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Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Momentum

TelstarFC Utrecht
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
BUKO Stadion, Velsen
Capacity
3,200
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
4,500

Teams

Coaches
Anthony Correia · Ron Jans
Position
18 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Robin Hensgens

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
2.6° (feels -3.0°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 72

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Telstar

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.42–14.05 · xPts 3.94

  • D A FC Twente 0–0 xG 0.72–2.19 NLD E
  • D H Excelsior 2–2 xG 2.49–3.81 NLD E
  • L A Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 xG 0.78–1.3 NLD E
  • L H SC Heerenveen 2–3 xG 2.33–2.22 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 1–2 xG 1.11–4.53 NLD E

FC Utrecht

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 4.39–9.43 · xPts 4.17

  • W H Ajax 2–1 xG 1.36–0.74 NLD E
  • D H Porto 1–1 xG 0.63–1.68 UEFA EL
  • W H NEC Nijmegen 1–0 xG 0.74–1.94 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 1–4 xG 0.76–3.38 NLD E
  • L A SC Freiburg 0–2 xG 0.89–1.7 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Telstar 01 draws1 FC Utrecht

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Telstar 01 draws1 FC Utrecht

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Telstar 01 draws1 FC Utrecht

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Utrecht 4–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Telstar 1–1 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
MetricTelstar all · 34Telstar at home · 17FC Utrecht all · 36FC Utrecht away · 18
Results
Matches34173618
Points per game1.091.181.581.17
W / D / L9 / 10 / 155 / 5 / 716 / 9 / 115 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.441.821.641.39
Goals against / match1.621.651.251.67
Clean sheets15%12%25%17%
Failed to score24%18%17%17%
Both teams scored65%71%61%72%
Over 2.559%71%50%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.611.681.54
xG against / match1.901.631.431.82
xG difference-0.47-0.010.25-0.28
Finishing vs xG0.010.21-0.05-0.16
xPts / match1.151.391.551.26
Points vs xPts-0.06-0.220.04-0.10
Game state
Scored first47%53%56%33%
PPG when scoring first1.811.892.302.17
PPG when conceding first0.410.380.670.64
Came back from behind17%12%39%42%
Leads held50%50%73%71%
Minutes leading24%30%30%19%
Minutes level44%43%46%48%
Minutes trailing32%27%24%34%
First goal (min)45424350
First goal conceded (min)40414538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%60%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%64%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.590.390.44
Late goals against0.500.530.360.44
Style
Possession45%47%46%46%
Shots12.813.515.313.2
On target4.95.45.55.1
Shot conversion11%14%11%10%
Shots inside box66%67%68%66%
Big chances created3.13.52.62.2
Corners4.75.45.35.2
xG from set plays31%31%31%30%
Goals from headers20%23%24%24%
Pressure index8.09.011.811.2
Dominant minutes37.041.845.843.9
Pass accuracy76%77%79%78%
Fouls11.310.410.911.3
Cards1.351.291.531.89

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

FC Utrecht

0–15'76
16–30'45
31–45'125
46–60'1212
61–75'104
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

FC Utrecht · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.186
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.083
When level-0.206
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.116
10 min after scoring-0.096

Situations

At home-0.263
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.076

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.552
v mid-tier opponents+0.153
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.256
Conceded when ahead-0.163
Conceded late (76+)-0.116

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level +0.17

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

FC Utrecht

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 67%1.791.711.211.781.48
4-3-38 22%1.751.50.751.521.2
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.02.01.511.5
4-4-21 3%0.01.02.01.71.59
3-4-31 3%0.03.04.01.272.74

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 26% P 26%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.95Away 49% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8Telstar or Draw 26% P 26%1.25Telstar or FC Utrecht 37% P 37%1.28Draw or FC Utrecht 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%24%-2.2
Draw25%25%27%+1.9
Away49%49%49%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Robin Hensgens

Career
40 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.6 (3.4 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.1
Cards to home side
40%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.623.32+0.5486
Fouls / match22.420.3+0.94
Fouls per card6.26.2-0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.10.24-1.649
Time added6.56.4+0.0859
First card
39' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-19 50 210 38'8
2025-09-27 50 230 31'6
2025-09-13 42 210 27'15
2025-08-30 · Telstar 20 210 67'4
2025-08-23 20 141 26'10
2025-05-14 10 190 30'8
2025-04-19 21 200 69'10
2025-04-06 41 200 7'8
2025-03-16 30 230 52'7
2025-02-09 · FC Utrecht 60 240 35'9