Rating 6.98 (68th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (10% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (23) · 1.18 without (11)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 16
Momentum
– AZExcelsior –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| AZ | at home | Stat | league | away | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.1 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.6 #11 |
| 15.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 12.4 #14 |
| 5.9 #6 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.2 #14 |
| 5.8 #5 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.1 #16 |
| 10.2 #14 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 12.3 #2 |
| 1.1 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #17 |
| 18.0 #1 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 14.1 #17 |
| 99.2 #7 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 98.8 #8 |
| 46.9 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 41.1 #13 |
| 457.5 #4 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 404.5 #10 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #18 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 1.2 #7 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #16 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #7 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #6 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #11 |
| 1.9 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #11 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.1 #12 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #8 |
| 1.7 #6 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #14 |
| 1.5 #12 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 #6 |
| 0.3 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.1 #6 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #5 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 4.4 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.4 #13 |
| 10.3 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 8.2 #13 |
| 5.5 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 4.9 #12 |
| 5.4 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.2 #15 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AZ · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.84 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (29) · 2.2 without (5)
Rating 6.93 (61th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.38 ppg with (24) · 1.9 without (10)
Excelsior · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.99 (74th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (72th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (5% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.12 (93th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (2% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Absences
AZ
- injury Jordy Clasie #8 key player midfielder · Knee Problems · 56 missed
- injury Mexx Meerdink #7 key player attacker · Groin Injury · 22 missed · until 2026-02-13
- injury Sven Mijnans midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 6 missed · until 2026-02-12
- suspension Andrea Natali defender · Called Up To National Team · 38 missed
Excelsior
- injury Zach Booth attacker · Unknown Injury · 12 missed · until 2025-12-15
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 16
Venue
- Stadium
- AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
- Capacity
- 19,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 16,997
Teams
- Coaches
- Leeroy Echteld · Ruben den Uil
- Position
- 8 · 14
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Alex Bos
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 4.5° (feels 0.3°)
- Wind
- 5.9
- Humidity
- 80%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
AZ
WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 11.66–4.24 · xPts 11.29
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
1–3
xG 1.56–1.06
NLD E
- W
H
FC Volendam
1–0
xG 2.42–0.59
NLD E
- L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3–4
xG 3.27–2.03
NLD E
- D
H
Jagiellonia Białystok
0–0
xG 1.26–0.13
UEFA ECL - W
A
Drita
3–0
xG 3.15–0.43
UEFA ECL
LLWLDWDLWL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 14 GA 18 · xG 18.71–11.99 · xPts 18.06
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
1–3
xG 1.56–1.06
NLD E
- W
H
FC Volendam
1–0
xG 2.42–0.59
NLD E
- L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3–4
xG 3.27–2.03
NLD E
- D
H
Jagiellonia Białystok
0–0
xG 1.26–0.13
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Drita
3–0
xG 3.15–0.43
UEFA ECL
- D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2–2
xG 2.43–1.49
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
0–1
xG 1.44–0.95
NLD E
- W
H
Shelbourne
2–0
xG 1.8–0.51
UEFA ECL - L
A
SC Heerenveen
1–3
xG 0.82–2.64
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–5
xG 0.55–2.15
NLD E
Excelsior
WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 6.7–9.6 · xPts 5.32
- D
H
Telstar
2–2
xG 1.71–1.59
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 0.6–2.22
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
2–1
xG 1.62–1.11
NLD E
- L
H
FC Groningen
0–2
xG 1.74–3.04
NLD E
- W
H
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 1.03–1.64
NLD E
WLDLWWLWLD 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 17 · xG 14.92–18.05 · xPts 11.81
- D
H
Telstar
2–2
xG 1.71–1.59
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 0.6–2.22
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
2–1
xG 1.62–1.11
NLD E
- L
H
FC Groningen
0–2
xG 1.74–3.04
NLD E
- W
H
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 1.03–1.64
NLD E
- W
A
Ajax
2–1
xG 0.56–2.13
NLD E
- L
H
Heracles Almelo
1–2
xG 1.8–1.28
NLD E
- D
A
Telstar
2–2
xG 3.81–2.49
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
0–2
xG 0.56–1.35
NLD E
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
1–0
xG 1.5–1.2
NLD E
All meetings · 24 matches since 2006
Goals 50–30 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 20–13 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 13–3 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- D AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 2–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 4–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 0–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | AZ all · 34 | AZ at home · 17 | Excelsior all · 34 | Excelsior away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.82 | 1.12 | 1.18 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 10 / 10 | 8 / 7 / 2 | 10 / 8 / 16 | 5 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.71 | 2.29 | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.65 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 24% | 18% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 21% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 76% | 65% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 76% | 62% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.87 | 2.01 | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | 1.20 | 1.72 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | 0.51 | 0.80 | -0.29 | -0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | 0.29 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.81 | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | 0.02 | -0.09 | 0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 82% | 44% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.14 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.42 | 0.33 | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 67% | 33% | 42% |
| Leads held | 56% | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 52% | 24% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 32% | 46% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 15% | 30% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 25 | 39 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 48 | 41 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 45% | 38% | 51% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 62% | 61% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 52% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 15.8 | 16.2 | 12.4 | 12.1 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 14% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 70% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 25% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 8% | 22% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 14.8 | 16.0 | 7.9 | 6.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.6 | 56.6 | 38.7 | 35.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 77% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 9.4 | 12.3 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.47 | 1.35 | 1.18 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313
Excelsior
