Rating 7.22 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 10 (33% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 0.73 without (11)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 21
Momentum
– HEAFOR –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Heracles Almelo | at home | Stat | league | away | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.8 #17 |
| 11.1 #16 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 12.7 #13 |
| 3.6 #17 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.4 #12 |
| 4.5 #14 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.3 #15 |
| 13.5 #1 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 12.3 #2 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.5 #5 |
| 15.8 #14 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 17.7 #2 |
| 85.3 #16 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 91.1 #13 |
| 36.8 #16 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 36.6 #17 |
| 346.1 #18 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 363.2 #15 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 0.8 #17 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.1 #10 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #2 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #16 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #15 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #12 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.0 #7 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #13 |
| 1.0 #16 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 #10 |
| 2.5 #1 | 2.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 #3 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.2 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.7 #1 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.7 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 2.2 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.4 #12 |
| 7.3 #16 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 7.9 #15 |
| 5.2 #9 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 4.8 #13 |
| 3.7 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.8 #11 |
| – #18 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #11 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Heracles Almelo
No ranked players yet.
Fortuna Sittard · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.79 (44th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.11 ppg with (28) · 1.33 without (6)
Rating 6.77 (36th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (28) · 0.83 without (6)
Absences
Heracles Almelo
- injury Jeff Reine-Adélaïde midfielder · Knee Surgery · 32 missed · until 2026-04-25
- injury Sem Scheperman midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 21 missed · until 2026-02-27
Fortuna Sittard
- injury Daley Sinkgraven defender · Knee Injury · 56 missed
- injury Luka Tunjic midfielder · Ill · 9 missed · until 2026-02-27
- injury Ramazan Bayram goalkeeper · Knee Injury · 56 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 21
Venue
- Stadium
- Asito Stadion, Almelo
- Capacity
- 13,500
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 11,424
Teams
- Coaches
- Ernest Faber · Danny Buijs
- Position
- 18 · 10
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Richard Martens
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 6.8° (feels 3.9°)
- Wind
- 4.2
- Humidity
- 85%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Heracles Almelo
LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 15 · xG 6.74–11.89 · xPts 4.13
- L
A
Feyenoord
2–4
xG 1.85–1.48
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
0–2
xG 1.26–2.45
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–2
xG 0.57–2.1
NLD E
- L
H
SC Heerenveen
0–3
xG 0.72–2.0
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
3–4
xG 2.33–3.86
NLD E
WWWDDLLLLL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 21 GA 22 · xG 18.39–17.49 · xPts 13.76
- L
A
Feyenoord
2–4
xG 1.85–1.48
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
0–2
xG 1.26–2.45
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–2
xG 0.57–2.1
NLD E
- L
H
SC Heerenveen
0–3
xG 0.72–2.0
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
3–4
xG 2.33–3.86
NLD E
- D
H
Telstar
1–1
xG 2.06–0.83
NLD E
- D
A
Fortuna Sittard
1–1
xG 0.9–1.66
NLD E
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
4–2
xG 3.39–0.5
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.28–1.8
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
8–2
xG 4.01–0.81
NLD E
Fortuna Sittard
LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 6.04–10.54 · xPts 4.4
- W
A
FC Groningen
2–1
xG 0.79–2.28
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.46–2.11
NLD E
- D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
2–2
xG 1.41–1.71
NLD E
- W
H
AZ Alkmaar
4–3
xG 2.03–3.27
NLD E
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
0–1
xG 1.35–1.16
NLD E
LWDDLLWDLW 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 16 GA 19 · xG 13.95–18.25 · xPts 11.47
- W
A
FC Groningen
2–1
xG 0.79–2.28
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.46–2.11
NLD E
- D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
2–2
xG 1.41–1.71
NLD E
- W
H
AZ Alkmaar
4–3
xG 2.03–3.27
NLD E
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
0–1
xG 1.35–1.16
NLD E
- L
H
Ajax
1–3
xG 2.35–1.31
NLD E
- D
H
Heracles Almelo
1–1
xG 1.66–0.9
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
xG 1.22–1.79
NLD E
- W
H
SC Heerenveen
2–0
xG 1.71–1.61
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
2–5
xG 0.98–2.09
NLD E
All meetings · 14 matches since 2018
Goals 22–16 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–12 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Heracles Almelo 2–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- D Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- D Heracles Almelo 2–2 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- D Heracles Almelo 0–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 4–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 0–2 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 3–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 0–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- L Heracles Almelo 1–2 Fortuna Sittard neutral NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 34 | Heracles Almelo at home · 17 | Fortuna Sittard all · 34 | Fortuna Sittard away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.56 | 0.88 | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 25 | 4 / 3 / 10 | 11 / 6 / 17 | 4 / 2 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.03 | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.24 |
| Goals against / match | 2.50 | 2.12 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 6% | 12% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 47% | 41% | 15% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 53% | 76% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 65% | 68% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.27 | 1.49 | 1.40 | 1.07 |
| xG against / match | 1.98 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.95 |
| xG difference | -0.71 | -0.27 | -0.35 | -0.87 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.14 | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| xPts / match | 0.99 | 1.22 | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.43 | -0.33 | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 24% | 29% | 50% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.25 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 23% | 26% | 27% |
| Leads held | 50% | 67% | 55% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 27% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 40% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 46% | 34% | 34% | 48% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 34 | 33 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | 34 | 36 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 48% | 49% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 53% | 51% | 35% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| Late goals against | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 46% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 13.5 | 12.7 | 10.9 |
| On target | 3.6 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 62% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 41% | 28% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 13% | 26% | 38% |
| Pressure index | 8.2 | 10.9 | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.6 | 44.3 | 37.0 | 33.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 76% | 76% |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 12.6 | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 1.47 | 2.12 | 1.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'310
16–30'911
31–45'617
46–60'715
61–75'413
76–90'619
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1011
16–30'511
31–45'109
46–60'88
61–75'69
76–90'1015
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Heracles Almelo
No pressure profile yet.
Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253
Game state
When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065
Situations
At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 50% | 0.12 | 0.53 | 2.94 | 1.03 | 2.29 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 26% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.15 | 2.51 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.71 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 0.73 | 2.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.4 | 1.56 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.36 | 1.85 |
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 10 | Heracles Almelo at home · 10 | Fortuna Sittard all · 10 | Fortuna Sittard away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 8 | 1 / 2 / 7 | 4 / 1 / 5 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.40 | 0.50 | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.20 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.03 | 1.17 | 0.86 | 1.08 |
| xG against / match | 2.10 | 1.77 | 2.34 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | -1.07 | -0.59 | -1.48 | -0.88 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.63 | -0.67 | 0.84 | 0.52 |
| xPts / match | 0.85 | 1.05 | 0.70 | 0.86 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.65 | -0.55 | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 20% | 70% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 17% | 29% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 57% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 5% | 10% | 37% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 52% | 45% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 51% | 38% | 18% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 36 | 28 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 38 | 46 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 20% | 47% | 31% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 56% | 77% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 47% | 37% | 40% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.1 | 10.2 | 10.9 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 4% | 17% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 65% | 54% | 54% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 40% | 20% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 18% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 9.6 | 10.3 | 7.3 | 6.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.5 | 44.0 | 31.4 | 34.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 77% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.3 | 9.0 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'04
16–30'33
31–45'04
46–60'06
61–75'04
76–90'12
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'40
16–30'33
31–45'22
46–60'33
61–75'36
76–90'28
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.11 | 0.33 | 2.44 | 0.99 | 2.21 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.15 |
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.0 | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.27 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.65 | 3.59 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.35 |
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 29 | Heracles Almelo at home · 15 | Fortuna Sittard all · 35 | Fortuna Sittard away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 29 | 15 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.66 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 20 | 4 / 3 / 8 | 12 / 6 / 17 | 5 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.40 | 1.49 | 1.47 |
| Goals against / match | 2.38 | 2.00 | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 13% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 45% | 47% | 14% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 47% | 77% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 60% | 69% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| xG against / match | 1.87 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | -0.53 | -0.07 | -0.62 | -0.88 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.10 | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.31 | 1.08 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.42 | -0.31 | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 24% | 27% | 54% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.43 | 2.50 | 1.84 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 27% | 26% | 36% |
| Leads held | 56% | 80% | 57% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 19% | 30% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 46% | 39% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | 35% | 31% | 41% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 39 | 33 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 35 | 37 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 46% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 57% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 42% | 42% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 13.2 | 11.9 | 10.9 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 69% | 61% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 44% | 25% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 10% | 25% | 28% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 11.8 | 8.0 | 6.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.4 | 46.1 | 35.1 | 32.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 75% | 75% |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 12.9 | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.31 | 1.40 | 2.06 | 2.18 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'28
16–30'810
31–45'613
46–60'715
61–75'410
76–90'613
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1111
16–30'710
31–45'108
46–60'910
61–75'810
76–90'719
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Heracles Almelo · 29 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1429
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229
Late push (76+, level)-0.429
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4615
Game state
When ahead+0.209
When level-0.1729
When behind-0.2025
10 min after conceding-0.2727
10 min after scoring+0.1516
Situations
With ten men+0.802
Against ten men+0.074
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1614
4+ days rest-0.1429
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.448
v mid-tier opponents+0.147
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0910
Evenly matched-0.039
As underdog-0.2020
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3429
Conceded when ahead-0.069
Conceded late (76+)+0.3421
Ahead vs level +0.37 · Behind vs level -0.03
Fortuna Sittard · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1835
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1635
Late push (76+, level)-0.459
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1218
Game state
When ahead-0.2121
When level-0.2035
When behind-0.1223
10 min after conceding-0.3632
10 min after scoring-0.1030
Situations
With ten men-0.114
At home-0.1918
Away-0.1617
4+ days rest-0.1734
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3112
v mid-tier opponents-0.299
v bottom-tier opponents-0.019
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched-0.1011
As underdog-0.2621
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3635
Conceded when ahead+0.3021
Conceded late (76+)+0.2034
Congested vs rested -0.46 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.08
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.15 | 0.62 | 2.77 | 1.09 | 2.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 31% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.15 |
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 54% | 1.16 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.45 | 1.75 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 11% | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.15 | 1.73 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.12 | 2.34 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.03 | 2.25 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 3.33 | 1.47 | 2.2 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.2Home 43% P 43%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.25Away 29% P 29%
Double Chance
1.33Heracles or Draw 35% P 35%1.3Heracles or Fortuna Sittard 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Fortuna Sittard 28% P 29%
Draw No Bet
1.531 61%2.372 39%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.85Over 51% P 51%1.95Under 49% P 49%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 43% | 44% | 43% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 30% | +2.4 |
| Away | 29% | 29% | 26% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%
Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55% | 56% | 57% | +1.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Richard Martens
- Career
- 67 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.57 (3.33 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.1 · 6.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.33
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 35 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.29 | 3.32 | -0.14 | 33 |
| Fouls / match | 20.9 | 20.3 | +0.16 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.6 | 6.2 | +0.20 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.24 | +1.09 | 90 |
| Time added | 7.3 | 6.4 | +2.02 | 95 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.47
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4' | 8 |
| 2025-11-08 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 23' | 8 |
| 2025-10-04 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 65' | 10 |