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Premier League · Matchweek 31

Momentum

WOLArsenal
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Capacity
32,050
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,843

Teams

Coaches
Rob Edwards · Mikel Arteta
Position
20 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Paul Tierney

Weather

Conditions
snow
Temperature
1.0° (feels -5.2°)
Wind
8.5
Humidity
95%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 382675 712744 85 WWWWW
2 Manchester City 382396 773542 78 DWWDL
3 Manchester United 3820117 695019 71 WWDWW
4 Aston Villa 3819811 56497 65 LLDWW
5 Liverpool 3817912 635310 60 WLDLD
6 AFC Bournemouth 3813187 58544 57 DWWDD
7 Sunderland 38141212 4248-6 54 LDDWW
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38141113 52466 53 WLWLL
9 Brentford 38141113 55523 53 LWLDD
10 Chelsea 38141014 58526 52 LLDWL
11 Fulham 3815716 4751-4 52 WLLDW
12 Newcastle United 3814717 5355-2 49 LWDWL
13 Everton 38131015 4750-3 49 LDDLL
14 Leeds United 38111413 4956-7 47 DWDWL
15 Crystal Palace 38111215 4151-10 45 LDLDL
16 Nottingham Forest 38111116 4851-3 44 WWDLD
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38101117 4857-9 41 WWDLW
18 West Ham United 3810919 4665-19 39 WLLLW
19 Burnley 3841024 3875-37 22 LLDLD
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3831124 2768-41 20 LDLDD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Wolverhampton Wanderers

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 4.86–9.52 · xPts 4.56

  • W A Grimsby Town 1–0 xG 1.24–1.16 UK FA Cup
  • D A Nottingham Forest 0–0 xG 0.48–3.23 UK PL
  • L H Chelsea 1–3 xG 1.18–2.88 UK PL
  • L H AFC Bournemouth 0–2 xG 1.35–1.09 UK PL
  • L A Manchester City 0–2 xG 0.6–1.16 UK PL

Arsenal

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 3 · xG 10.15–4.41 · xPts 10.32

  • W H Wigan Athletic 4–0 xG 1.65–0.22 UK FA Cup
  • D A Brentford 1–1 xG 0.92–1.61 UK PL
  • W H Sunderland 3–0 xG 1.2–0.16 UK PL
  • W A Leeds United 4–0 xG 2.41–1.1 UK PL
  • W H Kairat 3–2 xG 3.97–1.32 UEFA CL

All meetings · 24 matches since 2003

Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 draws17 Arsenal

Goals 17–47 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Wolverhampton Wanderers 01 draws9 Arsenal

Goals 5–21 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Wolverhampton Wanderers 01 draws4 Arsenal

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–2 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Arsenal 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Arsenal 2–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–2 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Arsenal 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Arsenal 5–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–2 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Arsenal 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
MetricWolverhampton Wanderers all · 38Wolverhampton Wanderers at home · 19Arsenal all · 38Arsenal away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.530.742.242.00
W / D / L3 / 11 / 243 / 5 / 1126 / 7 / 511 / 5 / 3
Goals for / match0.711.001.871.58
Goals against / match1.791.790.710.84
Clean sheets10%16%50%42%
Failed to score50%37%8%10%
Both teams scored45%53%47%53%
Over 2.545%47%53%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.961.081.871.66
xG against / match1.641.490.881.04
xG difference-0.68-0.420.990.62
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.080.00-0.08
xPts / match1.001.151.981.76
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.420.260.24
Game state
Scored first21%32%71%58%
PPG when scoring first1.631.832.742.64
PPG when conceding first0.180.171.001.14
Came back from behind17%15%50%57%
Leads held38%50%87%79%
Minutes leading9%13%42%37%
Minutes level48%51%49%55%
Minutes trailing42%35%8%8%
First goal (min)44403838
First goal conceded (min)39424947
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%47%58%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%50%63%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.260.420.26
Late goals against0.390.420.240.32
Style
Possession43%44%56%56%
Shots9.710.214.613.1
On target3.23.64.94.8
Shot conversion7%10%13%12%
Shots inside box64%64%73%77%
Big chances created1.51.83.13.4
Corners3.43.15.75.5
xG from set plays40%39%37%32%
Goals from headers19%11%26%30%
Pressure index7.58.822.217.6
Dominant minutes33.538.965.958.5
Pass accuracy79%79%84%82%
Fouls13.012.510.310.6
Cards2.181.631.341.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0–15'39
16–30'310
31–45'715
46–60'45
61–75'314
76–90'715

Arsenal

0–15'82
16–30'62
31–45'166
46–60'153
61–75'105
76–90'169

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wolverhampton Wanderers · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.173
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.262

Game state

When ahead+0.205
When level+0.206
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.165
10 min after scoring+0.446

Situations

At home-0.062
Away+0.244
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.033
As favourite+0.214

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.00 · Behind vs level -0.26

Arsenal · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: v top-tier opponents +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.565
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435

Game state

When ahead+0.275
When level+0.625
10 min after scoring+0.555

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+0.543
3 days rest or fewer+0.632
4+ days rest+0.513

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.683
v mid-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.565

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.355
Conceded when ahead-0.355
Conceded late (76+)-0.354

Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +1.76

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-112 32%0.580.921.921.171.7
3-5-29 24%0.670.671.220.921.2
3-4-35 13%0.00.42.00.781.47
4-3-34 10%0.51.01.751.211.09
5-3-23 8%0.00.02.670.572.13

Arsenal

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-324 63%2.171.670.631.830.88
4-2-3-114 37%2.362.210.861.940.89

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

12.0Home 8% P 8%6.5Draw 15% P 15%1.22Away 78% P 78%

Double Chance

3.5Wolverhampton or Draw 14% P 12%1.14Wolverhampton or Arsenal 41% P 42%1.05Draw or Arsenal 45% P 46%

Draw No Bet

8.01 12%1.082 88%

Both Teams To Score

2.37Yes 39% P 39%1.53No 61% P 61%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 39%1.72Under 54% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home8%8%7%-1.0
Draw15%15%12%-3.0
Away78%77%81%+4.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes39%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Paul Tierney

Career
356 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Premier League (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.034.26-0.3627
Fouls / match21.421.6+0.15
Fouls per card5.45.1+0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.25-0.6031
Time added8.18.4-0.0823
First card
35' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 30 290 30'7
2026-02-11 40 180 30'5
2026-02-02 50 220 45'8
2026-01-19 50 131 56'13
2026-01-09 50 220 87'6
2026-01-04 20 250 34'7
2025-12-29 50 270 59'6
2025-12-20 20 260 28'7
2025-12-06 70 230 15'6
2025-11-21 10 140 90'8