Rating 7.18 (94th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (27% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 18
Momentum
– TelstarAjax –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Telstar | at home | Stat | league | away | Ajax |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 56.4 #3 |
| 12.8 #12 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 14.9 #9 |
| 4.9 #11 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 5.9 #5 |
| 4.7 #12 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.9 #11 |
| 11.3 #6 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.2 #13 |
| 1.9 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.4 #8 |
| 16.4 #10 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 16.7 #8 |
| 86.0 #15 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 102.1 #6 |
| 41.8 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 51.3 #5 |
| 362.1 #16 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 529.1 #2 |
| 1.4 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #11 |
| 1.1 #10 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.4 #4 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #5 |
| – #13 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #2 |
| – #6 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #1 |
| 1.4 #10 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| 0.0 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #16 |
| 1.4 #10 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 #4 |
| 1.6 #7 | 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 #18 |
| 0.3 #3 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #15 |
| 9.1 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.6 #3 |
| – #6 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #17 |
| 0.0 #15 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #16 |
| 6.8 #12 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #2 |
| 3.3 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.9 #9 |
| 8.4 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 10.1 #7 |
| 4.6 #15 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 5.1 #11 |
| 4.3 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.8 #9 |
| – #13 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Telstar · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.0 (71th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (27% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.14 ppg with (28) · 0.83 without (6)
Rating 7.27 (100th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Ajax · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.14 (95th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 6.96 (65th pct) · G+A 8 + 2 (15% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.91 ppg with (23) · 1.23 without (13)
Rating 7.32 (97th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 39% of minutes
Team 1.69 ppg with (16) · 1.65 without (20)
Absences
Ajax
- injury Steven Berghuis #3 key player attacker · Groin Injury · 21 missed · until 2026-02-09
- injury Takehiro Tomiyasu defender · Fitness · 7 missed · until 2026-01-23
- injury Wout Weghorst attacker · Ankle Sprain · 10 missed · until 2026-01-23
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 18
Venue
- Stadium
- BUKO Stadion, Velsen
- Capacity
- 3,200
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 5,290
Teams
- Coaches
- Anthony Correia · Fred Grim
- Position
- 15 · 3
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-2-1
Referee
Jeroen Manschot
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- -0.8° (feels -7.1°)
- Wind
- 7.2
- Humidity
- 85%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Telstar
DLDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 7.23–7.87 · xPts 6.65
- W
A
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 1.71–0.92
NLD E
- D
H
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.57–2.49
NLD E
- D
A
Heracles Almelo
1–1
xG 0.83–2.06
NLD E
- L
H
Feyenoord
1–2
xG 1.85–1.27
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.27–1.13
NLD E
LLLDDDLDDW 1W 5D 4L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 14 · xG 14.65–21.93 · xPts 10.59
- W
A
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 1.71–0.92
NLD E
- D
H
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.57–2.49
NLD E
- D
A
Heracles Almelo
1–1
xG 0.83–2.06
NLD E
- L
H
Feyenoord
1–2
xG 1.85–1.27
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.27–1.13
NLD E
- D
A
FC Twente
0–0
xG 0.72–2.19
NLD E
- D
H
Excelsior
2–2
xG 2.49–3.81
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
xG 0.78–1.3
NLD E
- L
H
SC Heerenveen
2–3
xG 2.33–2.22
NLD E
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
1–2
xG 1.11–4.53
NLD E
Ajax
WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 7.53–8.35 · xPts 6.5
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.81–1.63
NLD E
- W
H
Feyenoord
2–0
xG 1.26–1.95
NLD E
- W
A
Qarabağ
4–2
xG 1.89–1.09
UEFA CL - W
A
Fortuna Sittard
3–1
xG 1.31–2.35
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
2–0
xG 1.27–1.33
NLD E
DLLLLWWWWD 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 16 GA 15 · xG 13.01–15.29 · xPts 12.58
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.81–1.63
NLD E
- W
H
Feyenoord
2–0
xG 1.26–1.95
NLD E
- W
A
Qarabağ
4–2
xG 1.89–1.09
UEFA CL
- W
A
Fortuna Sittard
3–1
xG 1.31–2.35
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
2–0
xG 1.27–1.33
NLD E
- L
H
Benfica
0–2
xG 0.76–0.92
UEFA CL - L
H
Excelsior
1–2
xG 2.13–0.56
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
1–2
xG 0.74–1.36
NLD E
- L
H
Galatasaray
0–3
xG 0.79–2.91
UEFA CL - D
H
SC Heerenveen
1–1
xG 1.05–1.19
NLD E
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Recent meetings
