Rating 6.7 (50th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (13% of team goals) · 36% of minutes
Team 0.73 ppg with (15) · 0.48 without (23)
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– BurnleyNFO –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Burnley | at home | Stat | league | away | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 #20 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.8 #13 |
| 9.3 #20 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.5 #12 |
| 3.1 #20 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.1 #10 |
| 3.6 #18 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.2 #9 |
| 10.4 #13 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.7 #9 |
| 1.5 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| 16.8 #12 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.9 #10 |
| 85.4 #16 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 90.1 #11 |
| 39.3 #19 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 49.4 #8 |
| 384.9 #16 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 408.4 #12 |
| 1.7 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #17 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 0.7 #15 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.9 #9 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #17 |
| – #19 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #5 |
| 0.9 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #9 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| 1.0 #19 | 0.9 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 #12 |
| 2.0 #1 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 #11 |
| 0.3 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #16 |
| 9.4 #3 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.1 #15 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #6 |
| 0.1 #16 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 6.7 #20 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 3.1 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.1 #8 |
| 5.7 #20 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 7.8 #16 |
| 3.3 #20 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #12 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.8 #4 |
| – #19 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #14 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Burnley · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.55 (8th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.76 (83th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 46% of minutes
Team 0.59 ppg with (17) · 0.57 without (21)
Nottingham Forest · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.04 (91th pct) · G+A 15 + 4 (40% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.93 (65th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (10% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (79th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (15% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.05 ppg with (21) · 1.29 without (17)
Absences
Burnley
- injury Mike Tresor midfielder · Unknown Injury · 99 missed
Nottingham Forest
- suspension Angus Gunn goalkeeper · No Eligibility · 22 missed · until 2025-12-31
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Turf Moor, Burnley
- Capacity
- 22,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 21,475
Teams
- Coaches
- Scott Parker · Ange Postecoglou
- Position
- 17 · 15
- Formation
- 5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Thomas Bramall
Weather
- Conditions
- moderate rain
- Temperature
- 13.6° (feels 13.5°)
- Wind
- 8.8
- Humidity
- 93%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Burnley
LWLL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 3.16–11.44 · xPts 1.86
- L
H
Liverpool
0–1
xG 0.18–3.42
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester United
2–3
xG 1.42–4.44
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
2–0
xG 0.53–0.85
UK PL
- L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0–3
xG 1.03–2.73
UK PL
LWLL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 3.16–11.44 · xPts 1.86
- L
H
Liverpool
0–1
xG 0.18–3.42
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester United
2–3
xG 1.42–4.44
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
2–0
xG 0.53–0.85
UK PL
- L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0–3
xG 1.03–2.73
UK PL
Nottingham Forest
LWDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.24–8.29 · xPts 5.35
- L
A
Arsenal
0–3
xG 0.49–2.56
UK PL
- L
H
West Ham United
0–3
xG 0.88–2.4
UK PL
- D
A
Crystal Palace
1–1
xG 1.3–0.82
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
3–1
xG 1.12–1.65
UK PL
- L
H
Chelsea
0–1
xG 1.45–0.86
UK PL
LWDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.24–8.29 · xPts 5.35
- L
A
Arsenal
0–3
xG 0.49–2.56
UK PL
- L
H
West Ham United
0–3
xG 0.88–2.4
UK PL
- D
A
Crystal Palace
1–1
xG 1.3–0.82
UK PL
- W
H
Brentford
3–1
xG 1.12–1.65
UK PL
- L
H
Chelsea
0–1
xG 1.45–0.86
UK PL
All meetings · 16 matches since 2008
Goals 26–18 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 38%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Nottingham Forest 4–1 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- D Burnley 1–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- L Burnley 1–2 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- D Nottingham Forest 1–1 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 1–0 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Nottingham Forest 1–1 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Burnley 3–1 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Nottingham Forest 1–1 Burnley neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Burnley 1–1 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 2–0 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Burnley all · 38 | Burnley at home · 19 | Nottingham Forest all · 38 | Nottingham Forest away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 0.58 | 0.68 | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 10 / 24 | 2 / 7 / 10 | 11 / 11 / 16 | 7 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.26 | 1.47 |
| Goals against / match | 1.97 | 1.53 | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 21% | 24% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 37% | 47% | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 42% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 32% | 53% | 63% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.89 | 0.97 | 1.30 | 1.04 |
| xG against / match | 2.14 | 1.99 | 1.59 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | -1.25 | -1.01 | -0.30 | -0.77 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.11 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.43 |
| xPts / match | 0.70 | 0.86 | 1.22 | 0.95 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.12 | -0.17 | -0.06 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 21% | 21% | 29% | 37% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.38 | 2.00 | 2.45 | 2.71 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| Came back from behind | 27% | 33% | 33% | 25% |
| Leads held | 40% | 40% | 73% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 12% | 19% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 49% | 53% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | 39% | 28% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 29 | 39 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | 27 | 40 | 31 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 56% | 60% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 34% | 53% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 44% | 47% | 45% |
| Shots | 9.3 | 10.8 | 12.5 | 10.1 |
| On target | 3.1 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 10% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 3.7 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 34% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 11% | 23% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 6.0 | 7.4 | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 29.9 | 32.2 | 48.7 | 41.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 78% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 10.0 | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.84 | 1.47 | 1.61 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Burnley
0–15'314
16–30'56
31–45'818
46–60'710
61–75'510
76–90'1017
Nottingham Forest
0–15'86
16–30'26
31–45'912
46–60'109
61–75'63
76–90'1315
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Burnley · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.067
Early press (0-15, level)-0.227
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224
Game state
When ahead+0.123
When level-0.117
When behind-0.066
10 min after conceding-0.167
10 min after scoring+0.197
Situations
At home-0.213
Away+0.064
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.075
