Heracles Almelo v Telstar

Eredivisie · Matchweek 15

Heracles AlmeloHEA

1–1

TelstarTelstar

Momentum

– HEATelstar –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Heracles Almelo	at home	Stat	league	away	Telstar
44.7 #18	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	45.1 #14
11.1 #16	–	Shots total	14.1	–	12.8 #12
3.6 #17	–	Shots on target	5.2	–	4.9 #11
4.5 #14	–	Corners	5.2	–	4.7 #12
13.5 #1	–	Fouls	10.9	–	11.3 #6
1.2 #12	–	Offsides	1.4	–	1.9 #2
15.8 #14	–	Tackles	16.2	–	16.4 #10
85.3 #16	–	Attacks	97.3	–	86.0 #15
36.8 #16	–	Dangerous attacks	46.1	–	41.8 #12
346.1 #18	–	Passes	419.2	–	362.1 #16
2.0 #1	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	1.4 #16
0.1 #4	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #4
0.8 #17	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.1 #10
– #16	–	Btts	62.8	–	– #7
– #18	–	Cleansheet	20.2	–	– #13
– #17	–	Draw	26.2	–	– #6
1.3 #16	–	Expected goals	1.6	–	1.4 #10
-0.2 #15	–	Expected goals difference	-0.0	–	0.0 #8
– #1	–	Failed to score	20.3	–	– #5
1.0 #16	1.4	Goals	1.6	1.1	1.4 #10
2.5 #1	2.1	Goals conceded	1.6	1.6	1.6 #7
0.2 #16	–	Injury time goals	0.3	–	0.3 #3
8.2 #13	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	9.1 #8
– #1	–	Lost	37.0	–	– #6
0.1 #9	–	Penalties scored	0.1	–	0.0 #15
6.7 #18	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.8 #12
2.2 #18	–	Shots blocked	3.8	–	3.3 #14
7.3 #16	–	Shots insidebox	9.2	–	8.4 #12
5.2 #9	–	Shots off target	5.1	–	4.6 #15
3.7 #16	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	4.3 #13
– #18	–	Win	36.8	–	– #13

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 309 of 309
Goals / match: 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
Home / draw / away: 45% · 26% · 29%
BTTS · over 2.5: 63% · 61%
Cards / match: 3.47 (reds 0.1)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 15

Venue

Stadium: Asito Stadion, Almelo
Capacity: 13,500
Surface: artificial turf
Attendance: 12,046

Teams

Coaches: Ernest Faber · Anthony Correia
Position: 16 · 18
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 9.4° (feels 6.1°)
Wind: 7.3
Humidity: 87%

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2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101	45	56	84	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	26	65	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	24	59	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	19	58	WDDWL
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	21	56	WWDLD
6	FC Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	13	53	WLWWW
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	7	52	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	4	51	LWWLD
9	FC Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	4	48	DLLWW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43	LLDLL
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39	DLLWL
12	Go Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	1	38	DDDLL
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38	DWWDW
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37	LWDWW
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37	DLWLL
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32	LWLDL
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29	DLLWD
18	Heracles Almelo	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	13	2	2	58	26	32	41	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	39	23	16	36	DWWDW
3	FC Utrecht	17	10	3	4	31	13	18	33	WLWWW
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	9	5	3	41	25	16	32	DDDLW
5	FC Twente	17	9	5	3	29	16	13	32	WDDWL
6	Ajax	17	9	4	4	32	17	15	31	WWDLD
7	AZ Alkmaar	17	8	7	2	39	26	13	31	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	17	8	6	3	33	24	9	30	LWWLD
9	PEC Zwolle	17	8	4	5	21	21	0	28	DLWLL
10	Go Ahead Eagles	17	6	7	4	34	24	10	25	DDDLL
11	FC Groningen	17	7	4	6	27	18	9	25	DLLWW
12	Fortuna Sittard	17	7	4	6	28	29	-1	25	DLLWL
13	FC Volendam	17	6	5	6	24	23	1	23	LWLDL
14	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	5	6	21	27	-6	23	LLDLL
15	Telstar	17	5	5	7	31	28	3	20	LWDWW
16	NAC Breda	17	5	5	7	20	23	-3	20	DLLWD
17	Excelsior	17	5	3	9	20	22	-2	18	DWWDW
18	Heracles Almelo	17	4	3	10	23	36	-13	15	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	14	1	2	43	19	24	43	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	8	5	4	31	21	10	29	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	17	7	6	4	36	28	8	27	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	17	6	8	3	30	24	6	26	WDDWL
5	Ajax	17	5	10	2	30	24	6	25	WWDLD
6	FC Groningen	17	7	2	8	22	27	-5	23	DLLWW
7	SC Heerenveen	17	6	3	8	24	29	-5	21	LWWLD
8	AZ Alkmaar	17	6	3	8	19	25	-6	21	WDDDD
9	FC Utrecht	17	5	5	7	24	29	-5	20	WLWWW
10	Excelsior	17	5	5	7	23	34	-11	20	DWWDW
11	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	2	9	19	35	-16	20	LLDLL
12	Telstar	17	4	5	8	18	27	-9	17	LWDWW
13	Fortuna Sittard	17	4	2	11	21	34	-13	14	DLLWL
14	Go Ahead Eagles	17	2	7	8	20	29	-9	13	DDDLL
15	NAC Breda	17	1	6	10	15	35	-20	9	DLLWD
16	FC Volendam	17	2	3	12	11	32	-21	9	LWLDL
17	PEC Zwolle	17	1	6	10	23	50	-27	9	DLWLL
18	Heracles Almelo	17	1	1	15	12	49	-37	4	LLLLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Heracles Almelo

