Rating 6.99 (74th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 22
Momentum
– NAC BredaExcelsior –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| NAC Breda | at home | Stat | league | away | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0 #10 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.6 #11 |
| 14.1 #10 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 12.4 #14 |
| 4.2 #15 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.2 #14 |
| 5.8 #5 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.1 #16 |
| 10.8 #10 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 12.3 #2 |
| 1.4 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #17 |
| 16.2 #12 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 14.1 #17 |
| 97.7 #10 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 98.8 #8 |
| 45.6 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 41.1 #13 |
| 395.1 #13 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 404.5 #10 |
| 1.6 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #18 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 0.7 #18 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #16 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #7 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #4 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #11 |
| 1.3 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #11 |
| -0.3 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.1 #12 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #8 |
| 1.0 #16 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #14 |
| 1.7 #5 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 #6 |
| 0.3 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.1 #14 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.1 #6 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #5 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.8 #14 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 3.7 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.4 #13 |
| 8.6 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 8.2 #13 |
| 6.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 4.9 #12 |
| 5.5 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.2 #15 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
NAC Breda
No ranked players yet.
Excelsior · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.9 (72th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (5% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.12 (93th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (2% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Absences
NAC Breda
- injury Fredrik Oldrup Jensen midfielder · Knee Injury · 12 missed · until 2026-02-26
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 22
Venue
- Stadium
- Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
- Capacity
- 19,000
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Carl Hoefkens · Ruben den Uil
- Position
- 17 · 13
- Formation
- 3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Serdar Gözübüyük
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 7.9° (feels 6.7°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 97%
Where to watch · 253
Algeria
STARZPLAY
Angola
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Anguilla
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Antigua and Barbuda
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Argentina
Disney+ · ESPN 3
Armenia
Setanta Sports 1
Aruba
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Azerbaijan
Setanta Sports 1
Bahrain
STARZPLAY
Barbados
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Belarus
Setanta Sports 1
Belgium
Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
Benin
ESPN Africa
Bolivia
Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Botswana
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Brazil
Claro TV+ · Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 4 · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
Bulgaria
Voyo Sport
Burkina Faso
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Burundi
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Cameroon
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Cayman Islands
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Central African Republic
ESPN Africa
Chad
DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Chile
Disney+ Chile · ESPN2 Chile
Colombia
Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Costa Rica
Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Croatia
Sportklub 1 Croatia · Sportklub 9 Croatia
Cuba
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
Djibouti
DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Dominica
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Dominican Republic
Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Norte · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte
Ecuador
Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Egypt
STARZPLAY
El Salvador
Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Equatorial Guinea
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Eritrea
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Estonia
Setanta Sports 1
Eswatini
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Ethiopia
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Gabon
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Gambia
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Georgia
Setanta Sports 1 · Silk Sport HD 1 · Silk Sport HD 2
Germany
DAZN
Ghana
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Grenada
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Guadeloupe
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Guatemala
Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Guinea-Bissau
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Haiti
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Honduras
Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Indonesia
Vidio- International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
Iraq
STARZPLAY
Israel
Sport 1 · Sport 2 · Sport 4
Ivory Coast
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Jamaica
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Jordan
STARZPLAY
Kazakhstan
Setanta Sports 1
Kenya
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Kuwait
STARZPLAY
Latvia
Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
Lebanon
STARZPLAY
Lesotho
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Liberia
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Libya
STARZPLAY
Liechtenstein
Blue Sport
Lithuania
Go3 Extra Sports Lithuania · Setanta Sports 1
Madagascar
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Malawi
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Malaysia
Astro Go · sooka
Mali
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Martinique
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Mauritania
DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Mauritius
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Mayotte
ESPN Africa
Mexico
Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
Moldova
Setanta Sports 1
Montenegro
SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
Montserrat
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Morocco
STARZPLAY
Mozambique
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Namibia
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Netherlands
Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 · ESPN 2 Netherlands · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