- L Telstar 0–4 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- L Telstar 2–3 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- L Ajax 2–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Telstar all · 34 | Telstar at home · 17 | Ajax all · 36 | Ajax away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 36 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.18 | 1.67 | 1.47 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 | 5 / 5 / 7 | 15 / 15 / 6 | 5 / 10 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.44 | 1.82 | 1.81 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.62 | 1.65 | 1.17 | 1.41 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 31% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 18% | 8% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 71% | 67% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 71% | 56% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.43 | 1.61 | 1.72 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.90 | 1.63 | 1.48 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | -0.47 | -0.01 | 0.24 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.37 |
| xPts / match | 1.15 | 1.39 | 1.52 | 1.27 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.06 | -0.22 | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 53% | 58% | 41% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.81 | 1.89 | 2.24 | 1.86 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.85 | 1.25 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 12% | 60% | 80% |
| Leads held | 50% | 50% | 62% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 30% | 37% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 27% | 16% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 42 | 34 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 41 | 41 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 58% | 42% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 57% | 58% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.59 | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 12.8 | 13.5 | 14.9 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 14% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 68% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 31% | 20% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 23% | 16% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 13.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.0 | 41.8 | 56.7 | 48.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 77% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.35 | 1.29 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Telstar
0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317
Ajax
0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Telstar · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052
Game state
When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532
Situations
At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354
Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11
Ajax · 12 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053
Game state
When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 28 82% | 0.96 | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.42 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 15% | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.7 |
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 25 69% | 1.6 | 1.88 | 1.16 | 1.81 | 1.52 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 22% | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.54 | 1.38 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.02 |
| Metric | Telstar all · 10 | Telstar at home · 10 | Ajax all · 10 | Ajax away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 | 2.30 | 2.40 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 7 / 3 / 0 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 90% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.46 | 2.99 | 1.88 |
| xG against / match | 1.81 | 1.51 | 1.18 | 1.26 |
| xG difference | -0.48 | -0.05 | 1.81 | 0.62 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.82 |
| xPts / match | 1.14 | 1.36 | 2.17 | 1.74 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.36 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.67 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.17 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| Leads held | 80% | 80% | 78% | 78% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 20% | 51% | 49% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 52% | 40% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 27% | 9% | 2% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 51 | 30 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 46 | 42 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 76% | 58% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 73% | 53% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 40% | 48% | 63% | 59% |
| Shots | 9.2 | 11.7 | 24.0 | 17.9 |
| On target | 3.1 | 4.3 | 8.9 | 7.1 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 14% | 14% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 76% | 68% | 67% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 6.7 |
| xG from set plays | 47% | 38% | 18% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 18% | 19% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 7.7 | 10.6 | 23.7 | 16.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.5 | 44.5 | 66.4 | 54.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 78% | 90% | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.2 | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Telstar
0–15'12
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'05
61–75'41
76–90'64
Ajax
0–15'31
16–30'32
31–45'84
46–60'71
61–75'51
76–90'76
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.68 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 3.67 | 2.0 | 2.85 | 1.47 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.61 | 0.2 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Metric | Telstar all · 35 | Telstar at home · 17 | Ajax all · 50 | Ajax away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.18 | 1.68 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 11 / 15 | 5 / 5 / 7 | 23 / 15 / 12 | 12 / 9 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.82 | 2.08 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.63 | 1.76 | 1.48 | 1.56 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 12% | 22% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 71% | 70% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 76% | 70% | 76% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.41 | 1.65 | 1.92 | 1.56 |