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 9 · xG 10.64–6.5 · xPts 8.39

D A Fortuna Sittard 1–1 xG 0.9–1.66 NLD E
W H Go Ahead Eagles 4–2 xG 3.39–0.5 NLD E
W A Excelsior 2–1 xG 1.28–1.8 NLD E
W H PEC Zwolle 8–2 xG 4.01–0.81 NLD E
L A FC Volendam 0–3 xG 1.06–1.72 NLD E

Telstar

LDDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 7.11–9.7 · xPts 5.52

L H Feyenoord 1–2 xG 1.85–1.27 NLD E
D H FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.27–1.13 NLD E
D A FC Twente 0–0 xG 0.72–2.19 NLD E
D H Excelsior 2–2 xG 2.49–3.81 NLD E
L A Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 xG 0.78–1.3 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Heracles Almelo 01 draws1 Telstar

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Heracles Almelo 01 draws1 Telstar

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Heracles Almelo 01 draws1 Telstar

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

L Telstar 3–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
D Heracles Almelo 1–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season

Metric	Heracles Almelo all · 34	Heracles Almelo at home · 17	Telstar all · 34	Telstar away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	0.56	0.88	1.09	1.00
W / D / L	5 / 4 / 25	4 / 3 / 10	9 / 10 / 15	4 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match	1.03	1.35	1.44	1.06
Goals against / match	2.50	2.12	1.62	1.59
Clean sheets	6%	12%	15%	18%
Failed to score	47%	41%	24%	29%
Both teams scored	50%	53%	65%	59%
Over 2.5	71%	65%	59%	47%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.27	1.49	1.43	1.24
xG against / match	1.98	1.76	1.90	2.16
xG difference	-0.71	-0.27	-0.47	-0.92
Finishing vs xG	-0.24	-0.14	0.01	-0.18
xPts / match	0.99	1.22	1.15	0.90
Points vs xPts	-0.43	-0.33	-0.06	0.10
Game state
Scored first	24%	29%	47%	41%
PPG when scoring first	1.25	2.00	1.81	1.71
PPG when conceding first	0.32	0.36	0.41	0.44
Came back from behind	17%	23%	17%	20%
Leads held	50%	67%	50%	50%
Minutes leading	12%	19%	24%	19%
Minutes level	42%	46%	44%	45%
Minutes trailing	46%	34%	32%	36%
First goal (min)	35	34	45	48
First goal conceded (min)	31	34	40	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	49%	48%	61%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	55%	53%	56%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.18	0.24	0.38	0.18
Late goals against	0.56	0.41	0.50	0.47
Style
Possession	45%	46%	45%	43%
Shots	11.1	13.5	12.8	12.1
On target	3.6	4.6	4.9	4.4
Shot conversion	9%	10%	11%	9%
Shots inside box	66%	66%	66%	65%
Big chances created	2.0	2.4	3.1	2.6
Corners	4.5	4.8	4.7	4.1
xG from set plays	35%	41%	31%	32%
Goals from headers	14%	13%	20%	17%
Pressure index	8.2	10.9	8.0	7.1
Dominant minutes	35.6	44.3	37.0	32.1
Pass accuracy	77%	77%	76%	76%
Fouls	13.5	12.6	11.3	12.1
Cards	2.24	1.47	1.35	1.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heracles Almelo

0–15'310

16–30'911

31–45'617

46–60'715

61–75'413

76–90'619

Telstar

0–15'57

16–30'48

31–45'109

46–60'64

61–75'1110

76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heracles Almelo

No pressure profile yet.

