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Eredivisie · Matchweek 22

Momentum

GAETelstar
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Capacity
10,400
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Melvin Boel · Anthony Correia
Position
14 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Dennis Higler

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
6.0° (feels 3.0°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 72

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Go Ahead Eagles

DDLDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.99–9.67 · xPts 5.0

  • D A FC Volendam 1–1 xG 1.11–1.71 NLD E
  • D H Sporting Braga 0–0 xG 0.34–0.53 UEFA EL
  • L A Nice 1–3 xG 2.19–2.56 UEFA EL
  • D A Ajax 2–2 xG 0.64–3.45 NLD E
  • D H Fortuna Sittard 2–2 xG 1.71–1.41 NLD E

Telstar

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 6.67–8.39 · xPts 5.86

  • L A PEC Zwolle 1–4 xG 1.55–2.6 NLD E
  • L H AZ Alkmaar 0–1 xG 0.79–1.33 NLD E
  • D A Excelsior 2–2 xG 1.59–1.71 NLD E
  • L H Ajax 2–3 xG 1.02–1.84 NLD E
  • W A NAC Breda 1–0 xG 1.71–0.92 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Go Ahead Eagles 01 draws1 Telstar

Goals 3–5 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 01 draws1 Telstar

Goals 3–5 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 01 draws1 Telstar

Goals 3–5 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Telstar 4–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
MetricGo Ahead Eagles all · 34Go Ahead Eagles at home · 17Telstar all · 34Telstar away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.471.091.00
W / D / L8 / 14 / 126 / 7 / 49 / 10 / 154 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.592.001.441.06
Goals against / match1.561.411.621.59
Clean sheets26%35%15%18%
Failed to score21%12%24%29%
Both teams scored59%59%65%59%
Over 2.562%71%59%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.651.431.24
xG against / match2.151.681.902.16
xG difference-0.84-0.03-0.47-0.92
Finishing vs xG0.270.350.01-0.18
xPts / match1.021.391.150.90
Points vs xPts0.090.08-0.060.10
Game state
Scored first44%53%47%41%
PPG when scoring first2.002.221.811.71
PPG when conceding first0.350.570.410.44
Came back from behind43%50%17%20%
Leads held44%54%50%50%
Minutes leading21%30%24%19%
Minutes level46%47%44%45%
Minutes trailing32%23%32%36%
First goal (min)41414548
First goal conceded (min)37414040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%53%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%58%56%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.380.18
Late goals against0.290.350.500.47
Style
Possession50%51%45%43%
Shots11.613.812.812.1
On target5.16.44.94.4
Shot conversion14%14%11%9%
Shots inside box71%69%66%65%
Big chances created2.53.03.12.6
Corners5.46.54.74.1
xG from set plays26%31%31%32%
Goals from headers17%24%20%17%
Pressure index10.912.88.07.1
Dominant minutes43.450.937.032.1
Pass accuracy80%81%76%76%
Fouls9.28.611.312.1
Cards1.790.941.351.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'106
16–30'48
31–45'913
46–60'99
61–75'97
76–90'1310

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.00

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%0.921.41.761.292.29
4-3-37 21%1.572.01.291.251.84
4-1-4-11 3%1.00.00.01.551.49
4-4-21 3%3.05.00.02.121.51

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 50% P 53%3.7Draw 24% P 24%3.5Away 26% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 38% P 38%1.22Go Ahead Eagles or Telstar 38% P 38%1.95Draw or Telstar 24% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 61%2.25No 41% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.35Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 22.5–25% · 134 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%53%58%+4.7
Draw24%23%22%-1.6
Away23%23%20%-3.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Dennis Higler

Career
328 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.523.32+0.3368
Fouls / match22.220.3+0.83
Fouls per card6.66.2+0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.24+0.6973
Time added6.76.4+0.4473
First card
42' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 70 260 41'8
2026-01-17 30 260 23'7
2025-12-21 21 260 65'6
2025-11-08 61 240 27'7
2025-11-01 · Go Ahead Eagles 60 180 36'8
2025-10-19 · Telstar 30 211 4'6
2025-09-27 13 4
2025-09-20 30 250 45'9
2025-08-24 71 290 9'6
2025-08-16 20 250 5'8