| xG against / match | 1.99 | 1.74 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| xG difference | -0.58 | -0.09 | 0.42 | -0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.01 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.64 |
| xPts / match | 1.09 | 1.35 | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | 47% | 52% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.87 | 2.00 | 2.31 | 2.27 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 21% | 22% | 50% | 69% |
| Leads held | 53% | 56% | 70% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 27% | 35% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 43% | 44% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 30% | 21% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 47 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 43 | 39 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 68% | 52% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 60% | 56% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| Late goals against | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 57% | 57% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 12.4 | 16.2 | 14.7 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 15% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 66% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 36% | 20% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 23% | 14% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 8.8 | 16.4 | 14.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.5 | 39.0 | 54.7 | 49.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 77% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.37 | 1.18 | 1.82 | 2.16 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Telstar
0–15'66
16–30'47
31–45'710
46–60'68
61–75'1110
76–90'1516
Ajax
0–15'1311
16–30'139
31–45'2412
46–60'2215
61–75'118
76–90'2018
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Telstar · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2335
Late push (76+, level)-0.4713
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3114
Game state
When ahead-0.1217
When level-0.1635
When behind-0.1619
10 min after conceding-0.2730
10 min after scoring+0.1225
Situations
With ten men+0.523
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1318
4+ days rest-0.1434
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3610
v mid-tier opponents-0.2611
v bottom-tier opponents+0.059
As favourite+0.064
Evenly matched+0.0210
As underdog-0.2721
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2535
Conceded when ahead+0.2117
Conceded late (76+)+0.2331
Congested vs rested -0.41 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.00
Ajax · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2750
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3115
Game state
When ahead+0.4232
When level+0.1650
When behind+0.1324
10 min after conceding-0.1336
10 min after scoring+0.6243
Situations
Against ten men+0.195
At home+0.2425
Away+0.2425
3 days rest or fewer+0.288
4+ days rest+0.2342
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1212
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4213
As favourite+0.4032
Evenly matched+0.0510
As underdog-0.228
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0650
Conceded when ahead-0.1632
Conceded late (76+)-0.0542
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level +0.26 · Behind vs level -0.03
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 27 77% | 0.93 | 1.37 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 14% | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.7 |
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 66% | 1.76 | 2.3 | 1.42 | 2.01 | 1.49 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 11 22% | 1.0 | 1.27 | 2.0 | 1.46 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.68 | 0.56 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.0Home 24% P 25%4.0Draw 24% P 25%1.83Away 52% P 51%
Double Chance
1.95Telstar or Draw 24% P 25%1.25Telstar or Ajax 38% P 38%1.22Draw or Ajax 38% P 38%
Draw No Bet
3.01 31%1.362 69%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 61%2.2No 42% P 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 58% P 59%2.25Under 42% P 41%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25% | 24% | 27% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 29% | +3.7 |
| Away | 51% | 51% | 44% | -7.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%
Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 61% | 62% | +0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Jeroen Manschot
- Career
- 232 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.43 (3.31 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.1 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 113 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.56 | 3.32 | +0.42 | 71 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.78 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 6.2 | -1.43 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.3 | 0.24 | +0.91 | 86 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.69 | 76 |
- First card
- 38' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 52% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.28
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5' | 6 |
| 2025-12-14 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 4' | 5 |
| 2025-11-30 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 48' | 8 |
| 2025-11-22 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 11' | 6 |
| 2025-11-08 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 10' | 6 |
| 2025-10-18 · Ajax | 6 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 21' | 6 |
| 2025-10-05 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 23' | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 2' | 7 |
| 2025-09-14 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 37' | 7 |
| 2025-08-31 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 35' | 7 |