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076

Early press (0-15, level)-0.476

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026

When behind+0.084

10 min after conceding+0.015

10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263

Away-0.303

4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402

v bottom-tier opponents+0.293

As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296

Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

Heracles Almelo

Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	17 50%	0.12	0.53	2.94	1.03	2.29
4-4-2	9 26%	1.44	2.22	1.89	1.68	1.58
3-4-2-1	3 9%	1.0	1.0	2.0	1.63	1.41
4-3-3	2 6%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.15	2.51
5-3-2	2 6%	0.0	0.0	3.5	0.96	1.91

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	28 82%	0.96	1.43	1.71	1.42	1.94
3-4-3	5 15%	1.4	1.2	1.2	1.41	1.68
3-5-2	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.66	1.7

Metric	Heracles Almelo all · 10	Heracles Almelo at home · 10	Telstar all · 10	Telstar away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.20	0.50	1.50	1.20
W / D / L	0 / 2 / 8	1 / 2 / 7	4 / 3 / 3	3 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match	0.40	0.50	1.50	1.20
Goals against / match	2.30	1.80	1.40	1.50
Clean sheets	10%	10%	20%	10%
Failed to score	60%	60%	30%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	40%	60%	70%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	70%	60%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.03	1.17	1.33	1.23
xG against / match	2.10	1.77	1.81	2.30
xG difference	-1.07	-0.59	-0.48	-1.07
Finishing vs xG	-0.63	-0.67	0.17	-0.03
xPts / match	0.85	1.05	1.14	0.83
Points vs xPts	-0.65	-0.55	0.36	0.37
Game state
Scored first	20%	20%	30%	40%
PPG when scoring first	0.50	2.00	2.33	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	1.17	0.80
Came back from behind	0%	0%	50%	33%
Leads held	0%	50%	80%	60%
Minutes leading	5%	10%	20%	27%
Minutes level	44%	52%	53%	43%
Minutes trailing	51%	38%	27%	30%
First goal (min)	35	36	48	35
First goal conceded (min)	30	38	45	45
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	25%	20%	67%	42%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	52%	56%	71%	60%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.10	0.10	0.60	0.20
Late goals against	0.20	0.30	0.40	0.40
Style
Possession	47%	47%	40%	43%
Shots	11.1	12.1	9.2	10.8
On target	2.9	3.3	3.1	4.4
Shot conversion	4%	4%	16%	11%
Shots inside box	62%	65%	76%	71%
Big chances created	1.6	1.6	2.1	2.5
Corners	4.8	5.0	3.9	2.8
xG from set plays	24%	40%	47%	39%
Goals from headers	0%	0%	20%	17%
Pressure index	9.6	10.3	7.7	7.3
Dominant minutes	41.5	44.0	35.5	31.5
Pass accuracy	78%	77%	74%	75%
Fouls	13.9	13.3	12.2	12.3
Cards	2.50	1.40	1.70	1.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heracles Almelo

0–15'04

16–30'33

31–45'04

46–60'06

61–75'04

76–90'12

Telstar

0–15'12

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'05

61–75'41

76–90'64

Heracles Almelo

Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	0.11	0.33	2.44	0.99	2.21
4-2-2-2	1 10%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.43	1.15

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	7 70%	1.29	1.43	1.29	1.29	1.68
4-2-3-1	2 20%	1.5	1.5	2.0	1.4	2.31
3-4-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.48	1.72

Metric	Heracles Almelo all · 29	Heracles Almelo at home · 15	Telstar all · 35	Telstar away · 18
Results
Matches	29	15	35	18
Points per game	0.66	1.00	1.09	1.00
W / D / L	5 / 4 / 20	4 / 3 / 8	9 / 11 / 15	4 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match	1.14	1.40	1.40	1.00
Goals against / match	2.38	2.00	1.63	1.50
Clean sheets	7%	13%	14%	17%
Failed to score	45%	47%	26%	33%
Both teams scored	52%	47%	66%	61%
Over 2.5	69%	60%	63%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.33	1.50	1.41	1.18
xG against / match	1.87	1.57	1.99	2.22
xG difference	-0.53	-0.07	-0.58	-1.05
Finishing vs xG	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-0.18
xPts / match	1.08	1.31	1.09	0.85
Points vs xPts	-0.42	-0.31	0.00	0.15
Game state
Scored first	24%	27%	43%	39%
PPG when scoring first	1.43	2.50	1.87	1.71
PPG when conceding first	0.38	0.40	0.44	0.44
Came back from behind	20%	27%	21%	20%
Leads held	56%	80%	53%	50%
Minutes leading	13%	19%	23%	19%
Minutes level	43%	46%	46%	50%
Minutes trailing	44%	35%	31%	31%
First goal (min)	37	39	47	47
First goal conceded (min)	32	35	44	46
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	52%	52%	65%	61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	55%	50%	60%	59%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.21	0.27	0.43	0.17
Late goals against	0.45	0.27	0.46	0.44
Style
Possession	45%	47%	44%	43%
Shots	11.1	13.2	11.8	11.2
On target	3.8	4.5	4.3	4.0
Shot conversion	10%	11%	12%	9%
Shots inside box	68%	69%	67%	65%
Big chances created	2.2	2.5	2.6	2.3
Corners	4.7	4.9	4.4	3.8
xG from set plays	37%	44%	34%	33%
Goals from headers	12%	10%	20%	17%
Pressure index	9.0	11.8	8.0	7.3
Dominant minutes	37.4	46.1	35.5	32.2
Pass accuracy	77%	77%	76%	75%
Fouls	13.7	12.9	11.1	12.0
Cards	2.31	1.40	1.37	1.56

