Rating 6.92 (82th pct) · G+A 14 + 1 (31% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.37 ppg with (30) · 0.75 without (8)
Premier League · Matchweek 25
Momentum
– Leeds UnitedNFO –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Leeds United | at home | Stat | league | away | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.8 #13 |
| 12.6 #11 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.5 #12 |
| 4.0 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.1 #10 |
| 4.4 #15 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.2 #9 |
| 10.5 #11 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.7 #9 |
| 1.6 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| 17.4 #8 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.9 #10 |
| 90.2 #10 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 90.1 #11 |
| 44.3 #16 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 49.4 #8 |
| 395.8 #13 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 408.4 #12 |
| 1.7 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #17 |
| 0.0 #17 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.9 #9 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #17 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #10 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #5 |
| 1.6 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.3 #19 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #9 |
| – #6 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| 1.3 #11 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.5 #5 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 #11 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #16 |
| 9.2 #5 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.1 #15 |
| – #11 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #6 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 6.8 #12 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 3.6 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.1 #8 |
| 8.6 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 7.8 #16 |
| 5.1 #6 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #12 |
| 4.0 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.8 #4 |
| – #14 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #14 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Leeds United · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.24 (94th pct) · G+A 5 + 3 (16% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.07 ppg with (28) · 1.7 without (10)
Rating 6.99 (78th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (4% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Nottingham Forest · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.04 (91th pct) · G+A 15 + 4 (40% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.93 (64th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (10% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (79th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (15% of team goals) · 54% of minutes
Team 1.05 ppg with (21) · 1.29 without (17)
Absences
Nottingham Forest
- injury Dilane Bakwa attacker · Unknown Injury · 76 missed
- injury Eric da Silva Moreira defender · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
- injury Nicolò Savona #13 key player defender · Knee Injury · 23 missed · until 2026-06-29
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 25
Venue
- Stadium
- Elland Road, Leeds
- Capacity
- 40,242
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 36,835
Teams
- Coaches
- Daniel Farke · Sean Dyche
- Position
- 16 · 17
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Peter Bankes
Weather
- Conditions
- light intensity drizzle rain
- Temperature
- 4.9° (feels 2.7°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 97%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Leeds United
LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 8.83–7.47 · xPts 8.02
- L
H
Arsenal
0–4
xG 1.1–2.41
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
1–1
xG 1.44–1.13
UK PL
- W
H
Fulham
1–0
xG 1.74–0.43
UK PL
- W
A
Derby County
3–1
xG 2.51–0.68
UK FA Cup - L
A
Newcastle United
3–4
xG 2.04–2.81
UK PL
DWDDDLWWDL 3W 5D 2L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 14 · xG 17.62–14.27 · xPts 16.11
- L
H
Arsenal
0–4
xG 1.1–2.41
UK PL
- D
A
Everton
1–1
xG 1.44–1.13
UK PL
- W
H
Fulham
1–0
xG 1.74–0.43
UK PL
- W
A
Derby County
3–1
xG 2.51–0.68
UK FA Cup
- L
A
Newcastle United
3–4
xG 2.04–2.81
UK PL
- D
H
Manchester United
1–1
xG 1.0–1.58
UK PL
- D
A
Liverpool
0–0
xG 0.21–2.33
UK PL
- D
A
Sunderland
1–1
xG 2.55–0.72
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
4–1
xG 3.04–1.56
UK PL
- D
A
Brentford
1–1
xG 1.98–0.61
UK PL
Nottingham Forest
DLWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2 · xG 6.24–7.79 · xPts 6.14
- D
H
Crystal Palace
1–1
xG 0.59–1.89
UK PL
- W
H
Ferencvárosi
4–0
xG 2.47–0.72
UEFA EL - W
A
Brentford
2–0
xG 0.91–1.53
UK PL
- L
A
Sporting Braga
0–1
xG 1.78–0.84
UEFA EL - D
H
Arsenal
0–0
xG 0.5–2.8
UK PL
LLLWDDLWWD 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 13 · xG 14.61–15.05 · xPts 13.44
- D
H
Crystal Palace
1–1
xG 0.59–1.89
UK PL
- W
H
Ferencvárosi
4–0
xG 2.47–0.72
UEFA EL
- W
A
Brentford
2–0
xG 0.91–1.53
UK PL
- L
A
Sporting Braga
0–1
xG 1.78–0.84
UEFA EL
- D
H
Arsenal
0–0
xG 0.5–2.8
UK PL
- D
A
Wrexham
3–3 lost on pens None–None
xG 3.04–2.08
UK FA Cup - W
A
West Ham United
2–1
xG 1.56–1.35
UK PL
- L
A
Aston Villa
1–3
xG 0.62–1.37
UK PL
- L
H
Everton
0–2
xG 2.3–0.97
UK PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–2
xG 0.84–1.51
UK PL
All meetings · 25 matches since 2010
Goals 35–38 · 2.92 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- W Leeds United 2–1 Nottingham Forest UK PL · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 1–0 Leeds United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 2–0 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 1–1 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Nottingham Forest 4–2 Leeds United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 1–1 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Leeds United 0–0 Nottingham Forest UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Leeds United all · 38 | Leeds United at home · 19 | Nottingham Forest all · 38 | Nottingham Forest away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.24 | 1.68 | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 14 / 13 | 9 / 5 / 5 | 11 / 11 / 16 | 7 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.53 | 1.26 | 1.47 |
