Rating 7.22 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 10 (33% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 0.73 without (11)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 17
Momentum
– FORAZ –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Fortuna Sittard | at home | Stat | league | away | AZ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.1 #6 |
| 12.7 #13 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 15.8 #5 |
| 4.4 #12 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 5.9 #6 |
| 4.3 #15 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 5.8 #5 |
| 12.3 #2 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.2 #14 |
| 1.5 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.1 #14 |
| 17.7 #2 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 18.0 #1 |
| 91.1 #13 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 99.2 #7 |
| 36.6 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 46.9 #7 |
| 363.2 #15 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 457.5 #4 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1.1 #10 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #7 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #7 |
| – #16 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #5 |
| – #15 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #6 |
| 1.4 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.9 #4 |
| 0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.2 #13 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #14 |
| 1.4 #10 | 1.6 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 #6 |
| 1.9 #3 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 #12 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 10.7 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.0 #15 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #13 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 3.4 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.4 #5 |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 10.3 #6 |
| 4.8 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 5.5 #7 |
| 4.8 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.4 #5 |
| – #11 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Fortuna Sittard · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.79 (44th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.11 ppg with (28) · 1.33 without (6)
Rating 6.77 (36th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (28) · 0.83 without (6)
AZ · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.98 (68th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (10% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (23) · 1.18 without (11)
Rating 6.84 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (29) · 2.2 without (5)
Rating 6.93 (61th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.38 ppg with (24) · 1.9 without (10)
Absences
Fortuna Sittard
- injury Daley Sinkgraven defender · Knee Injury · 56 missed
- injury Ramazan Bayram goalkeeper · Knee Injury · 56 missed
AZ
- suspension Andrea Natali defender · Called Up To National Team · 38 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 17
Venue
- Stadium
- Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
- Capacity
- 12,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 10,440
Teams
- Coaches
- Danny Buijs · Maarten Martens
- Position
- 14 · 7
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 8.4° (feels 5.3°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 81%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Fortuna Sittard
WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 8.28–6.78 · xPts 7.86
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
0–1
xG 1.35–1.16
NLD E
- L
H
Ajax
1–3
xG 2.35–1.31
NLD E
- D
H
Heracles Almelo
1–1
xG 1.66–0.9
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
xG 1.22–1.79
NLD E
- W
H
SC Heerenveen
2–0
xG 1.71–1.61
NLD E
LWLLLWDDLL 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 17 · xG 14.13–16.1 · xPts 13.01
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
0–1
xG 1.35–1.16
NLD E
- L
H
Ajax
1–3
xG 2.35–1.31
NLD E
- D
H
Heracles Almelo
1–1
xG 1.66–0.9
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
xG 1.22–1.79
NLD E
- W
H
SC Heerenveen
2–0
xG 1.71–1.61
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
2–5
xG 0.98–2.09
NLD E
- L
H
FC Groningen
1–2
xG 1.05–1.52
NLD E
- L
A
Excelsior
0–1
xG 1.2–1.5
NLD E
- W
H
FC Volendam
1–0
xG 2.17–1.08
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
2–3
xG 0.46–3.12
NLD E
AZ
WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 10.08–3.51 · xPts 10.99
- D
H
Jagiellonia Białystok
0–0
xG 1.26–0.13
UEFA ECL - W
A
Drita
3–0
xG 3.15–0.43
UEFA ECL - D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2–2
xG 2.43–1.49
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
0–1
xG 1.44–0.95
NLD E
- W
H
Shelbourne
2–0
xG 1.8–0.51
UEFA ECL
WWLLLWLDWD 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 15 · xG 18.4–12.96 · xPts 17.35
- D
H
Jagiellonia Białystok
0–0
xG 1.26–0.13
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Drita
3–0
xG 3.15–0.43
UEFA ECL
- D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2–2
xG 2.43–1.49
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
0–1
xG 1.44–0.95
NLD E
- W
H
Shelbourne
2–0
xG 1.8–0.51
UEFA ECL
- L
A
SC Heerenveen
1–3
xG 0.82–2.64
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–5
xG 0.55–2.15
NLD E
- L
A
Crystal Palace
1–3
xG 0.97–3.23
UEFA ECL - W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1–0
xG 2.6–0.66
NLD E
- W
H
FC Utrecht
4–1
xG 3.38–0.76
NLD E
All meetings · 16 matches since 2018
Goals 14–39 · 3.31 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 69%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–22 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- L Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 4–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 1–0 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 0–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 3–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 34 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 17 | AZ all · 34 | AZ away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.15 | 1.47 | 1.53 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 17 | 7 / 4 / 6 | 14 / 10 / 10 | 6 / 3 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.44 | 1.65 | 1.71 | 1.12 |
| Goals against / match | 1.85 | 1.71 | 1.50 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 18% | 26% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 0% | 12% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 82% | 65% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 71% | 65% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.40 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.76 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | -0.35 | 0.16 | 0.51 | 0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.08 | -0.16 | -0.62 |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | 1.47 | 1.67 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 76% | 62% | 41% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.82 | 1.85 | 2.19 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 25% | 38% | 20% |
| Leads held | 55% | 50% | 56% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 39% | 34% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 41% | 44% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 19% | 21% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 35 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 46 | 40 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 45% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 69% | 53% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 45% | 53% | 54% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.5 | 15.8 | 15.4 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 11% | 11% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 67% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 29% | 27% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 18% | 9% | 10% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 10.6 | 14.8 | 13.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.0 | 40.2 | 53.6 | 50.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 75% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.2 | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 2.29 | 1.91 | 2.35 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1011
16–30'511
31–45'109
46–60'88
61–75'69
76–90'1015
AZ
0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253
Game state
When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065
Situations
At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00
AZ · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702
Game state
When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.71 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.4 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 0.73 | 2.31 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.36 | 1.85 |
