Rating 6.96 (84th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (8% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Team 1.33 ppg with (33) · 1.0 without (5)
Premier League · Matchweek 23
Momentum
– NEWAston Villa –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Newcastle United | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.6 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.5 #6 |
| 12.9 #8 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.7 #10 |
| 4.6 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.5 #8 |
| 6.0 #3 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.2 #8 |
| 10.1 #17 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.0 #19 |
| 1.3 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.1 #20 |
| 14.5 #18 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.4 #15 |
| 100.7 #5 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 84.5 #19 |
| 54.9 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 49.1 #9 |
| 449.9 #9 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 450.8 #8 |
| 1.7 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #19 |
| 0.0 #10 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 0.9 #12 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #17 |
| 1.6 #8 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| -0.2 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| – #12 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.9 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 #7 |
| 1.4 #6 | 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.3 #14 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 7.5 #17 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 6.4 #20 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #16 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | – |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #12 |
| 3.8 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 8.3 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| 4.6 #10 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 4.6 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.7 #5 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Newcastle United · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.74 (28th pct) · G+A 7 + 1 (15% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 1.58 ppg with (19) · 1.0 without (19)
Rating 6.96 (72th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (9% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Team 1.4 ppg with (15) · 1.22 without (23)
Aston Villa · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (28) · 1.1 without (10)
Rating 6.87 (62th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (21) · 1.65 without (17)
Absences
Aston Villa
- injury Boubacar Kamara #5 key player midfielder · Knee Injury · 33 missed · until 2026-10-24
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 23
Venue
- Stadium
- St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
- Capacity
- 52,409
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 52,134
Teams
- Coaches
- Eddie Howe · Unai Emery
- Position
- 9 · 3
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jarred Gillett
Weather
- Conditions
- haze
- Temperature
- 5.0° (feels 1.9°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 93%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Newcastle United
WWDDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 11.25–6.33 · xPts 10.0
- W
H
PSV
3–0
xG 1.46–0.4
UEFA CL - D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–0
xG 1.16–0.41
UK PL
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
3–3 won on pens None–None
xG 3.74–2.34
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Leeds United
4–3
xG 2.81–2.04
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
2–0
xG 2.09–1.14
UK PL
DLDLWWWDDW 4W 4D 2L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 19 GA 13 · xG 20.97–11.44 · xPts 19.29
- W
H
PSV
3–0
xG 1.46–0.4
UEFA CL
- D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–0
xG 1.16–0.41
UK PL
- D
H
AFC Bournemouth
3–3 won on pens None–None
xG 3.74–2.34
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Leeds United
4–3
xG 2.81–2.04
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
2–0
xG 2.09–1.14
UK PL
- W
A
Burnley
3–1
xG 3.33–1.05
UK PL
- L
A
Manchester United
0–1
xG 1.61–0.98
UK PL
- D
H
Chelsea
2–2
xG 2.16–1.11
UK PL
- L
A
Sunderland
0–1
xG 0.26–0.42
UK PL
- D
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–2
xG 2.35–1.55
UEFA CL
Aston Villa
WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.13–4.14 · xPts 9.06
- W
A
Fenerbahçe
1–0
xG 1.38–0.65
UEFA EL - L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 1.35–0.64
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 1.44–0.84
UK FA Cup
- D
A
Crystal Palace
0–0
xG 1.59–1.39
UK PL
- W
H
Nottingham Forest
3–1
xG 1.37–0.62
UK PL
WWWWLWDWLW 7W 1D 2L · 22 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 16 GA 12 · xG 14.21–12.77 · xPts 15.0
- W
A
Fenerbahçe
1–0
xG 1.38–0.65
UEFA EL
- L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 1.35–0.64
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 1.44–0.84
UK FA Cup
- D
A
Crystal Palace
0–0
xG 1.59–1.39
UK PL
- W
H
Nottingham Forest
3–1
xG 1.37–0.62
UK PL
- L
A
Arsenal
1–4
xG 2.72–3.62
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
2–1
xG 1.69–2.15
UK PL
- W
H
Manchester United
2–1
xG 1.36–0.95
UK PL
- W
A
West Ham United
3–2
xG 0.62–0.98
UK PL
- W
A
Basel
2–1
xG 0.7–0.93
UEFA EL
All meetings · 47 matches since 2000
Goals 64–49 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 38%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 20–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle United UK FA Cup · Round 4
- L Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Newcastle United 3–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Newcastle United 5–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 3–0 Newcastle United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Newcastle United 4–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Newcastle United 1–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 38 | Newcastle United at home · 19 | Aston Villa all · 38 | Aston Villa away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.68 | 1.71 | 1.42 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 7 / 17 | 10 / 2 / 7 | 19 / 8 / 11 | 7 / 6 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.39 | 1.89 | 1.47 | 1.26 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.58 | 1.29 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 16% | 24% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 5% | 26% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 79% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 79% | 53% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | 1.54 | 1.36 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | 0.10 | 0.46 | 0.01 | -0.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.17 | -0.11 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.67 | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.15 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 74% | 42% | 21% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.83 | 2.07 | 2.44 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.27 | 0.60 | 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Came back from behind | 6% | 12% | 45% | 54% |
| Leads held | 58% | 67% | 79% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 33% | 24% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 49% | 52% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 17% | 25% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 38 | 43 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 35 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 56% | 62% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 67% | 53% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.34 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 52% | 54% | 54% |
