Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 27 + 8 (45% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Premier League · Matchweek 33
Momentum
– MCIArsenal –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Manchester City | at home | Stat | league | away | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.5 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 56.2 #4 |
| 15.6 #2 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 14.6 #4 |
| 5.4 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.9 #3 |
| 6.4 #1 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.7 #5 |
| 9.7 #20 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.3 #14 |
| 1.2 #19 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #7 |
| 14.4 #19 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.8 #13 |
| 113.0 #1 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 101.2 #3 |
| 64.7 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 60.0 #2 |
| 588.0 #1 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 470.9 #6 |
| 1.8 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.4 #20 |
| 1.5 #1 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.4 #2 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #17 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #1 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #18 |
| 1.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #6 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #20 |
| 2.0 #1 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.9 #19 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 #20 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.1 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 7.3 #18 |
| – #19 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #20 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #8 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #2 |
| 4.5 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 4.3 #4 |
| 11.3 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 10.7 #2 |
| 5.8 #2 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.4 #4 |
| 4.3 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 3.9 #12 |
| – #2 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Manchester City · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 2.07 without (15)
Rating 7.28 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 12 (21% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 2.16 ppg with (19) · 1.95 without (19)
Arsenal · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.33 (98th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 7.22 (93th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 2.44 ppg with (25) · 1.85 without (13)
Rating 7.18 (99th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.2 ppg with (30) · 2.38 without (8)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 33
Venue
- Stadium
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- Capacity
- 52,900
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 52,523
Teams
- Coaches
- Pep Guardiola · Mikel Arteta
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Anthony Taylor
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 11.8° (feels 10.6°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 57%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Manchester City
LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 10.0–7.72 · xPts 8.19
- W
A
Chelsea
3–0
xG 2.03–1.12
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
4–0
xG 1.86–1.65
UK FA Cup
- L
H
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.47–2.76
UEFA CL - D
A
West Ham United
1–1
xG 2.81–0.24
UK PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
0–3
xG 0.83–1.95
UEFA CL
WWWDWLDLWW 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 19 GA 10 · xG 22.23–13.19 · xPts 19.07
- W
A
Chelsea
3–0
xG 2.03–1.12
UK PL
- W
H
Liverpool
4–0
xG 1.86–1.65
UK FA Cup
- L
H
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.47–2.76
UEFA CL
- D
A
West Ham United
1–1
xG 2.81–0.24
UK PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
0–3
xG 0.83–1.95
UEFA CL
- W
A
Newcastle United
3–1
xG 3.19–1.15
UK FA Cup
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
2–2
xG 2.64–1.04
UK PL
- W
A
Leeds United
1–0
xG 2.2–1.99
UK PL
- W
H
Newcastle United
2–1
xG 1.86–0.85
UK PL
- W
H
Salford City
2–0
xG 2.34–0.44
UK FA Cup
Arsenal
WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 9.01–4.21 · xPts 10.05
- D
H
Sporting CP
0–0
xG 1.26–0.36
UEFA CL - L
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
xG 2.72–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Sporting CP
1–0
xG 1.17–1.06
UEFA CL
- L
A
Southampton
1–2
xG 1.82–0.81
UK FA Cup - W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
xG 2.02–0.64
UEFA CL
WWWDWWLWLD 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 7 · xG 16.97–10.41 · xPts 18.0
- D
H
Sporting CP
0–0
xG 1.26–0.36
UEFA CL
- L
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
xG 2.72–1.34
UK PL
- W
A
Sporting CP
1–0
xG 1.17–1.06
UEFA CL
- L
A
Southampton
1–2
xG 1.82–0.81
UK FA Cup
- W
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
xG 2.02–0.64
UEFA CL
- W
H
Everton
2–0
xG 1.99–1.03
UK PL
- D
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
xG 1.61–0.73
UEFA CL
- W
A
Mansfield Town
2–1
xG 2.22–2.32
UK FA Cup - W
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
xG 0.45–0.98
UK PL
- W
H
Chelsea
2–1
xG 1.69–1.15
UK PL
All meetings · 53 matches since 2000
Goals 77–76 · 2.89 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–13 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- D Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- L Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- D Manchester City 2–2 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- D Manchester City 0–0 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- L Arsenal 1–0 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 4–1 Arsenal UK PL · Regular Season
- W Arsenal 1–3 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Manchester City 1–0 Arsenal UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- W Arsenal 1–2 Manchester City UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Manchester City all · 38 | Manchester City at home · 19 | Arsenal all · 38 | Arsenal away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.05 | 2.37 | 2.24 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 9 / 6 | 14 / 3 / 2 | 26 / 7 / 5 | 11 / 5 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.03 | 2.37 | 1.87 | 1.58 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.71 | 0.84 |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 47% | 50% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 5% | 8% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 47% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 74% | 53% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.01 | 1.87 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | 1.15 | 0.88 | 1.04 |
