scoring+0.8050
Situations
With ten men+0.473
Against ten men+0.982
At home+0.7328
Away+0.5327
3 days rest or fewer+0.6819
4+ days rest+0.6036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.5835
v mid-tier opponents+0.7310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.922
As favourite+0.6850
Evenly matched+0.364
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2955
Conceded when ahead-0.3546
Conceded late (76+)-0.3047
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.29
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 39 98% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.51 | 1.7 | 1.66 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 15 27% | 1.93 | 2.27 | 0.8 | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 27% | 2.67 | 2.27 | 0.6 | 2.15 | 1.01 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 9 16% | 2.44 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 2.09 | 1.09 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 8 14% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.16 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.75Home 20% P 20%4.5Draw 21% P 22%1.61Away 59% P 59%
Double Chance
2.3Bournemouth or Draw 20%1.18Bournemouth or Man City 40%1.18Draw or Man City 40%
Draw No Bet
3.51 27%1.282 73%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.412 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
4.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20% | 19% | 15% | -3.2 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 21% | -1.4 |
| Away | 59% | 59% | 63% | +4.6 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Anthony Taylor
- Career
- 626 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.88 (3.7 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.6 · 4.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 50%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.4 | 4.26 | +0.34 | 58 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 21.6 | -0.33 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.60 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.25 | +0.61 | 73 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 8.4 | +0.26 | 54 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.25
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 49' | 9 |
| 2026-05-04 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 10' | 14 |
| 2026-04-30 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 16' | 5 |
| 2026-04-25 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 45' | 10 |
| 2026-04-19 · Manchester City | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 36' | 8 |
| 2026-04-16 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 45' | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | – | – | 14 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-03-22 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 44' | 11 |
| 2026-03-19 | 8 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 7' | 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 41' | 12 |