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Eredivisie · Matchweek 20

Momentum

TelstarAZ
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
BUKO Stadion, Velsen
Capacity
3,200
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
5,293

Teams

Coaches
Anthony Correia · Leeroy Echteld
Position
16 · 7
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robin Hensgens

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
0.7° (feels -3.5°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 265

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
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  • Morocco STARZPLAY
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  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
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  • United States fuboTV
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  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Telstar

DDWLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 6.72–9.02 · xPts 5.59

  • D A Excelsior 2–2 xG 1.59–1.71 NLD E
  • L H Ajax 2–3 xG 1.02–1.84 NLD E
  • W A NAC Breda 1–0 xG 1.71–0.92 NLD E
  • D H NEC Nijmegen 2–2 xG 1.57–2.49 NLD E
  • D A Heracles Almelo 1–1 xG 0.83–2.06 NLD E

AZ

DLWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 10.03–4.87 · xPts 10.23

  • D H Excelsior 1–1 xG 1.52–1.06 NLD E
  • L A PEC Zwolle 1–3 xG 1.56–1.06 NLD E
  • W H FC Volendam 1–0 xG 2.42–0.59 NLD E
  • L A Fortuna Sittard 3–4 xG 3.27–2.03 NLD E
  • D H Jagiellonia Białystok 0–0 xG 1.26–0.13 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Telstar 00 draws2 AZ

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Telstar 00 draws2 AZ

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Telstar 00 draws2 AZ

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Telstar 0–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricTelstar all · 34Telstar at home · 17AZ all · 34AZ away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.091.181.531.24
W / D / L9 / 10 / 155 / 5 / 714 / 10 / 106 / 3 / 8
Goals for / match1.441.821.711.12
Goals against / match1.621.651.501.47
Clean sheets15%12%26%29%
Failed to score24%18%12%24%
Both teams scored65%71%65%53%
Over 2.559%71%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.611.871.74
xG against / match1.901.631.361.51
xG difference-0.47-0.010.510.23
Finishing vs xG0.010.21-0.16-0.62
xPts / match1.151.391.671.53
Points vs xPts-0.06-0.22-0.14-0.29
Game state
Scored first47%53%62%41%
PPG when scoring first1.811.892.192.29
PPG when conceding first0.410.380.420.44
Came back from behind17%12%38%20%
Leads held50%50%56%60%
Minutes leading24%30%34%16%
Minutes level44%43%44%56%
Minutes trailing32%27%21%27%
First goal (min)45423548
First goal conceded (min)40414032
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%45%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%53%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.590.380.29
Late goals against0.500.530.380.35
Style
Possession45%47%53%54%
Shots12.813.515.815.4
On target4.95.45.95.5
Shot conversion11%14%11%7%
Shots inside box66%67%66%60%
Big chances created3.13.53.12.8
Corners4.75.45.85.6
xG from set plays31%31%27%29%
Goals from headers20%23%9%10%
Pressure index8.09.014.813.6
Dominant minutes37.041.853.650.6
Pass accuracy76%77%82%82%
Fouls11.310.410.211.1
Cards1.351.291.912.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

AZ

0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

AZ · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

AZ

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.381.761.761.921.35
4-3-39 26%1.781.671.221.961.25
3-4-32 6%2.01.00.01.581.19
5-4-11 3%0.01.02.01.423.06
5-3-21 3%3.03.01.01.091.04

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 29%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.2Away 43% P 44%

Double Chance

1.8Telstar or Draw 26% P 28%1.28Telstar or AZ 37% P 37%1.25Draw or AZ 37% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.15Under 44% P 43%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%23%-5.8
Draw26%28%27%-0.3
Away44%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Robin Hensgens

Career
40 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.6 (3.4 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.1
Cards to home side
40%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.623.32+0.5486
Fouls / match22.420.3+0.94
Fouls per card6.26.2-0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.10.24-1.649
Time added6.56.4+0.0859
First card
39' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 40 170 53'6
2025-12-14 30 250 24'4
2025-11-29 80 410 20'5
2025-11-23 · Telstar 40 200 2'6
2025-10-19 50 210 38'8
2025-09-27 50 230 31'6
2025-09-13 42 210 27'15
2025-08-30 · Telstar 20 210 67'4
2025-08-23 20 141 26'10
2025-05-14 10 190 30'8