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Eredivisie · Matchweek 20

Momentum

FC TwenteExcelsior
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Capacity
30,205
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,000

Teams

Coaches
John van den Brom · Ruben den Uil
Position
6 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Allard Lindhout

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
-2.0° (feels -2.0°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 72

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Twente

DWDDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 13.2–4.1 · xPts 11.94

  • W A Heracles Almelo 2–0 xG 2.45–1.26 NLD E
  • D H PEC Zwolle 1–1 xG 2.14–0.47 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 1–1 xG 3.08–0.8 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 xG 3.58–0.67 NLD E
  • D A FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.95–0.9 NLD E

Excelsior

LWLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 6.72–9.48 · xPts 5.41

  • D A AZ Alkmaar 1–1 xG 1.06–1.52 NLD E
  • D H Telstar 2–2 xG 1.71–1.59 NLD E
  • L A PSV 1–5 xG 0.6–2.22 NLD E
  • W H PEC Zwolle 2–1 xG 1.62–1.11 NLD E
  • L H FC Groningen 0–2 xG 1.74–3.04 NLD E

All meetings · 22 matches since 2006

FC Twente 116 draws5 Excelsior

Goals 35–20 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Twente 34 draws3 Excelsior

Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Twente 22 draws1 Excelsior

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Twente 0–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 1–0 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 0–3 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Twente 4–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Excelsior 0–0 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Twente 4–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Excelsior 0–0 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 1–3 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Excelsior 1–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 1–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Twente all · 34FC Twente at home · 17Excelsior all · 34Excelsior away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.711.881.121.18
W / D / L15 / 13 / 69 / 5 / 310 / 8 / 165 / 5 / 7
Goals for / match1.741.711.261.35
Goals against / match1.180.941.652.00
Clean sheets24%41%18%12%
Failed to score18%24%21%18%
Both teams scored65%47%65%76%
Over 2.550%47%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.082.151.431.47
xG against / match1.180.961.721.86
xG difference0.901.19-0.29-0.39
Finishing vs xG-0.34-0.45-0.17-0.12
xPts / match1.861.981.201.13
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.10-0.090.05
Game state
Scored first56%53%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.212.441.802.00
PPG when conceding first1.081.330.560.70
Came back from behind60%57%33%42%
Leads held62%75%62%71%
Minutes leading33%32%24%22%
Minutes level48%50%46%42%
Minutes trailing19%18%30%35%
First goal (min)37393940
First goal conceded (min)43424137
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%51%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%62%61%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.350.41
Late goals against0.260.120.260.24
Style
Possession54%57%48%46%
Shots17.819.012.412.1
On target6.57.14.24.2
Shot conversion10%9%10%11%
Shots inside box66%66%66%66%
Big chances created3.13.12.62.0
Corners5.45.74.14.0
xG from set plays25%22%29%28%
Goals from headers14%14%22%22%
Pressure index18.222.57.96.5
Dominant minutes58.068.638.735.1
Pass accuracy80%81%77%77%
Fouls10.79.612.313.2
Cards1.471.181.351.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Twente

0–15'56
16–30'103
31–45'76
46–60'179
61–75'87
76–90'129

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Twente · 12 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586

Game state

When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910

Situations

At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310

Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.08

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

FC Twente

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-126 76%1.51.621.272.161.17
4-3-38 24%2.382.130.881.831.2

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 76% P 76%6.0Draw 16% P 16%11.0Away 9% P 9%

Double Chance

1.05FC Twente or Draw 45% P 46%1.14FC Twente or Excelsior 41% P 42%3.5Draw or Excelsior 14% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.6Over 59% P 63%2.3Under 41% P 37%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home76%76%77%+0.9
Draw16%15%15%-0.5
Away9%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Allard Lindhout

Career
254 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (2.89 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.03.32-0.7718
Fouls / match18.720.3-1.03
Fouls per card6.76.2+0.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.1255
Time added6.06.4-0.829
First card
46' on average
Card timing
8% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 10 190 45'6
2025-12-20 61 160 11'7
2025-12-07 · FC Twente 30 160 24'6
2025-11-27 72 381 41'8
2025-11-23 10 130 54'5
2025-11-09 20 190 42'4
2025-11-06 80 180 23'6
2025-10-26 10 200 62'8
2025-10-05 · FC Twente 21 130 45'10
2025-09-25 30 190 17'4