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Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Momentum

AZGAE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Capacity
19,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,205

Teams

Coaches
Maarten Martens · Melvin Boel
Position
5 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Erwin Blank

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.6° (feels 9.8°)
Wind
6.1
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 265

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
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  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
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  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
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  • United States fuboTV
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

AZ

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 5.59–9.48 · xPts 5.18

  • L A FC Twente 0–1 xG 1.44–0.95 NLD E
  • W H Shelbourne 2–0 xG 1.8–0.51 UEFA ECL
  • L A SC Heerenveen 1–3 xG 0.82–2.64 NLD E
  • L H PSV 1–5 xG 0.55–2.15 NLD E
  • L A Crystal Palace 1–3 xG 0.97–3.23 UEFA ECL

Go Ahead Eagles

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 4.62–13.03 · xPts 2.57

  • D H FC Utrecht 2–2 xG 1.49–2.5 NLD E
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 0–4 xG 0.31–2.22 UEFA EL
  • L A Heracles Almelo 2–4 xG 0.5–3.39 NLD E
  • W H Feyenoord 2–1 xG 1.48–2.77 NLD E
  • L A Salzburg 0–2 xG 0.84–2.14 UEFA EL

All meetings · 17 matches since 2013

AZ 124 draws1 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 48–14 · 3.65 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 76%

Last 10 · 10 matches

AZ 73 draws0 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 30–9 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

AZ 23 draws0 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W AZ Alkmaar 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 5–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAZ all · 34AZ at home · 17Go Ahead Eagles all · 34Go Ahead Eagles away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.531.821.120.76
W / D / L14 / 10 / 108 / 7 / 28 / 14 / 122 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.712.291.591.18
Goals against / match1.501.531.561.71
Clean sheets26%24%26%18%
Failed to score12%0%21%29%
Both teams scored65%76%59%59%
Over 2.565%76%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.872.011.310.98
xG against / match1.361.202.152.62
xG difference0.510.80-0.84-1.65
Finishing vs xG-0.160.290.270.20
xPts / match1.671.811.020.66
Points vs xPts-0.140.020.090.10
Game state
Scored first62%82%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.192.142.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.420.330.350.20
Came back from behind38%67%43%38%
Leads held56%53%44%29%
Minutes leading34%52%21%13%
Minutes level44%32%46%45%
Minutes trailing21%15%32%42%
First goal (min)35254140
First goal conceded (min)40483734
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%38%57%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%62%49%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.470.380.35
Late goals against0.380.410.290.24
Style
Possession53%52%50%48%
Shots15.816.211.69.4
On target5.96.45.13.8
Shot conversion11%14%14%12%
Shots inside box66%70%71%74%
Big chances created3.13.52.51.9
Corners5.85.95.44.4
xG from set plays27%25%26%17%
Goals from headers9%8%17%5%
Pressure index14.816.010.99.1
Dominant minutes53.656.643.435.8
Pass accuracy82%81%80%79%
Fouls10.29.49.29.8
Cards1.911.471.792.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AZ

0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'106
16–30'48
31–45'913
46–60'99
61–75'97
76–90'1310

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AZ · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.00

AZ

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.381.761.761.921.35
4-3-39 26%1.781.671.221.961.25
3-4-32 6%2.01.00.01.581.19
5-4-11 3%0.01.02.01.423.06
5-3-21 3%3.03.01.01.091.04

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%0.921.41.761.292.29
4-3-37 21%1.572.01.291.251.84
4-4-21 3%3.05.00.02.121.51
4-1-4-11 3%1.00.00.01.551.49

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 73% P 72%5.75Draw 16% P 17%8.5Away 11% P 11%

Double Chance

1.1AZ or Draw 43% P 45%1.16AZ or Go Ahead Eagles 41% P 41%3.0Draw or Go Ahead Eagles 16% P 14%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.1Under 30% P 30%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home72%71%75%+4.2
Draw17%18%15%-2.5
Away11%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%69%69%+0.6

Erwin Blank

Career
61 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.48 (3.41 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 45 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.493.32+0.2759
Fouls / match22.520.3+1.03
Fouls per card6.86.2+0.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.24-0.6914
Time added6.16.4-0.6427
First card
40' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-22 20 200 39'5
2025-10-25 10 230 69'10
2025-09-20 40 190 47'7
2025-08-31 50 241 39'14
2025-08-10 30 260 46'3
2025-05-14 14 5
2025-04-13 40 310 18'2
2025-03-29 · AZ 60 180 34'6
2025-03-01 40 320 58'5
2025-02-01 30 261 38'9