Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 27 + 8 (45% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Premier League · Matchweek 38
Momentum
– MCIAston Villa –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Manchester City | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.5 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.5 #6 |
| 15.6 #2 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.7 #10 |
| 5.4 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.5 #8 |
| 6.4 #1 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.2 #8 |
| 9.7 #20 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.0 #19 |
| 1.2 #19 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.1 #20 |
| 14.4 #19 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.4 #15 |
| 113.0 #1 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 84.5 #19 |
| 64.7 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 49.1 #9 |
| 588.0 #1 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 450.8 #8 |
| 1.8 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #19 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 1.5 #1 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #17 |
| 1.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| 2.0 #1 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 #7 |
| 0.9 #19 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.1 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 6.4 #20 |
| – #19 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #16 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | – |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #12 |
| 4.5 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 11.3 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| 5.8 #2 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 4.3 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.7 #5 |
| – #2 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 2.07 without (15)
Rating 7.28 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (21% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (19) · 1.95 without (19)
Aston Villa · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (28) · 1.1 without (10)
Rating 6.87 (62th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (21) · 1.65 without (17)
Absences
Aston Villa
- injury Boubacar Kamara #5 key player midfielder · Knee Injury · 33 missed · until 2026-10-24
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 38
Venue
- Stadium
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- Capacity
- 52,900
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 60,332
Teams
- Coaches
- Pep Guardiola · Unai Emery
- Position
- 2 · 4
- Formation
- 4-2-2-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Andy Madley
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 25.1° (feels 24.5°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 33%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Manchester City
DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 9.56–6.19 · xPts 8.73
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 1.69–2.03
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
1–0
xG 1.19–0.79
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 1.52–0.92
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
3–0
xG 3.3–0.35
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
3–3
xG 1.86–2.1
UK PL
WWWWWDWWWD 8W 2D 0L · 26 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 23 GA 6 · xG 20.3–11.46 · xPts 18.95
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
1–1
xG 1.69–2.03
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
1–0
xG 1.19–0.79
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 1.52–0.92
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
3–0
xG 3.3–0.35
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
3–3
xG 1.86–2.1
UK PL
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 2.03–0.23
UK FA Cup - W
A
Burnley
1–0
xG 3.06–0.89
UK PL
- W
H
Arsenal
2–1
xG 1.76–1.38
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
3–0
xG 2.03–1.12
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
4–0
xG 1.86–1.65
UK FA Cup
Aston Villa
LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 6 · xG 8.91–4.23 · xPts 9.49
- W
A
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 1.92–0.24
UEFA EL - W
H
Liverpool
4–2
xG 1.99–1.12
UK PL
- D
A
Burnley
2–2
xG 1.45–1.57
UK PL
- W
H
Nottingham Forest
4–0
xG 3.07–0.46
UEFA EL
- L
H
Tottenham Hotspur
1–2
xG 0.48–0.85
UK PL
DWWLLLWDWW 5W 2D 3L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 23 GA 12 · xG 17.04–10.83 · xPts 17.11
- W
A
SC Freiburg
3–0
xG 1.92–0.24
UEFA EL
- W
H
Liverpool
4–2
xG 1.99–1.12
UK PL
- D
A
Burnley
2–2
xG 1.45–1.57
UK PL
- W
H
Nottingham Forest
4–0
xG 3.07–0.46
UEFA EL
- L
H
Tottenham Hotspur
1–2
xG 0.48–0.85
UK PL
- L
A
Nottingham Forest
0–1
xG 0.82–1.69
UEFA EL
- L
A
Fulham
0–1
xG 0.94–1.36
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
4–3
xG 2.7–1.14
UK PL
- W
H
Bologna
4–0
xG 2.41–1.27
UEFA EL - D
A
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 1.27–1.13
UK PL
All meetings · 46 matches since 2000
Goals 99–43 · 3.09 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 61%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 17–13 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 3–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 1–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 3–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Manchester City all · 38 | Manchester City at home · 19 | Aston Villa all · 38 | Aston Villa away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.05 | 2.37 | 1.71 | 1.42 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 9 / 6 | 14 / 3 / 2 | 19 / 8 / 11 | 7 / 6 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 2.03 | 2.37 | 1.47 | 1.26 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 0.74 | 1.29 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 47% | 24% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 5% | 26% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 74% | 53% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.01 | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | 1.15 | 1.36 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | 0.68 | 0.86 | 0.01 | -0.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.36 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.79 | 1.90 | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.47 | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 82% | 95% | 42% | 21% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.35 | 2.50 | 2.44 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 0% | 45% | 54% |
| Leads held | 72% | 78% | 79% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 47% | 56% | 24% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 39% | 52% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 8% | 5% | 25% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 26 | 43 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 44 | 35 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 42% | 62% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 57% | 53% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 54% | 54% |
| Shots | 15.6 | 16.4 | 12.7 | 11.7 |
| On target | 5.4 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 73% | 63% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 22% | 27% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 16% | 18% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 22.4 | 26.5 | 14.1 | 13.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.5 | 69.2 | 51.3 | 46.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 9.9 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.53 | 1.58 | 1.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'90
16–30'104
31–45'226
46–60'97
61–75'1411
76–90'137
Aston Villa
0–15'49
16–30'65
31–45'119
46–60'1110
61–75'107
76–90'149
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester City · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025
