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Eredivisie · Matchweek 16

Momentum

AjaxFeyenoord
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Capacity
55,885
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,506

Teams

Coaches
Fred Grim · Robin van Persie
Position
4 · 2
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Serdar Gözübüyük

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.1° (feels 4.8°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 285

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Ajax

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.36–6.24 · xPts 7.63

  • W A Qarabağ 4–2 xG 1.89–1.09 UEFA CL
  • W A Fortuna Sittard 3–1 xG 1.31–2.35 NLD E
  • W H FC Groningen 2–0 xG 1.27–1.33 NLD E
  • L H Benfica 0–2 xG 0.76–0.92 UEFA CL
  • L H Excelsior 1–2 xG 2.13–0.56 NLD E

Feyenoord

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 13 · xG 11.84–7.02 · xPts 9.45

  • L A FCSB 3–4 xG 2.06–1.68 UEFA EL
  • W H PEC Zwolle 6–1 xG 3.81–0.95 NLD E
  • W A Telstar 2–1 xG 1.27–1.85 NLD E
  • L H Celtic 1–3 xG 1.98–0.5 UEFA EL
  • L H NEC Nijmegen 2–4 xG 2.71–2.04 NLD E

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

Ajax 2610 draws7 Feyenoord

Goals 90–53 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ajax 52 draws3 Feyenoord

Goals 15–18 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ajax 31 draws1 Feyenoord

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 2–0 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 2–1 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Feyenoord 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 6–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 0–4 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 2–3 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 3–2 Feyenoord neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Feyenoord 0–2 Ajax neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAjax all · 36Ajax at home · 19Feyenoord all · 34Feyenoord away · 17
Results
Matches36193417
Points per game1.671.841.911.71
W / D / L15 / 15 / 610 / 5 / 419 / 8 / 78 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.811.842.061.82
Goals against / match1.170.951.291.24
Clean sheets31%37%29%35%
Failed to score8%5%12%24%
Both teams scored67%58%62%47%
Over 2.556%47%59%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.722.021.971.74
xG against / match1.481.371.141.16
xG difference0.240.650.830.58
Finishing vs xG0.08-0.170.090.08
xPts / match1.521.751.851.70
Points vs xPts0.150.100.070.00
Game state
Scored first58%74%53%53%
PPG when scoring first2.242.432.672.33
PPG when conceding first0.850.201.071.00
Came back from behind60%20%56%50%
Leads held62%71%79%67%
Minutes leading37%46%38%36%
Minutes level46%44%40%42%
Minutes trailing16%10%22%23%
First goal (min)34314138
First goal conceded (min)41483937
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%38%54%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%59%54%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.470.500.47
Late goals against0.280.260.380.35
Style
Possession56%57%53%52%
Shots14.916.316.815.1
On target5.96.56.35.5
Shot conversion12%11%12%12%
Shots inside box68%69%70%70%
Big chances created2.83.23.12.7
Corners4.95.47.26.6
xG from set plays20%22%24%26%
Goals from headers16%11%19%23%
Pressure index16.018.117.314.4
Dominant minutes56.763.960.457.2
Pass accuracy85%86%82%81%
Fouls10.310.79.89.6
Cards1.811.421.762.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ajax

0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119

Feyenoord

0–15'57
16–30'147
31–45'136
46–60'148
61–75'73
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

Feyenoord · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.60) · stands out: as favourite +0.84

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.607
Early press (0-15, level)+0.487
Late push (76+, level)+0.232

Game state

When ahead+0.645
When level+0.697
When behind+0.362
10 min after conceding-0.025
10 min after scoring+0.816

Situations

At home+0.802
Away+0.495
4+ days rest+0.607

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.512
v bottom-tier opponents+0.844
As favourite+0.845

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.317
Conceded when ahead-0.295
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.32

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-325 69%1.61.881.161.811.52
4-2-3-18 22%1.381.381.381.541.38
5-4-12 6%3.02.00.01.261.64
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.02.01.841.02

Feyenoord

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 65%1.821.861.322.091.17
4-3-39 26%2.02.671.331.761.08
4-4-22 6%2.01.51.01.990.74
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.271.85

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 29%4.0Draw 24% P 24%2.05Away 46% P 46%

Double Chance

1.66Ajax or Draw 28% P 27%1.25Ajax or Feyenoord 37% P 38%1.36Draw or Feyenoord 34% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 63%2.5No 38% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 61%2.4Under 39% P 39%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

5.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%28%34%+6.0
Draw24%26%22%-3.6
Away46%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Serdar Gözübüyük

Career
414 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.71 (3.53 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.943.32+1.2296
Fouls / match22.320.3+0.88
Fouls per card5.86.2-0.87 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.24-0.0150
Time added6.06.4-0.829
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-10 40 201 21'6
2025-12-06 10 180 35'4
2025-11-29 50 341 6'6
2025-11-09 30 190 1'4
2025-11-02 30 261 42'7
2025-10-26 · Ajax 20 271 89'6
2025-10-21 60 320 11'5
2025-10-05 50 201 14'7
2025-10-01 40 300 50'6
2025-09-27 60 230 16'6