| Goals against / match | 1.47 | 1.11 | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 32% | 24% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 26% | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 53% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 58% | 53% | 63% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.30 | 1.04 |
| xG against / match | 1.59 | 1.24 | 1.59 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | 0.02 | 0.59 | -0.30 | -0.77 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.31 | -0.30 | -0.03 | 0.43 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.75 | 1.22 | 0.95 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.20 | -0.06 | -0.06 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 58% | 29% | 37% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.06 | 2.55 | 2.45 | 2.71 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.56 | 0.33 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Leads held | 61% | 75% | 73% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 31% | 19% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 56% | 53% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 14% | 28% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 41 | 39 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 57 | 40 | 31 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 51% | 52% | 60% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 76% | 53% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 47% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.6 | 14.3 | 12.5 | 10.1 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 10% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 40% | 43% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 14% | 23% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | 12.6 | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.4 | 51.0 | 48.7 | 41.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.1 | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.74 | 1.63 | 1.61 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'74
16–30'67
31–45'115
46–60'711
61–75'912
76–90'917
Nottingham Forest
0–15'86
16–30'26
31–45'912
46–60'109
61–75'63
76–90'1315
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Leeds United · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.473
Game state
When ahead+0.173
When level-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.642
10 min after scoring+0.734
Situations
At home-0.082
Away-0.242
4+ days rest-0.184
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
Evenly matched-0.143
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.174
Conceded when ahead+0.023
Conceded late (76+)+0.113
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.14
Nottingham Forest · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Late push (76+, level)-0.394
Game state
When ahead+0.652
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.523
10 min after scoring+0.742
Situations
At home-0.262
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.372
Evenly matched+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.202
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Ahead vs level +0.75 · Behind vs level -0.62
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 12 32% | 1.75 | 1.58 | 1.08 | 1.69 | 1.5 |
| 4-3-3 | 12 32% | 0.92 | 1.08 | 1.83 | 1.53 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 16% | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 1.62 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 2.5 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.99 | 0.67 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 76% | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.21 | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 10% | 1.75 | 2.75 | 1.25 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.3 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 1.37 |
| Metric | Leeds United all · 10 | Leeds United at home · 10 | Nottingham Forest all · 10 | Nottingham Forest away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 2 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 50% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.71 | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| xG against / match | 1.65 | 1.30 | 1.78 | 2.04 |
| xG difference | -0.30 | 0.41 | -0.21 | -0.59 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.05 | 0.09 | -0.37 | 0.75 |
| xPts / match | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.36 | 0.35 | -0.04 | 0.69 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Leads held | 80% | 100% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 37% | 23% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 51% | 60% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 11% | 17% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 57 | 41 | 45 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 59 | 67 | 60 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 44% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 82% | 67% | 86% | 73% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 50% | 45% | 42% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14.4 | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 68% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 32% | 36% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 6% | 18% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | 13.5 | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.2 | 53.9 | 46.0 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 79% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.0 | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'20
16–30'01
31–45'31
46–60'32
61–75'23
76–90'44
Nottingham Forest
0–15'21
16–30'10
31–45'11
46–60'34
61–75'22
76–90'36
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 1.67 | 1.17 | 1.6 | 1.85 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.97 | 1.34 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 2.11 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.46 | 3.07 |
