NAC Breda v Telstar · KickoffDNA

Eredivisie · Matchweek 17

NAC BredaNAC Breda

0–1

TelstarTelstar

Momentum

– NAC BredaTelstar –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

NAC Breda	at home	Stat	league	away	Telstar
49.0 #10	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	45.1 #14
14.1 #10	–	Shots total	14.1	–	12.8 #12
4.2 #15	–	Shots on target	5.2	–	4.9 #11
5.8 #5	–	Corners	5.2	–	4.7 #12
10.8 #10	–	Fouls	10.9	–	11.3 #6
1.4 #9	–	Offsides	1.4	–	1.9 #2
16.2 #12	–	Tackles	16.2	–	16.4 #10
97.7 #10	–	Attacks	97.3	–	86.0 #15
45.6 #8	–	Dangerous attacks	46.1	–	41.8 #12
395.1 #13	–	Passes	419.2	–	362.1 #16
1.6 #9	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	1.4 #16
0.2 #1	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #4
0.7 #18	–	Assists	1.2	–	1.1 #10
– #17	–	Btts	62.8	–	– #7
– #10	–	Cleansheet	20.2	–	– #13
– #4	–	Draw	26.2	–	– #6
1.3 #14	–	Expected goals	1.6	–	1.4 #10
-0.3 #16	–	Expected goals difference	-0.0	–	0.0 #8
– #2	–	Failed to score	20.3	–	– #5
1.0 #16	1.2	Goals	1.6	1.1	1.4 #10
1.7 #5	1.4	Goals conceded	1.6	1.6	1.6 #7
0.3 #10	–	Injury time goals	0.3	–	0.3 #3
8.1 #14	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	9.1 #8
– #3	–	Lost	37.0	–	– #6
0.1 #3	–	Penalties scored	0.1	–	0.0 #15
6.8 #14	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.8 #12
3.7 #10	–	Shots blocked	3.8	–	3.3 #14
8.6 #10	–	Shots insidebox	9.2	–	8.4 #12
6.2 #1	–	Shots off target	5.1	–	4.6 #15
5.5 #4	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	4.3 #13
– #17	–	Win	36.8	–	– #13

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 309 of 309
Goals / match: 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
Home / draw / away: 45% · 26% · 29%
BTTS · over 2.5: 63% · 61%
Cards / match: 3.47 (reds 0.1)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 17

Venue

Stadium: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Capacity: 19,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 19,912

Teams

Coaches: Carl Hoefkens · Anthony Correia
Position: 17 · 18
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Rob Dieperink

