Rating 7.34 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 12 (19% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.48 ppg with (27) · 2.43 without (7)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 20
Momentum
– PSVNAC Breda –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| PSV | at home | Stat | league | away | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.8 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 49.0 #10 |
| 17.6 #2 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 14.1 #10 |
| 7.2 #1 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.2 #15 |
| 7.2 #2 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 5.8 #5 |
| 10.3 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.8 #10 |
| 1.5 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.4 #9 |
| 16.7 #7 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 16.2 #12 |
| 110.8 #2 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 97.7 #10 |
| 60.6 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 45.6 #8 |
| 550.0 #1 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 395.1 #13 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 2.4 #1 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.7 #18 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #17 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #4 |
| 2.2 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #14 |
| 0.7 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.3 #16 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #2 |
| 3.0 #1 | 3.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 #16 |
| 1.3 #14 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 #5 |
| 0.4 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 8.6 #10 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.1 #14 |
| – #18 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 4.2 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 12.1 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 8.6 #10 |
| 6.1 #2 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 6.2 #1 |
| 5.4 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.5 #4 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
PSV · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.18 (95th pct) · G+A 14 + 5 (19% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.22 without (9)
Rating 7.24 (100th pct) · G+A 1 + 9 (10% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 2.71 ppg with (24) · 1.9 without (10)
NAC Breda
No ranked players yet.
Absences
PSV
- injury Alassane Pléa #15 key player attacker · Cartilage Damage · 45 missed · until 2026-07-10
- injury Myron Boadu attacker · Knee Injury · 11 missed · until 2026-02-02
- injury Nick Olij #18 key player goalkeeper · Groin Injury · 9 missed · until 2026-02-03
- injury Ricardo Pepi #4 key player attacker · Forearm Fracture · 9 missed · until 2026-02-20
- injury Ruben van Bommel #12 key player attacker · Knee Injury · 39 missed · until 2026-07-17
NAC Breda
- injury Fredrik Oldrup Jensen midfielder · Knee Injury · 12 missed · until 2026-02-26
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 20
Venue
- Stadium
- Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
- Capacity
- 36,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 34,900
Teams
- Coaches
- Peter Bosz · Carl Hoefkens
- Position
- 1 · 17
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Referee
Dennis Higler
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 3.0° (feels -0.0°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 82%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
PSV
WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 9 · xG 10.18–6.55 · xPts 8.86
- L
A
Newcastle United
0–3
xG 0.4–1.46
UEFA CL - W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2–1
xG 2.11–0.46
NLD E
- W
H
Excelsior
5–1
xG 2.22–0.6
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
2–1
xG 1.59–1.7
NLD E
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–3
xG 3.86–2.33
NLD E
WWWWLWWWWL 8W 0D 2L · 24 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 25 GA 13 · xG 17.96–13.61 · xPts 16.16
- L
A
Newcastle United
0–3
xG 0.4–1.46
UEFA CL
- W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2–1
xG 2.11–0.46
NLD E
- W
H
Excelsior
5–1
xG 2.22–0.6
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
2–1
xG 1.59–1.7
NLD E
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–3
xG 3.86–2.33
NLD E
- L
H
Atlético de Madrid
2–3
xG 2.39–1.63
UEFA CL - W
A
SC Heerenveen
2–0
xG 0.78–0.81
NLD E
- W
H
FC Volendam
3–0
xG 2.1–0.73
NLD E
- W
A
Liverpool
4–1
xG 1.79–2.62
UEFA CL - W
A
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 0.72–1.28
NLD E
NAC Breda
LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.2–6.96 · xPts 6.34
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–4
xG 0.97–1.11
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
0–0
xG 0.98–1.59
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
0–1
xG 0.92–1.71
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.25–0.75
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
xG 2.09–1.79
NLD E
DWLLLLDLDL 1W 3D 6L · 6 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 14 · xG 11.73–11.73 · xPts 13.68
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–4
xG 0.97–1.11
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
0–0
xG 0.98–1.59
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
0–1
xG 0.92–1.71
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.25–0.75
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
xG 2.09–1.79
NLD E
- L
A
Excelsior
0–1
xG 1.64–1.03
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
0–1
xG 1.28–0.72
NLD E
- L
A
FC Volendam
1–2
xG 0.78–1.64
NLD E
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
1–0
xG 0.54–0.41
NLD E
- D
A
SC Heerenveen
3–3
xG 1.3–0.97
NLD E
All meetings · 28 matches since 2005
