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Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

Momentum

TelstarHEE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
BUKO Stadion, Velsen
Capacity
3,200
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
5,293

Teams

Coaches
Anthony Correia · Robin Veldman
Position
15 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Dennis Higler

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
11.7° (feels 10.4°)
Wind
7.0
Humidity
57%

Where to watch · 75

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Telstar

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 7.23–11.27 · xPts 5.18

  • L A AZ Alkmaar 1–2 xG 1.11–4.53 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 4–2 xG 2.94–1.74 NLD E
  • L A FC Groningen 0–2 xG 0.63–1.72 NLD E
  • L H Fortuna Sittard 1–3 xG 1.33–1.2 NLD E
  • W A PSV 2–0 xG 1.22–2.08 NLD E

SC Heerenveen

DLWDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 9.81–7.3 · xPts 8.55

  • W H Excelsior 2–1 xG 2.4–1.4 NLD E
  • D A FC Utrecht 2–2 xG 1.04–2.64 NLD E
  • W H NEC Nijmegen 3–2 xG 2.58–0.97 NLD E
  • L A Feyenoord 0–1 xG 1.46–0.97 NLD E
  • D H Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 xG 2.33–1.32 NLD E

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Telstar 01 draws2 SC Heerenveen

Goals 2–6 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Telstar 01 draws2 SC Heerenveen

Goals 2–6 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Telstar 01 draws2 SC Heerenveen

Goals 2–6 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • D SC Heerenveen 0–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L SC Heerenveen 3–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Telstar 2–3 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
MetricTelstar all · 34Telstar at home · 17SC Heerenveen all · 35SC Heerenveen away · 18
Results
Matches34173518
Points per game1.091.181.461.17
W / D / L9 / 10 / 155 / 5 / 714 / 9 / 126 / 3 / 9
Goals for / match1.441.821.691.44
Goals against / match1.621.651.601.78
Clean sheets15%12%14%17%
Failed to score24%18%23%28%
Both teams scored65%71%66%56%
Over 2.559%71%71%72%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.611.801.54
xG against / match1.901.631.531.91
xG difference-0.47-0.010.27-0.37
Finishing vs xG0.010.21-0.12-0.09
xPts / match1.151.391.581.26
Points vs xPts-0.06-0.22-0.13-0.10
Game state
Scored first47%53%40%39%
PPG when scoring first1.811.892.142.14
PPG when conceding first0.410.381.000.55
Came back from behind17%12%48%31%
Leads held50%50%64%60%
Minutes leading24%30%28%24%
Minutes level44%43%43%45%
Minutes trailing32%27%29%30%
First goal (min)45423836
First goal conceded (min)40413838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%58%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%55%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.590.370.28
Late goals against0.500.530.310.28
Style
Possession45%47%51%50%
Shots12.813.514.913.7
On target4.95.45.44.9
Shot conversion11%14%11%11%
Shots inside box66%67%67%66%
Big chances created3.13.52.62.3
Corners4.75.45.65.2
xG from set plays31%31%21%18%
Goals from headers20%23%5%4%
Pressure index8.09.012.410.9
Dominant minutes37.041.849.445.9
Pass accuracy76%77%80%78%
Fouls11.310.410.911.7
Cards1.351.291.691.61

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

SC Heerenveen

0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

SC Heerenveen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274

Situations

At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256

Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

SC Heerenveen

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 97%1.51.741.621.811.55
4-4-21 3%0.00.01.01.460.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 31%3.6Draw 26% P 26%2.25Away 42% P 43%

Double Chance

1.61Telstar or Draw 29% P 29%1.28Telstar or Heerenveen 37% P 37%1.4Draw or Heerenveen 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 65%2.5No 38% P 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.35Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.1
Draw26%26%26%+0.2
Away43%43%43%-0.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes65%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Dennis Higler

Career
328 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.523.32+0.3368
Fouls / match22.220.3+0.83
Fouls per card6.66.2+0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.24+0.6973
Time added6.76.4+0.4473
First card
42' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 13 4
2025-09-20 30 250 45'9
2025-08-24 · SC Heerenveen 71 290 9'6
2025-08-16 20 250 5'8
2025-07-31 22 6
2025-05-14 10 200 90'18
2025-05-10 30 240 45'7
2025-04-25 20 230 46'5
2025-04-11 20 230 65'10
2025-03-16 62 180 22'7