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Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

Momentum

ExcelsiorTelstar
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Capacity
4,500
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
4,600

Teams

Coaches
Ruben den Uil · Anthony Correia
Position
14 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Bas Nijhuis

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.1° (feels 6.1°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 253

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Excelsior

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.55–10.14 · xPts 4.29

  • L A PSV 1–5 xG 0.6–2.22 NLD E
  • W H PEC Zwolle 2–1 xG 1.62–1.11 NLD E
  • L H FC Groningen 0–2 xG 1.74–3.04 NLD E
  • W H NAC Breda 1–0 xG 1.03–1.64 NLD E
  • W A Ajax 2–1 xG 0.56–2.13 NLD E

Telstar

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.99–8.58 · xPts 6.04

  • L H Ajax 2–3 xG 1.02–1.84 NLD E
  • W A NAC Breda 1–0 xG 1.71–0.92 NLD E
  • D H NEC Nijmegen 2–2 xG 1.57–2.49 NLD E
  • D A Heracles Almelo 1–1 xG 0.83–2.06 NLD E
  • L H Feyenoord 1–2 xG 1.85–1.27 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Excelsior 02 draws0 Telstar

Goals 4–4 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Excelsior 02 draws0 Telstar

Goals 4–4 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Excelsior 02 draws0 Telstar

Goals 4–4 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Excelsior 2–2 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Telstar 2–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
MetricExcelsior all · 34Excelsior at home · 17Telstar all · 34Telstar away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.061.091.00
W / D / L10 / 8 / 165 / 3 / 99 / 10 / 154 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.261.181.441.06
Goals against / match1.651.291.621.59
Clean sheets18%24%15%18%
Failed to score21%24%24%29%
Both teams scored65%53%65%59%
Over 2.562%53%59%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.401.431.24
xG against / match1.721.581.902.16
xG difference-0.29-0.18-0.47-0.92
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.220.01-0.18
xPts / match1.201.281.150.90
Points vs xPts-0.09-0.22-0.060.10
Game state
Scored first44%53%47%41%
PPG when scoring first1.801.671.811.71
PPG when conceding first0.560.380.410.44
Came back from behind33%25%17%20%
Leads held62%56%50%50%
Minutes leading24%26%24%19%
Minutes level46%49%44%45%
Minutes trailing30%25%32%36%
First goal (min)39374548
First goal conceded (min)41454040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%50%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%56%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.290.380.18
Late goals against0.260.290.500.47
Style
Possession48%49%45%43%
Shots12.412.812.812.1
On target4.24.34.94.4
Shot conversion10%9%11%9%
Shots inside box66%66%66%65%
Big chances created2.63.13.12.6
Corners4.14.24.74.1
xG from set plays29%30%31%32%
Goals from headers22%22%20%17%
Pressure index7.99.38.07.1
Dominant minutes38.742.237.032.1
Pass accuracy77%78%76%76%
Fouls12.311.411.312.1
Cards1.351.531.351.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.2Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Excelsior or Draw 34% P 35%1.3Excelsior or Telstar 36% P 36%1.57Draw or Telstar 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 57%2.25No 41% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%42%+0.5
Draw28%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Bas Nijhuis

Career
233 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.24 (3.08 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
11.8 · 3.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.673.32-1.415
Fouls / match15.820.3-2.51
Fouls per card6.26.2-0.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.24-0.5619
Time added7.46.4+2.24100
First card
44' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.03

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-21 81 210 26'9
2025-12-07 20 210 90'8
2025-12-02 10 240 64'13
2025-11-23 20 210 63'7
2025-10-31 40 200 60'9
2025-10-26 10 181 27'7
2025-10-04 40 171 45'12
2025-09-28 41 220 56'16
2025-09-20 60 190 23'9
2025-09-14 60 220 11'6