Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 27 + 8 (45% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Premier League · Matchweek 20
Momentum
– MCIChelsea –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Manchester City | at home | Stat | league | away | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.5 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 57.7 #3 |
| 15.6 #2 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 13.4 #6 |
| 5.4 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.4 #9 |
| 6.4 #1 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 6.0 #4 |
| 9.7 #20 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 11.1 #6 |
| 1.2 #19 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #10 |
| 14.4 #19 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.6 #14 |
| 113.0 #1 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 100.9 #4 |
| 64.7 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 54.0 #5 |
| 588.0 #1 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 540.4 #2 |
| 1.8 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.5 #2 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 1.5 #1 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.0 #6 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #11 |
| 1.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.3 #18 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #14 |
| 2.0 #1 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 #5 |
| 0.9 #19 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 #9 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.1 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 10.0 #1 |
| – #19 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #10 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #5 |
| 4.5 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.4 #3 |
| 11.3 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.9 #5 |
| 5.8 #2 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.7 #9 |
| 4.3 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.5 #7 |
| – #2 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 2.07 without (15)
Rating 7.28 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (21% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (19) · 1.95 without (19)
Chelsea · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.14 (95th pct) · G+A 15 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (31) · 1.14 without (7)
Rating 7.05 (88th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (32) · 1.83 without (6)
Rating 6.96 (71th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (19% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.43 ppg with (30) · 1.12 without (8)
Absences
Manchester City
- injury Oscar Bobb attacker · Hamstring Injury · 11 missed · until 2026-02-06
Chelsea
- suspension Axel Disasi defender · No Eligibility · 41 missed · until 2026-02-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 20
Venue
- Stadium
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- Capacity
- 52,900
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 52,503
Teams
- Coaches
- Pep Guardiola · Calum McFarlane
- Position
- 3 · 6
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Michael Oliver
Weather
- Conditions
- heavy snow
- Temperature
- 0.1° (feels -2.4°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 89%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Manchester City
WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 9.71–6.07 · xPts 9.16
- D
A
Sunderland
0–0
xG 2.39–0.89
UK PL
- W
A
Nottingham Forest
2–1
xG 1.51–0.84
UK PL
- W
H
West Ham United
3–0
xG 2.33–0.93
UK PL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 1.19–1.65
UK PL
- W
A
Real Madrid
2–1
xG 2.29–1.75
UEFA CL
LLWWWWWWWD 7W 1D 2L · 22 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 22 GA 12 · xG 21.53–12.25 · xPts 19.43
- D
A
Sunderland
0–0
xG 2.39–0.89
UK PL
- W
A
Nottingham Forest
2–1
xG 1.51–0.84
UK PL
- W
H
West Ham United
3–0
xG 2.33–0.93
UK PL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
3–0
xG 1.19–1.65
UK PL
- W
A
Real Madrid
2–1
xG 2.29–1.75
UEFA CL
- W
H
Sunderland
3–0
xG 2.65–0.46
UK PL
- W
A
Fulham
5–4
xG 2.0–1.09
UK PL
- W
H
Leeds United
3–2
xG 3.17–2.08
UK PL
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
xG 2.06–0.69
UEFA CL - L
A
Newcastle United
1–2
xG 1.94–1.87
UK PL
Chelsea
LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 9.08–9.79 · xPts 6.58
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 2.73–2.73
UK PL
- L
H
Aston Villa
1–2
xG 2.15–1.69
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 1.11–2.16
UK PL
- W
H
Everton
2–0
xG 1.85–1.05
UK PL
- L
A
Atalanta
1–2
xG 1.23–2.15
UEFA CL
WWDLDLWDLD 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 15 GA 12 · xG 16.32–15.88 · xPts 14.4
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 2.73–2.73
UK PL
- L
H
Aston Villa
1–2
xG 2.15–1.69
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
2–2
xG 1.11–2.16
UK PL
- W
H
Everton
2–0
xG 1.85–1.05
UK PL
- L
A
Atalanta
1–2
xG 1.23–2.15
UEFA CL
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
0–0
xG 1.12–1.34
UK PL
- L
A
Leeds United
1–3
xG 1.17–2.43
UK PL
- D
H
Arsenal
1–1
xG 1.29–1.28
UK PL
- W
H
FC Barcelona
3–0
xG 2.17–0.57
UEFA CL - W
A
Burnley
2–0
xG 1.5–0.48
UK PL
All meetings · 58 matches since 2000
Goals 71–74 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 47%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 21–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 10–2 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City neutral UK FA Cup · Final
- W Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- D Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 3–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 0–2 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 1–0 Chelsea neutral UK FA Cup · Semi-finals
- D Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 4–4 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 1–0 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 4–0 Chelsea UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
| Metric | Manchester City all · 38 | Manchester City at home · 19 | Chelsea all · 38 | Chelsea away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.05 | 2.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 9 / 6 | 14 / 3 / 2 | 14 / 10 / 14 | 7 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 2.03 | 2.37 | 1.53 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 0.74 | 1.37 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 47% | 24% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 5% | 18% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 63% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 74% | 66% | 74% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.63 |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | 1.15 | 1.37 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.68 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.36 | -0.28 | 0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.79 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.47 | -0.24 | -0.11 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 82% | 95% | 45% | 26% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.35 | 2.50 | 2.12 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 0% | 36% | 46% |
| Leads held | 72% | 78% | 64% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 47% | 56% | 29% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 39% | 43% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 8% | 5% | 28% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 26 | 40 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 44 | 36 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 42% | 55% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 57% | 54% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 58% | 56% |
| Shots | 15.6 | 16.4 | 13.4 | 11.6 |
| On target | 5.4 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 11% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 73% | 66% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 22% | 29% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 16% | 20% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 22.4 | 26.5 | 17.2 | 15.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.5 | 69.2 | 57.3 | 52.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.53 | 2.89 | 3.26 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'90
16–30'104
31–45'226
46–60'97
61–75'1411
76–90'137
Chelsea
0–15'611
16–30'76
31–45'137
46–60'148
61–75'99
76–90'911
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester City · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025
Game state
When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605
Situations
At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525
Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43
Chelsea · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214
Game state
When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274
Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 12 32% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 8 21% | 2.38 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 7 18% | 2.14 | 1.86 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.26 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 13% | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 2.25 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.23 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 84% | 1.44 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.82 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Metric | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City at home · 10 | Chelsea all · 10 | Chelsea away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 1 / 1 | 7 / 1 / 2 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 0.50 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 90% | 70% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 2.08 | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 0.91 | 1.16 | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | 0.89 | 0.92 | -0.11 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 1.94 | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.16 | -0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 70% | 60% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.63 | 2.29 | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.25 | 0.88 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 89% | 78% | 67% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 33% | 38% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 55% | 32% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 12% | 30% | 47% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | 43 | 26 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 41 | 32 | 17 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 74% | 57% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 67% | 47% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 62% | 62% | 50% | 53% |
| Shots | 15.1 | 17.9 | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| On target | 5.7 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 71% | 61% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 25% | 31% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 19% | 7% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 20.5 | 11.8 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.9 | 68.7 | 47.5 | 46.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 83% | 86% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 8.9 | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.40 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'00
16–30'31
31–45'21
46–60'52
61–75'21
76–90'70
Chelsea
0–15'53
16–30'24
31–45'32
46–60'24
61–75'33
76–90'11
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 3.0 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.57 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 2.03 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Metric | Manchester City all · 55 | Manchester City at home · 28 | Chelsea all · 53 | Chelsea away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 28 | 53 | 26 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.46 | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| W / D / L | 37 / 10 / 8 | 22 / 3 / 3 | 24 / 10 / 19 | 11 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.13 | 2.57 | 1.85 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 0.91 | 0.71 | 1.45 | 1.62 |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 46% | 24% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 4% | 15% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 50% | 62% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 68% | 72% | 81% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.05 | 1.85 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.14 | 1.02 | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.77 | 1.03 | 0.52 | 0.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.86 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | 0.44 | -0.08 | 0.00 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 86% | 58% | 46% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.54 | 2.63 | 2.19 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.23 | 1.50 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 40% | 34% | 41% |
| Leads held | 80% | 85% | 69% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 54% | 34% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 39% | 40% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 7% | 26% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 30 | 33 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 48 | 36 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 47% | 52% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 65% | 52% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 62% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 16.0 | 17.3 | 13.9 | 12.8 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 71% | 66% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 24% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 15% | 15% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 23.2 | 27.4 | 18.3 | 15.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.6 | 70.4 | 57.6 | 52.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.4 | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.32 | 2.64 | 2.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'130
16–30'1614
31–45'295
46–60'2010
61–75'1611
76–90'2310
Chelsea
0–15'1113
16–30'1611
31–45'1913
46–60'2012
61–75'1513
76–90'1515
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester City · 55 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6155
Late push (76+, level)+0.7616
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2512
Game state
When ahead+0.6946
When level+0.6455
When behind+0.3415
10 min after conceding+0.1131
10 min after scoring+0.8050
Situations
With ten men+0.473
Against ten men+0.982
At home+0.7328
Away+0.5327
3 days rest or fewer+0.6819
4+ days rest+0.6036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.5835
v mid-tier opponents+0.7310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.922
As favourite+0.6850
Evenly matched+0.364
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2955
Conceded when ahead-0.3546
Conceded late (76+)-0.3047
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.29
Chelsea · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3253
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1653
Late push (76+, level)+0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0219
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4153
When behind+0.1229
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.5445
Situations
With ten men-0.077
Against ten men+0.503
At home+0.3027
Away+0.3426
3 days rest or fewer+0.3921
4+ days rest+0.2732
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1732
v mid-tier opponents+0.3010
v bottom-tier opponents+1.433
As favourite+0.4835
Evenly matched+0.1411
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0653
Conceded when ahead-0.1434
Conceded late (76+)-0.3045
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.29
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 27% | 2.67 | 2.27 | 0.6 | 2.15 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 15 27% | 1.93 | 2.27 | 0.8 | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 9 16% | 2.44 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 2.09 | 1.09 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 8 14% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.16 |
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 41 77% | 1.56 | 1.73 | 1.29 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.48Home 64% P 66%5.0Draw 19% P 19%5.5Away 17% P 15%
Double Chance
1.16Man City or Draw 40% P 42%1.18Man City or Chelsea 40% P 40%2.37Draw or Chelsea 20% P 17%
Draw No Bet
1.21 78%4.332 22%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 64%2.37No 39% P 36%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 66% P 69%2.75Under 34% P 31%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.3 |
| Draw | 19% | 20% | 20% | -0.7 |
| Away | 15% | 14% | 11% | -2.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%
Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | 64% | 64% | +0.4 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Michael Oliver
- Career
- 622 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.81 | 4.26 | -0.77 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 21.6 | +0.45 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.1 | +1.02 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.25 | -0.46 | 38 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 8.4 | -0.08 | 23 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 61' | 6 |
| 2025-12-21 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 68' | 8 |
| 2025-12-13 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 37' | 8 |
| 2025-12-09 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 20' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 · Chelsea | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 85' | 9 |
| 2025-11-30 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 44' | 9 |
| 2025-11-26 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-11-23 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 32' | 7 |
| 2025-11-01 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 73' | 5 |
| 2025-10-26 · Manchester City | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 40' | 9 |