Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (28) · 1.1 without (10)
Premier League · Matchweek 9
Momentum
– Aston VillaMCI –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Aston Villa | at home | Stat | league | away | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.5 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 60.5 #1 |
| 12.7 #10 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 15.6 #2 |
| 4.5 #8 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.4 #2 |
| 5.2 #8 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| 10.0 #19 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 9.7 #20 |
| 1.1 #20 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.2 #19 |
| 15.4 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 14.4 #19 |
| 84.5 #19 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 113.0 #1 |
| 49.1 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 64.7 #1 |
| 450.8 #8 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 588.0 #1 |
| 1.6 #19 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #11 |
| 0.0 #10 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | – |
| 1.1 #5 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.5 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #14 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #1 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.5 #7 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 #1 |
| 1.3 #16 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 #19 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 6.4 #20 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.1 #15 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #19 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 6.8 #12 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 3.7 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.5 #2 |
| 8.0 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 11.3 #1 |
| 4.6 #10 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 4.7 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Aston Villa · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.87 (62th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (21) · 1.65 without (17)
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 27 + 8 (45% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 2.07 without (15)
Rating 7.28 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (21% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (19) · 1.95 without (19)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 9
Venue
- Stadium
- Villa Park, Birmingham
- Capacity
- 42,640
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 41,988
Teams
- Coaches
- Unai Emery · Pep Guardiola
- Position
- 12 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Referee
Michael Oliver
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 7.7° (feels 4.6°)
- Wind
- 8.2
- Humidity
- 71%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Aston Villa
WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 6.41–4.59 · xPts 7.65
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–2
xG 2.94–0.58
UEFA EL - W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 0.5–0.97
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
2–1
xG 1.37–0.4
UK PL
- W
A
Feyenoord
2–0
xG 0.63–1.63
UEFA EL - W
H
Fulham
3–1
xG 0.97–1.02
UK PL
LLDDWWWWWL 5W 2D 3L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 12 GA 10 · xG 12.28–13.17 · xPts 13.02
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–2
xG 2.94–0.58
UEFA EL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 0.5–0.97
UK PL
- W
H
Burnley
2–1
xG 1.37–0.4
UK PL
- W
A
Feyenoord
2–0
xG 0.63–1.63
UEFA EL
- W
H
Fulham
3–1
xG 0.97–1.02
UK PL
- W
H
Bologna
1–0
xG 1.87–1.56
UEFA EL - D
A
Sunderland
1–1
xG 0.96–1.27
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
0–0
xG 0.49–2.3
UK PL
- L
H
Crystal Palace
0–3
xG 1.02–2.42
UK PL
- L
A
Brentford
0–1
xG 1.53–1.02
UK PL
Manchester City
WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 8.41–5.06 · xPts 9.11
- W
A
Villarreal
2–0
xG 1.57–1.74
UEFA CL - W
H
Everton
2–0
xG 1.89–0.8
UK PL
- W
A
Brentford
1–0
xG 0.99–0.44
UK PL
- D
A
Monaco
2–2
xG 1.59–1.41
UEFA CL - W
H
Burnley
5–1
xG 2.37–0.68
UK PL
LLWWDWDWWW 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 19 GA 8 · xG 16.41–10.78 · xPts 17.4
- W
A
Villarreal
2–0
xG 1.57–1.74
UEFA CL
- W
H
Everton
2–0
xG 1.89–0.8
UK PL
- W
A
Brentford
1–0
xG 0.99–0.44
UK PL
- D
A
Monaco
2–2
xG 1.59–1.41
UEFA CL
- W
H
Burnley
5–1
xG 2.37–0.68
UK PL
- D
A
Arsenal
1–1
xG 0.71–0.94
UK PL
- W
H
Napoli
2–0
xG 2.06–0.18
UEFA CL - W
H
Manchester United
3–0
xG 1.95–1.29
UK PL
- L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–2
xG 2.14–2.08
UK PL
- L
H
Tottenham Hotspur
0–2
xG 1.16–1.24
UK PL
All meetings · 46 matches since 2000
Goals 43–99 · 3.09 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 61%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–17 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 3–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 1–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 3–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Aston Villa all · 38 | Aston Villa at home · 19 | Manchester City all · 38 | Manchester City away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 2.00 | 2.05 | 1.74 |
| W / D / L | 19 / 8 / 11 | 12 / 2 / 5 | 23 / 9 / 6 | 9 / 6 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.47 | 1.68 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.29 | 1.16 | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 32% | 42% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 21% | 10% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 53% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 58% | 63% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.47 | 1.92 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | 1.13 | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.34 | 0.68 | 0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.38 | 1.59 | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 63% | 82% | 68% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.44 | 2.75 | 2.35 | 2.15 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.21 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 45% | 29% | 33% | 43% |
| Leads held | 79% | 92% | 72% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 33% | 47% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 46% | 45% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 21% | 8% | 12% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 42 | 32 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 39 | 50 | 56 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 59% | 47% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 54% | 71% | 81% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 60% | 61% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.7 | 15.6 | 14.9 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 64% | 72% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 27% | 23% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 16% | 12% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 14.1 | 14.4 | 22.4 | 18.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.3 | 55.8 | 66.5 | 63.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 88% | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 10.0 | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.58 | 1.42 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Aston Villa
0–15'49
16–30'65
31–45'119
46–60'1110
61–75'107
76–90'149
Manchester City
0–15'90
16–30'104
31–45'226
46–60'97
61–75'1411
76–90'137
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
Manchester City · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025
Game state
When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605