| xG difference | 0.68 | 0.86 | 0.99 | 0.62 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.36 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.79 | 1.90 | 1.98 | 1.76 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 82% | 95% | 71% | 58% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.35 | 2.50 | 2.74 | 2.64 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 0% | 50% | 57% |
| Leads held | 72% | 78% | 87% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 47% | 56% | 42% | 37% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 39% | 49% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 8% | 5% | 8% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 26 | 38 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 44 | 49 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 42% | 58% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 57% | 63% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 60% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 15.6 | 16.4 | 14.6 | 13.1 |
| On target | 5.4 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 73% | 73% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 22% | 37% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 16% | 26% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 22.4 | 26.5 | 22.2 | 17.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.5 | 69.2 | 65.9 | 58.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 84% | 82% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.8 | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.53 | 1.34 | 1.79 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'90
16–30'104
31–45'226
46–60'97
61–75'1411
76–90'137
Arsenal
0–15'82
16–30'62
31–45'166
46–60'153
61–75'105
76–90'169
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester City · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.415
Early press (0-15, level)+0.025
Game state
When ahead+0.395
When level+0.535
10 min after conceding-0.042
10 min after scoring+0.605
Situations
At home+0.222
Away+0.543
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.443
v mid-tier opponents+0.362
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.385
Conceded when ahead-0.435
Conceded late (76+)-0.525
Congested vs rested +0.49 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.43
Arsenal · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: v top-tier opponents +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.565
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Game state
When ahead+0.275
When level+0.625
10 min after scoring+0.555
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+0.543
3 days rest or fewer+0.632
4+ days rest+0.513
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.683
v mid-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.565
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.355
Conceded when ahead-0.355
Conceded late (76+)-0.354
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +1.76
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 12 32% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 8 21% | 2.38 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 7 18% | 2.14 | 1.86 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.26 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 13% | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 2.25 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.23 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 24 63% | 2.17 | 1.67 | 0.63 | 1.83 | 0.88 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 37% | 2.36 | 2.21 | 0.86 | 1.94 | 0.89 |
| Metric | Manchester City all · 10 | Manchester City at home · 10 | Arsenal all · 10 | Arsenal away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 1 / 1 | 7 / 1 / 2 | 9 / 1 / 0 | 6 / 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 0.50 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% | 70% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 90% | 30% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 2.08 | 1.84 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 0.91 | 1.16 | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| xG difference | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.98 | 0.52 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.02 | -0.34 | -0.54 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 1.94 | 1.98 | 1.67 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.82 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 70% | 90% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.63 | 2.29 | 2.78 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Leads held | 89% | 78% | 90% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 55% | 54% | 71% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 12% | 2% | 7% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | 43 | 44 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 41 | 52 | 52 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 74% | 57% | 53% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 67% | 67% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 62% | 62% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 15.1 | 17.9 | 14.5 | 13.4 |
| On target | 5.7 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 71% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 19% | 7% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 20.5 | 15.7 | 14.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 65.9 | 68.7 | 60.2 | 55.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 8.9 | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'00
16–30'31
31–45'21
46–60'52
61–75'21
76–90'70
Arsenal
0–15'21
16–30'20
31–45'30
46–60'50
61–75'11
76–90'21
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 3.0 | 2.17 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.57 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 2.03 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 1.56 | 0.33 | 1.89 | 0.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.39 |
| Metric | Manchester City all · 55 | Manchester City at home · 28 | Arsenal all · 57 | Arsenal away · 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 28 | 57 | 30 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.46 | 2.35 | 2.17 |
