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Premier League · Matchweek 21
AFC BournemouthBOU
3–2
FT
Tottenham HotspurTOT

Momentum

– BOUTOT –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Capacity
11,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,212

Teams

Coaches
Andoni Iraola · Thomas Frank
Position
15 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Darren England

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
3.5° (feels 3.5°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
88%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 382675 712744 85 WWWWW
2 Manchester City 382396 773542 78 DWWDL
3 Manchester United 3820117 695019 71 WWDWW
4 Aston Villa 3819811 56497 65 LLDWW
5 Liverpool 3817912 635310 60 WLDLD
6 AFC Bournemouth 3813187 58544 57 DWWDD
7 Sunderland 38141212 4248-6 54 LDDWW
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38141113 52466 53 WLWLL
9 Brentford 38141113 55523 53 LWLDD
10 Chelsea 38141014 58526 52 LLDWL
11 Fulham 3815716 4751-4 52 WLLDW
12 Newcastle United 3814717 5355-2 49 LWDWL
13 Everton 38131015 4750-3 49 LDDLL
14 Leeds United 38111413 4956-7 47 DWDWL
15 Crystal Palace 38111215 4151-10 45 LDLDL
16 Nottingham Forest 38111116 4851-3 44 WWDLD
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38101117 4857-9 41 WWDLW
18 West Ham United 3810919 4665-19 39 WLLLW
19 Burnley 3841024 3875-37 22 LLDLD
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3831124 2768-41 20 LDLDD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

AFC Bournemouth

DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 14 · xG 9.98–10.21 · xPts 7.26

  • L H Arsenal 2–3 xG 1.02–1.08 UK PL
  • D A Chelsea 2–2 xG 2.73–2.73 UK PL
  • L A Brentford 1–4 xG 3.13–2.57 UK PL
  • D H Burnley 1–1 xG 1.71–0.27 UK PL
  • D A Manchester United 4–4 xG 1.4–3.55 UK PL

Tottenham Hotspur

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 5.11–6.5 · xPts 6.15

  • D H Sunderland 1–1 xG 1.48–0.54 UK PL
  • D A Brentford 0–0 xG 1.15–0.99 UK PL
  • W A Crystal Palace 1–0 xG 0.89–1.79 UK PL
  • L H Liverpool 1–2 xG 1.06–0.92 UK PL
  • L A Nottingham Forest 0–3 xG 0.53–2.26 UK PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2015

AFC Bournemouth 53 draws10 Tottenham Hotspur

Goals 18–39 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

AFC Bournemouth 42 draws4 Tottenham Hotspur

Goals 15–17 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

AFC Bournemouth 31 draws1 Tottenham Hotspur

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W AFC Bournemouth 3–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Tottenham Hotspur 2–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W AFC Bournemouth 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Tottenham Hotspur 3–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • L AFC Bournemouth 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Tottenham Hotspur 2–3 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • L AFC Bournemouth 2–3 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • D AFC Bournemouth 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Tottenham Hotspur 3–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
MetricAFC Bournemouth all · 38AFC Bournemouth at home · 19Tottenham Hotspur all · 38Tottenham Hotspur away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.501.631.081.37
W / D / L13 / 18 / 77 / 10 / 210 / 11 / 177 / 5 / 7
Goals for / match1.531.531.261.37
Goals against / match1.421.051.501.37
Clean sheets29%32%24%32%
Failed to score18%21%18%21%
Both teams scored66%63%60%53%
Over 2.555%47%63%63%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.691.201.08
xG against / match1.580.981.411.44
xG difference0.100.70-0.21-0.36
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.160.070.29
xPts / match1.501.841.281.17
Points vs xPts0.00-0.21-0.200.20
Game state
Scored first50%47%45%47%
PPG when scoring first1.952.002.002.44
PPG when conceding first1.071.430.300.33
Came back from behind61%75%29%36%
Leads held56%64%56%78%
Minutes leading28%28%20%22%
Minutes level54%58%44%45%
Minutes trailing18%14%35%33%
First goal (min)37414847
First goal conceded (min)42483737
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%59%58%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%65%47%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.420.530.340.42
Late goals against0.390.320.370.37
Style
Possession50%53%50%49%
Shots13.814.511.510.3
On target4.74.53.83.8
Shot conversion11%10%11%13%
Shots inside box59%58%69%69%
Big chances created2.52.41.91.7
Corners5.66.05.54.8
xG from set plays32%35%32%28%
Goals from headers10%10%27%38%
Pressure index12.515.912.811.3
Dominant minutes48.056.648.242.7
Pass accuracy79%80%81%81%
Fouls12.011.512.211.7
Cards2.372.162.792.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AFC Bournemouth

0–15'85
16–30'87
31–45'1011
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'1615

Tottenham Hotspur

0–15'47
16–30'54
31–45'1119
46–60'85
61–75'78
76–90'1314

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.005
Early press (0-15, level)+0.215
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.025
When level+0.015
When behind-0.682
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.225

Situations

At home+0.042
Away-0.033
4+ days rest-0.005

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.143
As favourite+0.112
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.145
Conceded late (76+)-0.205

Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69

Tottenham Hotspur · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.51

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.514
Late push (76+, level)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.144
When behind-0.402
10 min after conceding-0.492

Situations

At home-0.092
Away+0.182
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.223
Evenly matched-0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.043

Behind vs level -0.54

AFC Bournemouth

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 95%1.51.531.391.671.58
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.52.01.61.42

Tottenham Hotspur

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 50%1.371.261.211.131.33
4-3-39 24%1.331.441.01.391.33
3-4-2-14 10%0.51.52.751.271.77
4-4-23 8%0.330.672.01.111.77
4-2-2-22 5%0.01.02.01.10.87

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 43%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Bournemouth or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Bournemouth or Tottenham 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Tottenham 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 59%2.25No 41% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw27%26%25%-0.8
Away30%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Darren England

Career
247 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 85 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.26+0.3058
Fouls / match21.921.6+0.42
Fouls per card5.15.1-0.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.25-0.6131
Time added8.58.4+0.2654
First card
40' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-30 50 270 45'11
2025-12-20 40 260 19'7
2025-12-14 20 151 62'8
2025-12-03 20 230 35'9
2025-11-30 31 260 66'6
2025-11-22 60 180 32'7
2025-11-01 20 170 62'8
2025-10-05 50 160 45'6
2025-09-20 50 210 28'4
2025-09-13 20 190 61'11