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heracles Almelo

0–15'28

16–30'810

31–45'613

46–60'715

61–75'410

76–90'613

Telstar

0–15'66

16–30'47

31–45'710

46–60'68

61–75'1110

76–90'1516

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heracles Almelo · 29 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1429

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229

Late push (76+, level)-0.429

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4615

Game state

When ahead+0.209

When level-0.1729

When behind-0.2025

10 min after conceding-0.2727

10 min after scoring+0.1516

Situations

With ten men+0.802

Against ten men+0.074

At home-0.1315

Away-0.1614

4+ days rest-0.1429

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.448

v mid-tier opponents+0.147

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0910

Evenly matched-0.039

As underdog-0.2020

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3429

Conceded when ahead-0.069

Conceded late (76+)+0.3421

Ahead vs level +0.37 · Behind vs level -0.03

Telstar · 35 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1535

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2335

Late push (76+, level)-0.4713

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3114

Game state

When ahead-0.1217

When level-0.1635

When behind-0.1619

10 min after conceding-0.2730

10 min after scoring+0.1225

Situations

With ten men+0.523

At home-0.1717

Away-0.1318

4+ days rest-0.1434

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3610

v mid-tier opponents-0.2611

v bottom-tier opponents+0.059

As favourite+0.064

Evenly matched+0.0210

As underdog-0.2721

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2535

Conceded when ahead+0.2117

Conceded late (76+)+0.2331

Congested vs rested -0.41 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.00

Heracles Almelo

Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	13 45%	0.15	0.62	2.77	1.09	2.2
4-4-2	9 31%	1.44	2.22	1.89	1.68	1.58
3-4-2-1	3 10%	1.0	1.0	2.0	1.63	1.41
5-3-2	2 7%	0.0	0.0	3.5	0.96	1.91
4-2-2-2	1 3%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.43	1.15

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	27 77%	0.93	1.37	1.7	1.4	2.03
3-4-3	5 14%	1.4	1.2	1.2	1.41	1.68
4-2-3-1	2 6%	1.5	1.5	2.0	1.4	2.31
3-5-2	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.66	1.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 40%3.75Draw 25% P 26%2.75Away 34% P 33%

Double Chance

1.4Heracles or Draw 33% P 33%1.25Heracles or Telstar 37% P 37%1.57Draw or Telstar 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 58%2.25Under 42% P 42%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	40%	41%	40%	-0.7
Draw	26%	26%	22%	-4.0
Away	33%	33%	38%	+4.7

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	63%	64%	64%	+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	58%	59%	60%	+0.8

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Career: 495 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match: 3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match: 18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.34
Cards to home side: 44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.32	3.32	-0.08	38
Fouls / match	21.0	20.3	+0.22
Fouls per card	6.5	6.2	+0.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.24	0.24	+0.11	57
Time added	6.0	6.4	-0.85	10

First card: 36' on average
Card timing: 19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match: 1.09

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-25	4	0	23	1	39'	7
2025-11-09	1	0	25	0	85'	5
2025-11-02	2	0	19	1	79'	4
2025-10-25 · Heracles Almelo	3	1	19	0	45'	3
2025-10-21	3	0	17	1	60'	4
2025-10-18	4	0	19	1	22'	5
2025-10-01	–	–	25	–	–	5
2025-09-26	3	0	27	1	20'	5
2025-09-21	9	1	19	2	23'	6
2025-09-13	7	0	26	1	40'	10

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Heracles Almelo

Telstar · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie

Absences

Heracles Almelo

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 253

Heracles Almelo

Telstar

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Last 10 · 2 matches

Last 5 · 2 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heracles Almelo

Telstar

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heracles Almelo

Telstar · 6 matches

Heracles Almelo

Telstar

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heracles Almelo

Telstar

Heracles Almelo

Telstar

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heracles Almelo

Telstar

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heracles Almelo · 29 matches

Telstar · 35 matches

Heracles Almelo

Telstar

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)

Recent matches