| W / D / L | 37 / 10 / 8 | 22 / 3 / 3 | 41 / 11 / 5 | 19 / 8 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.13 | 2.57 | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| Goals against / match | 0.91 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 46% | 51% | 43% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 50% | 49% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 68% | 53% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.05 | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.14 | 1.02 | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| xG difference | 0.77 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.52 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.86 | 2.02 | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 86% | 74% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.54 | 2.63 | 2.74 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.23 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 40% | 62% | 67% |
| Leads held | 80% | 85% | 87% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 54% | 43% | 37% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 39% | 50% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 30 | 39 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 48 | 41 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 47% | 56% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 65% | 58% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 62% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 16.0 | 17.3 | 15.1 | 13.7 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 71% | 72% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 24% | 33% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 15% | 22% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 23.2 | 27.4 | 22.8 | 19.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.6 | 70.4 | 66.2 | 61.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.4 | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.76 | 1.32 | 1.42 | 1.73 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Manchester City
0–15'130
16–30'1614
31–45'295
46–60'2010
61–75'1611
76–90'2310
Arsenal
0–15'155
16–30'143
31–45'208
46–60'216
61–75'206
76–90'2010
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Manchester City · 55 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.63) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6155
Late push (76+, level)+0.7616
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2512
Game state
When ahead+0.6946
When level+0.6455
When behind+0.3415
10 min after conceding+0.1131
10 min after scoring+0.8050
Situations
With ten men+0.473
Against ten men+0.982
At home+0.7328
Away+0.5327
3 days rest or fewer+0.6819
4+ days rest+0.6036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.5835
v mid-tier opponents+0.7310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.922
As favourite+0.6850
Evenly matched+0.364
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2955
Conceded when ahead-0.3546
Conceded late (76+)-0.3047
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.29
Arsenal · 57 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.86
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5957
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4557
Late push (76+, level)+0.1419
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.867
Game state
When ahead+0.6047
When level+0.5557
When behind+0.7713
10 min after conceding+0.4327
10 min after scoring+0.8354
Situations
Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.7027
Away+0.4930
3 days rest or fewer+0.7224
4+ days rest+0.5033
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4833
v mid-tier opponents+0.7812
v bottom-tier opponents+0.263
As favourite+0.6351
Evenly matched+0.355
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2557
Conceded when ahead-0.3047
Conceded late (76+)-0.4048
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.23
Manchester City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 18 · clean sheets 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 15 27% | 1.93 | 2.27 | 0.8 | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 27% | 2.67 | 2.27 | 0.6 | 2.15 | 1.01 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 9 16% | 2.44 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 2.09 | 1.09 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 8 14% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.16 |
Arsenal
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 51% | 2.34 | 1.9 | 0.66 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 47% | 2.33 | 1.96 | 0.67 | 1.9 | 0.82 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.22 | 2.32 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.85Home 51% P 52%3.7Draw 26% P 27%4.1Away 23% P 22%
Double Chance
1.22Man City or Draw 39%1.28Man City or Arsenal 37%1.9Draw or Arsenal 25%
Draw No Bet
1.361 69%3.02 31%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 52% | 51% | 55% | +3.6 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 26% | -1.4 |
| Away | 22% | 21% | 19% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Anthony Taylor
- Career
- 626 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.88 (3.7 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.6 · 4.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 50%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 134 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.4 | 4.26 | +0.34 | 58 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 21.6 | -0.33 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.60 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.25 | +0.61 | 73 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 8.4 | +0.26 | 54 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.25
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 45' | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | – | – | 14 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-03-22 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 44' | 11 |
| 2026-03-19 | 8 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 7' | 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 41' | 12 |
| 2026-03-08 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 30' | 12 |
| 2026-02-26 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 36' | 12 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 20' | 9 |
| 2026-02-10 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 41' | 11 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 35' | 7 |