Rating 7.2 (97th pct) · G+A 13 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 15
Momentum
– HEEPSV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| SC Heerenveen | at home | Stat | league | away | PSV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.2 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 60.8 #1 |
| 14.9 #8 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 17.6 #2 |
| 5.4 #9 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 7.2 #1 |
| 5.6 #7 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 7.2 #2 |
| 10.9 #7 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.3 #12 |
| 1.2 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.5 #6 |
| 15.1 #16 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 16.7 #7 |
| 98.0 #9 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 110.8 #2 |
| 48.1 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 60.6 #1 |
| 444.0 #5 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 550.0 #1 |
| 1.5 #12 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #11 |
| 1.2 #6 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.4 #1 |
| – #6 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #2 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #9 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #18 |
| 1.8 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 2.2 #1 |
| -0.1 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.7 #1 |
| – #6 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #17 |
| 1.7 #7 | 1.9 | Goals | 1.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 #1 |
| 1.6 #9 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 #14 |
| 0.2 #17 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.4 #2 |
| 8.2 #12 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.6 #10 |
| – #11 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #18 |
| 0.1 #7 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 4.8 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.2 #7 |
| 10.0 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 12.1 #1 |
| 4.7 #14 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 6.1 #2 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.4 #5 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
SC Heerenveen · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.89 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (8% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 6.91 (58th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.63 ppg with (30) · 0.4 without (5)
PSV · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.34 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 12 (19% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.48 ppg with (27) · 2.43 without (7)
Rating 7.18 (95th pct) · G+A 14 + 5 (19% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.22 without (9)
Rating 7.24 (100th pct) · G+A 1 + 9 (10% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 2.71 ppg with (24) · 1.9 without (10)
Absences
SC Heerenveen
- injury Levi Smans midfielder · Knee Injury · 41 missed
PSV
- injury Alassane Pléa #15 key player attacker · Cartilage Damage · 45 missed · until 2026-07-10
- injury Ruben van Bommel #12 key player attacker · Knee Injury · 39 missed · until 2026-07-17
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 15
Venue
- Stadium
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
- Capacity
- 27,224
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 24,372
Teams
- Coaches
- Robin Veldman · Peter Bosz
- Position
- 11 · 1
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Serdar Gözübüyük
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 8.9° (feels 5.7°)
- Wind
- 6.3
- Humidity
- 51%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
SC Heerenveen
DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 8.37–6.45 · xPts 7.97
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
1–2
xG 1.95–1.56
NLD E
- W
H
AZ Alkmaar
3–1
xG 2.64–0.82
NLD E
- L
A
Fortuna Sittard
0–2
xG 1.61–1.71
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
1–1
xG 1.19–1.05
NLD E
- D
H
NAC Breda
3–3
xG 0.97–1.3
NLD E
LWDWWDDLWL 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 18 GA 17 · xG 18.07–14.76 · xPts 15.88
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
1–2
xG 1.95–1.56
NLD E
- W
H
AZ Alkmaar
3–1
xG 2.64–0.82
NLD E
- L
A
Fortuna Sittard
0–2
xG 1.61–1.71
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
1–1
xG 1.19–1.05
NLD E
- D
H
NAC Breda
3–3
xG 0.97–1.3
NLD E
- W
A
Telstar
3–2
xG 2.22–2.33
NLD E
- W
H
Excelsior
2–1
xG 2.4–1.4
NLD E
- D
A
FC Utrecht
2–2
xG 1.04–2.64
NLD E
- W
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–2
xG 2.58–0.97
NLD E
- L
A
Feyenoord
0–1
xG 1.46–0.97
NLD E
PSV
DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 14 GA 3 · xG 7.32–6.26 · xPts 7.46
- W
H
FC Volendam
3–0
xG 2.1–0.73
NLD E
- W
A
Liverpool
4–1
xG 1.79–2.62
UEFA CL - W
A
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 0.72–1.28
NLD E
- W
A
AZ Alkmaar
5–1
xG 2.15–0.55
NLD E
- D
A
Olympiacos F.C.
