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Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

Momentum

PEC ZwolleSPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Capacity
14,000
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
13,872

Teams

Coaches
Henry van der Vegt · Maurice Steijn
Position
17 · 8
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Dennis Higler

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
13.4° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 72

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

PEC Zwolle

LLDDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 18 · xG 4.36–11.59 · xPts 3.34

  • L A Heracles Almelo 2–8 xG 0.81–4.01 NLD E
  • D H NEC Nijmegen 2–2 xG 0.96–0.81 NLD E
  • D A NAC Breda 2–2 xG 1.23–2.85 NLD E
  • L H PSV 0–4 xG 0.19–1.96 NLD E
  • L A FC Volendam 1–2 xG 1.17–1.96 NLD E

Sparta Rotterdam

LDWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 6.42–7.13 · xPts 6.57

  • L H AZ Alkmaar 0–1 xG 0.66–2.6 NLD E
  • W H Telstar 1–0 xG 1.3–0.78 NLD E
  • W A FC Groningen 2–0 xG 0.7–1.25 NLD E
  • D H Ajax 3–3 xG 2.31–1.39 NLD E
  • L A Heracles Almelo 0–3 xG 1.45–1.11 NLD E

All meetings · 16 matches since 2016

PEC Zwolle 66 draws4 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 24–20 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

PEC Zwolle 34 draws3 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 12–12 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

PEC Zwolle 23 draws0 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
MetricPEC Zwolle all · 34PEC Zwolle at home · 17Sparta Rotterdam all · 34Sparta Rotterdam away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.091.651.261.18
W / D / L9 / 10 / 158 / 4 / 512 / 7 / 156 / 2 / 9
Goals for / match1.291.241.181.12
Goals against / match2.091.241.822.06
Clean sheets18%29%32%35%
Failed to score18%29%26%29%
Both teams scored68%47%44%41%
Over 2.562%47%53%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.081.141.351.22
xG against / match1.941.641.751.90
xG difference-0.86-0.50-0.41-0.68
Finishing vs xG0.220.10-0.17-0.10
xPts / match0.911.071.201.03
Points vs xPts0.180.580.070.14
Game state
Scored first50%65%50%41%
PPG when scoring first1.822.362.352.57
PPG when conceding first0.310.200.130.11
Came back from behind25%17%12%10%
Leads held53%73%67%86%
Minutes leading27%39%24%18%
Minutes level44%49%50%50%
Minutes trailing28%12%26%32%
First goal (min)38264755
First goal conceded (min)39504238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%33%62%74%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%62%71%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.380.47
Late goals against0.560.470.500.65
Style
Possession45%43%47%48%
Shots9.69.913.012.2
On target3.53.54.43.9
Shot conversion13%12%9%9%
Shots inside box64%63%65%62%
Big chances created2.22.42.11.8
Corners3.64.14.64.4
xG from set plays24%30%25%22%
Goals from headers20%24%15%16%
Pressure index7.38.010.08.5
Dominant minutes31.132.640.238.3
Pass accuracy78%76%79%80%
Fouls11.412.49.910.5
Cards1.821.652.002.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PEC Zwolle

0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'44
16–30'43
31–45'711
46–60'611
61–75'616
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PEC Zwolle · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.485
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.213
4+ days rest-0.216

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.216

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.476
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.02

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)-0.483
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314

Game state

When ahead-0.043
When level-0.086
When behind-0.245
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.485

Situations

At home-0.063
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.292
v mid-tier opponents-0.202
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.243
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.336
Conceded when ahead-0.293
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.16

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-116 47%1.061.251.811.091.76
4-3-314 41%1.431.51.641.122.01
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.53.51.251.83
4-5-11 3%0.00.04.00.191.96
4-4-21 3%0.02.08.00.814.01

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.381.081.331.361.58
4-3-37 21%1.431.712.571.442.29
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.06.00.742.12
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.02.01.172.17
3-4-1-21 3%0.01.04.01.151.36

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 36%3.7Draw 26% P 26%2.35Away 40% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5PEC Zwolle or Draw 32% P 31%1.28PEC Zwolle or Sparta Rotterdam 37% P 37%1.5Draw or Sparta Rotterdam 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 58%2.25Under 42% P 42%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 153 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-1.3
Draw26%26%30%+4.3
Away38%38%35%-3.0

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Dennis Higler

Career
328 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.523.32+0.3368
Fouls / match22.220.3+0.83
Fouls per card6.66.2+0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.24+0.6973
Time added6.76.4+0.4473
First card
42' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 60 180 36'8
2025-10-19 30 211 4'6
2025-09-27 13 4
2025-09-20 30 250 45'9
2025-08-24 71 290 9'6
2025-08-16 20 250 5'8
2025-07-31 22 6
2025-05-14 · Sparta Rotterdam 10 200 90'18
2025-05-10 30 240 45'7
2025-04-25 · PEC Zwolle 20 230 46'5