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.045
Evenly matched-0.173
As underdog+0.103
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.533
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394
Game state
When ahead+0.652
When level-0.094
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742
Situations
At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 34% | 0.92 | 1.31 | 1.85 | 1.07 | 2.31 |
| 5-4-1 | 9 24% | 0.11 | 0.44 | 2.22 | 0.61 | 2.16 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 21% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 1.19 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 76% | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.21 | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 10% | 1.75 | 2.75 | 1.25 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.3 |
| Metric | Burnley all · 10 | Burnley at home · 10 | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 5 / 5 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 50% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.25 | 1.42 | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 2.04 |
| xG difference | -0.37 | -0.40 | -0.21 | -0.59 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.32 | -0.37 | 0.75 |
| xPts / match | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.60 | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.69 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 30% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | 0.33 | 2.20 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 44% | 25% | 50% |
| Leads held | 0% | 0% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 10% | 23% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 51% | 60% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 46% | 39% | 17% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 45 | 45 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | 30 | 60 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 73% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 47% | 86% | 73% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 47% | 45% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.7 | 13.6 | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 10% | 20% |
| Shots inside box | 54% | 64% | 68% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 30% | 36% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 9% | 18% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 9.3 | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.2 | 42.9 | 46.0 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 80% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Burnley
0–15'25
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'53
61–75'04
76–90'22
Nottingham Forest
0–15'21
16–30'10
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'22
76–90'36
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.44 | 1.11 | 2.11 | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
| Metric | Burnley all · 43 | Burnley at home · 22 | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 22 | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 0.58 | 0.68 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 13 / 26 | 2 / 9 / 11 | 19 / 16 / 20 | 11 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.18 | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 2.02 | 1.64 | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 14% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 36% | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 59% | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 46% | 53% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.06 | 1.27 | 1.52 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | -0.86 | -0.49 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.05 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 0.88 | 1.11 | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.30 | -0.43 | -0.14 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 28% | 27% | 36% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | 1.33 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 39% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 29% | 29% | 76% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 15% | 24% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 45% | 53% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 40% | 23% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 33 | 38 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 30 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 54% | 60% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 42% | 54% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 12.3 | 14.2 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 65% | 62% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 30% | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 8% | 19% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 7.9 | 9.8 | 15.3 | 13.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.2 | 38.2 | 52.6 | 47.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.5 | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.68 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Burnley
0–15'517
16–30'88
31–45'1019
46–60'811
61–75'513
76–90'1219
Nottingham Forest
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1013
46–60'1512
61–75'107
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Burnley · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2943
Late push (76+, level)-0.4719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3227
Game state
When ahead-0.2414
When level-0.2943
When behind-0.2037
10 min after conceding-0.2839
10 min after scoring+0.0731
Situations
With ten men-0.362
At home-0.2322
Away-0.2721
3 days rest or fewer-0.218
4+ days rest-0.2635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3425
v mid-tier opponents-0.0712
As favourite-0.023
Evenly matched-0.075
As underdog-0.2935
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4443
Conceded when ahead+0.8114
Conceded late (76+)+0.3940
Congested vs rested +0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.09
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1755
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0355
Late push (76+, level)-0.0923
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0423
Game state
When ahead+0.1925
When level+0.1855
When behind+0.1530
10 min after conceding-0.0638
10 min after scoring+0.4737
Situations
With ten men+0.102
At home+0.1027
Away+0.2628
3 days rest or fewer+0.1622
4+ days rest+0.1933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0131
v mid-tier opponents+0.6110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.6015
Evenly matched+0.1520
As underdog-0.1220
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0055
Conceded when ahead+0.0225
Conceded late (76+)-0.2051
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 44% | 0.74 | 1.37 | 2.05 | 1.38 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 19% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 5-4-1 | 7 16% | 0.14 | 0.57 | 2.29 | 0.61 | 1.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 2.26 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.91 | 0.84 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.25Home 29% P 27%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.25Away 42% P 45%
Double Chance
1.61Burnley or Draw 29% P 28%1.33Burnley or Nottm Forest 35% P 36%1.33Draw or Nottm Forest 35% P 36%
Draw No Bet
2.251 41%1.572 59%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 27% | 27% | 26% | -0.8 |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 32% | +2.9 |
| Away | 45% | 44% | 42% | -2.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Thomas Bramall
- Career
- 131 matches · 11 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.73 (3.6 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.7 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 53 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.36 | 4.26 | +0.26 | 54 |
| Fouls / match | 22.4 | 21.6 | +0.68 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.3 | 5.1 | +0.07 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.32 | 0.25 | +0.71 | 77 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 8.4 | +0.26 | 54 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 14' | 9 |
| 2025-08-23 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 9' | 11 |
| 2025-05-25 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 45' | 10 |
| 2025-05-20 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 36' | 8 |
| 2025-04-27 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 34' | 8 |
| 2025-04-21 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 66' | 6 |
| 2025-04-12 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 38' | 2 |
| 2025-04-05 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 33' | 9 |
| 2025-02-25 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 45' | 6 |