Rating 7.77 (100th pct) · G+A 9 + 21 (43% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Premier League · Matchweek 37
Momentum
– MUNNFO –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Manchester United | at home | Stat | league | away | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.8 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.8 #13 |
| 15.7 #1 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.5 #12 |
| 5.7 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.1 #10 |
| 4.8 #14 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.2 #9 |
| 10.3 #14 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.7 #9 |
| 1.4 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| 18.2 #5 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.9 #10 |
| 98.1 #6 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 90.1 #11 |
| 48.8 #10 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 49.4 #8 |
| 465.6 #7 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 408.4 #12 |
| 1.7 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #17 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 1.2 #3 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.9 #9 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #17 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #5 |
| 1.8 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #9 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| 1.8 #3 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.3 #14 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 #11 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #16 |
| 8.7 #9 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.1 #15 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #6 |
| 0.1 #8 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 6.9 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 4.3 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.1 #8 |
| 10.3 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 7.8 #16 |
| 5.7 #3 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #12 |
| 5.4 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.8 #4 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #14 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Manchester United · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.0 (79th pct) · G+A 11 + 3 (20% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 2.06 ppg with (31) · 1.0 without (7)
Rating 7.15 (96th pct) · G+A 10 + 2 (17% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (29) · 2.33 without (9)
Nottingham Forest · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.04 (91th pct) · G+A 15 + 4 (40% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.93 (64th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (10% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (79th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (15% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.05 ppg with (21) · 1.29 without (17)
Absences
Manchester United
- injury Matthijs de Ligt #11 key player defender · Back Injury · 27 missed · until 2026-09-01
Nottingham Forest
- injury Eric da Silva Moreira defender · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
- injury Nicolò Savona #13 key player defender · Knee Injury · 23 missed · until 2026-06-29
- injury Willy Boly defender · Knee Injury · 26 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 37
Venue
- Stadium
- Old Trafford, Manchester
- Capacity
- 74,879
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 74,015
Teams
- Coaches
- Michael Carrick · Vítor de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
- Position
- 3 · 16
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Michael Salisbury
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 13.9° (feels 13.1°)
- Wind
- 0.9
- Humidity
- 64%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Manchester United
LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 7.61–8.35 · xPts 6.09
- D
A
Sunderland
0–0
xG 0.79–1.41
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
3–2
xG 3.22–1.14
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
2–1
xG 1.22–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
1–0
xG 0.32–1.71
UK PL
- L
H
Leeds United
1–2
xG 2.06–2.73
UK PL
WWLWDLWWWD 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 16 GA 11 · xG 15.9–15.21 · xPts 14.13
- D
A
Sunderland
0–0
xG 0.79–1.41
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
3–2
xG 3.22–1.14
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
2–1
xG 1.22–1.36
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
1–0
xG 0.32–1.71
UK PL
- L
H
Leeds United
1–2
xG 2.06–2.73
UK PL
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 2.14–1.96
UK PL
- W
H
Aston Villa
3–1
xG 1.24–0.76
UK PL
- L
A
Newcastle United
1–2
xG 1.31–2.67
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.21–0.62
UK PL
- W
A
Everton
1–0
xG 1.41–0.86
UK PL
Nottingham Forest
WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 6.56–8.72 · xPts 6.07
- D
H
Newcastle United
1–1
xG 1.51–1.3
UK PL
- L
A
Aston Villa
0–4
xG 0.46–3.07
UEFA EL
- W
A
Chelsea
3–1
xG 2.02–2.6
UK PL
- W
H
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.69–0.82
UEFA EL
- W
A
Sunderland
5–0
xG 0.89–0.94
UK PL
WDDWWWWWLD 6W 3D 1L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 20 GA 9 · xG 12.97–14.64 · xPts 13.36
- D
H
Newcastle United
1–1
xG 1.51–1.3
UK PL
- L
A
Aston Villa
0–4
xG 0.46–3.07
UEFA EL
- W
A
Chelsea
3–1
xG 2.02–2.6
UK PL
- W
H
Aston Villa
1–0
xG 1.69–0.82
UEFA EL
- W
A
Sunderland
5–0
xG 0.89–0.94
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
4–1
xG 1.41–0.5
UK PL
- W
H
Porto
1–0
xG 2.11–0.71
UEFA EL - D
H
Aston Villa
1–1
xG 1.13–1.27
UK PL
- D
A
Porto
1–1
xG 0.51–2.04
UEFA EL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
3–0
xG 1.24–1.41
UK PL
All meetings · 9 matches since 2022
Goals 17–12 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 9 matches
Goals 17–12 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Manchester United 3–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- D Nottingham Forest 2–2 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 2–3 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 0–1 Manchester United UK FA Cup · 5th Round
- L Nottingham Forest 2–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester United 3–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- W Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester United 3–0 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Manchester United all · 38 | Manchester United at home · 19 | Nottingham Forest all · 38 | Nottingham Forest away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.87 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 11 / 7 | 13 / 3 / 3 | 11 / 11 / 16 | 7 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.82 | 2.05 | 1.26 | 1.47 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 21% | 24% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 68% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 58% | 53% | 63% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.83 | 2.12 | 1.30 | 1.04 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.21 | 1.59 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | 0.45 | 0.90 | -0.30 | -0.77 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.01 | -0.07 | -0.03 | 0.43 |
| xPts / match | 1.61 | 1.89 | 1.22 | 0.95 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.32 | -0.06 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 63% | 79% | 29% | 37% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.42 | 2.60 | 2.45 | 2.71 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 0.75 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| Came back from behind | 56% | 40% | 33% | 25% |
| Leads held | 71% | 81% | 73% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 49% | 19% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 34% | 53% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 18% | 28% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 30 | 39 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 49 | 51 | 40 | 31 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 54% | 60% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 68% | 71% | 53% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 51% | 47% | 45% |
| Shots | 15.7 | 17.9 | 12.5 | 10.1 |
| On target | 5.7 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 10% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 23% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 22% | 23% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 18.7 | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.9 | 58.6 | 48.7 | 41.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.5 | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.61 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester United
0–15'85
16–30'75
31–45'146
46–60'1311
61–75'118
76–90'1615
Nottingham Forest
0–15'86
16–30'26
31–45'912
46–60'109
61–75'63
76–90'1315
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester United · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.83
