Rating 7.14 (95th pct) · G+A 15 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (31) · 1.14 without (7)
Premier League · Matchweek 33
Momentum
– ChelseaMUN –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Chelsea | at home | Stat | league | away | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.7 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.8 #8 |
| 13.4 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 15.7 #1 |
| 4.4 #9 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.7 #1 |
| 6.0 #4 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 4.8 #14 |
| 11.1 #6 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.3 #14 |
| 1.5 #10 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #16 |
| 15.6 #14 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 18.2 #5 |
| 100.9 #4 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 98.1 #6 |
| 54.0 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 48.8 #10 |
| 540.4 #2 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 465.6 #7 |
| 2.5 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #15 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| 1.0 #6 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.2 #3 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #15 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #5 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #3 |
| -0.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #7 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #17 |
| 1.5 #5 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 #3 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 #14 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 10.0 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.7 #9 |
| – #10 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #17 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #8 |
| 6.8 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #2 |
| 4.4 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.3 #5 |
| 8.9 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 10.3 #3 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.7 #3 |
| 4.5 #7 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 5.4 #3 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Chelsea · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.05 (88th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (32) · 1.83 without (6)
Rating 6.96 (71th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (19% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.43 ppg with (30) · 1.12 without (8)
Manchester United · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.77 (100th pct) · G+A 9 + 21 (43% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 7.0 (79th pct) · G+A 11 + 3 (20% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 2.06 ppg with (31) · 1.0 without (7)
Rating 7.15 (96th pct) · G+A 10 + 2 (17% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (29) · 2.33 without (9)
Absences
Chelsea
- injury Caleb Wiley defender · Adductor Injury · 50 missed
Manchester United
- injury Matthijs de Ligt #11 key player defender · Back Injury · 27 missed · until 2026-09-01
- suspension Lisandro Martínez #14 key player defender · Red Card Suspension · 3 missed · until 2026-05-04
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 33
Venue
- Stadium
- Stamford Bridge, London
- Capacity
- 34,915
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 39,733
Teams
- Coaches
- Liam Rosenior · Michael Carrick
- Position
- 6 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Michael Oliver
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 11.6° (feels 10.6°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 67%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Chelsea
LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 9.84–5.36 · xPts 8.64
- L
H
Manchester City
0–3
xG 1.12–2.03
UK PL
- W
H
Port Vale
7–0
xG 4.3–0.12
UK FA Cup - L
A
Everton
0–3
xG 0.77–1.26
UK PL
- L
H
Paris Saint Germain
0–3
xG 1.7–1.1
UEFA CL - L
H
Newcastle United
0–1
xG 1.94–0.85
UK PL
DLWWLLLLWL 3W 1D 6L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 19 GA 21 · xG 19.36–11.93 · xPts 17.17
- L
H
Manchester City
0–3
xG 1.12–2.03
UK PL
- W
H
Port Vale
7–0
xG 4.3–0.12
UK FA Cup
- L
A
Everton
0–3
xG 0.77–1.26
UK PL
- L
H
Paris Saint Germain
0–3
xG 1.7–1.1
UEFA CL
- L
H
Newcastle United
0–1
xG 1.94–0.85
UK PL
- L
A
Paris Saint Germain
2–5
xG 1.06–0.93
UEFA CL
- W
A
Wrexham
4–2 aet
xG 2.09–1.84
UK FA Cup - W
A
Aston Villa
4–1
xG 3.03–1.05
UK PL
- L
A
Arsenal
1–2
xG 1.15–1.69
UK PL
- D
H
Burnley
1–1
xG 2.19–1.07
UK PL
Manchester United
WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 8.95–8.73 · xPts 7.34
- L
H
Leeds United
1–2
xG 2.06–2.73
UK PL
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 2.14–1.96
UK PL
- W
H
Aston Villa
3–1
xG 1.24–0.76
UK PL
- L
A
Newcastle United
1–2
xG 1.31–2.67
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.21–0.62
UK PL
WWWDWWLWDL 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 19 GA 13 · xG 15.23–16.13 · xPts 13.6
- L
H
Leeds United
1–2
xG 2.06–2.73
UK PL
- D
A
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
xG 2.14–1.96
UK PL
- W
H
Aston Villa
3–1
xG 1.24–0.76
UK PL
- L
A
Newcastle United
1–2
xG 1.31–2.67
UK PL
- W
H
Crystal Palace
2–1
xG 2.21–0.62
UK PL
- W
A
Everton
1–0
xG 1.41–0.86
UK PL
- D
A
West Ham United
1–1
xG 0.86–1.34
UK PL
- W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–0
xG 1.66–0.85
UK PL
- W
H
Fulham
3–2
xG 1.64–2.45
UK PL
- W
A
Arsenal
3–2
xG 0.71–1.9
UK PL
All meetings · 62 matches since 2000
Goals 74–76 · 2.42 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–16 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 1–0 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Manchester United 1–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 4–3 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- L Manchester United 4–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 1–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
- D Manchester United 1–1 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 1–1 Manchester United UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Chelsea all · 38 | Chelsea at home · 19 | Manchester United all · 38 | Manchester United away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 10 / 14 | 7 / 5 / 7 | 20 / 11 / 7 | 7 / 8 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.53 | 1.37 | 1.82 | 1.58 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 26% | 21% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 58% | 71% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 58% | 63% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | 0.43 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.28 | -0.61 | -0.01 | 0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.60 | 1.73 | 1.61 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | -0.36 | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 45% | 63% | 63% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.12 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 2.11 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 22% | 56% | 64% |
| Leads held | 64% | 50% | 71% | 58% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 34% | 37% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 47% | 45% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 19% | 18% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 32 | 38 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 46 | 49 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 58% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 64% | 68% | 65% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.4 | 15.2 | 15.7 | 13.5 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 61% | 66% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 31% | 28% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 23% | 23% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 17.2 | 18.9 | 16.5 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.3 | 62.4 | 53.9 | 49.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 10.8 | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.89 | 2.53 | 1.79 | 1.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'611
16–30'76
31–45'137
46–60'148
61–75'99
76–90'911
Manchester United
0–15'85
16–30'75
31–45'146
46–60'1311
61–75'118
76–90'1615
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Chelsea · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214
Game state
When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274
Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24
Manchester United · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.84
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.515
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042
Game state
When ahead+0.483
