Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (28) · 1.1 without (10)
Premier League · Matchweek 17
Momentum
– Aston VillaMUN –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Aston Villa | at home | Stat | league | away | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.5 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.8 #8 |
| 12.7 #10 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 15.7 #1 |
| 4.5 #8 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.7 #1 |
| 5.2 #8 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 4.8 #14 |
| 10.0 #19 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.3 #14 |
| 1.1 #20 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #16 |
| 15.4 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 18.2 #5 |
| 84.5 #19 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 98.1 #6 |
| 49.1 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 48.8 #10 |
| 450.8 #8 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 465.6 #7 |
| 1.6 #19 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #15 |
| 0.0 #10 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| 1.1 #5 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.2 #3 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #15 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #5 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #3 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #7 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.5 #7 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 #3 |
| 1.3 #16 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 #14 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 6.4 #20 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.7 #9 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #17 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #8 |
| 6.8 #12 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #2 |
| 3.7 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.3 #5 |
| 8.0 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 10.3 #3 |
| 4.6 #10 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.7 #3 |
| 4.7 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 5.4 #3 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Aston Villa · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.87 (62th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (21) · 1.65 without (17)
Manchester United · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.77 (100th pct) · G+A 9 + 21 (43% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 7.0 (79th pct) · G+A 11 + 3 (20% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 2.06 ppg with (31) · 1.0 without (7)
Rating 7.15 (96th pct) · G+A 10 + 2 (17% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (29) · 2.33 without (9)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 17
Venue
- Stadium
- Villa Park, Birmingham
- Capacity
- 42,640
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 43,157
Teams
- Coaches
- Unai Emery · Ruben Amorim
- Position
- 3 · 7
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Michael Oliver
Weather
- Conditions
- light intensity drizzle
- Temperature
- 8.8° (feels 6.3°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 94%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Aston Villa
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 7.67–6.01 · xPts 7.7
- W
A
West Ham United
3–2
xG 0.62–0.98
UK PL
- W
A
Basel
2–1
xG 0.7–0.93
UEFA EL - W
H
Arsenal
2–1
xG 2.65–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 2.43–2.11
UK PL
- W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.28–0.65
UK PL
LWWWWWWWWW 9W 0D 1L · 27 pts (2.7 ppg) · GF 22 GA 11 · xG 16.1–12.79 · xPts 15.54
- W
A
West Ham United
3–2
xG 0.62–0.98
UK PL
- W
A
Basel
2–1
xG 0.7–0.93
UEFA EL
- W
H
Arsenal
2–1
xG 2.65–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–3
xG 2.43–2.11
UK PL
- W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.28–0.65
UK PL
- W
H
Young Boys
2–1
xG 2.29–0.63
UEFA EL - W
A
Leeds United
2–1
xG 1.6–2.3
UK PL
- W
H
AFC Bournemouth
4–0
xG 1.68–1.8
UK PL
- W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2–0
xG 2.3–0.95
UEFA EL - L
A
Liverpool
0–2
xG 0.56–1.1
UK PL
Manchester United
LWDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 13.27–5.19 · xPts 11.27
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
4–4
xG 3.55–1.4
UK PL
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
4–1
xG 3.54–0.44
UK PL
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 2.17–1.11
UK PL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.05–2.02
UK PL
- L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 1.95–0.22
UK PL
WWWDDLWDWD 5W 4D 1L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 23 GA 15 · xG 19.86–12.65 · xPts 17.54
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
4–4
xG 3.55–1.4
UK PL
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
4–1
xG 3.54–0.44
UK PL
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 2.17–1.11
UK PL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.05–2.02
UK PL
- L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 1.95–0.22
UK PL
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 0.5–1.18
UK PL
- D
A
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 1.51–2.05
UK PL
- W
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
4–2
xG 1.24–1.23
UK PL
- W
A
Liverpool
2–1
xG 1.5–2.2
UK PL
- W
H
Sunderland
2–0
xG 1.85–0.81
UK PL
All meetings · 49 matches since 2000
Goals 34–97 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 53%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 2–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 0–0 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 3–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 1–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 3–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 2–2 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 1–0 Aston Villa UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
| Metric | Aston Villa all · 38 | Aston Villa at home · 19 | Manchester United all · 38 | Manchester United away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| W / D / L | 19 / 8 / 11 | 12 / 2 / 5 | 20 / 11 / 7 | 7 / 8 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.47 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.58 |
| Goals against / match | 1.29 | 1.16 | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 32% | 21% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 21% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 53% | 71% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 58% | 63% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.47 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | 1.13 | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.34 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.21 | -0.01 | 0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.38 | 1.59 | 1.61 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 63% | 63% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.44 | 2.75 | 2.42 | 2.11 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.21 | 0.67 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 45% | 29% | 56% | 64% |
| Leads held | 79% | 92% | 71% | 58% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 33% | 37% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 46% | 45% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 21% | 18% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 42 | 38 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 39 | 49 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 59% | 58% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 54% | 68% | 65% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.7 | 15.7 | 13.5 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 64% | 66% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 27% | 28% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 16% | 23% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 14.1 | 14.4 | 16.5 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.3 | 55.8 | 53.9 | 49.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.58 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Aston Villa
0–15'49
16–30'65
31–45'119
46–60'1110
61–75'107
76–90'149