1–1
xG 0.57–1.08
UEFA CL
WWWWWDWWWW 9W 1D 0L · 28 pts (2.8 ppg) · GF 34 GA 10 · xG 19.33–10.16 · xPts 18.82
- W
H
FC Volendam
3–0
xG 2.1–0.73
NLD E
- W
A
Liverpool
4–1
xG 1.79–2.62
UEFA CL
- W
A
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 0.72–1.28
NLD E
- W
A
AZ Alkmaar
5–1
xG 2.15–0.55
NLD E
- D
A
Olympiacos F.C.
1–1
xG 0.57–1.08
UEFA CL
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
5–2
xG 2.09–0.98
NLD E
- W
A
Feyenoord
3–2
xG 1.31–1.21
NLD E
- W
H
Napoli
6–2
xG 2.97–1.0
UEFA CL - W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2–1
xG 3.68–0.52
NLD E
- W
A
PEC Zwolle
4–0
xG 1.96–0.19
NLD E
All meetings · 41 matches since 2005
Goals 53–90 · 3.49 per match · BTTS 73% · over 2.5 66%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–25 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–15 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L PSV 3–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 0–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 2–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 1–0 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 0–8 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 2–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D PSV 3–3 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 0–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 3–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D SC Heerenveen 1–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 35 | SC Heerenveen at home · 17 | PSV all · 34 | PSV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.46 | 1.76 | 2.47 | 2.53 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 12 | 8 / 6 / 3 | 27 / 3 / 4 | 14 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 1.94 | 2.97 | 2.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.12 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 12% | 21% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 18% | 3% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 76% | 76% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 85% | 76% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 2.08 | 2.24 | 2.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.14 | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| xG difference | 0.27 | 0.94 | 1.08 | 0.87 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.12 | -0.14 | 0.73 | 0.52 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.92 | 2.00 | 1.89 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.16 | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 41% | 71% | 71% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.14 | 2.75 | 2.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Came back from behind | 48% | 70% | 64% | 60% |
| Leads held | 64% | 67% | 90% | 93% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 31% | 52% | 50% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 41% | 35% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 28% | 13% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 39 | 24 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 39 | 36 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 50% | 49% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 54% | 49% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 61% | 58% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 16.3 | 17.6 | 16.1 |
| On target | 5.4 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 7.1 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 17% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 67% | 69% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 5.9 | 7.1 | 6.7 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 24% | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 5% | 6% | 25% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 14.0 | 22.8 | 19.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 49.4 | 53.1 | 66.8 | 60.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.69 | 1.76 | 1.56 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311
PSV
0–15'166
16–30'176
31–45'1711
46–60'174
61–75'1211
76–90'227
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363
Game state
When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274
Situations
At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256
Ahead vs level -0.50 · Behind vs level -0.32
PSV · 7 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.576
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.457
10 min after scoring+1.237
Situations
At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.606
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.112
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466
Congested vs rested +0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 97% | 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.62 | 1.81 | 1.55 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 0.97 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 59% | 2.5 | 3.05 | 1.2 | 2.24 | 1.06 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 32% | 2.27 | 2.73 | 1.55 | 2.19 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.67 | 0.77 |
| 3-2-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.81 | 1.95 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen at home · 10 | PSV all · 10 | PSV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 7 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 90% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.94 | 2.53 | 2.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.74 | 1.43 | 1.09 | 1.14 |
| xG difference | -0.26 | 0.52 | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.39 | -0.14 | 0.87 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.64 | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 50% | 86% | 78% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 31% | 48% | 45% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 56% | 48% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 13% | 3% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 31 | 19 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 32 | 25 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 56% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 50% | 25% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 60% | 59% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.6 | 19.1 | 18.9 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 7.6 | 7.7 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 12% | 18% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 64% | 69% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 20% | 24% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 21% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 11.9 | 20.9 | 19.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 46.6 | 62.6 | 61.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 9.6 | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'14
