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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11

Momentum

FC UtrechtNEC Nijmegen
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Capacity
23,750
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,049

Teams

Coaches
Ron Jans · Dick Schreuder
Position
10 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Serdar Gözübüyük

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.1° (feels 11.4°)
Wind
6.4
Humidity
81%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Utrecht

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 5.99–8.84 · xPts 5.21

  • L A AZ Alkmaar 1–4 xG 0.76–3.38 NLD E
  • L A SC Freiburg 0–2 xG 0.89–1.7 UEFA EL
  • W H FC Volendam 3–1 xG 3.11–0.31 NLD E
  • L A Feyenoord 2–3 xG 0.73–2.52 NLD E
  • L A Brann 0–1 xG 0.49–0.93 UEFA EL

NEC Nijmegen

LWDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 5.18–7.07 · xPts 5.88

  • D A PEC Zwolle 2–2 xG 0.81–0.96 NLD E
  • D H FC Twente 3–3 xG 0.93–2.05 NLD E
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 xG 1.07–0.82 NLD E
  • W H AZ Alkmaar 2–1 xG 1.4–0.66 NLD E
  • L A SC Heerenveen 2–3 xG 0.97–2.58 NLD E

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

FC Utrecht 149 draws9 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 41–33 · 2.31 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Utrecht 62 draws2 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 13–8 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Utrecht 40 draws1 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W NEC Nijmegen 1–3 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Utrecht 1–0 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Utrecht 0–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NEC Nijmegen 1–2 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Utrecht 1–0 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NEC Nijmegen 3–0 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 2–2 FC Utrecht neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Utrecht 0–0 NEC Nijmegen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Utrecht 1–0 NEC Nijmegen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NEC Nijmegen 0–3 FC Utrecht neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Utrecht all · 36FC Utrecht at home · 18NEC Nijmegen all · 34NEC Nijmegen away · 17
Results
Matches36183417
Points per game1.582.001.741.59
W / D / L16 / 9 / 1111 / 3 / 416 / 11 / 77 / 6 / 4
Goals for / match1.641.892.262.12
Goals against / match1.250.831.561.65
Clean sheets25%33%15%6%
Failed to score17%17%3%6%
Both teams scored61%50%82%88%
Over 2.550%44%74%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.681.821.891.56
xG against / match1.431.051.421.49
xG difference0.250.780.460.07
Finishing vs xG-0.050.060.380.56
xPts / match1.551.831.611.42
Points vs xPts0.040.170.120.17
Game state
Scored first56%78%53%41%
PPG when scoring first2.302.362.392.43
PPG when conceding first0.670.751.001.00
Came back from behind39%33%65%64%
Leads held73%73%73%78%
Minutes leading30%42%33%27%
Minutes level46%44%43%49%
Minutes trailing24%14%24%23%
First goal (min)43353538
First goal conceded (min)45533537
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%73%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.330.530.53
Late goals against0.360.280.180.29
Style
Possession46%47%56%56%
Shots15.317.417.015.7
On target5.55.96.76.7
Shot conversion11%11%13%14%
Shots inside box68%70%63%60%
Big chances created2.62.93.32.7
Corners5.35.36.15.5
xG from set plays31%32%23%20%
Goals from headers24%23%16%20%
Pressure index11.812.518.718.0
Dominant minutes45.847.864.359.8
Pass accuracy79%79%79%78%
Fouls10.910.411.913.4
Cards1.531.171.912.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Utrecht

0–15'76
16–30'45
31–45'125
46–60'1212
61–75'104
76–90'1312

NEC Nijmegen

0–15'96
16–30'107
31–45'1117
46–60'1511
61–75'146
76–90'186

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Utrecht · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.186
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.083
When level-0.206
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.116
10 min after scoring-0.096

Situations

At home-0.263
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.076

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.552
v mid-tier opponents+0.153
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.256
Conceded when ahead-0.163
Conceded late (76+)-0.116

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level +0.17

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Utrecht

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 67%1.791.711.211.781.48
4-3-38 22%1.751.50.751.521.2
3-4-31 3%0.03.04.01.272.74
4-4-21 3%0.01.02.01.71.59
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.210.53

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.932.271.22.091.37
3-4-1-211 32%1.452.092.01.581.5
3-1-4-24 12%1.252.252.251.031.56
3-4-32 6%3.03.50.53.741.02
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.00.01.761.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.2Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36FC Utrecht or Draw 35% P 35%1.28FC Utrecht or NEC 37% P 36%1.66Draw or NEC 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 63%2.5No 38% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.6Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw27%26%25%-0.8
Away30%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Serdar Gözübüyük

Career
414 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.71 (3.53 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.943.32+1.2095
Fouls / match22.320.3+0.85
Fouls per card5.86.2-0.92 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.24-0.0748
Time added6.06.4-0.8510
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 20 271 89'6
2025-10-21 60 320 11'5
2025-10-05 50 201 14'7
2025-10-01 40 300 50'6
2025-09-27 60 230 16'6
2025-09-21 70 301 18'9
2025-09-13 20 210 20'11
2025-08-31 31 140 24'6
2025-08-21 61 230 12'10
2025-08-15 60 230 11'5