Manchester United
0–15'85
16–30'75
31–45'146
46–60'1311
61–75'118
76–90'1615
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
Manchester United · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.84
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.515
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042
Game state
When ahead+0.483
When level+0.305
When behind+0.313
10 min after conceding-0.054
10 min after scoring+0.843
Situations
At home+0.313
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.524
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.152
v mid-tier opponents+0.793
As favourite+0.524
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.023
Congested vs rested -0.75 · Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.01
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 90% | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 53% | 2.2 | 1.85 | 1.05 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 47% | 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.61 | 2.01 | 1.33 |
| Metric | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa at home · 10 | Manchester United all · 10 | Manchester United away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 2.30 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.41 | 1.65 | 2.21 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.49 | 1.30 | 1.13 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.35 | 1.08 | -0.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.25 | 0.65 | -0.01 | 0.19 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.57 | 1.87 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 70% | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.57 | 2.67 | 2.20 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 0% | 33% | 50% |
| Leads held | 80% | 86% | 86% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 41% | 46% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 38% | 41% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 20% | 13% | 13% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 37 | 24 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | 36 | 54 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 61% | 50% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 64% | 75% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 48% | 53% | 53% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 11.9 | 18.5 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.3 | 6.0 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 19% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 64% | 63% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 33% | 19% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 17% | 14% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 11.0 | 15.6 | 10.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.9 | 47.5 | 56.8 | 47.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 86% | 83% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.9 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Manchester United
0–15'40
16–30'12
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'30
76–90'45
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| Metric | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa at home · 27 | Manchester United all · 40 | Manchester United away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 57 | 27 | 40 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.91 | 2.15 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| W / D / L | 34 / 7 / 16 | 19 / 1 / 7 | 21 / 11 / 8 | 7 / 8 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.67 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.63 |
| Goals against / match | 1.19 | 1.04 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 37% | 22% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 52% | 70% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 65% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.46 | 1.64 | 1.84 | 1.55 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.10 | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.51 | 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.39 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 70% | 60% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.53 | 2.68 | 2.42 | 2.11 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.13 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 30% | 56% | 64% |
| Leads held | 83% | 90% | 72% | 58% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 40% | 37% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 43% | 44% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 17% | 19% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 40 | 39 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 46 | 49 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 58% | 58% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 64% | 65% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| Late goals against | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 53% | 53% | 54% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.5 | 16.3 | 14.2 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 64% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 31% | 27% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 15% | 22% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 15.0 | 15.7 | 17.2 | 15.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.0 | 55.5 | 55.2 | 51.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.7 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.95 | 1.79 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Manchester United
0–15'85
16–30'76
31–45'177
46–60'1310
61–75'146
76–90'1818
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Manchester United · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2240
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2640
Late push (76+, level)+0.3216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2012
Game state
When ahead+0.0529
When level+0.2640
When behind+0.4618
10 min after conceding-0.0731
10 min after scoring+0.4736
Situations
With ten men+0.093
Against ten men-0.176
At home+0.2121
Away+0.2419
3 days rest or fewer+0.384
4+ days rest+0.2036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1024
v mid-tier opponents+0.4411
As favourite+0.4125
Evenly matched-0.199
As underdog+0.106
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0140
Conceded when ahead+0.0929
Conceded late (76+)-0.0537
Congested vs rested +0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.20
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 26 65% | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.15 | 1.8 | 1.32 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 14 35% | 1.64 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.24 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.0Home 48% P 48%3.7Draw 26% P 26%3.6Away 27% P 26%
Double Chance
1.28Aston Villa or Draw 37% P 37%1.28Aston Villa or Man Utd 37% P 37%1.8Draw or Man Utd 26% P 27%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 48% | 47% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 25% | -0.9 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Michael Oliver
- Career
- 622 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.81 | 4.26 | -0.77 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 21.6 | +0.45 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.1 | +1.02 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.25 | -0.46 | 38 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 8.4 | -0.08 | 23 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 37' | 8 |
| 2025-12-09 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 20' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 85' | 9 |
| 2025-11-30 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 44' | 9 |
| 2025-11-26 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-11-23 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 32' | 7 |
| 2025-11-01 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 73' | 5 |
| 2025-10-26 · Aston Villa | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 40' | 9 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 51' | 11 |
| 2025-10-19 · Manchester United | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 52' | 12 |