Weather

Conditions: mist
Temperature: 7.2° (feels 5.5°)
Wind: 2.6
Humidity: 96%

Where to watch · 253

Algeria STARZPLAY
Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
Armenia Setanta Sports 1
Aruba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Azerbaijan Setanta Sports 1
Bahrain STARZPLAY
Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Belarus Setanta Sports 1
Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
Benin ESPN Africa
Bolivia Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Botswana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Brazil Claro TV+ · Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 4 · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
Bulgaria Voyo Sport
Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Burundi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Cameroon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Cayman Islands Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Central African Republic ESPN Africa
Chad DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Chile Disney+ Chile · ESPN2 Chile
Colombia Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Costa Rica Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Croatia Sportklub 1 Croatia · Sportklub 9 Croatia
Cuba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Denmark Viaplay Denmark
Djibouti DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Dominica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Dominican Republic Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Norte · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte
Ecuador Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Egypt STARZPLAY
El Salvador Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Equatorial Guinea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Eritrea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Estonia Setanta Sports 1
Eswatini DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Ethiopia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Gabon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Gambia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Georgia Setanta Sports 1 · Silk Sport HD 1 · Silk Sport HD 2
Germany DAZN
Ghana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Grenada Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Guadeloupe Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Guatemala Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Guinea-Bissau DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Haiti Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Honduras Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Iceland Viaplay Iceland
Indonesia Vidio
International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
Iraq STARZPLAY
Israel Sport 1 · Sport 2 · Sport 4
Ivory Coast DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Jamaica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Jordan STARZPLAY
Kazakhstan Setanta Sports 1
Kenya DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Kuwait STARZPLAY
Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
Lebanon STARZPLAY
Lesotho DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Liberia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Libya STARZPLAY
Liechtenstein Blue Sport
Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Lithuania · Setanta Sports 1
Madagascar DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Malawi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Malaysia Astro Go · sooka
Mali DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Martinique Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Mauritania DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Mauritius DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Mayotte ESPN Africa
Mexico Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
Moldova Setanta Sports 1
Montenegro SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Morocco STARZPLAY
Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Namibia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 · ESPN 2 Netherlands · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
Oman STARZPLAY
Palestine STARZPLAY
Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Paraguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Peru Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Poland ESPN Africa · Polsat Box GO · Polsat Sport 1
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Puerto Rico Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Qatar STARZPLAY
Romania Prima Play · Prima Sport 2 · Prima Sport 3
Rwanda ESPN Africa
Saint Kitts and Nevis Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Saint Lucia Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY
Senegal DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Serbia SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
Seychelles DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Sierra Leone DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Slovakia Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
Slovenia SportKlub 1 Slovenia · Sportklub 2 Slovenia · Sportklub 3 Slovenia
Somalia STARZPLAY
South Africa ESPN Africa
South Sudan DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Spain Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden Viaplay Sweden
Switzerland Blue Sport
Syria STARZPLAY
São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
Tanzania DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Togo DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Tunisia STARZPLAY
Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Yemen STARZPLAY
Zambia ESPN Africa
Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101	45	56	84	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	26	65	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	24	59	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	19	58	WDDWL
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	21	56	WWDLD
6	FC Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	13	53	WLWWW
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	7	52	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	4	51	LWWLD
9	FC Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	4	48	DLLWW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43	LLDLL
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39	DLLWL
12	Go Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	1	38	DDDLL
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38	DWWDW
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37	LWDWW
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37	DLWLL
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32	LWLDL
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29	DLLWD
18	Heracles Almelo	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	13	2	2	58	26	32	41	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	39	23	16	36	DWWDW
3	FC Utrecht	17	10	3	4	31	13	18	33	WLWWW
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	9	5	3	41	25	16	32	DDDLW
5	FC Twente	17	9	5	3	29	16	13	32	WDDWL
6	Ajax	17	9	4	4	32	17	15	31	WWDLD
7	AZ Alkmaar	17	8	7	2	39	26	13	31	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	17	8	6	3	33	24	9	30	LWWLD
9	PEC Zwolle	17	8	4	5	21	21	0	28	DLWLL
10	Go Ahead Eagles	17	6	7	4	34	24	10	25	DDDLL
11	FC Groningen	17	7	4	6	27	18	9	25	DLLWW
12	Fortuna Sittard	17	7	4	6	28	29	-1	25	DLLWL
13	FC Volendam	17	6	5	6	24	23	1	23	LWLDL
14	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	5	6	21	27	-6	23	LLDLL
15	Telstar	17	5	5	7	31	28	3	20	LWDWW
16	NAC Breda	17	5	5	7	20	23	-3	20	DLLWD
17	Excelsior	17	5	3	9	20	22	-2	18	DWWDW
18	Heracles Almelo	17	4	3	10	23	36	-13	15	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	14	1	2	43	19	24	43	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	8	5	4	31	21	10	29	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	17	7	6	4	36	28	8	27	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	17	6	8	3	30	24	6	26	WDDWL
5	Ajax	17	5	10	2	30	24	6	25	WWDLD
6	FC Groningen	17	7	2	8	22	27	-5	23	DLLWW
7	SC Heerenveen	17	6	3	8	24	29	-5	21	LWWLD
8	AZ Alkmaar	17	6	3	8	19	25	-6	21	WDDDD
9	FC Utrecht	17	5	5	7	24	29	-5	20	WLWWW
10	Excelsior	17	5	5	7	23	34	-11	20	DWWDW
11	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	2	9	19	35	-16	20	LLDLL
12	Telstar	17	4	5	8	18	27	-9	17	LWDWW
13	Fortuna Sittard	17	4	2	11	21	34	-13	14	DLLWL
14	Go Ahead Eagles	17	2	7	8	20	29	-9	13	DDDLL
15	NAC Breda	17	1	6	10	15	35	-20	9	DLLWD
16	FC Volendam	17	2	3	12	11	32	-21	9	LWLDL
17	PEC Zwolle	17	1	6	10	23	50	-27	9	DLWLL
18	Heracles Almelo	17	1	1	15	12	49	-37	4	LLLLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

NAC Breda

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6 · xG 7.03–5.93 · xPts 7.66