0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702
Game state
When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31
Excelsior · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.38 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 1.78 | 1.67 | 1.22 | 1.96 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.58 | 1.19 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 50% | 1.35 | 1.06 | 1.65 | 1.25 | 1.95 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 1.97 | 1.47 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.1 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 2.13 |
| Metric | AZ all · 10 | AZ at home · 10 | Excelsior all · 10 | Excelsior away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 1 | 6 / 4 / 0 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.69 | 1.76 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.15 | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | 0.89 | 1.02 | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.43 | 0.81 | 0.44 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 1.97 | 1.71 | 1.51 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 90% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.11 | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 100% | 60% | 67% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 86% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 56% | 39% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 6% | 28% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 26 | 25 | 33 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 51 | 22 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 50% | 52% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | 82% | 58% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 56% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 17.7 | 17.5 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| On target | 6.4 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 18% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 68% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 7.4 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 23% | 22% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 33% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 18.8 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.1 | 59.2 | 50.8 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 83% | 79% | 76% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.1 | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| Cards | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'60
16–30'03
31–45'31
46–60'42
61–75'44
76–90'63
Excelsior
0–15'34
16–30'20
31–45'71
46–60'34
61–75'50
76–90'53
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.22 | 1.33 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.1 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| Metric | AZ all · 49 | AZ at home · 25 | Excelsior all · 35 | Excelsior away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.59 | 1.96 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 12 / 15 | 13 / 10 / 2 | 12 / 9 / 14 | 7 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.73 | 2.16 | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.24 | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 36% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 4% | 14% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 64% | 69% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 64% | 69% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.93 | 2.14 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.07 | 1.56 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | 0.64 | 1.07 | -0.05 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.72 | 1.95 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | 0.01 | -0.05 | 0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 61% | 80% | 46% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.37 | 2.30 | 2.06 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 0.89 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 71% | 39% | 54% |
| Leads held | 65% | 59% | 67% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 46% | 29% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 43% | 43% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 11% | 28% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 31 | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 50 | 39 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 48% | 49% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 68% | 61% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 17.5 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 8% | 28% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 17.0 | 19.2 | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.9 | 61.0 | 41.6 | 37.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.3 | 11.9 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 1.73 | 1.52 | 1.29 | 1.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'178
16–30'68
31–45'1511
46–60'1212
61–75'1610
76–90'1919
Excelsior
0–15'87
16–30'76
31–45'127
46–60'515
61–75'87
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: as favourite +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1749
Late push (76+, level)+0.3519
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3717
Game state
When ahead+0.3933
When level+0.2549
When behind+0.1922
10 min after conceding-0.1233
10 min after scoring+0.3740
Situations
With ten men-0.042
Against ten men+0.064
At home+0.2925
Away+0.2724
3 days rest or fewer+0.2211
4+ days rest+0.3038
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.2413
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3915
As favourite+0.4829
Evenly matched+0.0413
As underdog-0.107
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0849
Conceded when ahead-0.1933
Conceded late (76+)-0.3442
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.15 · Behind vs level -0.06
Excelsior · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.2517
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1617
Game state
When ahead-0.3018
When level-0.1535
When behind+0.0022
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.0629
Situations
Against ten men-0.492
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1418
3 days rest or fewer-0.272
4+ days rest-0.1433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.369
v mid-tier opponents-0.038
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0112
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched-0.0315
As underdog-0.2616
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2035
Conceded when ahead+0.3618
Conceded late (76+)+0.2132
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.15
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 55% | 1.52 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 15 31% | 1.87 | 1.67 | 1.07 | 2.05 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 37% | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 31% | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 11% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.33Home 71% P 71%5.5Draw 17% P 17%8.0Away 12% P 11%
Double Chance
1.08AZ or Draw 44% P 44%1.14AZ or Excelsior 42% P 41%3.25Draw or Excelsior 15% P 14%
Draw No Bet
1.111 85%6.52 15%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53% P 54%2.0No 47% P 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.47Over 64% P 64%2.6Under 36% P 36%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 71% | 71% | 75% | +4.2 |
| Draw | 17% | 18% | 15% | -2.5 |
| Away | 11% | 11% | 9% | -1.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Alex Bos
- Career
- 61 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.0 (2.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 7.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 57 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.35 | 3.32 | -0.03 | 41 |
| Fouls / match | 21.7 | 20.3 | +0.59 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 6.2 | +0.99 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.35 | 0.24 | +1.52 | 96 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.4 | -0.46 | 41 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 83' | 5 |
| 2025-12-13 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 17' | 8 |
| 2025-11-23 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 43' | 5 |
| 2025-10-19 · Excelsior | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 38' | 6 |
| 2025-10-04 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 24' | 4 |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 42' | 6 |
| 2025-09-13 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 21' | 11 |
| 2025-08-30 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-08-16 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 13' | 5 |
| 2025-05-18 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 55' | 5 |