Situations
At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525
Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 90% | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 12 32% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 8 21% | 2.38 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 7 18% | 2.14 | 1.86 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.26 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 13% | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 2.25 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.23 |
| Metric | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa at home · 10 | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 | 2.50 | 2.10 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 6 / 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.41 | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.49 | 1.30 | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.35 | 0.89 | 0.76 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.57 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.59 | 0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 70% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.57 | 2.63 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 0% | 67% | 67% |
| Leads held | 80% | 86% | 89% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 41% | 38% | 35% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 38% | 47% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 37 | 51 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | 36 | 42 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 61% | 74% | 76% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 64% | 60% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 48% | 62% | 63% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 11.9 | 15.1 | 16.6 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 19% | 13% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 64% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 33% | 18% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 17% | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 11.0 | 18.4 | 18.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.9 | 47.5 | 65.9 | 66.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Manchester City
0–15'00
16–30'31
31–45'21
46–60'52
61–75'21
76–90'70
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 3.0 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.57 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 2.03 |
| Metric | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa at home · 27 | Manchester City all · 55 | Manchester City away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 57 | 27 | 55 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.91 | 2.15 | 2.20 | 1.93 |
| W / D / L | 34 / 7 / 16 | 19 / 1 / 7 | 37 / 10 / 8 | 15 / 7 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.67 | 1.93 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| Goals against / match | 1.19 | 1.04 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 37% | 42% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 11% | 9% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 52% | 51% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.46 | 1.64 | 1.92 | 1.78 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.10 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.54 | 0.77 | 0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.21 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.51 | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 70% | 74% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.53 | 2.68 | 2.54 | 2.41 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.13 | 0.88 | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 30% | 47% | 50% |
| Leads held | 83% | 90% | 80% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 40% | 46% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 43% | 43% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 17% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 40 | 35 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 46 | 46 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 58% | 50% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 53% | 61% | 61% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.5 | 16.0 | 14.6 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 72% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 31% | 23% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 15% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 15.0 | 15.7 | 23.2 | 18.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.0 | 55.5 | 66.6 | 62.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.7 | 10.1 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.76 | 2.22 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Manchester City
0–15'130
16–30'1614
31–45'295
46–60'2010
61–75'1611
76–90'2310
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Manchester City · 55 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6155
Late push (76+, level)+0.7616
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2512
Game state
When ahead+0.6946
When level+0.6455
When behind+0.3415
10 min after conceding+0.1131
10 min after scoring+0.8050
Situations
With ten men+0.473
Against ten men+0.982
At home+0.7328
Away+0.5327
3 days rest or fewer+0.6819
4+ days rest+0.6036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.5835
v mid-tier opponents+0.7310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.922
As favourite+0.6850
Evenly matched+0.364
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2955
Conceded when ahead-0.3546
Conceded late (76+)-0.3047
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.29
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 27% | 2.67 | 2.27 | 0.6 | 2.15 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 15 27% | 1.93 | 2.27 | 0.8 | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 9 16% | 2.44 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 2.09 | 1.09 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 8 14% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.16 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.2Home 23% P 23%3.75Draw 25% P 26%1.83Away 52% P 52%
Double Chance
1.9Aston Villa or Draw 25% P 24%1.25Aston Villa or Man City 37% P 37%1.22Draw or Man City 38% P 39%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56% P 59%2.1No 44% P 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23% | 24% | 27% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 29% | +3.7 |
| Away | 52% | 51% | 44% | -7.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Michael Oliver
- Career
- 622 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.81 | 4.26 | -0.78 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 21.6 | +0.45 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.1 | +1.03 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.25 | -0.47 | 38 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 8.4 | -0.08 | 23 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 51' | 11 |
| 2025-10-19 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 52' | 12 |
| 2025-10-01 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 32' | 6 |
| 2025-09-27 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12' | 7 |
| 2025-09-20 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 43' | 12 |
| 2025-09-17 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 17' | 6 |
| 2025-09-14 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 16' | 8 |
| 2025-08-30 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 16' | 9 |
| 2025-08-26 | 6 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 33' | 8 |
| 2025-08-22 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 87' | 9 |