D H FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.25–0.75 NLD E
L A Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 xG 2.09–1.79 NLD E
L A Excelsior 0–1 xG 1.64–1.03 NLD E
L H PSV 0–1 xG 1.28–0.72 NLD E
L A FC Volendam 1–2 xG 0.78–1.64 NLD E

Telstar

DDLDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.23–9.15 · xPts 5.23

D H NEC Nijmegen 2–2 xG 1.57–2.49 NLD E
D A Heracles Almelo 1–1 xG 0.83–2.06 NLD E
L H Feyenoord 1–2 xG 1.85–1.27 NLD E
D H FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.27–1.13 NLD E
D A FC Twente 0–0 xG 0.72–2.19 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

NAC Breda 00 draws2 Telstar

Goals 0–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

NAC Breda 00 draws2 Telstar

Goals 0–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

NAC Breda 00 draws2 Telstar

Goals 0–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

L Telstar 3–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
L NAC Breda 0–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season

Metric	NAC Breda all · 34	NAC Breda at home · 17	Telstar all · 34	Telstar away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	0.85	1.18	1.09	1.00
W / D / L	6 / 11 / 17	5 / 5 / 7	9 / 10 / 15	4 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match	1.03	1.18	1.44	1.06
Goals against / match	1.71	1.35	1.62	1.59
Clean sheets	18%	24%	15%	18%
Failed to score	41%	35%	24%	29%
Both teams scored	47%	47%	65%	59%
Over 2.5	50%	41%	59%	47%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.31	1.48	1.43	1.24
xG against / match	1.48	1.19	1.90	2.16
xG difference	-0.17	0.30	-0.47	-0.92
Finishing vs xG	-0.28	-0.31	0.01	-0.18
xPts / match	1.31	1.56	1.15	0.90
Points vs xPts	-0.45	-0.39	-0.06	0.10
Game state
Scored first	26%	35%	47%	41%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	2.33	1.81	1.71
PPG when conceding first	0.39	0.50	0.41	0.44
Came back from behind	32%	30%	17%	20%
Leads held	43%	62%	50%	50%
Minutes leading	12%	14%	24%	19%
Minutes level	51%	58%	44%	45%
Minutes trailing	37%	28%	32%	36%
First goal (min)	48	47	45	48
First goal conceded (min)	35	38	40	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	55%	61%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	39%	56%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.29	0.29	0.38	0.18
Late goals against	0.47	0.24	0.50	0.47
Style
Possession	49%	51%	45%	43%
Shots	14.1	14.9	12.8	12.1
On target	4.2	4.4	4.9	4.4
Shot conversion	7%	8%	11%	9%
Shots inside box	61%	63%	66%	65%
Big chances created	1.9	2.0	3.1	2.6
Corners	5.8	6.1	4.7	4.1
xG from set plays	39%	43%	31%	32%
Goals from headers	23%	20%	20%	17%
Pressure index	11.9	14.6	8.0	7.1
Dominant minutes	44.3	50.9	37.0	32.1
Pass accuracy	77%	79%	76%	76%
Fouls	10.8	10.1	11.3	12.1
Cards	1.88	1.76	1.35	1.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

0–15'18

16–30'410

31–45'911

46–60'68

61–75'55

76–90'1016

Telstar

0–15'57

16–30'48

31–45'109

46–60'64

61–75'1110

76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda

No pressure profile yet.

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076

Early press (0-15, level)-0.476

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026

When behind+0.084

10 min after conceding+0.015

10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263

Away-0.303

4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402

v bottom-tier opponents+0.293

As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296

Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	18 53%	0.78	1.0	1.61	1.29	1.47
5-3-2	5 15%	0.4	0.8	1.4	1.51	1.46
4-4-2	4 12%	1.25	1.75	2.0	1.28	1.51
4-1-3-2	2 6%	1.5	1.0	3.0	1.7	1.6
3-4-1-2	2 6%	0.5	0.0	1.0	1.28	1.35

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	28 82%	0.96	1.43	1.71	1.42	1.94
3-4-3	5 15%	1.4	1.2	1.2	1.41	1.68
3-5-2	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.66	1.7