Goals 74–29 · 3.68 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 68%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 30–7 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 11–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D PSV 2–2 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 0–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 3–2 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 0–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 2–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 0–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 5–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 1–4 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 0–2 PSV neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 6–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | PSV all · 34 | PSV at home · 17 | NAC Breda all · 34 | NAC Breda away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.47 | 2.41 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| W / D / L | 27 / 3 / 4 | 13 / 2 / 2 | 6 / 11 / 17 | 1 / 6 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.97 | 3.41 | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.53 | 1.71 | 2.06 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 12% | 18% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 3% | 6% | 41% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 82% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 85% | 94% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.24 | 2.47 | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.48 | 1.78 |
| xG difference | 1.08 | 1.29 | -0.17 | -0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.73 | 0.95 | -0.28 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | 2.12 | 1.31 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.47 | 0.29 | -0.45 | -0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 71% | 26% | 18% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.75 | 2.67 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Came back from behind | 64% | 67% | 32% | 33% |
| Leads held | 90% | 87% | 43% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 52% | 54% | 12% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 28% | 51% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 19% | 37% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 24 | 20 | 48 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 52% | 60% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.65 | 0.76 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.47 | 0.71 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 63% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 17.6 | 19.1 | 14.1 | 13.4 |
| On target | 7.2 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 18% | 7% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | 61% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 39% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 21% | 23% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 22.8 | 26.6 | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.8 | 73.5 | 44.3 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 77% | 76% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 9.8 | 10.8 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 1.56 | 1.12 | 1.88 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'166
16–30'176
31–45'1711
46–60'174
61–75'1211
76–90'227
NAC Breda
0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
PSV · 7 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.077
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.566
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.467
10 min after scoring+1.237
Situations
At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.616
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466
Congested vs rested +0.34 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44
NAC Breda
No pressure profile yet.
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 59% | 2.5 | 3.05 | 1.2 | 2.24 | 1.06 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 32% | 2.27 | 2.73 | 1.55 | 2.19 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.67 | 0.77 |
| 3-2-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.81 | 1.95 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 53% | 0.78 | 1.0 | 1.61 | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 15% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Metric | PSV all · 10 | PSV at home · 10 | NAC Breda all · 10 | NAC Breda away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 1 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.53 | 2.62 | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.18 | 1.51 | 1.66 |
| xG difference | 1.44 | 1.44 | -0.27 | -0.45 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.87 | 0.78 | -0.24 | -0.41 |
| xPts / match | 2.14 | 2.13 | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.17 | -0.53 | -0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.20 | 2.13 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 88% | 38% | 38% |
| Leads held | 78% | 88% | 33% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 48% | 36% | 7% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 42% | 51% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 22% | 42% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 19 | 31 | 55 | 69 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | 24 | 33 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 65% | 60% | 75% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | 27% | 46% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 65% | 49% | 46% |
| Shots | 19.1 | 19.1 | 15.4 | 14.1 |
| On target | 7.6 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 18% | 6% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 66% | 55% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 4.9 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 7.0 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 37% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 15% | 40% | 38% |
| Pressure index | 20.9 | 20.9 | 13.7 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 62.6 | 67.1 | 47.6 | 40.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 87% | 77% | 76% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'64
16–30'23
31–45'72
46–60'71
61–75'30
76–90'92
NAC Breda
0–15'03
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'02
61–75'41
76–90'27
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.54 | 1.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.28 | 2.26 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.44 | 1.45 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.78 |
| Metric | PSV all · 43 | PSV at home · 21 | NAC Breda all · 29 | NAC Breda away · 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 21 | 29 | 14 |