| Metric | Leeds United all · 43 | Leeds United at home · 20 | Nottingham Forest all · 55 | Nottingham Forest away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 20 | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.75 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 17 / 12 | 10 / 5 / 5 | 19 / 16 / 20 | 11 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.49 | 1.80 | 1.36 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 25% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 60% | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 65% | 53% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.52 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.66 | 1.31 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.07 | 0.49 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.46 | 1.70 | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | 0.05 | -0.14 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 49% | 60% | 36% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.58 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.74 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | 46% | 38% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 58% | 77% | 76% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 35% | 24% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 50% | 53% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 15% | 23% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 40 | 38 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | 58 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 47% | 60% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 74% | 54% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 12.6 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 13% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 68% | 62% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 15% | 19% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 12.3 | 13.1 | 15.3 | 13.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.2 | 50.3 | 52.6 | 47.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.3 | 11.7 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 1.77 | 1.65 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Leeds United
0–15'84
16–30'78
31–45'165
46–60'119
61–75'1013
76–90'1219
Nottingham Forest
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1013
46–60'1512
61–75'107
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Leeds United · 43 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0343
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2443
Late push (76+, level)-0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2613
Game state
When ahead-0.0124
When level+0.0343
When behind+0.0821
10 min after conceding-0.2933
10 min after scoring+0.4633
Situations
With ten men+0.242
At home-0.0420
Away+0.0923
3 days rest or fewer-0.124
4+ days rest+0.0539
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1128
v mid-tier opponents+0.1510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.933
As favourite+0.369
Evenly matched+0.0715
As underdog-0.1419
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1843
Conceded when ahead+0.2524
Conceded late (76+)+0.0740
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
Nottingham Forest · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1755
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0355
Late push (76+, level)-0.0923
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0423
Game state
When ahead+0.1925
When level+0.1855
When behind+0.1530
10 min after conceding-0.0638
10 min after scoring+0.4737
Situations
With ten men+0.102
At home+0.1027
Away+0.2628
3 days rest or fewer+0.1622
4+ days rest+0.1933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0131
v mid-tier opponents+0.6110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.242
As favourite+0.6015
Evenly matched+0.1520
As underdog-0.1220
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0055
Conceded when ahead+0.0225
Conceded late (76+)-0.2051
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level -0.03
Leeds United
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 14 33% | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.07 | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 26% | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 8 19% | 0.87 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 2.5 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.5 | 0.67 |
Nottingham Forest
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 58% | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 1.27 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 14% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 11% | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.17 | 2.81 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.07 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.1Home 45% P 45%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.5Away 27% P 27%
Double Chance
1.3Leeds or Draw 36% P 36%1.33Leeds or Nottm Forest 35% P 36%1.66Draw or Nottm Forest 28% P 28%
Draw No Bet
1.531 61%2.372 39%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53% P 54%2.0No 47% P 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45% | 44% | 44% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 28% | -1.4 |
| Away | 27% | 26% | 28% | +1.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Peter Bankes
- Career
- 284 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.08 (3.94 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.18
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 86 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.47 | 4.26 | +0.47 | 69 |
| Fouls / match | 21.4 | 21.6 | +0.10 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.1 | -0.75 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.21 | 0.25 | -0.65 | 27 |
| Time added | 8.6 | 8.4 | +0.34 | 65 |
- First card
- 39' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.24
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 79' | 7 |
| 2026-01-07 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 22' | 11 |
| 2026-01-03 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 85' | 12 |
| 2025-12-27 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 75' | 9 |
| 2025-12-14 | 9 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 72' | 5 |
| 2025-11-29 · Leeds United | 5 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 55' | 13 |
| 2025-11-22 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 41' | 8 |
| 2025-11-01 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 34' | 6 |
| 2025-10-26 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 35' | 6 |