Rating 7.37 (99th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (21% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Premier League · Matchweek 25
Momentum
– LiverpoolMCI –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Liverpool | at home | Stat | league | away | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.2 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 60.5 #1 |
| 15.5 #3 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 15.6 #2 |
| 4.6 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.4 #2 |
| 6.1 #2 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| 10.1 #18 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 9.7 #20 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.2 #19 |
| 13.0 #20 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 14.4 #19 |
| 108.8 #2 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 113.0 #1 |
| 59.6 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 64.7 #1 |
| 531.3 #3 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 588.0 #1 |
| 1.6 #17 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #11 |
| 0.0 #10 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | – |
| 1.2 #4 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.5 #1 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #14 |
| 1.7 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #1 |
| -0.0 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.7 #4 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 #1 |
| 1.4 #8 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 #19 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 7.1 #19 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.1 #15 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #19 |
| 0.0 #18 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 6.9 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 4.9 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.5 #2 |
| 10.1 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 11.3 #1 |
| 6.1 #1 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 5.4 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #5 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Liverpool · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.12 (97th pct) · G+A 6 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.06 (90th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (19% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.56 ppg with (32) · 1.67 without (6)
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 27 + 8 (45% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 2.07 without (15)
Rating 7.28 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (21% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (19) · 1.95 without (19)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 25
Venue
- Stadium
- Anfield, Liverpool
- Capacity
- 61,276
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 60,336
Teams
- Coaches
- Arne Slot · Pep Guardiola
- Position
- 6 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-3-2
Referee
Craig Pawson
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 7.7° (feels 5.0°)
- Wind
- 4.4
- Humidity
- 81%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Liverpool
DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 16 GA 5 · xG 14.1–4.49 · xPts 10.73
- W
H
Newcastle United
4–1
xG 1.93–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Qarabağ
6–0
xG 5.89–0.32
UEFA CL - L
A
AFC Bournemouth
2–3
xG 1.14–2.24
UK PL
- W
A
Olympique Marseille
3–0
xG 1.56–0.9
UEFA CL - D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 3.58–0.6
UK PL
WDDDWDWLWW 5W 4D 1L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 24 GA 9 · xG 22.02–8.04 · xPts 20.28
- W
H
Newcastle United
4–1
xG 1.93–0.43
UK PL
- W
H
Qarabağ
6–0
xG 5.89–0.32
UEFA CL
- L
A
AFC Bournemouth
2–3
xG 1.14–2.24
UK PL
- W
A
Olympique Marseille
3–0
xG 1.56–0.9
UEFA CL
- D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 3.58–0.6
UK PL
- W
H
Barnsley
4–1
xG 2.08–1.17
UK FA Cup - D
A
Arsenal
0–0
xG 0.38–0.72
UK PL
- D
A
Fulham
2–2
xG 1.4–0.55
UK PL
- D
H
Leeds United
0–0
xG 2.33–0.21
UK PL
- W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–1
xG 1.74–0.9
UK PL
Manchester City
LLWWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.42–6.6 · xPts 7.19
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 1.92–1.92
UK PL
- W
H
Galatasaray
2–0
xG 1.35–0.24
UEFA CL - W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–0
xG 1.16–0.6
UK PL
- L
A
Bodø / Glimt
1–3
xG 1.45–1.4
UEFA CL - L
A
Manchester United
0–2
xG 0.53–2.44
UK PL
WDDDWLLWWD 4W 4D 2L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 21 GA 11 · xG 17.04–12.63 · xPts 16.91
- D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 1.92–1.92
UK PL
- W
H
Galatasaray
2–0
xG 1.35–0.24
UEFA CL
- W
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–0
xG 1.16–0.6
UK PL
- L
A
Bodø / Glimt
1–3
xG 1.45–1.4
UEFA CL
- L
A
Manchester United
0–2
xG 0.53–2.44
UK PL
- W
H
Exeter City
10–1
xG 2.71–0.58
UK FA Cup - D
H
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
xG 2.74–1.1
UK PL
- D
H
Chelsea
1–1
xG 1.28–2.62
UK PL
- D
A
Sunderland
0–0
xG 2.39–0.89
UK PL
- W
A
Nottingham Forest
2–1
xG 1.51–0.84
UK PL
All meetings · 54 matches since 2000
Goals 79–78 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 63%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–17 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool UK FA Cup · Quarter-finals
- L Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 0–2 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- W Liverpool 2–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- D Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- D Manchester City 1–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester City 4–1 Liverpool UK PL · Regular Season
- W Liverpool 1–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 2–3 Liverpool neutral UK FA Cup · Semi-finals