Metric	NAC Breda all · 10	NAC Breda at home · 10	Telstar all · 10	Telstar away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.70	1.00	1.50	1.20
W / D / L	1 / 4 / 5	2 / 4 / 4	4 / 3 / 3	3 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match	1.00	1.20	1.50	1.20
Goals against / match	2.20	1.50	1.40	1.50
Clean sheets	20%	30%	20%	10%
Failed to score	50%	40%	30%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	40%	60%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	30%	70%	60%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.24	1.32	1.33	1.23
xG against / match	1.51	1.24	1.81	2.30
xG difference	-0.27	0.07	-0.48	-1.07
Finishing vs xG	-0.24	-0.12	0.17	-0.03
xPts / match	1.23	1.43	1.14	0.83
Points vs xPts	-0.53	-0.43	0.36	0.37
Game state
Scored first	10%	30%	30%	40%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.33	2.33	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.38	0.33	1.17	0.80
Came back from behind	38%	33%	50%	33%
Leads held	33%	50%	80%	60%
Minutes leading	7%	8%	20%	27%
Minutes level	51%	62%	53%	43%
Minutes trailing	42%	30%	27%	30%
First goal (min)	55	44	48	35
First goal conceded (min)	33	30	45	45
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	50%	67%	42%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	33%	71%	60%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.30	0.60	0.20
Late goals against	0.70	0.20	0.40	0.40
Style
Possession	49%	53%	40%	43%
Shots	15.4	15.7	9.2	10.8
On target	4.3	4.4	3.1	4.4
Shot conversion	6%	8%	16%	11%
Shots inside box	55%	58%	76%	71%
Big chances created	1.8	1.7	2.1	2.5
Corners	6.9	7.0	3.9	2.8
xG from set plays	37%	35%	47%	39%
Goals from headers	40%	25%	20%	17%
Pressure index	13.7	17.3	7.7	7.3
Dominant minutes	47.6	55.5	35.5	31.5
Pass accuracy	77%	78%	74%	75%
Fouls	10.1	10.0	12.2	12.3
Cards	1.40	1.60	1.70	1.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

0–15'03

16–30'14

31–45'35

46–60'02

61–75'41

76–90'27

Telstar

0–15'12

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'05

61–75'41

76–90'64

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	0.5	0.5	1.25	1.21	1.03
4-4-2	2 20%	0.5	1.5	2.5	1.28	2.26
4-1-3-2	2 20%	1.5	1.0	3.0	1.7	1.6
4-3-1-2	1 10%	1.0	3.0	3.0	1.1	1.78
3-5-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	3.0	0.44	1.45

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	7 70%	1.29	1.43	1.29	1.29	1.68
4-2-3-1	2 20%	1.5	1.5	2.0	1.4	2.31
3-4-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.48	1.72

Metric	NAC Breda all · 29	NAC Breda at home · 15	Telstar all · 35	Telstar away · 18
Results
Matches	29	15	35	18
Points per game	0.86	1.13	1.09	1.00
W / D / L	5 / 10 / 14	4 / 5 / 6	9 / 11 / 15	4 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match	1.07	1.20	1.40	1.00
Goals against / match	1.69	1.40	1.63	1.50
Clean sheets	21%	27%	14%	17%
Failed to score	38%	33%	26%	33%
Both teams scored	48%	47%	66%	61%
Over 2.5	48%	40%	63%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.33	1.40	1.41	1.18
xG against / match	1.35	1.14	1.99	2.22
xG difference	-0.02	0.26	-0.58	-1.05
Finishing vs xG	-0.26	-0.20	-0.01	-0.18
xPts / match	1.37	1.54	1.09	0.85
Points vs xPts	-0.51	-0.40	0.00	0.15
Game state
Scored first	24%	33%	43%	39%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	2.20	1.87	1.71
PPG when conceding first	0.45	0.56	0.44	0.44
Came back from behind	33%	33%	21%	20%
Leads held	42%	57%	53%	50%
Minutes leading	9%	11%	23%	19%
Minutes level	54%	57%	46%	50%
Minutes trailing	37%	32%	31%	31%
First goal (min)	52	49	47	47
First goal conceded (min)	32	30	44	46
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	61%	56%	65%	61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	45%	33%	60%	59%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.31	0.33	0.43	0.17
Late goals against	0.41	0.13	0.46	0.44
Style
Possession	50%	53%	44%	43%
Shots	14.9	15.2	11.8	11.2
On target	4.3	4.2	4.3	4.0
Shot conversion	7%	8%	12%	9%
Shots inside box	61%	62%	67%	65%
Big chances created	2.0	1.8	2.6	2.3
Corners	6.3	6.5	4.4	3.8
xG from set plays	36%	39%	34%	33%
Goals from headers	26%	22%	20%	17%
Pressure index	13.5	16.0	8.0	7.3
Dominant minutes	48.3	54.1	35.5	32.2
Pass accuracy	78%	79%	76%	75%
Fouls	10.4	10.3	11.1	12.0
Cards	1.90	1.80	1.37	1.56

