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Eredivisie · Matchweek 19

Momentum

HEAFC Twente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Asito Stadion, Almelo
Capacity
13,500
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
12,274

Teams

Coaches
Ernest Faber · John van den Brom
Position
18 · 7
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sander van der Eijk

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
2.2° (feels -0.8°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
43%

Where to watch · 72

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Heracles Almelo

DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 6.59–10.45 · xPts 4.82

  • L A Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 xG 0.57–2.1 NLD E
  • L H SC Heerenveen 0–3 xG 0.72–2.0 NLD E
  • L A PSV 3–4 xG 2.33–3.86 NLD E
  • D H Telstar 1–1 xG 2.06–0.83 NLD E
  • D A Fortuna Sittard 1–1 xG 0.9–1.66 NLD E

FC Twente

WDWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 11.7–4.28 · xPts 10.86

  • D H PEC Zwolle 1–1 xG 2.14–0.47 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 1–1 xG 3.08–0.8 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 xG 3.58–0.67 NLD E
  • D A FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.95–0.9 NLD E
  • W H AZ Alkmaar 1–0 xG 0.95–1.44 NLD E

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Heracles Almelo 69 draws22 FC Twente

Goals 34–74 · 2.92 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Heracles Almelo 14 draws5 FC Twente

Goals 9–18 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Heracles Almelo 10 draws4 FC Twente

Goals 3–11 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Heracles Almelo 0–2 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 2–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Heracles Almelo 2–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 5–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 1–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Heracles Almelo 2–2 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 1–0 Heracles Almelo neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Twente 1–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Heracles Almelo 2–2 FC Twente neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricHeracles Almelo all · 34Heracles Almelo at home · 17FC Twente all · 34FC Twente away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.560.881.711.53
W / D / L5 / 4 / 254 / 3 / 1015 / 13 / 66 / 8 / 3
Goals for / match1.031.351.741.76
Goals against / match2.502.121.181.41
Clean sheets6%12%24%6%
Failed to score47%41%18%12%
Both teams scored50%53%65%82%
Over 2.571%65%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.492.082.00
xG against / match1.981.761.181.40
xG difference-0.71-0.270.900.60
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.14-0.34-0.24
xPts / match0.991.221.861.74
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.33-0.16-0.21
Game state
Scored first24%29%56%59%
PPG when scoring first1.252.002.212.00
PPG when conceding first0.320.361.080.86
Came back from behind17%23%60%62%
Leads held50%67%62%50%
Minutes leading12%19%33%34%
Minutes level42%46%48%46%
Minutes trailing46%34%19%20%
First goal (min)35343736
First goal conceded (min)31344344
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%48%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%53%62%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.350.35
Late goals against0.560.410.260.41
Style
Possession45%46%54%51%
Shots11.113.517.816.6
On target3.64.66.56.0
Shot conversion9%10%10%11%
Shots inside box66%66%66%66%
Big chances created2.02.43.13.2
Corners4.54.85.45.0
xG from set plays35%41%25%27%
Goals from headers14%13%14%14%
Pressure index8.210.918.213.9
Dominant minutes35.644.358.047.4
Pass accuracy77%77%80%79%
Fouls13.512.610.711.7
Cards2.241.471.471.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heracles Almelo

0–15'310
16–30'911
31–45'617
46–60'715
61–75'413
76–90'619

FC Twente

0–15'56
16–30'103
31–45'76
46–60'179
61–75'87
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heracles Almelo

No pressure profile yet.

FC Twente · 12 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586

Game state

When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910

Situations

At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310

Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.07

Heracles Almelo

Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%0.120.532.941.032.29
4-4-29 26%1.442.221.891.681.58
3-4-2-13 9%1.01.02.01.631.41
4-3-32 6%0.01.02.01.152.51
5-3-22 6%0.00.03.50.961.91

FC Twente

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-126 76%1.51.621.272.161.17
4-3-38 24%2.382.130.881.831.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.0Home 16% P 15%4.75Draw 20% P 21%1.5Away 64% P 64%

Double Chance

2.5Heracles or Draw 19% P 18%1.18Heracles or FC Twente 40% P 40%1.12Draw or FC Twente 42% P 43%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 59%2.25Under 42% P 41%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 62.5–65% · 233 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%14%16%+1.8
Draw21%22%23%+0.7
Away64%64%61%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Sander van der Eijk

Career
117 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.4 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 81 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.833.32+0.9790
Fouls / match20.720.3+0.03
Fouls per card5.56.2-1.43 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.24-0.5329
Time added6.56.4+0.2562
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.52

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-11 10 170 57'4
2025-12-20 20 200 63'6
2025-12-11 32 131 32'6
2025-12-06 72 220 22'13
2025-11-30 30 160 38'7
2025-10-23 61 270 29'5
2025-10-18 20 150 69'5
2025-09-28 71 300 12'6
2025-09-25 61 380 10'5
2025-09-13 30 270 23'6