| Metric | Liverpool all · 38 | Liverpool at home · 19 | Manchester City all · 38 | Manchester City away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.58 | 1.89 | 2.05 | 1.74 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 9 / 12 | 10 / 6 / 3 | 23 / 9 / 6 | 9 / 6 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.66 | 1.79 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.05 | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 26% | 42% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 10% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 68% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 47% | 63% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.69 | 1.80 | 1.92 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.23 | 1.08 | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| xG difference | 0.45 | 0.72 | 0.68 | 0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | -0.01 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.64 | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.06 | 0.08 | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 74% | 82% | 68% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.41 | 2.21 | 2.35 | 2.15 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Leads held | 71% | 67% | 72% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 40% | 47% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 50% | 45% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 9% | 8% | 12% |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 41 | 32 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 55 | 50 | 56 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 44% | 47% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 68% | 80% | 71% | 81% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.53 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 59% | 60% | 61% |
| Shots | 15.5 | 17.2 | 15.6 | 14.9 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 66% | 72% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 17% | 23% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 6% | 12% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 20.4 | 19.8 | 22.4 | 18.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 62.0 | 62.9 | 66.5 | 63.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 88% | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.53 | 1.21 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Liverpool
0–15'47
16–30'53
31–45'157
46–60'139
61–75'610
76–90'2017
Manchester City
0–15'90
16–30'104
31–45'226
46–60'97
61–75'1411
76–90'137
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Liverpool · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when behind +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.315
Late push (76+, level)+0.113
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead-0.172
When level-0.075
When behind+0.573
10 min after conceding+0.453
10 min after scoring+0.474
Situations
At home-0.043
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.043
As favourite+0.115
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.215
Conceded when ahead-0.072
Conceded late (76+)-0.405
Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.64
Manchester City · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.015
Game state
When ahead+0.405
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.625
Situations
At home+0.222
Away+0.553
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.453
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.454
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525
Congested vs rested +0.50 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level -0.42
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 90% | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.24 | 1.73 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.14 | 2.73 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.14 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.87 | 2.28 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 12 32% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 8 21% | 2.38 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 7 18% | 2.14 | 1.86 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.26 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 13% | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 2.25 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.23 |
| Metric | Liverpool all · 10 | Liverpool at home · 10 | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.70 | 2.50 | 2.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 2 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 6 / 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 60% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | 1.92 | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.47 | 1.09 | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| xG difference | 0.09 | 0.83 | 0.89 | 0.76 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.14 | -0.32 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | -0.10 | 0.59 | 0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.63 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Leads held | 60% | 57% | 89% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 54% | 47% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 35 | 51 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 53 | 42 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 50% | 74% | 76% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 67% | 60% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 56% | 62% | 63% |
| Shots | 14.8 | 17.0 | 15.1 | 16.6 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 13% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 68% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 19% | 18% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 0% | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 14.4 | 18.4 | 18.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.3 | 58.7 | 65.9 | 66.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.3 | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Liverpool
0–15'33
16–30'02
31–45'32
46–60'72
61–75'04
76–90'42
Manchester City
0–15'00
16–30'31
31–45'21
46–60'52
61–75'21
76–90'70
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 1.56 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.6 | 1.27 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.14 | 3.22 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 3.0 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.57 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 2.03 |
| Metric | Liverpool all · 54 | Liverpool at home · 27 | Manchester City all · 54 | Manchester City away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 27 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 1.85 | 2.19 | 1.93 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 12 / 18 | 14 / 8 / 5 | 36 / 10 / 8 | 15 / 7 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.72 | 1.93 | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.04 | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 33% | 41% | 37% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 15% | 9% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 59% | 52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 56% | 61% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.86 | 2.14 | 1.91 | 1.78 |
