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Eredivisie · Matchweek 10

Momentum

HEENAC Breda
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Capacity
27,224
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,200

Teams

Coaches
Robin Veldman · Carl Hoefkens
Position
11 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Martin van den Kerkhof

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
9.1° (feels 5.2°)
Wind
12.8
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 253

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
  • Armenia Setanta Sports 1
  • Aruba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Azerbaijan Setanta Sports 1
  • Bahrain STARZPLAY
  • Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Belarus Setanta Sports 1
  • Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
  • Benin ESPN Africa
  • Bolivia Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Botswana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 4 · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
  • Bulgaria Voyo Sport
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Burundi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cameroon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Central African Republic ESPN Africa
  • Chad DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Chile Disney+ Chile · ESPN2 Chile
  • Colombia Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Croatia Sportklub 1 Croatia · Sportklub 9 Croatia
  • Cuba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Denmark Viaplay Denmark
  • Djibouti DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Dominica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Norte · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte
  • Ecuador Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Egypt STARZPLAY
  • El Salvador Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Equatorial Guinea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Eritrea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Estonia Setanta Sports 1
  • Eswatini DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ethiopia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay
  • Gabon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Gambia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Georgia Setanta Sports 1 · Silk Sport HD 1 · Silk Sport HD 2
  • Germany DAZN
  • Ghana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Grenada Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guatemala Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Guinea-Bissau DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Haiti Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Iceland Viaplay Iceland
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
  • Iraq STARZPLAY
  • Israel Sport 1 · Sport 2 · Sport 4
  • Ivory Coast DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Jamaica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Jordan STARZPLAY
  • Kazakhstan Setanta Sports 1
  • Kenya DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Kuwait STARZPLAY
  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
  • Lebanon STARZPLAY
  • Lesotho DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Liberia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Libya STARZPLAY
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Lithuania · Setanta Sports 1
  • Madagascar DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malawi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malaysia Astro Go · sooka
  • Mali DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Martinique Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Mauritania DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Mauritius DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Mayotte ESPN Africa
  • Mexico Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
  • Moldova Setanta Sports 1
  • Montenegro SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Namibia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 · ESPN 2 Netherlands · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Paraguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Peru Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Poland ESPN Africa · Polsat Box GO · Polsat Sport 1
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Qatar STARZPLAY
  • Romania Prima Play · Prima Sport 2 · Prima Sport 3
  • Rwanda ESPN Africa
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saint Lucia Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY
  • Senegal DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Serbia SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Seychelles DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Sierra Leone DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Slovakia Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
  • Slovenia SportKlub 1 Slovenia · Sportklub 2 Slovenia · Sportklub 3 Slovenia
  • Somalia STARZPLAY
  • South Africa ESPN Africa
  • South Sudan DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Spain Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
  • Tanzania DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Togo DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

SC Heerenveen

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 9.7–8.31 · xPts 7.91

  • W A Telstar 3–2 xG 2.22–2.33 NLD E
  • W H Excelsior 2–1 xG 2.4–1.4 NLD E
  • D A FC Utrecht 2–2 xG 1.04–2.64 NLD E
  • W H NEC Nijmegen 3–2 xG 2.58–0.97 NLD E
  • L A Feyenoord 0–1 xG 1.46–0.97 NLD E

NAC Breda

DWLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 8.81–7.5 · xPts 7.62

  • D H PEC Zwolle 2–2 xG 2.85–1.23 NLD E
  • L H FC Groningen 1–2 xG 1.13–1.29 NLD E
  • L A Ajax 1–2 xG 1.76–1.78 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 2–1 xG 2.13–1.09 NLD E
  • D A FC Twente 2–2 xG 0.95–2.1 NLD E

All meetings · 30 matches since 2005

SC Heerenveen 187 draws5 NAC Breda

Goals 59–33 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

SC Heerenveen 52 draws3 NAC Breda

Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

SC Heerenveen 31 draws1 NAC Breda

Goals 13–8 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L NAC Breda 2–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D SC Heerenveen 3–3 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 2–4 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W SC Heerenveen 4–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W SC Heerenveen 2–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NAC Breda 4–2 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NAC Breda 3–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W SC Heerenveen 1–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • D SC Heerenveen 0–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 0–2 SC Heerenveen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricSC Heerenveen all · 35SC Heerenveen at home · 17NAC Breda all · 34NAC Breda away · 17
Results
Matches35173417
Points per game1.461.760.850.53
W / D / L14 / 9 / 128 / 6 / 36 / 11 / 171 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match1.691.941.030.88
Goals against / match1.601.411.712.06
Clean sheets14%12%18%12%
Failed to score23%18%41%47%
Both teams scored66%76%47%47%
Over 2.571%71%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.802.081.311.14
xG against / match1.531.141.481.78
xG difference0.270.94-0.17-0.64
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.14-0.28-0.26
xPts / match1.581.921.311.05
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.16-0.45-0.52
Game state
Scored first40%41%26%18%
PPG when scoring first2.142.142.001.33
PPG when conceding first1.001.560.390.31
Came back from behind48%70%32%33%
Leads held64%67%43%17%
Minutes leading28%31%12%10%
Minutes level43%41%51%44%
Minutes trailing29%28%37%46%
First goal (min)38394850
First goal conceded (min)38393532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%58%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%54%50%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.470.290.29
Late goals against0.310.350.470.71
Style
Possession51%53%49%47%
Shots14.916.314.113.4
On target5.45.94.24.0
Shot conversion11%12%7%7%
Shots inside box67%67%61%59%
Big chances created2.62.91.91.8
Corners5.65.95.85.5
xG from set plays21%24%39%34%
Goals from headers5%6%23%27%
Pressure index12.414.011.99.2
Dominant minutes49.453.144.337.8
Pass accuracy80%82%77%76%
Fouls10.910.010.811.5
Cards1.691.761.882.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SC Heerenveen

0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311

NAC Breda

0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SC Heerenveen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274

Situations

At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256

Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32

NAC Breda

No pressure profile yet.

SC Heerenveen

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 97%1.51.741.621.811.55
4-4-21 3%0.00.01.01.460.97

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%0.781.01.611.291.47
5-3-25 15%0.40.81.41.511.46
4-4-24 12%1.251.752.01.281.51
4-1-3-22 6%1.51.03.01.71.6
3-4-1-22 6%0.50.01.01.281.35

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 56% P 61%4.1Draw 23% P 22%4.5Away 21% P 16%

Double Chance

1.18Heerenveen or Draw 39% P 42%1.22Heerenveen or NAC 38% P 39%2.05Draw or NAC 23% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 59%2.25No 41% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 62%2.4Under 39% P 38%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Martin van den Kerkhof

Career
156 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
3.06 (2.87 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
18.3 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 74 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.783.32-1.2314
Fouls / match18.720.3-1.03
Fouls per card7.06.2+0.88 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.24+0.3264
Time added6.16.4-0.6427
First card
46' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 20 250 57'4
2025-09-19 10 130 25'3
2025-08-17 · NAC Breda 50 230 30'5
2025-05-18 10 190 78'5
2025-04-24 · NAC Breda 30 210 68'7
2025-04-04 · SC Heerenveen 10 190 88'5
2025-03-15 30 201 74'8
2025-02-28 50 230 43'9
2025-02-08 11 120 53'11
2025-01-31 · NAC Breda 10 120 71'7