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.515
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042
Game state
When ahead+0.473
When level+0.305
When behind+0.313
10 min after conceding-0.054
10 min after scoring+0.833
Situations
At home+0.313
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.514
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.152
v mid-tier opponents+0.793
As favourite+0.514
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.023
Congested vs rested -0.74 · Ahead vs level +0.17 · Behind vs level +0.01
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394
Game state
When ahead+0.652
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742
Situations
At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 53% | 2.2 | 1.85 | 1.05 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 47% | 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.61 | 2.01 | 1.33 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 76% | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.21 | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 10% | 1.75 | 2.75 | 1.25 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.3 |
| Metric | Manchester United all · 10 | Manchester United at home · 10 | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 8 / 0 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 50% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.21 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| xG against / match | 1.13 | 1.15 | 1.78 | 2.04 |
| xG difference | 1.08 | 1.25 | -0.21 | -0.59 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.01 | 0.10 | -0.37 | 0.75 |
| xPts / match | 1.87 | 2.01 | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | 0.39 | -0.04 | 0.69 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| Leads held | 86% | 100% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 48% | 23% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 32% | 60% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 24 | 34 | 45 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 54 | 44 | 60 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 60% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | 67% | 86% | 73% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 53% | 45% | 42% |
| Shots | 18.5 | 20.7 | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| On target | 6.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 62% | 68% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 24% | 36% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 18% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 15.6 | 17.9 | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.8 | 61.7 | 46.0 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 11.2 | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester United
0–15'40
16–30'12
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'30
76–90'45
Nottingham Forest
0–15'21
16–30'10
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'22
76–90'36
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
| Metric | Manchester United all · 40 | Manchester United at home · 21 | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 21 | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.85 | 2.14 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 11 / 8 | 14 / 3 / 4 | 19 / 16 / 20 | 11 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.93 | 2.19 | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.24 | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 24% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 67% | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 62% | 53% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.84 | 2.10 | 1.52 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.15 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.55 | 0.96 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.09 | -0.15 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.66 | 1.90 | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.24 | -0.14 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 71% | 36% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.42 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | 56% | 43% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 72% | 82% | 76% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 47% | 24% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 35% | 53% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 18% | 23% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 34 | 38 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 49 | 50 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 54% | 60% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 69% | 54% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 16.3 | 18.1 | 14.2 | 12.6 |
| On target | 5.9 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 67% | 62% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 24% | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 22% | 20% | 19% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 17.2 | 19.1 | 15.3 | 13.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.2 | 58.9 | 52.6 | 47.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.8 | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 2.10 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester United
0–15'85
16–30'76
31–45'177
46–60'1310
61–75'146
76–90'1818
Nottingham Forest
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1013
46–60'1512
61–75'107
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester United · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2240
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2640
Late push (76+, level)+0.3216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2012
Game state
When ahead+0.0529
When level+0.2640
When behind+0.4618
10 min after conceding-0.0731
10 min after scoring+0.4736
Situations
With ten men+0.093
Against ten men-0.176
At home+0.2121
Away+0.2419
3 days rest or fewer+0.384
4+ days rest+0.2036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1024
v mid-tier opponents+0.4411
As favourite+0.4125
Evenly matched-0.199
As underdog+0.106
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0140
Conceded when ahead+0.0929
Conceded late (76+)-0.0537
Congested vs rested +0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.20
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1755
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0355
Late push (76+, level)-0.0923
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0423
Game state
When ahead+0.1925
When level+0.1855
When behind+0.1530
10 min after conceding-0.0638
10 min after scoring+0.4737
Situations
With ten men+0.102
At home+0.1027
Away+0.2628
3 days rest or fewer+0.1622
4+ days rest+0.1933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0131
v mid-tier opponents+0.6110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.6015
Evenly matched+0.1520
As underdog-0.1220
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0055
Conceded when ahead+0.0225
Conceded late (76+)-0.2051
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 26 65% | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.15 | 1.8 | 1.32 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 14 35% | 1.64 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.24 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.17 | 2.81 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.55Home 61% P 62%4.5Draw 21% P 21%5.25Away 18% P 17%
Double Chance
1.16Man Utd or Draw 40%1.2Man Utd or Nottm Forest 39%2.3Draw or Nottm Forest 20%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
3.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | 23% | +0.7 |
| Away | 17% | 16% | 15% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Michael Salisbury
- Career
- 139 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.52 (3.35 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 62 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.16 | 4.26 | -0.12 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 22.7 | 21.6 | +0.83 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.1 | +0.28 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.37 | 0.25 | +1.31 | 92 |
| Time added | 8.9 | 8.4 | +0.60 | 81 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.26
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 36' | 7 |
| 2026-04-22 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 25' | 8 |
| 2026-04-12 · Nottingham Forest | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2026-04-03 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 18' | 10 |
| 2026-03-21 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 16' | 5 |
| 2026-02-01 · Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 31' | 7 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-01-07 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7' | 13 |
| 2025-12-30 | 8 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 13' | 10 |
| 2025-12-08 · Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 38' | 11 |