| Shots | 12.9 | 14.3 | 12.7 | 11.7 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 67% | 63% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 43% | 50% | 27% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 22% | 18% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 15.6 | 17.9 | 14.1 | 13.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.3 | 56.8 | 51.3 | 46.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 80% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 9.9 |
| Cards | 1.89 | 1.79 | 1.58 | 1.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Newcastle United
0–15'82
16–30'106
31–45'1013
46–60'46
61–75'87
76–90'1321
Aston Villa
0–15'49
16–30'65
31–45'119
46–60'1110
61–75'107
76–90'149
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Newcastle United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.19) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.28
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.194
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.142
Game state
When ahead-0.342
When level-0.014
When behind-0.222
10 min after conceding-0.283
10 min after scoring-0.063
Situations
At home-0.372
Away+0.062
4+ days rest-0.194
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.372
Evenly matched+0.062
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.442
Conceded late (76+)-0.133
Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.21
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 27 71% | 1.26 | 1.48 | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 16% | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.33 | 1.43 | 1.87 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.39 | 1.73 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.87 | 1.94 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 90% | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 10 | Newcastle United at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 100% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 90% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.57 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.85 | 2.21 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | -0.65 | -0.63 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | 1.09 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 70% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 1.57 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 20% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 60% | 43% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 31% | 34% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 40% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 26% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 33 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 48 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 61% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 49% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 13.3 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 11% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | 11.3 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.6 | 49.6 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 78% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 12.8 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.60 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Newcastle United
0–15'32
16–30'21
31–45'15
46–60'12
61–75'52
76–90'34
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.71 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.27 | 1.81 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.91 | 3.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.39 | 1.73 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | Newcastle United all · 53 | Newcastle United at home · 27 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 11 / 21 | 13 / 6 / 8 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 18% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 4% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 78% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 82% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.25 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 64% | 78% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.85 | 1.95 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.53 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 27% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 57% | 59% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 38% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 17% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 36 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 53 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 55% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 14.2 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 68% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 43% | 46% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 18% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 15.0 | 16.9 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.9 | 56.1 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 11.1 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.74 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Newcastle United
0–15'177
16–30'137
31–45'1718
46–60'816
61–75'1613
76–90'2123
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Newcastle United · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1453
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2753
Late push (76+, level)-0.0322
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1522
Game state
When ahead+0.1036
When level+0.2253
When behind+0.0827
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.3845
Situations
With ten men+0.482
Against ten men+0.702
At home+0.1527
Away+0.1426
3 days rest or fewer+0.2416
4+ days rest+0.1037
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0037
v mid-tier opponents+0.509
v bottom-tier opponents+1.022
As favourite+0.3225
Evenly matched+0.0720
As underdog-0.228
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0153
Conceded when ahead+0.0136
Conceded late (76+)-0.1547
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.14
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
Newcastle United
Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 62% | 1.42 | 1.76 | 1.64 | 1.81 | 1.51 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 0.99 | 1.82 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.39 | 1.73 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.87 | 1.94 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.15Home 44% P 45%3.6Draw 27% P 26%3.3Away 29% P 29%
Double Chance
1.28Newcastle or Draw 37% P 36%1.28Newcastle or Aston Villa 37% P 37%1.8Draw or Aston Villa 26% P 27%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45% | 46% | 50% | +4.6 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | -2.4 |
| Away | 29% | 28% | 26% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Jarred Gillett
- Career
- 179 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.73 (3.64 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 84 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.11 | 4.26 | -0.21 | 38 |
| Fouls / match | 20.1 | 21.6 | -0.58 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.1 | -0.24 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.25 | 0.25 | -0.15 | 54 |
| Time added | 9.0 | 8.4 | +0.69 | 85 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.22
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 8 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 1' | 14 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 34' | 5 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-12-28 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 5' | 11 |
| 2025-11-09 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 33' | 10 |
| 2025-11-01 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 45' | 13 |
| 2025-10-18 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 2' | 10 |
| 2025-10-05 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 20' | 7 |
| 2025-09-28 · Newcastle United | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 56' | 15 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 52' | 8 |