When level+0.305
When behind+0.313
10 min after conceding-0.054
10 min after scoring+0.843
Situations
At home+0.313
Away+0.372
4+ days rest+0.524
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.152
v mid-tier opponents+0.793
As favourite+0.524
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.023
Congested vs rested -0.75 · Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.01
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 84% | 1.44 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.82 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 |
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 53% | 2.2 | 1.85 | 1.05 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 47% | 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.61 | 2.01 | 1.33 |
| Metric | Chelsea all · 10 | Chelsea at home · 10 | Manchester United all · 10 | Manchester United away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.82 | 2.21 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.16 | 1.13 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | -0.11 | 0.67 | 1.08 | -0.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.30 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.19 |
| xPts / match | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | -0.35 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.17 | 2.60 | 2.67 | 2.20 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 17% | 33% | 50% |
| Leads held | 67% | 80% | 86% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 37% | 46% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 32% | 29% | 41% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 34% | 13% | 13% |
| First goal (min) | 26 | 24 | 24 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 39 | 54 | 48 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 47% | 50% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 75% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 14.5 | 18.5 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 63% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 32% | 19% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 18% | 14% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 14.8 | 15.6 | 10.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.5 | 54.3 | 56.8 | 47.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% | 86% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 3.30 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'53
16–30'24
31–45'32
46–60'24
61–75'33
76–90'11
Manchester United
0–15'40
16–30'12
31–45'61
46–60'44
61–75'30
76–90'45
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| Metric | Chelsea all · 53 | Chelsea at home · 27 | Manchester United all · 40 | Manchester United away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 40 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 10 / 19 | 13 / 5 / 9 | 21 / 11 / 8 | 7 / 8 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.93 | 1.63 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 30% | 22% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 18% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 52% | 70% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 63% | 65% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.85 | 2.03 | 1.84 | 1.55 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.21 | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.52 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.78 | 1.66 | 1.39 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.15 | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 70% | 60% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.11 | 2.42 | 2.11 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.62 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 34% | 25% | 56% | 64% |
| Leads held | 69% | 62% | 72% | 58% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 42% | 37% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 39% | 44% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 28 | 39 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 43 | 49 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 46% | 58% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 57% | 65% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 53% | 54% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 15.0 | 16.3 | 14.2 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 63% | 64% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.9 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 31% | 27% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 19% | 22% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | 20.8 | 17.2 | 15.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.6 | 62.5 | 55.2 | 51.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.64 | 2.33 | 1.95 | 1.79 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'1113
16–30'1611
31–45'1913
46–60'2012
61–75'1513
76–90'1515
Manchester United
0–15'85
16–30'76
31–45'177
46–60'1310
61–75'146
76–90'1818
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Chelsea · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3253
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1653
Late push (76+, level)+0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0219
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4153
When behind+0.1229
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.5445
Situations
With ten men-0.077
Against ten men+0.503
At home+0.3027
Away+0.3426
3 days rest or fewer+0.3921
4+ days rest+0.2732
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1732
v mid-tier opponents+0.3010
v bottom-tier opponents+1.433
As favourite+0.4835
Evenly matched+0.1411
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0653
Conceded when ahead-0.1434
Conceded late (76+)-0.3045
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.29
Manchester United · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2240
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2640
Late push (76+, level)+0.3216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2012
Game state
When ahead+0.0529
When level+0.2640
When behind+0.4618
10 min after conceding-0.0731
10 min after scoring+0.4736
Situations
With ten men+0.093
Against ten men-0.176
At home+0.2121
Away+0.2419
3 days rest or fewer+0.384
4+ days rest+0.2036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1024
v mid-tier opponents+0.4411
As favourite+0.4125
Evenly matched-0.199
As underdog+0.106
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0140
Conceded when ahead+0.0929
Conceded late (76+)-0.0537
Congested vs rested +0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.20
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 41 77% | 1.56 | 1.73 | 1.29 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
Manchester United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 26 65% | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.15 | 1.8 | 1.32 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 14 35% | 1.64 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.24 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.1Home 45% P 46%3.6Draw 26% P 25%3.25Away 29% P 28%
Double Chance
1.33Chelsea or Draw 35%1.28Chelsea or Man Utd 37%1.7Draw or Man Utd 28%
Draw No Bet
1.531 61%2.372 39%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
4.51.8Over 51% P 51%1.9Under 49% P 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 50% | +4.6 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | -2.4 |
| Away | 28% | 28% | 26% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Michael Oliver
- Career
- 622 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.38 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.81 | 4.26 | -0.77 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 22.0 | 21.6 | +0.45 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.1 | +1.02 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.22 | 0.25 | -0.46 | 38 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 8.4 | -0.08 | 23 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.11
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 77' | 7 |
| 2026-04-07 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 37' | 5 |
| 2026-04-04 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 24' | 3 |
| 2026-03-22 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 53' | 7 |
| 2026-03-19 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 30' | 7 |
| 2026-03-14 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 11' | 8 |
| 2026-02-24 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 90' | 9 |
| 2026-02-21 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 62' | 12 |
| 2026-02-07 · Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 27' | 10 |
| 2026-01-31 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 45' | 6 |