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Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

Momentum

PSVAjax
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Capacity
36,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
35,700

Teams

Coaches
Peter Bosz · John Heitinga
Position
2 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Serdar Gözübüyük

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
17.9° (feels 17.1°)
Wind
5.5
Humidity
53%

Where to watch · 115

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

PSV

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 10 · xG 10.26–8.51 · xPts 8.14

  • L H Union Saint-Gilloise 1–3 xG 1.89–2.83 UEFA CL
  • W A NEC Nijmegen 5–3 xG 1.81–1.95 NLD E
  • L H Telstar 0–2 xG 2.08–1.22 NLD E
  • W H FC Groningen 4–2 xG 2.57–1.51 NLD E
  • W A FC Twente 2–0 xG 1.91–1.0 NLD E

Ajax

DWDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 9.23–3.82 · xPts 10.09

  • L H Inter 0–2 xG 0.92–1.63 UEFA CL
  • W H PEC Zwolle 3–1 xG 2.01–0.56 NLD E
  • D A FC Volendam 1–1 xG 1.17–0.58 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 2–0 xG 3.03–0.3 NLD E
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 xG 2.1–0.75 NLD E

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

PSV 1512 draws16 Ajax

Goals 66–69 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

PSV 43 draws3 Ajax

Goals 21–16 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

PSV 12 draws2 Ajax

Goals 9–10 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Ajax 1–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Ajax 2–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PSV 2–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 3–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Ajax 1–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PSV 5–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PSV 3–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 1–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
MetricPSV all · 34PSV at home · 17Ajax all · 36Ajax away · 17
Results
Matches34173617
Points per game2.472.411.671.47
W / D / L27 / 3 / 413 / 2 / 215 / 15 / 65 / 10 / 2
Goals for / match2.973.411.811.76
Goals against / match1.321.531.171.41
Clean sheets21%12%31%24%
Failed to score3%6%8%12%
Both teams scored76%82%67%76%
Over 2.585%94%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.242.471.721.39
xG against / match1.161.181.481.61
xG difference1.081.290.24-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.730.950.080.37
xPts / match2.002.121.521.27
Points vs xPts0.470.290.150.20
Game state
Scored first71%71%58%41%
PPG when scoring first2.752.672.241.86
PPG when conceding first1.801.800.851.25
Came back from behind64%67%60%80%
Leads held90%87%62%50%
Minutes leading52%54%37%27%
Minutes level35%28%46%49%
Minutes trailing13%19%16%24%
First goal (min)24203438
First goal conceded (min)36364134
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%52%42%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%46%58%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.760.330.18
Late goals against0.210.240.280.29
Style
Possession61%63%56%56%
Shots17.619.114.913.4
On target7.27.45.95.2
Shot conversion17%18%12%13%
Shots inside box69%67%68%66%
Big chances created4.34.22.82.4
Corners7.17.64.94.4
xG from set plays23%25%20%16%
Goals from headers25%21%16%21%
Pressure index22.826.616.013.5
Dominant minutes66.873.556.748.6
Pass accuracy86%87%85%84%
Fouls10.39.810.39.8
Cards1.561.121.812.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PSV

0–15'166
16–30'176
31–45'1711
46–60'174
61–75'1211
76–90'227

Ajax

0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PSV · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.576
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.457
10 min after scoring+1.237

Situations

At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.606

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466

Congested vs rested +0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

PSV

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 59%2.53.051.22.241.06
4-3-311 32%2.272.731.552.191.34
4-4-22 6%3.02.50.52.670.77
3-2-4-11 3%3.05.03.01.811.95

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-325 69%1.61.881.161.811.52
4-2-3-18 22%1.381.381.381.541.38
5-4-12 6%3.02.00.01.261.64
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.02.01.841.02

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 60%4.5Draw 21% P 22%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18PSV or Draw 40% P 41%1.18PSV or Ajax 40% P 39%2.3Draw or Ajax 20% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 67%2.62No 35% P 33%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.1Under 30% P 30%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%59%60%+1.3
Draw22%23%24%+1.3
Away19%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes67%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%69%69%+0.6

Serdar Gözübüyük

Career
414 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.71 (3.53 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.943.32+1.2095
Fouls / match22.320.3+0.85
Fouls per card5.86.2-0.92 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.24-0.0748
Time added6.06.4-0.8510
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 20 210 20'11
2025-08-31 31 140 24'6
2025-08-21 61 230 12'10
2025-08-15 60 230 11'5
2025-08-10 40 231 35'4
2025-08-06 91 371 15'9
2025-05-18 · PSV 30 170 42'4
2025-05-14 40 200 29'4
2025-05-11 · Ajax 70 240 27'5
2025-05-03 10 181 18'3