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Eredivisie · Matchweek 17

Momentum

ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Capacity
4,500
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
4,600

Teams

Coaches
Ruben den Uil · Henry van der Vegt
Position
14 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sander van der Eijk

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
6.7° (feels 4.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
96%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Excelsior

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 8.94–10.58 · xPts 5.89

  • L H FC Groningen 0–2 xG 1.74–3.04 NLD E
  • W H NAC Breda 1–0 xG 1.03–1.64 NLD E
  • W A Ajax 2–1 xG 0.56–2.13 NLD E
  • L H Heracles Almelo 1–2 xG 1.8–1.28 NLD E
  • D A Telstar 2–2 xG 3.81–2.49 NLD E

PEC Zwolle

WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.45–10.69 · xPts 4.44

  • W H Fortuna Sittard 1–0 xG 1.16–1.35 NLD E
  • L A Feyenoord 1–6 xG 0.95–3.81 NLD E
  • W H SC Heerenveen 2–1 xG 1.56–1.95 NLD E
  • D A FC Groningen 2–2 xG 0.71–2.67 NLD E
  • W H Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 xG 1.06–0.92 NLD E

All meetings · 14 matches since 2014

Excelsior 15 draws8 PEC Zwolle

Goals 13–30 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Excelsior 13 draws6 PEC Zwolle

Goals 10–19 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Excelsior 11 draws3 PEC Zwolle

Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 0–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 2–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 1–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 0–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
MetricExcelsior all · 34Excelsior at home · 17PEC Zwolle all · 34PEC Zwolle away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.061.090.53
W / D / L10 / 8 / 165 / 3 / 99 / 10 / 151 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match1.261.181.291.35
Goals against / match1.651.292.092.94
Clean sheets18%24%18%6%
Failed to score21%24%18%6%
Both teams scored65%53%68%88%
Over 2.562%53%62%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.401.081.02
xG against / match1.721.581.942.24
xG difference-0.29-0.18-0.86-1.22
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.220.220.34
xPts / match1.201.280.910.74
Points vs xPts-0.09-0.220.18-0.22
Game state
Scored first44%53%50%35%
PPG when scoring first1.801.671.820.83
PPG when conceding first0.560.380.310.36
Came back from behind33%25%25%29%
Leads held62%56%53%17%
Minutes leading24%26%27%15%
Minutes level46%49%44%40%
Minutes trailing30%25%28%45%
First goal (min)39373847
First goal conceded (min)41453930
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%50%48%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%54%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.290.210.24
Late goals against0.260.290.560.65
Style
Possession48%49%45%47%
Shots12.412.89.69.4
On target4.24.33.53.5
Shot conversion10%9%13%14%
Shots inside box66%66%64%65%
Big chances created2.63.12.21.9
Corners4.14.23.63.1
xG from set plays29%30%24%16%
Goals from headers22%22%20%17%
Pressure index7.99.37.36.6
Dominant minutes38.742.231.129.5
Pass accuracy77%78%78%79%
Fouls12.311.411.410.4
Cards1.351.531.822.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

PEC Zwolle

0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

PEC Zwolle · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.257
When behind-0.146
10 min after conceding-0.416
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.164
4+ days rest-0.187

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v mid-tier opponents+0.062
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.187

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.427
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.11

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-116 47%1.061.251.811.091.76
4-3-314 41%1.431.51.641.122.01
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.53.51.251.83
4-5-11 3%0.00.04.00.191.96
4-4-21 3%0.02.08.00.814.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 45%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.2Away 30% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Excelsior or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Excelsior or PEC Zwolle 37% P 37%1.66Draw or PEC Zwolle 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 59%2.25Under 42% P 41%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw26%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Sander van der Eijk

Career
117 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.4 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 81 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.833.32+0.9790
Fouls / match20.720.3+0.03
Fouls per card5.56.2-1.43 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.24-0.5329
Time added6.56.4+0.2562
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.52

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-11 32 131 32'6
2025-12-06 72 220 22'13
2025-11-30 30 160 38'7
2025-10-23 61 270 29'5
2025-10-18 20 150 69'5
2025-09-28 71 300 12'6
2025-09-25 61 380 10'5
2025-09-13 · PEC Zwolle 30 270 23'6
2025-08-28 20 190 53'4
2025-08-23 30 210 52'6