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Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Momentum

FC GroningenPSV
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Euroborg, Groningen
Capacity
22,525
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Dick Lukkien · Peter Bosz
Position
8 · 1
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
1.3° (feels -3.6°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 105

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Groningen

DDWLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 7.1–5.41 · xPts 7.81

  • L A Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 xG 0.57–0.9 NLD E
  • L H Fortuna Sittard 1–2 xG 2.28–0.79 NLD E
  • W A SC Heerenveen 2–0 xG 1.5–1.54 NLD E
  • D H NAC Breda 0–0 xG 1.59–0.98 NLD E
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 xG 1.16–1.2 NLD E

PSV

WLDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 6.63–5.59 · xPts 7.57

  • W H Feyenoord 3–0 xG 1.71–0.45 NLD E
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–2 xG 0.77–2.06 UEFA CL
  • D H NAC Breda 2–2 xG 1.64–1.17 NLD E
  • L A Newcastle United 0–3 xG 0.4–1.46 UEFA CL
  • W A Fortuna Sittard 2–1 xG 2.11–0.46 NLD E

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

FC Groningen 68 draws27 PSV

Goals 40–92 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Groningen 10 draws9 PSV

Goals 11–34 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Groningen 00 draws5 PSV

Goals 5–19 · 4.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L PSV 5–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 4–2 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 1–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 5–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 6–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Groningen 4–2 PSV neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 0–1 PSV neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 5–2 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 1–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Groningen all · 35FC Groningen at home · 17PSV all · 34PSV away · 17
Results
Matches35173417
Points per game1.371.472.472.53
W / D / L14 / 6 / 157 / 4 / 627 / 3 / 414 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.401.592.972.53
Goals against / match1.341.061.321.12
Clean sheets29%35%21%29%
Failed to score23%24%3%0%
Both teams scored54%53%76%71%
Over 2.554%65%85%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.802.242.01
xG against / match1.441.371.161.14
xG difference0.260.431.080.87
Finishing vs xG-0.30-0.210.730.52
xPts / match1.531.652.001.89
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.180.470.64
Game state
Scored first54%59%71%71%
PPG when scoring first2.051.802.752.83
PPG when conceding first0.501.001.801.80
Came back from behind25%33%64%60%
Leads held70%64%90%93%
Minutes leading27%31%52%50%
Minutes level49%52%35%43%
Minutes trailing25%17%13%8%
First goal (min)37282428
First goal conceded (min)41403635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%52%50%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%61%49%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.350.650.53
Late goals against0.310.350.210.18
Style
Possession50%53%61%58%
Shots15.616.617.616.1
On target5.75.47.27.1
Shot conversion9%10%17%16%
Shots inside box60%61%69%72%
Big chances created2.82.84.34.4
Corners6.16.97.16.7
xG from set plays26%26%23%22%
Goals from headers20%15%25%30%
Pressure index13.917.522.819.1
Dominant minutes51.659.866.860.2
Pass accuracy79%80%86%85%
Fouls10.99.910.310.8
Cards1.891.531.562.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Groningen

0–15'66
16–30'56
31–45'107
46–60'811
61–75'76
76–90'1311

PSV

0–15'166
16–30'176
31–45'1711
46–60'174
61–75'1211
76–90'227

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Groningen · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: when behind +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.087
Early press (0-15, level)+0.377
Late push (76+, level)-0.562

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.057
When behind+0.543
10 min after conceding-0.076
10 min after scoring+0.467

Situations

At home+0.204
Away-0.133
4+ days rest+0.087

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.142
v mid-tier opponents-0.262
v bottom-tier opponents+0.483
As favourite+0.512
Evenly matched-0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.356
Conceded late (76+)+0.105

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.49

PSV · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.576
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.457
10 min after scoring+1.237

Situations

At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.606

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466

Congested vs rested +0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44

FC Groningen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 69%1.421.381.421.61.31
4-4-211 31%1.271.451.181.931.73

PSV

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 59%2.53.051.22.241.06
4-3-311 32%2.272.731.552.191.34
4-4-22 6%3.02.50.52.670.77
3-2-4-11 3%3.05.03.01.811.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 20%4.5Draw 21% P 21%1.65Away 57% P 59%

Double Chance

2.3FC Groningen or Draw 20% P 20%1.18FC Groningen or PSV 40% P 39%1.16Draw or PSV 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%19%15%-3.2
Draw21%23%21%-1.4
Away59%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Marc Nagtegaal

Career
90 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.713.32-1.3310
Fouls / match19.120.3-0.80
Fouls per card7.56.2+1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.24+0.7576
Time added6.26.4-0.4143
First card
42' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.38

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 10 170 70'6
2026-01-18 60 280 23'6
2025-12-21 30 291 37'8
2025-12-06 20 291 75'5
2025-11-22 · PSV 30 260 66'5
2025-11-06 10 190 45'4
2025-11-01 12 7
2025-10-18 50 362 22'6
2025-09-27 61 251 39'11
2025-09-24 30 220 29'6