Nicaragua
Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Nigeria
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Norway
V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
Oman
STARZPLAY
Palestine
STARZPLAY
Panama
Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
Paraguay
Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Peru
Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Poland
ESPN Africa · Polsat Box GO · Polsat Sport 1
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Puerto Rico
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Qatar
STARZPLAY
Romania
Prima Play · Prima Sport 2 · Prima Sport 3
Rwanda
ESPN Africa
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Saint Lucia
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Saudi Arabia
STARZPLAY
Senegal
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Serbia
SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
Seychelles
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Sierra Leone
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Slovakia
Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
Slovenia
SportKlub 1 Slovenia · Sportklub 2 Slovenia · Sportklub 3 Slovenia
Somalia
STARZPLAY
South Africa
ESPN Africa
South Sudan
DStv Now · STARZPLAY
Spain
Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
Switzerland
Blue Sport
Syria
STARZPLAY
São Tomé and Príncipe
ESPN Africa
Tanzania
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Togo
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Trinidad and Tobago
Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
Tunisia
STARZPLAY
Turkmenistan
Setanta Sports 1
Uganda
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
Ukraine
Setanta Sports Ukraine
United Arab Emirates
STARZPLAY
Uruguay
Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Uzbekistan
Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela
Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
Yemen
STARZPLAY
Zambia
ESPN Africa
Zimbabwe
DStv Now · ESPN Africa
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
NAC Breda
LDLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.42–8.17 · xPts 5.05
- D
H
FC Twente
2–2
xG 1.39–2.12
NLD E
- D
A
PSV
2–2
xG 1.17–1.64
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–4
xG 0.97–1.11
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
0–0
xG 0.98–1.59
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
0–1
xG 0.92–1.71
NLD E
LLLLDLDLDD 0W 4D 6L · 4 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 15 · xG 12.45–14.11 · xPts 12.71
- D
H
FC Twente
2–2
xG 1.39–2.12
NLD E
- D
A
PSV
2–2
xG 1.17–1.64
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–4
xG 0.97–1.11
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
0–0
xG 0.98–1.59
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
0–1
xG 0.92–1.71
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.25–0.75
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
xG 2.09–1.79
NLD E
- L
A
Excelsior
0–1
xG 1.64–1.03
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
0–1
xG 1.28–0.72
NLD E
- L
A
FC Volendam
1–2
xG 0.78–1.64
NLD E
Excelsior
LDDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 4.75–7.75 · xPts 4.84
- D
H
Ajax
2–2
xG 0.55–0.8
NLD E
- D
A
FC Twente
0–0
xG 0.84–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
AZ Alkmaar
1–1
xG 1.06–1.52
NLD E
- D
H
Telstar
2–2
xG 1.71–1.59
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 0.6–2.22
NLD E
LWWLWLDDDD 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 12 GA 16 · xG 11.5–16.95 · xPts 10.43
- D
H
Ajax
2–2
xG 0.55–0.8
NLD E
- D
A
FC Twente
0–0
xG 0.84–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
AZ Alkmaar
1–1
xG 1.06–1.52
NLD E
- D
H
Telstar
2–2
xG 1.71–1.59
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 0.6–2.22
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
2–1
xG 1.62–1.11
NLD E
- L
H
FC Groningen
0–2
xG 1.74–3.04
NLD E
- W
H
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 1.03–1.64
NLD E
- W
A
Ajax
2–1
xG 0.56–2.13
NLD E
- L
H
Heracles Almelo
1–2
xG 1.8–1.28
NLD E
All meetings · 16 matches since 2006
Goals 21–15 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–11 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- L NAC Breda 0–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 1–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 1–2 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- L NAC Breda 0–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 0–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 3–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 0–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- D NAC Breda 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 3–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 2–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | NAC Breda all · 34 | NAC Breda at home · 17 | Excelsior all · 34 | Excelsior away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.85 | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.18 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 17 | 5 / 5 / 7 | 10 / 8 / 16 | 5 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.03 | 1.18 | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.71 | 1.35 | 1.65 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 24% | 18% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 41% | 35% | 21% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% | 65% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% | 62% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | 1.48 | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.48 | 1.19 | 1.72 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | -0.17 | 0.30 | -0.29 | -0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.28 | -0.31 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| xPts / match | 1.31 | 1.56 | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.45 | -0.39 | -0.09 | 0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 35% | 44% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.39 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 30% | 33% | 42% |
| Leads held | 43% | 62% | 62% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 14% | 24% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 58% | 46% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 28% | 30% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 47 | 39 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 38 | 41 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 55% | 51% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 39% | 61% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| Late goals against | 0.47 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 51% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 14.1 | 14.9 | 12.4 | 12.1 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 20% | 22% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 11.9 | 14.6 | 7.9 | 6.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.3 | 50.9 | 38.7 | 35.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 79% | 77% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 10.1 | 12.3 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.88 | 1.76 | 1.35 | 1.18 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
NAC Breda
0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016
Excelsior
0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
NAC Breda
No pressure profile yet.
