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Premier League · Matchweek 12
AFC BournemouthBOU
2–2
FT
West Ham UnitedWHU

Momentum

– BOUWHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Capacity
11,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,216

Teams

Coaches
Andoni Iraola · Nuno Espírito Santo
Position
9 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Thomas Bramall

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
8.9° (feels 5.1°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
96%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 382675 712744 85 WWWWW
2 Manchester City 382396 773542 78 DWWDL
3 Manchester United 3820117 695019 71 WWDWW
4 Aston Villa 3819811 56497 65 LLDWW
5 Liverpool 3817912 635310 60 WLDLD
6 AFC Bournemouth 3813187 58544 57 DWWDD
7 Sunderland 38141212 4248-6 54 LDDWW
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38141113 52466 53 WLWLL
9 Brentford 38141113 55523 53 LWLDD
10 Chelsea 38141014 58526 52 LLDWL
11 Fulham 3815716 4751-4 52 WLLDW
12 Newcastle United 3814717 5355-2 49 LWDWL
13 Everton 38131015 4750-3 49 LDDLL
14 Leeds United 38111413 4956-7 47 DWDWL
15 Crystal Palace 38111215 4151-10 45 LDLDL
16 Nottingham Forest 38111116 4851-3 44 WWDLD
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38101117 4857-9 41 WWDLW
18 West Ham United 3810919 4665-19 39 WLLLW
19 Burnley 3841024 3875-37 22 LLDLD
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3831124 2768-41 20 LDLDD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

AFC Bournemouth

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 11 · xG 7.79–8.54 · xPts 6.88

  • L A Aston Villa 0–4 xG 1.8–1.68 UK PL
  • L A Manchester City 1–3 xG 0.89–1.64 UK PL
  • W H Nottingham Forest 2–0 xG 1.78–0.52 UK PL
  • D A Crystal Palace 3–3 xG 2.09–3.86 UK PL
  • W H Fulham 3–1 xG 1.23–0.84 UK PL

West Ham United

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.46–10.31 · xPts 5.69

  • W H Burnley 3–2 xG 2.67–1.54 UK PL
  • W H Newcastle United 3–1 xG 2.69–0.77 UK PL
  • L A Leeds United 1–2 xG 1.03–2.14 UK PL
  • L H Brentford 0–2 xG 0.47–2.43 UK PL
  • L A Arsenal 0–2 xG 0.6–3.44 UK PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2015

AFC Bournemouth 49 draws5 West Ham United

Goals 25–33 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

AFC Bournemouth 07 draws3 West Ham United

Goals 9–19 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

AFC Bournemouth 05 draws0 West Ham United

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D West Ham United 0–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D AFC Bournemouth 2–2 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D West Ham United 2–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D AFC Bournemouth 1–1 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D West Ham United 1–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D AFC Bournemouth 1–1 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L AFC Bournemouth 0–4 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L West Ham United 2–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • L West Ham United 4–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D AFC Bournemouth 2–2 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
MetricAFC Bournemouth all · 38AFC Bournemouth at home · 19West Ham United all · 38West Ham United away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.501.631.030.89
W / D / L13 / 18 / 77 / 10 / 210 / 9 / 194 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.531.531.211.00
Goals against / match1.421.051.711.84
Clean sheets29%32%18%21%
Failed to score18%21%34%37%
Both teams scored66%63%53%47%
Over 2.555%47%60%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.691.361.22
xG against / match1.580.981.781.90
xG difference0.100.70-0.42-0.68
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.16-0.15-0.22
xPts / match1.501.841.151.01
Points vs xPts0.00-0.21-0.13-0.12
Game state
Scored first50%47%42%37%
PPG when scoring first1.952.001.752.00
PPG when conceding first1.071.430.450.18
Came back from behind61%75%21%17%
Leads held56%64%56%57%
Minutes leading28%28%21%18%
Minutes level54%58%50%40%
Minutes trailing18%14%30%42%
First goal (min)37414252
First goal conceded (min)42484234
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%59%54%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%65%60%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.420.530.340.32
Late goals against0.390.320.390.32
Style
Possession50%53%42%43%
Shots13.814.510.610.2
On target4.74.53.73.6
Shot conversion11%10%11%10%
Shots inside box59%58%73%75%
Big chances created2.52.41.91.6
Corners5.66.04.94.5
xG from set plays32%35%31%31%
Goals from headers10%10%27%21%
Pressure index12.515.98.37.6
Dominant minutes48.056.635.533.0
Pass accuracy79%80%78%78%
Fouls12.011.511.111.0
Cards2.372.161.922.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AFC Bournemouth

0–15'85
16–30'87
31–45'1011
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'1615

West Ham United

0–15'911
16–30'34
31–45'911
46–60'410
61–75'814
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.005
Early press (0-15, level)+0.215
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.025
When level+0.015
When behind-0.682
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.225

Situations

At home+0.042
Away-0.033
4+ days rest-0.005

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.143
As favourite+0.112
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.145
Conceded late (76+)-0.205

Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69

West Ham United · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: when behind +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.237
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.273

Game state

When ahead+0.235
When level+0.077
When behind+0.643
10 min after conceding-0.085
10 min after scoring+0.527

Situations

At home+0.454
Away-0.013
3 days rest or fewer+0.083
4+ days rest+0.324

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.142
v bottom-tier opponents+0.265
As favourite+0.306

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.197
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.336

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.57

AFC Bournemouth

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 95%1.51.531.391.671.58
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.52.01.61.42

West Ham United

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 4 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 26%0.91.11.61.291.75
4-4-1-18 21%2.01.881.131.531.56
4-3-34 10%1.51.751.751.791.84
3-4-2-13 8%0.330.671.670.861.96
3-4-1-23 8%0.330.673.01.121.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 57%4.1Draw 23% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Bournemouth or Draw 40% P 40%1.22Bournemouth or West Ham 38% P 38%2.15Draw or West Ham 22% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Thomas Bramall

Career
131 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.6 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.26+0.2654
Fouls / match22.421.6+0.68
Fouls per card5.35.1+0.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.25+0.7177
Time added8.58.4+0.2654
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-03 50 220 17'8
2025-10-26 –– 17– –8
2025-10-18 20 120 87'5
2025-10-04 50 220 22'10
2025-09-20 20 230 16'6
2025-09-13 20 180 14'9
2025-08-23 · AFC Bournemouth 61 290 9'11
2025-05-25 41 201 45'10
2025-05-20 · AFC Bournemouth 42 200 36'8
2025-04-27 30 250 34'8