76–90'42
PSV
0–15'64
16–30'23
31–45'72
46–60'71
61–75'30
76–90'92
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.54 | 1.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen at home · 18 | PSV all · 43 | PSV away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 36 | 18 | 43 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.78 | 2.26 | 2.32 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 11 | 9 / 5 / 4 | 30 / 7 / 6 | 16 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 1.78 | 2.84 | 2.41 |
| Goals against / match | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 22% | 14% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 28% | 2% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 61% | 84% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 61% | 86% | 77% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.70 | 1.87 | 2.18 | 1.88 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.62 | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.34 | 0.55 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 39% | 56% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.43 | 2.63 | 2.85 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.44 | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Came back from behind | 52% | 60% | 71% | 67% |
| Leads held | 68% | 75% | 86% | 94% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 28% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 22% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 29 | 31 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 40 | 33 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 56% | 54% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 45% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 60% | 58% |
| Shots | 14.7 | 15.8 | 16.7 | 15.2 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.9 | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 17% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.7 | 6.8 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 23% | 24% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 3% | 3% | 20% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 13.4 | 21.5 | 19.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 48.3 | 64.0 | 59.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| Cards | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'17
16–30'1010
31–45'147
46–60'1113
61–75'1110
76–90'1410
PSV
0–15'1910
16–30'179
31–45'2013
46–60'197
61–75'1310
76–90'349
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0736
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0236
Late push (76+, level)-0.0512
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1912
Game state
When ahead-0.0522
When level+0.1436
When behind+0.0723
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.1927
Situations
At home+0.0318
Away+0.1218
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1611
v mid-tier opponents+0.099
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1711
As favourite+0.2914
Evenly matched+0.1110
As underdog-0.2112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0636
Conceded when ahead+0.1222
Conceded late (76+)+0.0431
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
PSV · 43 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5643
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2843
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.317
Game state
When ahead+0.6335
When level+0.5443
When behind+0.4621
10 min after conceding+0.2436
10 min after scoring+0.8841
Situations
With ten men+0.013
Against ten men+0.132
At home+0.5521
Away+0.5722
3 days rest or fewer+0.675
4+ days rest+0.5538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0514
v mid-tier opponents+0.7111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.8110
As favourite+0.7832
Evenly matched-0.047
As underdog-0.064
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2543
Conceded when ahead-0.3635
Conceded late (76+)-0.3634
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.07
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 25 58% | 2.32 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 1.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 26% | 2.36 | 2.73 | 1.45 | 2.33 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 14% | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.4Home 28% P 27%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.85Away 51% P 51%
Double Chance
1.9Heerenveen or Draw 25% P 24%1.2Heerenveen or PSV 39% P 39%1.3Draw or PSV 36% P 37%
Draw No Bet
2.621 35%1.442 65%
Both Teams To Score
1.36Yes 69% P 70%3.0No 31% P 30%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.3Over 73% P 72%3.5Under 27% P 28%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–30% · away 50–55% · 108 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 27% | 26% | 20% | -5.5 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 24% | +1.0 |
| Away | 51% | 51% | 56% | +4.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%
Both teams to score · yes 67.5–70% · 136 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70% | 69% | 68% | -0.9 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 71% | 70% | -1.3 |
Serdar Gözübüyük
- Career
- 414 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.71 (3.53 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.25
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.94 | 3.32 | +1.20 | 95 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 20.3 | +0.85 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.8 | 6.2 | -0.92 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.24 | -0.07 | 48 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.85 | 10 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 6' | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 · PSV | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 1' | 4 |
| 2025-11-02 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 42' | 7 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 89' | 6 |
| 2025-10-21 | 6 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 11' | 5 |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 14' | 7 |
| 2025-10-01 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 50' | 6 |
| 2025-09-27 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 · PSV | 7 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 18' | 9 |
| 2025-09-13 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 20' | 11 |