| Points per game | 2.26 | 2.19 | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| W / D / L | 30 / 7 / 6 | 14 / 4 / 3 | 5 / 10 / 14 | 1 / 5 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 2.84 | 3.29 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Goals against / match | 1.35 | 1.57 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 10% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 2% | 0% | 38% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 84% | 90% | 48% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 95% | 48% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.18 | 2.48 | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.35 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | 0.98 | 1.28 | -0.02 | -0.32 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.66 | 0.80 | -0.26 | -0.33 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 2.07 | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | 0.12 | -0.51 | -0.62 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 52% | 24% | 14% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.63 | 2.36 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.79 | 2.00 | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 71% | 75% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 86% | 78% | 42% | 20% |
| Minutes leading | 44% | 47% | 9% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 37% | 54% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 16% | 37% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 26 | 52 | 56 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 35 | 32 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 54% | 61% | 69% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 46% | 45% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.79 | 0.86 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.71 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 62% | 50% | 47% |
| Shots | 16.7 | 18.2 | 14.9 | 14.5 |
| On target | 6.8 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 18% | 7% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 61% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 36% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 19% | 26% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 24.1 | 13.5 | 10.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 64.0 | 68.4 | 48.3 | 42.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.90 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'1910
16–30'179
31–45'2013
46–60'197
61–75'1310
76–90'349
NAC Breda
0–15'06
16–30'310
31–45'911
46–60'56
61–75'54
76–90'912
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
PSV · 43 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5643
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2843
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.317
Game state
When ahead+0.6335
When level+0.5443
When behind+0.4721
10 min after conceding+0.2436
10 min after scoring+0.8841
Situations
With ten men+0.023
Against ten men+0.132
At home+0.5521
Away+0.5722
3 days rest or fewer+0.675
4+ days rest+0.5538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0614
v mid-tier opponents+0.7111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.8110
As favourite+0.7832
Evenly matched-0.047
As underdog-0.064
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2543
Conceded when ahead-0.3635
Conceded late (76+)-0.3634
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.07
NAC Breda · 29 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1729
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1229
Late push (76+, level)+0.0617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2816
Game state
When ahead-0.0811
When level+0.1529
When behind+0.2821
10 min after conceding-0.2223
10 min after scoring+0.5917
Situations
With ten men+0.275
At home+0.2115
Away+0.1314
4+ days rest+0.1729
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.117
v mid-tier opponents+0.179
v bottom-tier opponents+0.169
As favourite+0.425
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog+0.0811
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0229
Conceded when ahead+0.2311
Conceded late (76+)-0.1128
Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.14
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 25 58% | 2.32 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 1.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 26% | 2.36 | 2.73 | 1.45 | 2.33 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 14% | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.77 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 17% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 14% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 7% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.4Home 68% P 70%5.25Draw 18% P 17%7.0Away 14% P 12%
Double Chance
1.1PSV or Draw 43% P 44%1.16PSV or NAC 41% P 41%3.0Draw or NAC 16% P 15%
Draw No Bet
1.141 83%5.52 17%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.47Over 64% P 65%2.6Under 36% P 35%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 70% | 71% | 75% | +4.2 |
| Draw | 17% | 18% | 15% | -2.5 |
| Away | 12% | 11% | 9% | -1.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%
Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55% | 56% | 57% | +1.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Dennis Higler
- Career
- 328 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.3
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.52 | 3.32 | +0.33 | 68 |
| Fouls / match | 22.2 | 20.3 | +0.83 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.6 | 6.2 | +0.33 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.24 | +0.69 | 73 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.44 | 73 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 65' | 6 |
| 2025-11-08 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2025-11-01 · NAC Breda | 6 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 36' | 8 |
| 2025-10-19 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 4' | 6 |
| 2025-09-27 · PSV | – | – | 13 | – | – | 4 |
| 2025-09-20 · NAC Breda | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 45' | 9 |
| 2025-08-24 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 9' | 6 |
| 2025-08-16 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 5' | 8 |
| 2025-07-31 | – | – | 22 | – | – | 6 |