Rating 7.14 (95th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 11
Momentum
– AjaxHEE –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Ajax | at home | Stat | league | away | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.4 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.2 #7 |
| 14.9 #9 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 14.9 #8 |
| 5.9 #5 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 5.4 #9 |
| 4.9 #11 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 5.6 #7 |
| 10.2 #13 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.9 #7 |
| 1.4 #8 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #11 |
| 16.7 #8 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 15.1 #16 |
| 102.1 #6 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 98.0 #9 |
| 51.3 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 48.1 #6 |
| 529.1 #2 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 444.0 #5 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #12 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1.4 #4 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #6 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #6 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #15 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #9 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.8 #6 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.1 #11 |
| – #16 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #6 |
| 1.8 #4 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 #7 |
| 1.2 #18 | 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.2 #15 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #17 |
| 9.6 #3 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.2 #12 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
| 0.0 #16 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| 6.9 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.9 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.8 #3 |
| 10.1 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 10.0 #8 |
| 5.1 #11 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 4.7 #14 |
| 4.8 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.0 #8 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Ajax · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.96 (65th pct) · G+A 8 + 2 (15% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.91 ppg with (23) · 1.23 without (13)
Rating 7.32 (97th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 39% of minutes
Team 1.69 ppg with (16) · 1.65 without (20)
SC Heerenveen · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.2 (97th pct) · G+A 13 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.89 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (8% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 6.91 (58th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.63 ppg with (30) · 0.4 without (5)
Absences
Ajax
- injury Kasper Dolberg #9 key player attacker · Injury To Abdominal Muscles · 8 missed · until 2025-11-08
SC Heerenveen
- injury Levi Smans midfielder · Knee Injury · 41 missed
- injury Pawel Bochniewicz defender · Torn Knee Ligaments · 25 missed · until 2025-11-23
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 11
Venue
- Stadium
- Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
- Capacity
- 55,885
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 54,283
Teams
- Coaches
- John Heitinga · Robin Veldman
- Position
- 4 · 11
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jannick van der Laan
Weather
- Conditions
- moderate rain
- Temperature
- 14.7° (feels 14.4°)
- Wind
- 8.9
- Humidity
- 82%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Ajax
LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 16 · xG 5.7–12.63 · xPts 3.51
- W
A
FC Twente
3–2
xG 1.16–2.76
NLD E
- L
A
Chelsea
1–5
xG 1.05–3.94
UEFA CL - L
H
AZ Alkmaar
0–2
xG 1.23–2.55
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–3
xG 1.39–2.31
NLD E
- L
A
Olympique Marseille
0–4
xG 0.87–1.08
UEFA CL
DWLDWLDLLW 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 15 GA 23 · xG 13.65–19.64 · xPts 11.14
- W
A
FC Twente
3–2
xG 1.16–2.76
NLD E
- L
A
Chelsea
1–5
xG 1.05–3.94
UEFA CL
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
0–2
xG 1.23–2.55
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–3
xG 1.39–2.31
NLD E
- L
A
Olympique Marseille
0–4
xG 0.87–1.08
UEFA CL
- W
H
NAC Breda
2–1
xG 1.78–1.76
NLD E
- D
A
PSV
2–2
xG 2.08–2.49
NLD E
- L
H
Inter
0–2
xG 0.92–1.63
UEFA CL - W
H
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.01–0.56
NLD E
- D
A
FC Volendam
1–1
xG 1.17–0.58
NLD E
SC Heerenveen
WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 13 GA 10 · xG 9.21–8.65 · xPts 7.31
- D
H
NAC Breda
3–3
xG 0.97–1.3
NLD E
- W
A
Telstar
3–2
xG 2.22–2.33
NLD E
- W
H
Excelsior
2–1
xG 2.4–1.4
NLD E
- D
A
FC Utrecht
2–2
xG 1.04–2.64
NLD E
- W
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–2
xG 2.58–0.97
NLD E
DLLDLWDWWD 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 18 GA 18 · xG 19.02–13.24 · xPts 17.59
- D
H
NAC Breda
3–3
xG 0.97–1.3
NLD E
- W
A
Telstar
3–2
xG 2.22–2.33
NLD E
- W
H
Excelsior
2–1
xG 2.4–1.4
NLD E
- D
A
FC Utrecht
2–2
xG 1.04–2.64
NLD E
- W
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–2
xG 2.58–0.97
NLD E
- L
A
Feyenoord
0–1
xG 1.46–0.97
NLD E
- D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2–2
xG 2.33–1.32
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
1–2
xG 2.32–1.06
NLD E
- L
A
FC Groningen
1–2
xG 2.08–0.59
NLD E
- D
H
FC Volendam
1–1
xG 1.62–0.65
NLD E
All meetings · 47 matches since 2005
Goals 133–50 · 3.89 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 26–9 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–3 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- D Ajax 2–2 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D SC Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- D Ajax 1–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- W Ajax 1–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- W Ajax 4–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 2–4 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- W Ajax 5–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W Ajax 5–0 SC Heerenveen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Ajax all · 36 | Ajax at home · 19 | SC Heerenveen all · 35 | SC Heerenveen away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 36 | 19 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.46 | 1.17 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 15 / 6 | 10 / 5 / 4 | 14 / 9 / 12 | 6 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.81 | 1.84 | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | 0.95 | 1.60 | 1.78 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 37% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 8% | 5% | 23% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 58% | 66% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 47% | 71% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.72 | 2.02 | 1.80 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.48 | 1.37 | 1.53 | 1.91 |
| xG difference | 0.24 | 0.65 | 0.27 | -0.37 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | -0.17 | -0.12 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | 1.75 | 1.58 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.15 | 0.10 | -0.13 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 74% | 40% | 39% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.24 | 2.43 | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 20% | 48% | 31% |
| Leads held | 62% | 71% | 64% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 46% | 28% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 44% | 43% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 10% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 31 | 38 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 48 | 38 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 38% | 58% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 59% | 55% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 16.3 | 14.9 | 13.7 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 69% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 22% | 21% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 11% | 5% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 16.0 | 18.1 | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.7 | 63.9 | 49.4 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.81 | 1.42 | 1.69 | 1.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119
SC Heerenveen
0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ajax · 12 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053
