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Eredivisie · Matchweek 10

Momentum

PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Capacity
14,000
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
13,953

Teams

Coaches
Henry van der Vegt · Dick Schreuder
Position
15 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Erwin Blank

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
10.0° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
11.5
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 253

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

PEC Zwolle

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 4.31–11.71 · xPts 2.68

  • D A NAC Breda 2–2 xG 1.23–2.85 NLD E
  • L H PSV 0–4 xG 0.19–1.96 NLD E
  • L A FC Volendam 1–2 xG 1.17–1.96 NLD E
  • D A AZ Alkmaar 2–2 xG 1.18–3.0 NLD E
  • L H Go Ahead Eagles 0–2 xG 0.54–1.94 NLD E

NEC Nijmegen

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 13 · xG 6.32–7.93 · xPts 6.14

  • D H FC Twente 3–3 xG 0.93–2.05 NLD E
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 xG 1.07–0.82 NLD E
  • W H AZ Alkmaar 2–1 xG 1.4–0.66 NLD E
  • L A SC Heerenveen 2–3 xG 0.97–2.58 NLD E
  • L H PSV 3–5 xG 1.95–1.81 NLD E

All meetings · 17 matches since 2012

PEC Zwolle 46 draws7 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 26–29 · 3.24 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

PEC Zwolle 13 draws6 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 10–17 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

PEC Zwolle 01 draws4 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NEC Nijmegen 2–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 2–2 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NEC Nijmegen 1–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 2–2 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NEC Nijmegen 2–0 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PEC Zwolle 2–0 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
MetricPEC Zwolle all · 34PEC Zwolle at home · 17NEC Nijmegen all · 34NEC Nijmegen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.091.651.741.59
W / D / L9 / 10 / 158 / 4 / 516 / 11 / 77 / 6 / 4
Goals for / match1.291.242.262.12
Goals against / match2.091.241.561.65
Clean sheets18%29%15%6%
Failed to score18%29%3%6%
Both teams scored68%47%82%88%
Over 2.562%47%74%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.081.141.891.56
xG against / match1.941.641.421.49
xG difference-0.86-0.500.460.07
Finishing vs xG0.220.100.380.56
xPts / match0.911.071.611.42
Points vs xPts0.180.580.120.17
Game state
Scored first50%65%53%41%
PPG when scoring first1.822.362.392.43
PPG when conceding first0.310.201.001.00
Came back from behind25%17%65%64%
Leads held53%73%73%78%
Minutes leading27%39%33%27%
Minutes level44%49%43%49%
Minutes trailing28%12%24%23%
First goal (min)38263538
First goal conceded (min)39503537
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%33%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%62%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.530.53
Late goals against0.560.470.180.29
Style
Possession45%43%56%56%
Shots9.69.917.015.7
On target3.53.56.76.7
Shot conversion13%12%13%14%
Shots inside box64%63%63%60%
Big chances created2.22.43.32.7
Corners3.64.16.15.5
xG from set plays24%30%23%20%
Goals from headers20%24%16%20%
Pressure index7.38.018.718.0
Dominant minutes31.132.664.359.8
Pass accuracy78%76%79%78%
Fouls11.412.411.913.4
Cards1.821.651.912.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PEC Zwolle

0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719

NEC Nijmegen

0–15'96
16–30'107
31–45'1117
46–60'1511
61–75'146
76–90'186

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PEC Zwolle · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.485
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.213
4+ days rest-0.216

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.216

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.476
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.02

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-116 47%1.061.251.811.091.76
4-3-314 41%1.431.51.641.122.01
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.53.51.251.83
4-5-11 3%0.00.04.00.191.96
4-4-21 3%0.02.08.00.814.01

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.932.271.22.091.37
3-4-1-211 32%1.452.092.01.581.5
3-1-4-24 12%1.252.252.251.031.56
3-4-32 6%3.03.50.53.741.02
3-5-21 3%0.02.03.01.931.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 25% P 24%3.8Draw 25% P 24%1.9Away 50% P 52%

Double Chance

1.7PEC Zwolle or Draw 28% P 24%1.25PEC Zwolle or NEC 38% P 38%1.36Draw or NEC 35% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 60%2.25Under 42% P 40%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%27%+3.4
Draw24%25%29%+3.7
Away52%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Erwin Blank

Career
61 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.48 (3.41 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 45 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.493.32+0.2759
Fouls / match22.520.3+1.03
Fouls per card6.86.2+0.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.24-0.6914
Time added6.16.4-0.6427
First card
40' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-20 40 190 47'7
2025-08-31 · NEC Nijmegen 50 241 39'14
2025-08-10 30 260 46'3
2025-05-14 · NEC Nijmegen 14 5
2025-04-13 · PEC Zwolle 40 310 18'2
2025-03-29 · NEC Nijmegen 60 180 34'6
2025-03-01 40 320 58'5
2025-02-01 30 261 38'9
2025-01-12 30 150 22'5
2024-12-01 30 240 75'4