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Eredivisie · Matchweek 20

Momentum

GAEHEE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Capacity
10,400
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Melvin Boel · Robin Veldman
Position
14 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robin Hensgens

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.2° (feels 7.0°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 72

  • Angola DStv Now
  • Argentina ESPN 3
  • Armenia Setanta Sports 1
  • Azerbaijan Setanta Sports 1
  • Belarus Setanta Sports 1
  • Belgium Play Sports 1
  • Botswana DStv Now
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now
  • Burundi DStv Now
  • Cameroon DStv Now
  • Chad DStv Now
  • Costa Rica ESPN Norte
  • Denmark Viaplay Denmark
  • Djibouti DStv Now
  • Dominican Republic ESPN Norte
  • El Salvador ESPN Norte
  • Equatorial Guinea DStv Now
  • Eritrea DStv Now
  • Estonia Setanta Sports 1
  • Eswatini DStv Now
  • Ethiopia DStv Now
  • Gabon DStv Now
  • Gambia DStv Now
  • Georgia Setanta Sports 1
  • Ghana DStv Now
  • Guatemala ESPN Norte
  • Guinea-Bissau DStv Now
  • Honduras ESPN Norte
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International Bet365 · ESPN Norte · Setanta Sports 1
  • Israel Sport 1 · Sport 2
  • Ivory Coast DStv Now
  • Kazakhstan Setanta Sports 1
  • Kenya DStv Now
  • Latvia Setanta Sports 1
  • Lesotho DStv Now
  • Liberia DStv Now
  • Lithuania Setanta Sports 1
  • Madagascar DStv Now
  • Malawi DStv Now
  • Malaysia sooka
  • Mali DStv Now
  • Mauritania DStv Now
  • Mauritius DStv Now
  • Moldova Setanta Sports 1
  • Mozambique DStv Now
  • Namibia DStv Now
  • Netherlands ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now
  • Norway Viaplay Norway
  • Panama ESPN Norte
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Senegal DStv Now
  • Seychelles DStv Now
  • Sierra Leone DStv Now
  • South Sudan DStv Now
  • Spain Movistar Futbol
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Tanzania DStv Now
  • Togo DStv Now
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Go Ahead Eagles

DLDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 7.39–9.72 · xPts 5.68

  • D H Telstar 1–1 xG 3.11–1.46 NLD E
  • D A FC Volendam 1–1 xG 1.11–1.71 NLD E
  • D H Sporting Braga 0–0 xG 0.34–0.53 UEFA EL
  • L A Nice 1–3 xG 2.19–2.56 UEFA EL
  • D A Ajax 2–2 xG 0.64–3.45 NLD E

SC Heerenveen

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 7.58–7.6 · xPts 7.86

  • L A FC Twente 0–5 xG 0.68–3.94 NLD E
  • D H FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.99–0.84 NLD E
  • L H FC Groningen 0–2 xG 1.54–1.5 NLD E
  • D H Feyenoord 2–2 xG 1.36–0.59 NLD E
  • W A Heracles Almelo 3–0 xG 2.0–0.72 NLD E

All meetings · 16 matches since 2013

Go Ahead Eagles 35 draws8 SC Heerenveen

Goals 18–28 · 2.88 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 32 draws5 SC Heerenveen

Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 21 draws2 SC Heerenveen

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D SC Heerenveen 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L SC Heerenveen 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W SC Heerenveen 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L SC Heerenveen 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L SC Heerenveen 3–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
MetricGo Ahead Eagles all · 34Go Ahead Eagles at home · 17SC Heerenveen all · 35SC Heerenveen away · 18
Results
Matches34173518
Points per game1.121.471.461.17
W / D / L8 / 14 / 126 / 7 / 414 / 9 / 126 / 3 / 9
Goals for / match1.592.001.691.44
Goals against / match1.561.411.601.78
Clean sheets26%35%14%17%
Failed to score21%12%23%28%
Both teams scored59%59%66%56%
Over 2.562%71%71%72%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.651.801.54
xG against / match2.151.681.531.91
xG difference-0.84-0.030.27-0.37
Finishing vs xG0.270.35-0.12-0.09
xPts / match1.021.391.581.26
Points vs xPts0.090.08-0.13-0.10
Game state
Scored first44%53%40%39%
PPG when scoring first2.002.222.142.14
PPG when conceding first0.350.571.000.55
Came back from behind43%50%48%31%
Leads held44%54%64%60%
Minutes leading21%30%28%24%
Minutes level46%47%43%45%
Minutes trailing32%23%29%30%
First goal (min)41413836
First goal conceded (min)37413838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%53%58%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%58%55%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.370.28
Late goals against0.290.350.310.28
Style
Possession50%51%51%50%
Shots11.613.814.913.7
On target5.16.45.44.9
Shot conversion14%14%11%11%
Shots inside box71%69%67%66%
Big chances created2.53.02.62.3
Corners5.46.55.65.2
xG from set plays26%31%21%18%
Goals from headers17%24%5%4%
Pressure index10.912.812.410.9
Dominant minutes43.450.949.445.9
Pass accuracy80%81%80%78%
Fouls9.28.610.911.7
Cards1.790.941.691.61

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'106
16–30'48
31–45'913
46–60'99
61–75'97
76–90'1310

SC Heerenveen

0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.00

SC Heerenveen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274

Situations

At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256

Ahead vs level -0.50 · Behind vs level -0.32

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%0.921.41.761.292.29
4-3-37 21%1.572.01.291.251.84
4-1-4-11 3%1.00.00.01.551.49
4-4-21 3%3.05.00.02.121.51

SC Heerenveen

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 97%1.51.741.621.811.55
4-4-21 3%0.00.01.01.460.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 37% P 36%3.75Draw 25% P 26%2.5Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 31% P 31%1.25Go Ahead Eagles or Heerenveen 38% P 37%1.5Draw or Heerenveen 31% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 63%2.25No 41% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 60%2.15Under 44% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 154 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.9
Draw26%26%30%+4.1
Away38%38%35%-3.3

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Robin Hensgens

Career
40 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.6 (3.4 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.1
Cards to home side
40%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.623.32+0.5486
Fouls / match22.420.3+0.91
Fouls per card6.26.2-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.10.24-1.855
Time added6.56.4+0.2562
First card
39' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 30 290 26'5
2026-01-10 40 170 53'6
2025-12-14 · SC Heerenveen 30 250 24'4
2025-11-29 80 410 20'5
2025-11-23 40 200 2'6
2025-10-19 50 210 38'8
2025-09-27 50 230 31'6
2025-09-13 · SC Heerenveen 42 210 27'15
2025-08-30 20 210 67'4
2025-08-23 · Go Ahead Eagles 20 141 26'10