Game state
When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363
Game state
When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274
Situations
At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256
Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 25 69% | 1.6 | 1.88 | 1.16 | 1.81 | 1.52 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 22% | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.54 | 1.38 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.02 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 97% | 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.62 | 1.81 | 1.55 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 0.97 |
| Metric | Ajax all · 10 | Ajax at home · 10 | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 2 / 1 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 80% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.99 | 3.14 | 1.49 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.18 | 1.59 | 1.74 | 2.18 |
| xG difference | 1.81 | 1.55 | -0.26 | -0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.31 | -0.54 | -0.39 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 2.17 | 1.97 | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | -0.18 | -0.23 | 0.13 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Leads held | 78% | 71% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 51% | 41% | 18% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 48% | 56% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 9% | 10% | 26% | 36% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 34 | 41 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 51 | 34 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 48% | 64% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 71% | 63% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 63% | 61% | 54% | 49% |
| Shots | 24.0 | 22.4 | 14.2 | 12.5 |
| On target | 8.9 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 12% | 8% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 62% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 4.5 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 8.4 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 28% | 21% | 15% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 12% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 23.7 | 22.1 | 11.2 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.4 | 69.2 | 47.6 | 42.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 88% | 83% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 0.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
0–15'31
16–30'32
31–45'84
46–60'71
61–75'51
76–90'76
SC Heerenveen
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'14
76–90'42
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 3.67 | 2.0 | 2.85 | 1.47 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.61 | 0.2 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| Metric | Ajax all · 50 | Ajax at home · 25 | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 36 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 15 / 12 | 11 / 6 / 8 | 15 / 10 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 2.08 | 1.96 | 1.69 | 1.61 |
| Goals against / match | 1.48 | 1.40 | 1.58 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 20% | 19% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 12% | 25% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 68% | 61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 64% | 69% | 78% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.29 | 1.70 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.43 | 1.64 | 2.03 |
| xG difference | 0.42 | 0.86 | 0.06 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.57 | 1.75 | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | -0.19 | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 52% | 60% | 36% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.31 | 2.33 | 2.46 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 27% | 52% | 46% |
| Leads held | 70% | 69% | 68% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 35% | 40% | 26% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 43% | 47% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 17% | 27% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 31 | 39 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 45 | 39 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 42% | 59% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 59% | 58% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 16.2 | 17.6 | 14.7 | 13.7 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 21% | 21% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 10% | 3% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 16.4 | 18.7 | 12.6 | 11.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.7 | 60.4 | 47.6 | 47.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.82 | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.33 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
0–15'1311
16–30'139
31–45'2412
46–60'2215
61–75'118
76–90'2018
SC Heerenveen
0–15'17
16–30'1010
31–45'147
46–60'1113
61–75'1110
76–90'1410
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ajax · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2750
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3115
Game state
When ahead+0.4232
When level+0.1650
When behind+0.1324
10 min after conceding-0.1336
10 min after scoring+0.6243
Situations
Against ten men+0.195
At home+0.2425
Away+0.2425
3 days rest or fewer+0.288
4+ days rest+0.2342
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1212
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4213
As favourite+0.4032
Evenly matched+0.0510
As underdog-0.228
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0650
Conceded when ahead-0.1632
Conceded late (76+)-0.0542
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level +0.26 · Behind vs level -0.03
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0736
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0236
Late push (76+, level)-0.0512
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1912
Game state
When ahead-0.0522
When level+0.1436
When behind+0.0723
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.1927
Situations
At home+0.0318
Away+0.1218
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1611
v mid-tier opponents+0.099
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1711
As favourite+0.2914
Evenly matched+0.1110
As underdog-0.2112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0636
Conceded when ahead+0.1222
Conceded late (76+)+0.0431
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 66% | 1.76 | 2.3 | 1.42 | 2.01 | 1.49 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 11 22% | 1.0 | 1.27 | 2.0 | 1.46 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.68 | 0.56 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.53Home 62% P 62%4.5Draw 21% P 22%5.5Away 17% P 17%
Double Chance
1.14Ajax or Draw 41% P 42%1.18Ajax or Heerenveen 40% P 39%2.5Draw or Heerenveen 19% P 19%
Draw No Bet
1.21 78%4.332 22%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 65% P 65%2.7Under 35% P 35%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 62% | 61% | 62% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 23% | +0.7 |
| Away | 17% | 16% | 15% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Jannick van der Laan
- Career
- 63 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.22 (3.08 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.1 · 6.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 56 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.11 | 3.32 | -0.54 | 23 |
| Fouls / match | 21.7 | 20.3 | +0.59 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.2 | 6.2 | +1.27 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.18 | 0.24 | -0.67 | 18 |
| Time added | 7.0 | 6.4 | +0.98 | 86 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 13' | 6 |
| 2025-10-03 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 24' | 10 |
| 2025-09-21 · SC Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 41' | 7 |
| 2025-08-31 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 25' | 8 |
| 2025-08-10 · Ajax | – | – | 21 | – | – | 6 |
| 2025-04-27 · SC Heerenveen | 5 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 73' | 5 |
| 2025-04-05 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 13' | 8 |
| 2025-03-30 · SC Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 38' | 4 |
| 2025-02-23 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 45' | 6 |
| 2024-11-30 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 16' | 11 |