| xG against / match | 1.20 | 1.07 | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| xG difference | 0.66 | 1.08 | 0.75 | 0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.22 | 0.22 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.73 | 1.94 | 1.84 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | -0.09 | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 63% | 74% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.52 | 2.35 | 2.52 | 2.41 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.54 | 1.00 | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Leads held | 77% | 74% | 80% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 40% | 46% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 48% | 43% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 12% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 36 | 34 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 48 | 46 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 71% | 62% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.41 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 61% | 61% |
| Shots | 16.3 | 18.9 | 15.9 | 14.6 |
| On target | 5.4 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 68% | 72% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 21% | 23% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 8% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 20.4 | 21.9 | 22.8 | 18.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.8 | 62.2 | 66.2 | 62.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 85% | 89% | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.8 | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.11 | 1.80 | 2.22 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Liverpool
0–15'811
16–30'87
31–45'2010
46–60'2112
61–75'1413
76–90'2218
Manchester City
0–15'130
16–30'1614
31–45'295
46–60'1910
61–75'1511
76–90'2310
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Liverpool · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.71
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4554
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1654
Late push (76+, level)+0.1022
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5519
Game state
When ahead+0.3931
When level+0.4754
When behind+0.4825
10 min after conceding+0.1038
10 min after scoring+0.7144
Situations
Against ten men+1.112
At home+0.4227
Away+0.4827
3 days rest or fewer+0.5620
4+ days rest+0.3934
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2332
v mid-tier opponents+0.6314
As favourite+0.6041
Evenly matched-0.058
As underdog+0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1654
Conceded when ahead-0.1831
Conceded late (76+)-0.2348
Congested vs rested +0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.01
Manchester City · 54 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.81
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6354
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6254
Late push (76+, level)+0.7616
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2412
Game state
When ahead+0.6945
When level+0.6454
When behind+0.3415
10 min after conceding+0.1131
10 min after scoring+0.8149
Situations
With ten men+0.473
At home+0.7227
Away+0.5427
3 days rest or fewer+0.6819
4+ days rest+0.6035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.5734
v mid-tier opponents+0.7310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.6849
Evenly matched+0.364
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2954
Conceded when ahead-0.3545
Conceded late (76+)-0.3046
Congested vs rested +0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.29
Liverpool
Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 44 82% | 1.64 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.14 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 4 7% | 0.75 | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.05 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.18 | 1.04 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.48 | 0.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.14 | 1.21 |
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 28% | 2.67 | 2.27 | 0.6 | 2.15 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 14 26% | 1.86 | 2.29 | 0.86 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 9 17% | 2.44 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 2.09 | 1.09 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 8 15% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.16 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.1Home 45% P 44%3.9Draw 24% P 25%3.0Away 31% P 31%
Double Chance
1.36Liverpool or Draw 35% P 34%1.25Liverpool or Man City 38% P 38%1.7Draw or Man City 28% P 28%
Draw No Bet
1.571 59%2.252 41%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65% P 66%2.62No 35% P 34%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 66% P 63%2.75Under 34% P 37%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 44% | 43% | 45% | +1.8 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | -0.8 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 30% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%
Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66% | 66% | 66% | +0.4 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Craig Pawson
- Career
- 441 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.82 (3.68 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 104 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.16 | 4.26 | -0.12 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 22.5 | 21.6 | +0.70 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.1 | +0.46 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.25 | +0.20 | 62 |
| Time added | 8.8 | 8.4 | +0.51 | 73 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 9% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.37
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 64' | 9 |
| 2026-01-10 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 57' | 9 |
| 2026-01-04 · Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 71' | 9 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 22' | 18 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 67' | 7 |
| 2025-12-13 · Liverpool | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2025-12-02 · Manchester City | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 90' | 11 |
| 2025-11-29 | – | – | 10 | – | – | 7 |
| 2025-11-08 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 36' | 16 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 58' | 12 |