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Eredivisie · Matchweek 17

Momentum

FC UtrechtPSV
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Capacity
23,750
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,121

Teams

Coaches
Ron Jans · Peter Bosz
Position
8 · 1
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Bas Nijhuis

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.2° (feels 10.3°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
74%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Utrecht

LDDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.55–7.51 · xPts 5.31

  • D A NAC Breda 1–1 xG 0.75–1.25 NLD E
  • L H Nottingham Forest 1–2 xG 0.77–1.57 UEFA EL
  • D H FC Twente 1–1 xG 0.9–1.95 NLD E
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 xG 2.5–1.49 NLD E
  • L A Real Betis 1–2 xG 0.62–1.25 UEFA EL

PSV

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 10.92–8.12 · xPts 8.49

  • W H Heracles Almelo 4–3 xG 3.86–2.33 NLD E
  • L H Atlético de Madrid 2–3 xG 2.39–1.63 UEFA CL
  • W A SC Heerenveen 2–0 xG 0.78–0.81 NLD E
  • W H FC Volendam 3–0 xG 2.1–0.73 NLD E
  • W A Liverpool 4–1 xG 1.79–2.62 UEFA CL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

FC Utrecht 38 draws31 PSV

Goals 39–108 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Utrecht 03 draws7 PSV

Goals 13–31 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Utrecht 01 draws4 PSV

Goals 9–19 · 5.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Utrecht 1–6 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 4–3 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Utrecht 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PSV 2–2 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Utrecht 2–5 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Utrecht 1–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 2–0 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Utrecht 2–2 PSV neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 6–1 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Utrecht 0–1 PSV neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Utrecht all · 36FC Utrecht at home · 18PSV all · 34PSV away · 17
Results
Matches36183417
Points per game1.582.002.472.53
W / D / L16 / 9 / 1111 / 3 / 427 / 3 / 414 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.641.892.972.53
Goals against / match1.250.831.321.12
Clean sheets25%33%21%29%
Failed to score17%17%3%0%
Both teams scored61%50%76%71%
Over 2.550%44%85%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.681.822.242.01
xG against / match1.431.051.161.14
xG difference0.250.781.080.87
Finishing vs xG-0.050.060.730.52
xPts / match1.551.832.001.89
Points vs xPts0.040.170.470.64
Game state
Scored first56%78%71%71%
PPG when scoring first2.302.362.752.83
PPG when conceding first0.670.751.801.80
Came back from behind39%33%64%60%
Leads held73%73%90%93%
Minutes leading30%42%52%50%
Minutes level46%44%35%43%
Minutes trailing24%14%13%8%
First goal (min)43352428
First goal conceded (min)45533635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%50%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%73%49%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.330.650.53
Late goals against0.360.280.210.18
Style
Possession46%47%61%58%
Shots15.317.417.616.1
On target5.55.97.27.1
Shot conversion11%11%17%16%
Shots inside box68%70%69%72%
Big chances created2.62.94.34.4
Corners5.35.37.16.7
xG from set plays31%32%23%22%
Goals from headers24%23%25%30%
Pressure index11.812.522.819.1
Dominant minutes45.847.866.860.2
Pass accuracy79%79%86%85%
Fouls10.910.410.310.8
Cards1.531.171.562.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Utrecht

0–15'76
16–30'45
31–45'125
46–60'1212
61–75'104
76–90'1312

PSV

0–15'166
16–30'176
31–45'1711
46–60'174
61–75'1211
76–90'227

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Utrecht · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.186
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.083
When level-0.206
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.116
10 min after scoring-0.096

Situations

At home-0.263
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.076

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.552
v mid-tier opponents+0.153
Evenly matched-0.014

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.256
Conceded when ahead-0.163
Conceded late (76+)-0.116

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level +0.17

PSV · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.576
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.457
10 min after scoring+1.237

Situations

At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.606

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466

Congested vs rested +0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44

FC Utrecht

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 67%1.791.711.211.781.48
4-3-38 22%1.751.50.751.521.2
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.02.01.511.5
4-4-1-11 3%0.01.02.01.210.53
4-4-21 3%0.01.02.01.71.59

PSV

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 59%2.53.051.22.241.06
4-3-311 32%2.272.731.552.191.34
4-4-22 6%3.02.50.52.670.77
3-2-4-11 3%3.05.03.01.811.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 24% P 23%4.0Draw 24% P 24%1.83Away 52% P 53%

Double Chance

2.0FC Utrecht or Draw 23% P 23%1.22FC Utrecht or PSV 38% P 38%1.22Draw or PSV 38% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 64%2.5No 38% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.47Over 64% P 64%2.6Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%23%21%-2.5
Draw24%23%20%-3.2
Away53%54%59%+5.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Bas Nijhuis

Career
233 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.24 (3.08 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
11.8 · 3.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.673.32-1.415
Fouls / match15.820.3-2.51
Fouls per card6.26.2-0.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.24-0.5619
Time added7.46.4+2.24100
First card
44' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.03

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-07 20 210 90'8
2025-12-02 10 240 64'13
2025-11-23 20 210 63'7
2025-10-31 · PSV 40 200 60'9
2025-10-26 · FC Utrecht 10 181 27'7
2025-10-04 40 171 45'12
2025-09-28 41 220 56'16
2025-09-20 · FC Utrecht 60 190 23'9
2025-09-14 60 220 11'6
2025-08-24 60 341 7'7