Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (31) · 1.71 without (7)
Premier League · Matchweek 25
Momentum
– BOUAston Villa –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| AFC Bournemouth | at home | Stat | league | away | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.2 #11 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.5 #6 |
| 13.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.7 #10 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.5 #8 |
| 5.6 #6 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.2 #8 |
| 12.0 #3 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.0 #19 |
| 1.9 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.1 #20 |
| 16.9 #11 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.4 #15 |
| 93.7 #8 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 84.5 #19 |
| 49.8 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 49.1 #9 |
| 413.9 #10 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 450.8 #8 |
| 2.4 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #19 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 1.0 #7 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #17 |
| 1.7 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| -0.1 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| 1.5 #5 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 #7 |
| 1.4 #7 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 #16 |
| 0.3 #14 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 9.8 #2 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 6.4 #20 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #16 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | – |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #12 |
| 4.1 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 8.2 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| 5.3 #5 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 5.6 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.7 #5 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AFC Bournemouth · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.99 (77th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (61th pct) · G+A 1 + 6 (12% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Aston Villa · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.9 (61th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (16% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (28) · 1.1 without (10)
Rating 6.87 (62th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (21) · 1.65 without (17)
Absences
AFC Bournemouth
- injury Matai Akinmboni defender · Muscle Injury · 32 missed
Aston Villa
- injury Boubacar Kamara #5 key player midfielder · Knee Injury · 33 missed · until 2026-10-24
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 25
Venue
- Stadium
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
- Capacity
- 11,700
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 11,248
Teams
- Coaches
- Andoni Iraola · Unai Emery
- Position
- 12 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Anthony Taylor
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 10.4° (feels 9.9°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 91%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
AFC Bournemouth
WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 8.39–8.66 · xPts 6.98
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–0
xG 1.09–1.35
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
3–2
xG 2.24–1.14
UK PL
- D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 1.4–1.22
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
3–3 lost on pens None–None
xG 2.34–3.74
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–2
xG 1.31–1.2
UK PL
DDLDLWDDWW 3W 5D 2L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 22 GA 22 · xG 18.37–18.87 · xPts 14.24
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–0
xG 1.09–1.35
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
3–2
xG 2.24–1.14
UK PL
- D
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 1.4–1.22
UK PL
- D
A
Newcastle United
3–3 lost on pens None–None
xG 2.34–3.74
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
3–2
xG 1.31–1.2
UK PL
- L
H
Arsenal
2–3
xG 1.02–1.08
UK PL
- D
A
Chelsea
2–2
xG 2.73–2.73
UK PL
- L
A
Brentford
1–4
xG 3.13–2.57
UK PL
- D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.71–0.27
UK PL
- D
A
Manchester United
4–4
xG 1.4–3.55
UK PL
Aston Villa
LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 8.55–5.03 · xPts 9.06
- L
H
Brentford
0–1
xG 2.78–0.42
UK PL
- W
H
Salzburg
3–2
xG 1.87–1.75
UEFA EL - W
A
Newcastle United
2–0
xG 1.16–1.57
UK PL
- W
A
Fenerbahçe
1–0
xG 1.38–0.65
UEFA EL - L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 1.35–0.64
UK PL
WLWDWLWWWL 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 14 GA 11 · xG 17.36–13.66 · xPts 16.44
- L
H
Brentford
0–1
xG 2.78–0.42
UK PL
- W
H
Salzburg
3–2
xG 1.87–1.75
UEFA EL
- W
A
Newcastle United
2–0
xG 1.16–1.57
UK PL
- W
A
Fenerbahçe
1–0
xG 1.38–0.65
UEFA EL
- L
H
Everton
0–1
xG 1.35–0.64
UK PL
- W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
xG 1.44–0.84
UK FA Cup
- D
A
Crystal Palace
0–0
xG 1.59–1.39
UK PL
- W
H
Nottingham Forest
3–1
xG 1.37–0.62
UK PL
- L
A
Arsenal
1–4
xG 2.72–3.62
UK PL
- W
A
Chelsea
2–1
xG 1.69–2.15
UK PL
All meetings · 13 matches since 2015
Goals 14–21 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–17 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 4–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- D Aston Villa 1–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 3–1 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- D AFC Bournemouth 2–2 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- L Aston Villa 3–0 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
- W AFC Bournemouth 2–0 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Aston Villa UK PL · Regular Season
- W Aston Villa 1–2 AFC Bournemouth UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 38 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 19 | Aston Villa all · 38 | Aston Villa away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.63 | 1.71 | 1.42 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 18 / 7 | 7 / 10 / 2 | 19 / 8 / 11 | 7 / 6 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.47 | 1.26 |
| Goals against / match | 1.42 | 1.05 | 1.29 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 32% | 24% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 26% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 63% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | 0.98 | 1.36 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.01 | -0.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.16 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | 1.84 | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 47% | 42% | 21% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.44 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.07 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Came back from behind | 61% | 75% | 45% | 54% |
| Leads held | 56% | 64% | 79% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 28% | 24% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 58% | 52% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 14% | 25% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 41 | 43 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 48 | 35 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 59% | 62% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 65% | 53% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 54% | 54% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 14.5 | 12.7 | 11.7 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 58% | 63% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 35% | 27% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 10% | 18% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 12.5 | 15.9 | 14.1 | 13.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.0 | 56.6 | 51.3 | 46.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 9.9 |
| Cards | 2.37 | 2.16 | 1.58 | 1.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'87
31–45'1011
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'1615
Aston Villa
0–15'49
16–30'65
31–45'119
46–60'1110
61–75'107
76–90'149
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.005
Early press (0-15, level)+0.215
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.025
When level+0.015
When behind-0.682
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.225
Situations
At home+0.042
Away-0.033
4+ days rest-0.005
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.143
As favourite+0.112
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.145
Conceded late (76+)-0.205
Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.69
Aston Villa · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: when behind -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.455
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.762
Game state
When level+0.125
When behind-0.623
10 min after conceding-0.484
10 min after scoring+0.382
Situations
At home-0.392
Away+0.163
4+ days rest-0.134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.353
Evenly matched-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.175
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.74
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 95% | 1.5 | 1.53 | 1.39 | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.42 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 90% | 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 10 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 10 | Aston Villa all · 10 | Aston Villa away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 6 / 1 | 2 / 8 / 0 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.06 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.31 | 1.14 | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.93 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | -0.46 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.98 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.04 | -0.58 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.63 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 100% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 33% | 33% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 50% | 28% | 22% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 61% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 11% | 28% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 44 | 43 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 62 | 54 | 29 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 56% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | 67% | 50% | 29% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 52% | 47% | 51% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 16.2 | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 68% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 37% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 12% | 12% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 12.9 | 14.3 | 11.8 | 13.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.7 | 56.9 | 45.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80% | 84% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'30
16–30'20
31–45'53
46–60'42
61–75'01
76–90'26
Aston Villa
0–15'12
16–30'15
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'32
76–90'12
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Metric | AFC Bournemouth all · 40 | AFC Bournemouth at home · 19 | Aston Villa all · 57 | Aston Villa away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 22 / 7 | 5 / 12 / 2 | 34 / 7 / 16 | 15 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 26% | 30% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 18% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 68% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% | 58% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.68 | 1.76 | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.02 | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | 0.74 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.10 | -0.23 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.85 | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.43 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 42% | 56% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.65 | 1.63 | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.13 | 1.38 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Came back from behind | 65% | 78% | 38% | 44% |
| Leads held | 42% | 46% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 23% | 32% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 63% | 48% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 14% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 45 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 50 | 40 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 59% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 59% | 64% | 56% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.48 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 29% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 10% | 17% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 12.8 | 16.1 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | 56.6 | 52.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.1 | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.48 | 2.26 | 1.67 | 1.97 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AFC Bournemouth
0–15'85
16–30'97
31–45'1312
46–60'78
61–75'109
76–90'1518
Aston Villa
0–15'99
16–30'128
31–45'2113
46–60'1714
61–75'1411
76–90'2213
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AFC Bournemouth · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0840
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1140
Late push (76+, level)-0.1625
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4412
Game state
When ahead-0.0526
When level+0.0940
When behind+0.3020
10 min after conceding-0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.4133
Situations
With ten men-0.382
Against ten men-0.432
At home+0.1919
Away-0.0221
3 days rest or fewer+0.035
4+ days rest+0.0935
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0325
v mid-tier opponents+0.047
v bottom-tier opponents+0.562
As favourite+0.4112
Evenly matched-0.0215
As underdog-0.1113
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.2026
Conceded late (76+)+0.0539
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.21
Aston Villa · 57 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2157
Late push (76+, level)+0.3316
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0615
Game state
When ahead+0.2541
When level+0.2357
When behind+0.0126
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.4846
Situations
Against ten men+0.102
At home+0.1627
Away+0.2230
3 days rest or fewer+0.1020
4+ days rest+0.2537
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0733
v mid-tier opponents+0.2213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.262
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.0822
As underdog-0.0510
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0457
Conceded when ahead-0.1741
Conceded late (76+)-0.2652
Congested vs rested -0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.22
AFC Bournemouth
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 39 98% | 1.33 | 1.56 | 1.51 | 1.7 | 1.66 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.07 |
Aston Villa
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 53 93% | 1.83 | 1.6 | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.37 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.8Home 34% P 33%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.4Away 40% P 40%
Double Chance
1.53Bournemouth or Draw 30% P 30%1.28Bournemouth or Aston Villa 36% P 36%1.4Draw or Aston Villa 33% P 34%
Draw No Bet
2.11 44%1.662 56%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
4.52.2Over 42% P 45%1.61Under 58% P 55%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 33% | 29% | -3.9 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 30% | +4.7 |
| Away | 40% | 41% | 40% | -0.8 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Anthony Taylor
- Career
- 626 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.88 (3.7 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.6 · 4.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 50%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.4 | 4.26 | +0.34 | 58 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 21.6 | -0.33 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.60 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.25 | +0.61 | 73 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 8.4 | +0.26 | 54 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.25
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 85' | 10 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 59' | 8 |
| 2026-01-17 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 18' | 5 |
| 2026-01-08 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 12' | 6 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2025-12-26 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 69' | 9 |
| 2025-12-22 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 45' | 11 |
| 2025-12-18 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 51' | 5 |
| 2025-12-14 · Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 38' | 7 |