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Eredivisie · Matchweek 16

Momentum

TelstarNEC Nijmegen
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
BUKO Stadion, Velsen
Capacity
3,200
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
5,293

Teams

Coaches
Anthony Correia · Dick Schreuder
Position
18 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Richard Martens

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.4° (feels 4.5°)
Wind
4.5
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 271

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Telstar

DDDLD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.16–10.47 · xPts 5.18

  • D A Heracles Almelo 1–1 xG 0.83–2.06 NLD E
  • L H Feyenoord 1–2 xG 1.85–1.27 NLD E
  • D H FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.27–1.13 NLD E
  • D A FC Twente 0–0 xG 0.72–2.19 NLD E
  • D H Excelsior 2–2 xG 2.49–3.81 NLD E

NEC Nijmegen

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 10.16–8.83 · xPts 7.84

  • W A FC Volendam 3–2 xG 1.57–2.11 NLD E
  • W H Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 xG 2.86–1.59 NLD E
  • W A Feyenoord 4–2 xG 2.04–2.71 NLD E
  • W H FC Groningen 2–0 xG 1.76–1.67 NLD E
  • L A FC Utrecht 0–1 xG 1.94–0.74 NLD E

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Telstar 12 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Telstar 12 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Telstar 12 draws0 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 5–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • W NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Telstar 2–2 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
MetricTelstar all · 34Telstar at home · 17NEC Nijmegen all · 34NEC Nijmegen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.091.181.741.59
W / D / L9 / 10 / 155 / 5 / 716 / 11 / 77 / 6 / 4
Goals for / match1.441.822.262.12
Goals against / match1.621.651.561.65
Clean sheets15%12%15%6%
Failed to score24%18%3%6%
Both teams scored65%71%82%88%
Over 2.559%71%74%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.611.891.56
xG against / match1.901.631.421.49
xG difference-0.47-0.010.460.07
Finishing vs xG0.010.210.380.56
xPts / match1.151.391.611.42
Points vs xPts-0.06-0.220.120.17
Game state
Scored first47%53%53%41%
PPG when scoring first1.811.892.392.43
PPG when conceding first0.410.381.001.00
Came back from behind17%12%65%64%
Leads held50%50%73%78%
Minutes leading24%30%33%27%
Minutes level44%43%43%49%
Minutes trailing32%27%24%23%
First goal (min)45423538
First goal conceded (min)40413537
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%61%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.590.530.53
Late goals against0.500.530.180.29
Style
Possession45%47%56%56%
Shots12.813.517.015.7
On target4.95.46.76.7
Shot conversion11%14%13%14%
Shots inside box66%67%63%60%
Big chances created3.13.53.32.7
Corners4.75.46.15.5
xG from set plays31%31%23%20%
Goals from headers20%23%16%20%
Pressure index8.09.018.718.0
Dominant minutes37.041.864.359.8
Pass accuracy76%77%79%78%
Fouls11.310.411.913.4
Cards1.351.291.912.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

NEC Nijmegen

0–15'96
16–30'107
31–45'1117
46–60'1511
61–75'146
76–90'186

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.932.271.22.091.37
3-4-1-211 32%1.452.092.01.581.5
3-1-4-24 12%1.252.252.251.031.56
3-4-32 6%3.03.50.53.741.02
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.00.01.761.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 33% P 30%4.0Draw 24% P 25%2.15Away 44% P 46%

Double Chance

1.66Telstar or Draw 28% P 27%1.22Telstar or NEC 38% P 38%1.4Draw or NEC 33% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 66%2.62No 35% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.47Over 64% P 64%2.6Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%28%34%+6.0
Draw25%26%22%-3.6
Away46%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Richard Martens

Career
67 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.57 (3.33 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
23.1 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.313.32-0.1132
Fouls / match21.020.3+0.23
Fouls per card6.56.2+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.24+1.64100
Time added7.36.4+1.5291
First card
40' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.44

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 42 220 23'8
2025-10-04 50 231 65'10
2024-12-22 · NEC Nijmegen 20 160 58'12