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Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

Momentum

FC TwenteTelstar
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Capacity
30,205
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,500

Teams

Coaches
John van den Brom · Anthony Correia
Position
9 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Martijn Vos

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.8° (feels 10.7°)
Wind
3.4
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 93

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Twente

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 10.97–6.07 · xPts 9.85

  • D A FC Groningen 1–1 xG 1.37–2.85 NLD E
  • L H Ajax 2–3 xG 2.76–1.16 NLD E
  • D A NEC Nijmegen 3–3 xG 2.05–0.93 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 2–1 xG 1.66–0.69 NLD E
  • W H Fortuna Sittard 3–2 xG 3.12–0.46 NLD E

Telstar

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 9.65–13.6 · xPts 5.48

  • D H Excelsior 2–2 xG 2.49–3.81 NLD E
  • L A Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 xG 0.78–1.3 NLD E
  • L H SC Heerenveen 2–3 xG 2.33–2.22 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 1–2 xG 1.11–4.53 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 4–2 xG 2.94–1.74 NLD E

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

FC Twente 12 draws0 Telstar

Goals 2–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 3 matches

FC Twente 12 draws0 Telstar

Goals 2–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 3 matches

FC Twente 12 draws0 Telstar

Goals 2–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Twente 1–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Telstar 1–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Twente 0–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Twente all · 34FC Twente at home · 17Telstar all · 34Telstar away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.711.881.091.00
W / D / L15 / 13 / 69 / 5 / 39 / 10 / 154 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.741.711.441.06
Goals against / match1.180.941.621.59
Clean sheets24%41%15%18%
Failed to score18%24%24%29%
Both teams scored65%47%65%59%
Over 2.550%47%59%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.082.151.431.24
xG against / match1.180.961.902.16
xG difference0.901.19-0.47-0.92
Finishing vs xG-0.34-0.450.01-0.18
xPts / match1.861.981.150.90
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.10-0.060.10
Game state
Scored first56%53%47%41%
PPG when scoring first2.212.441.811.71
PPG when conceding first1.081.330.410.44
Came back from behind60%57%17%20%
Leads held62%75%50%50%
Minutes leading33%32%24%19%
Minutes level48%50%44%45%
Minutes trailing19%18%32%36%
First goal (min)37394548
First goal conceded (min)43424040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%62%56%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.380.18
Late goals against0.260.120.500.47
Style
Possession54%57%45%43%
Shots17.819.012.812.1
On target6.57.14.94.4
Shot conversion10%9%11%9%
Shots inside box66%66%66%65%
Big chances created3.13.13.12.6
Corners5.45.74.74.1
xG from set plays25%22%31%32%
Goals from headers14%14%20%17%
Pressure index18.222.58.07.1
Dominant minutes58.068.637.032.1
Pass accuracy80%81%76%76%
Fouls10.79.611.312.1
Cards1.471.181.351.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Twente

0–15'56
16–30'103
31–45'76
46–60'179
61–75'87
76–90'129

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Twente · 12 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586

Game state

When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910

Situations

At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310

Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.08

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

FC Twente

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-126 76%1.51.621.272.161.17
4-3-38 24%2.382.130.881.831.2

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.33Home 70% P 71%5.5Draw 17% P 17%7.5Away 12% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1FC Twente or Draw 43% P 44%1.14FC Twente or Telstar 42% P 42%3.25Draw or Telstar 15% P 14%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 55%1.95No 48% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 64%2.5Under 38% P 36%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home71%71%75%+4.2
Draw17%18%15%-2.5
Away12%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Martijn Vos

Career
20 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.4 (4.0 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
23.5 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.73.32+2.82100
Fouls / match23.520.3+1.55
Fouls per card5.06.2-2.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.24+0.8786
Time added6.46.4-0.1055
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 61 310 29'9
2025-09-14 · Telstar 10 310 44'7
2025-08-17 40 200 13'5
2025-05-18 20 290 73'4
2025-03-02 30 341 8'10
2024-12-21 30 220 30'7