Game state
When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605
Situations
At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525
Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 12 32% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 8 21% | 2.38 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 7 18% | 2.14 | 1.86 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.26 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 13% | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 2.25 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.23 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 90% | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
| Metric | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 1 / 1 | 7 / 1 / 2 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 0.50 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 90% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 2.08 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 0.91 | 1.16 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | 0.89 | 0.92 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 1.94 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 70% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.63 | 2.29 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 89% | 78% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 33% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 55% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 12% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | 43 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 41 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 74% | 57% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 67% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 62% | 62% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 15.1 | 17.9 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 5.7 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 71% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 25% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 19% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 20.5 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.9 | 68.7 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 8.9 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'00
16–30'31
31–45'21
46–60'52
61–75'21
76–90'70
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 3.0 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.57 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 2.03 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Manchester City all · 55 | Manchester City at home · 28 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 28 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.46 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 37 / 10 / 8 | 22 / 3 / 3 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 2.13 | 2.57 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 0.91 | 0.71 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 46% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 4% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 50% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 68% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.05 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.14 | 1.02 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.77 | 1.03 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.52 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.86 | 2.02 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 86% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.54 | 2.63 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.23 | 1.50 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 40% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 80% | 85% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 54% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 39% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 7% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 30 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 48 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 47% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 65% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 62% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 16.0 | 17.3 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 71% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 24% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 15% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 23.2 | 27.4 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.6 | 70.4 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.4 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.32 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'130
16–30'1614
31–45'295
46–60'2010
61–75'1611
76–90'2310
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester City · 55 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6155
Late push (76+, level)+0.7616
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2512
Game state
When ahead+0.6946
When level+0.6455
When behind+0.3415
10 min after conceding+0.1131
10 min after scoring+0.8050
Situations
With ten men+0.473
Against ten men+0.982
At home+0.7328
Away+0.5327
3 days rest or fewer+0.6819
4+ days rest+0.6036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.5835
v mid-tier opponents+0.7310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.922
As favourite+0.6850
Evenly matched+0.364
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2955
Conceded when ahead-0.3546
Conceded late (76+)-0.3047
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.29
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 27% | 2.67 | 2.27 | 0.6 | 2.15 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 15 27% | 1.93 | 2.27 | 0.8 | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 9 16% | 2.44 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 2.09 | 1.09 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 8 14% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.16 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.42Home 67% P 68%5.0Draw 19% P 19%6.5Away 15% P 14%
Double Chance
1.08Man City or Draw 44%1.16Man City or Aston Villa 41%3.25Draw or Aston Villa 15%
Draw No Bet
1.11 86%7.02 14%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 68%3.0Under 32% P 32%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
2.52.2Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 68% | 68% | 68% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 19% | 18% | 18% | -0.3 |
| Away | 14% | 13% | 14% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Andy Madley
- Career
- 313 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.42 (3.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.2
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 95 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.09 | 4.26 | -0.24 | 31 |
| Fouls / match | 22.7 | 21.6 | +0.83 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 5.1 | +1.71 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.17 | 0.25 | -1.14 | 12 |
| Time added | 8.3 | 8.4 | +0.09 | 38 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.21
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | 8 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 13' | 11 |
| 2026-05-09 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 41' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 19' | 11 |
| 2026-04-22 · Manchester City | – | – | 22 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-04-22 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 37' | 15 |
| 2026-04-12 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 68' | 7 |
| 2026-04-03 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 38' | 8 |
| 2026-03-14 | – | – | 23 | – | 61' | 14 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 80' | 10 |
| 2026-03-05 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 7' | 13 |