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

0–15'06

16–30'310

31–45'911

46–60'56

61–75'54

76–90'912

Telstar

0–15'66

16–30'47

31–45'710

46–60'68

61–75'1110

76–90'1516

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda · 29 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1729

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1229

Late push (76+, level)+0.0617

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2816

Game state

When ahead-0.0811

When level+0.1529

When behind+0.2821

10 min after conceding-0.2223

10 min after scoring+0.5917

Situations

With ten men+0.275

At home+0.2115

Away+0.1314

4+ days rest+0.1729

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.117

v mid-tier opponents+0.179

v bottom-tier opponents+0.169

As favourite+0.425

Evenly matched+0.1613

As underdog+0.0811

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0229

Conceded when ahead+0.2311

Conceded late (76+)-0.1128

Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.14

Telstar · 35 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1535

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2335

Late push (76+, level)-0.4713

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3114

Game state

When ahead-0.1217

When level-0.1635

When behind-0.1619

10 min after conceding-0.2730

10 min after scoring+0.1225

Situations

With ten men+0.523

At home-0.1717

Away-0.1318

4+ days rest-0.1434

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3610

v mid-tier opponents-0.2611

v bottom-tier opponents+0.059

As favourite+0.064

Evenly matched+0.0210

As underdog-0.2721

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2535

Conceded when ahead+0.2217

Conceded late (76+)+0.2331

Congested vs rested -0.41 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.00

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	13 45%	0.77	1.08	1.54	1.32	1.17
5-3-2	5 17%	0.4	0.8	1.4	1.51	1.46
4-4-2	4 14%	1.25	1.75	2.0	1.28	1.51
4-1-3-2	2 7%	1.5	1.0	3.0	1.7	1.6
3-4-1-2	2 7%	0.5	0.0	1.0	1.28	1.35

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	27 77%	0.93	1.37	1.7	1.4	2.03
3-4-3	5 14%	1.4	1.2	1.2	1.41	1.68
4-2-3-1	2 6%	1.5	1.5	2.0	1.4	2.31
3-5-2	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.66	1.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 53%3.9Draw 24% P 25%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.2NAC or Draw 39% P 39%1.25NAC or Telstar 38% P 37%2.0Draw or Telstar 23% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.75Over 54% P 54%2.05Under 46% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	53%	54%	56%	+2.6
Draw	25%	25%	27%	+1.4
Away	22%	21%	17%	-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	55%	56%	57%	+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	54%	54%	54%	+0.8

Rob Dieperink

Career: 77 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match: 3.22 (3.04 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match: 21.5 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.17
Cards to home side: 39%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 54 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.59	3.32	+0.48	77
Fouls / match	20.6	20.3	+0.02
Fouls per card	6.1	6.2	-0.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.22	0.24	-0.13	41
Time added	6.0	6.4	-0.82	9

First card: 38' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 38% (league 44%)
VAR events / match: 1.12

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-12-07	7	0	24	1	30'	9
2025-11-08	3	0	27	1	40'	6
2025-10-25	4	0	23	0	56'	7
2025-10-19	3	0	25	0	4'	3
2025-08-29	3	0	25	0	38'	3
2025-08-08	4	1	19	0	54'	8
2025-05-03	2	0	13	0	68'	4
2025-04-27	3	0	22	0	27'	9
2025-04-01	3	0	20	0	42'	8
2025-03-15	–	–	19	–	–	7

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

NAC Breda

Telstar · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 253

NAC Breda

Telstar

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Last 10 · 2 matches

Last 5 · 2 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

Telstar

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda

Telstar · 6 matches

NAC Breda

Telstar

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

Telstar

NAC Breda

Telstar

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

Telstar

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda · 29 matches

Telstar · 35 matches

NAC Breda

Telstar

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

Rob Dieperink

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 54 matches)

Recent matches