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.38 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 1.78 | 1.67 | 1.22 | 1.96 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.58 | 1.19 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 10 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 10 | AZ all · 10 | AZ away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 4 / 1 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.20 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% | 70% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.86 | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
| xG against / match | 2.34 | 2.15 | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| xG difference | -1.48 | -0.71 | 0.89 | 0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.84 | 0.06 | 0.08 | -0.33 |
| xPts / match | 0.70 | 1.13 | 1.81 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.60 | -0.03 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 90% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.86 | 1.57 | 2.11 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 0% | 75% | 20% |
| Leads held | 57% | 43% | 56% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 37% | 43% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 42% | 46% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 21% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 34 | 26 | 22 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 56 | 50 | 51 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 61% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 77% | 82% | 69% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.80 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | 42% | 58% | 54% |
| Shots | 10.2 | 11.7 | 17.7 | 16.6 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 13% | 13% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 54% | 69% | 63% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 2.4 | 4.0 | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 23% | 20% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 7.3 | 9.0 | 18.8 | 13.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 31.4 | 35.9 | 60.1 | 49.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 75% | 86% | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 9.2 | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'40
16–30'33
31–45'22
46–60'33
61–75'36
76–90'28
AZ
0–15'60
16–30'03
31–45'31
46–60'42
61–75'44
76–90'63
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.0 | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.27 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.46 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.65 | 3.59 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.28 | 4.65 |
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.22 | 1.33 |
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 35 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 18 | AZ all · 49 | AZ away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 17 | 7 / 3 / 8 | 22 / 12 / 15 | 9 / 2 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.73 | 1.29 |
| Goals against / match | 1.94 | 1.83 | 1.39 | 1.54 |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 17% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 6% | 18% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 77% | 78% | 53% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% | 61% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.93 | 1.72 |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.90 | 1.29 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | -0.62 | -0.37 | 0.64 | 0.20 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.18 | -0.02 | -0.20 | -0.42 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.27 | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.12 | 0.07 | -0.13 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 54% | 72% | 61% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.84 | 1.85 | 2.37 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 11% | 32% | 13% |
| Leads held | 57% | 54% | 65% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 39% | 34% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 39% | 45% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 22% | 21% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 36 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 47 | 44 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 48% | 55% | 68% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 73% | 60% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 42% | 55% | 55% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 12.7 | 15.9 | 14.3 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 66% | 66% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 26% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 22% | 7% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 9.2 | 17.0 | 14.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.1 | 37.4 | 55.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 75% | 83% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 11.4 | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 2.06 | 1.94 | 1.73 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1111
16–30'710
31–45'108
46–60'910
61–75'810
76–90'719
AZ
0–15'178
16–30'68
31–45'1511
46–60'1212
61–75'1610
76–90'1919
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fortuna Sittard · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1835
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1635
Late push (76+, level)-0.459
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1218
Game state
When ahead-0.2121
When level-0.2035
When behind-0.1223
10 min after conceding-0.3632
10 min after scoring-0.1030
Situations
With ten men-0.114
At home-0.1918
Away-0.1617
4+ days rest-0.1734
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3112
v mid-tier opponents-0.299
v bottom-tier opponents-0.019
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched-0.1011
As underdog-0.2621
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3635
Conceded when ahead+0.3121
Conceded late (76+)+0.2034
Congested vs rested -0.46 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.08
AZ · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: as favourite +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1749
Late push (76+, level)+0.3519
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3717
Game state
When ahead+0.3933
When level+0.2549
When behind+0.1922
10 min after conceding-0.1233
10 min after scoring+0.3740
Situations
With ten men-0.042
Against ten men+0.064
At home+0.2925
Away+0.2724
3 days rest or fewer+0.2211
4+ days rest+0.3038
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.2413
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3915
As favourite+0.4829
Evenly matched+0.0413
As underdog-0.107
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0849
Conceded when ahead-0.1933
Conceded late (76+)-0.3442
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.15 · Behind vs level -0.06
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 54% | 1.16 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.45 | 1.75 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 11% | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.15 | 1.73 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.03 | 2.25 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.12 | 2.34 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 3.33 | 1.47 | 2.2 |
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 55% | 1.52 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 15 31% | 1.87 | 1.67 | 1.07 | 2.05 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.76 | 1.72 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.75Home 20% P 21%4.0Draw 24% P 23%1.66Away 57% P 57%
Double Chance
2.25Fortuna Sittard or Draw 21% P 22%1.22Fortuna Sittard or AZ 39% P 38%1.16Draw or AZ 41% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.751 25%1.252 75%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.35Under 40% P 40%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21% | 21% | 18% | -2.6 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 25% | +2.1 |
| Away | 57% | 56% | 57% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 63%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Marc Nagtegaal
- Career
- 90 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.71 | 3.32 | -1.38 | 9 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.5 | 6.2 | +1.59 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.24 | +0.74 | 77 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.4 | -0.46 | 41 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.38
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 75' | 5 |
| 2025-11-22 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 66' | 5 |
| 2025-11-06 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 45' | 4 |
| 2025-11-01 | – | – | 12 | – | – | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 | 5 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 22' | 6 |
| 2025-09-27 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 39' | 11 |
| 2025-09-24 · AZ | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 29' | 6 |
| 2025-09-20 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 28' | 5 |
| 2025-09-14 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 42' | 8 |
| 2025-08-24 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 22' | 8 |