Excelsior · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 53% | 0.78 | 1.0 | 1.61 | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 15% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 50% | 1.35 | 1.06 | 1.65 | 1.25 | 1.95 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 1.97 | 1.47 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.1 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 2.13 |
| Metric | NAC Breda all · 10 | NAC Breda at home · 10 | Excelsior all · 10 | Excelsior away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 5 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 1.20 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 2.20 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 30% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.32 | 1.69 | 1.76 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.24 | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | -0.27 | 0.07 | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.12 | 0.81 | 0.44 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.51 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.43 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 10% | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.38 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 33% | 60% | 67% |
| Leads held | 33% | 50% | 86% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 7% | 8% | 39% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 62% | 33% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 42% | 30% | 28% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 55 | 44 | 33 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 30 | 22 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 50% | 52% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 33% | 58% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 15.4 | 15.7 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 8% | 18% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 58% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 35% | 22% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 40% | 25% | 33% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 13.7 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 55.5 | 50.8 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 78% | 79% | 76% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
NAC Breda
0–15'03
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'02
61–75'41
76–90'27
Excelsior
0–15'34
16–30'20
31–45'71
46–60'34
61–75'50
76–90'53
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.28 | 2.26 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.78 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.44 | 1.45 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| Metric | NAC Breda all · 29 | NAC Breda at home · 15 | Excelsior all · 35 | Excelsior away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 29 | 15 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 0.86 | 1.13 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 10 / 14 | 4 / 5 / 6 | 12 / 9 / 14 | 7 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.07 | 1.20 | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| Goals against / match | 1.69 | 1.40 | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 27% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 33% | 14% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 47% | 69% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 40% | 69% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | 1.14 | 1.56 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | -0.02 | 0.26 | -0.05 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.26 | -0.20 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.54 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.51 | -0.40 | -0.05 | 0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 24% | 33% | 46% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.06 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 0.89 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 33% | 39% | 54% |
| Leads held | 42% | 57% | 67% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 11% | 29% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 57% | 43% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 32% | 28% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 49 | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 30 | 39 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 56% | 49% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 33% | 61% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.41 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 15.2 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 62% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 39% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 22% | 28% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 13.5 | 16.0 | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.3 | 54.1 | 41.6 | 37.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 10.3 | 11.9 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.80 | 1.29 | 1.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
NAC Breda
0–15'06
16–30'310
31–45'911
46–60'56
61–75'54
76–90'912
Excelsior
0–15'87
16–30'76
31–45'127
46–60'515
61–75'87
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
NAC Breda · 29 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1729
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1229
Late push (76+, level)+0.0617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2816
Game state
When ahead-0.0811
When level+0.1529
When behind+0.2821
10 min after conceding-0.2223
10 min after scoring+0.5917
Situations
With ten men+0.265
At home+0.2115
Away+0.1314
4+ days rest+0.1729
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.117
v mid-tier opponents+0.179
v bottom-tier opponents+0.159
As favourite+0.425
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog+0.0711
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0229
Conceded when ahead+0.2311
Conceded late (76+)-0.1128
Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.14
Excelsior · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.2517
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1617
Game state
When ahead-0.3018
When level-0.1535
When behind+0.0022
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.0629
Situations
Against ten men-0.492
At home-0.1617
Away-0.1418
3 days rest or fewer-0.272
4+ days rest-0.1433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.369
v mid-tier opponents-0.038
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0112
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched-0.0315
As underdog-0.2616
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2035
Conceded when ahead+0.3618
Conceded late (76+)+0.2132
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.15
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.77 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 17% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 14% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 7% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 37% | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 31% | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 11% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.85Home 51% P 51%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.1Away 23% P 23%
Double Chance
1.22NAC or Draw 39% P 39%1.28NAC or Excelsior 37% P 37%1.9Draw or Excelsior 25% P 24%
Draw No Bet
1.361 69%3.02 31%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 51% | 51% | 53% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | -2.6 |
| Away | 23% | 23% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Serdar Gözübüyük
- Career
- 414 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.71 (3.53 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.25
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.94 | 3.32 | +1.20 | 95 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 20.3 | +0.85 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.8 | 6.2 | -0.92 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.24 | -0.07 | 48 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.85 | 10 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 6' | 5 |
| 2026-01-25 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 32' | 7 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 49' | 6 |
| 2026-01-17 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 19' | 4 |
| 2026-01-10 · NAC Breda | 3 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 33' | 4 |
| 2025-12-14 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 28' | 8 |
| 2025-12-10 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 21' | 6 |
| 2025-12-06 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 35' | 4 |
| 2025-11-29 · NAC Breda · Excelsior | 5 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 6' | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 1' | 4 |